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Technical Analysis for Beginners - FREE COURSE
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1x
00:00
hi guys welcome to this tiny economist this course where I'm gonna have you 5 Tenneco and it says skills you must
大家好,歡迎來到「小經濟學家」這個課程,我將教你5個技術分析技能,你必須
00:06
learn before you start and if you're a beginner then this is the course for you so the first you need to learn is you
在開始之前學習。如果你是初學者,那麼這就是為你設計的課程。所以你首先需要學習的是你
00:13
gotta learn how to spot that trend now in the first market and also in the stock market there are three types of
必須學習如何識別趨勢。現在,在期貨市場和股票市場中,有三種
00:19
trends you can say that the first one is uptrend just like this visually you can spot it and the second one is a
趨勢。你可以說,第一種是上升趨勢,就像這樣,你可以從視覺上識別它;第二種是
00:27
downtrend visually you can see that when the price makes higher lows higher lows like this
下降趨勢。從視覺上看,當價格形成更高的低點,像這樣更高的低點時
00:35
and at the same time higher highs like that then you can say that this is an
同時形成更高的高點,像那樣,那麼你就可以說這是一個
00:45
uptrend at the same time when price
同時當價格
00:47
makes lower highs and also lower lows alright then you can say that it's a
形成更低的高點和更低的低點,好的,那麼你就可以說這是一個
00:58
Down trend and the trend is called sideways trend or sup are some people might call it a ranging market does
下跌趨勢,這個趨勢被稱為橫盤趨勢或整理(sup),有些人可能會稱之為區間震盪市場,那麼
01:04
trend trading gives you a higher probability or does range trading give you a higher probability of making money
趨勢交易是否給你更高的機率,還是區間交易給你更高的賺錢機率
01:10
in the long term I would say for beginners and also for experienced traders it's better for the trade along
長期來說,我認為對於新手以及有經驗的交易者來說,順著趨勢交易
01:17
with the trend in the ranging market what happens is that there's a lot of volatility
會更好。在區間震盪市場中,發生的情況是波動性很大,
01:21
there's no whip sauce and it's very easy for you to get stopped down and in the ranging market goes sideways okay
沒有假突破(whipsauce),你很容易就會被停損出場,而在區間震盪市場中,價格只是橫向移動,好的,
01:29
it just tends to give you a lot of false breakouts a lot of false signals but I would prefer that if you trade the trend
它往往會給你很多假突破和很多假訊號,但我會建議你交易趨勢
01:36
as compared to the range but with that said if you are all those minority of range traders I feel free to treat the
而不是區間。但話說回來,如果你是那些少數的區間交易者,我建議你可以自由地交易
01:45
range okay so the benefits of spotting the trend it increase the probability of your spotting a winning trade okay
區間。好的,那麼辨識趨勢的好處在於,它增加了你找到獲利交易的機率,好的,
01:54
because this is cherry that says when there's a trend the price is going to move in that direction
因為這很明確地說,當有趨勢時,價格會朝著那個方向移動,
02:00
but bear in mind that a trend doesn't move up in a straight line it goes up and then we tracers ghost army tracers
但請記住,趨勢並不是直線上升的,它會上漲然後我們追蹤者...(語音不清)追蹤者...
02:07
goes up it faces by the long term you are treating the bullish trend your arms in so if you learn to spot trend this is
上漲,它面臨長期...(語音不清)你正在處理牛市趨勢,你的手臂...(語音不清)所以如果你學會辨識趨勢,這
02:15
good if you are trend forward you learn how to identify ok this is the start of the trend this is the mid of the trend
很好。如果你是趨勢追蹤者,你學會如何識別,好的,這是趨勢的起點,這是趨勢的中期,
02:23
and also when is the trend and ding when you study the inside of a trend you know when's the early stage when's the mid
以及趨勢何時開始、何時結束,當你研究趨勢內部時,你會知道早期階段、中期階段以及趨勢的結束階段。
02:32
stage and also when is the end of the haunted stage now understand that different stages of that trend does
了解趨勢的不同階段,趨勢的早期、中期以及趨勢的結束需要不同的指標,需要不同的策略來應對。
02:41
sound the trend the middle trend and also the end of the trend requires different indicators requires different
例如,如果你想發現趨勢反轉,那麼你的策略,例如跌破趨勢線,或者你可以使用涉及我稍後將展示的指標的策略。
02:48
strategies for it respond for example if you want to spot from reversals then your user strategy for example breakout
基本上,如果你是趨勢交易者,你可以學習如何使用趨勢指標,以便你能夠利用它們來
02:55
below the trend line or you can use a strategy that involves cyber Jonas which I'll show you later on
確定,我是在交易一個上升趨勢,還是下降趨勢,或者這是一個橫盤市場?使用趨勢指標。
03:02
and basically if you're a trend trader you can learn how to use the trend indicators so that you can use them to
趨勢指標的例子,一個非常受歡迎的是趨勢線。繪製趨勢線更多的是一門藝術而非科學,因為你繪製的趨勢線可能與我繪製的不同,因為它有點主觀。
03:09
determine ok am i treating a bullish trend or much winning the Burien or is this a sideways market news your trend
所以你需要知道的主要事情是,你可以學會繪製一條不會離大多數人繪製趨勢線的方式太遠的趨勢線。對於上升趨勢,你在價格下方繪製趨勢線。
03:16
indicators so example of trend indicators a very popular one is trend lines the drawing of the trend line is
現在很多人問,為什麼在上升趨勢中不能像那樣繪製趨勢線,這樣就可以交易向上突破。
03:24
more of an art than a science because when you draw Treena it might be different from the way I draw it because
問題在於,當你像那樣交易向上突破時,它通常風險會更大。為什麼呢?因為當這種突破發生時,尤其是在趨勢結束時,這可能表明市場已經耗盡,上升趨勢即將結束。
03:30
it's kind of subjective so the main thing you need to know is you can learn to draw a proper trendline that is not
根據經驗,突破通常不會持續很長時間。
03:36
way too far off as compared to how most people would draw a trend line comes in for an uptrend you draw the trend line
所以如果讓你比較,我應該交易向上突破,還是應該交易回調到下方並在這裡入場?
03:43
below the price ok now a lot of you asking how come on an uptrend you cannot
我會偏好回調交易,因為你以更好的價格入場,你獲得了良好的歷史記錄,並且你交易的是趨勢線的反彈,而不是突破。
03:50
draw a trend line just like that so they can treat the breakout to the upside now here's the thing when you treat the
所以我個人會選擇回調到趨勢線的交易。
03:59
breakout to the upside just like that where oftentimes is a little bit more risky why is that because when this
突破上行,就像那樣,這通常風險會稍微高一點。為什麼會這樣呢?因為當這個
04:05
breakup occurs particularly at the end of the this probably tells you that okay the
突破發生,尤其是在這個末端,可能告訴你,好吧,這個
04:11
market has exhausted the bullish trend is gonna end and normally a breakup based on experience it doesn't last very
市場已經耗盡了多頭趨勢即將結束,而通常根據經驗,這種突破不會持續很
04:17
long so if you're to compare okay should I treat breakout on the upside or should I
久,所以如果你要比較,好吧,我應該處理上行突破,還是應該
04:22
trade the retracement to the downside and you enter here I would prefer the retracement rate
處理回調到下行,你在這裡進場,我會偏好回調的價位
04:28
because you're entering at a better price you get a good history what we show and you're treating the bounce off
因為你以更好的價格進場,你獲得了我們展示的良好歷史紀錄,你正在處理從
04:34
from the trendline rather than the breakout so personally I would treat the retracement down to the
趨勢線的反彈,而不是突破,所以就個人而言,我會處理回調至
04:42
support treatment down to the parties don't mind writing as compared to a
支撐位,如果雙方不介意的話,相比之下
04:48
breakout to the upside this just based on my own opinion so this will uptrend
向上突破,這僅僅是我的個人意見,所以這將是上升趨勢
04:56
then for that downtrend okay for don't when you draw the trendline above that price and you draw at the lower highs
然後是下降趨勢,好的,當你在價格上方畫趨勢線,並在較低的低點畫線時
05:05
you see one two and three and pop you can and donut touch over here again you see if you draw a trendline that down
你會看到一、二、三,然後又回到這裡,你看,如果你畫一條向下的趨勢線
05:14
side okay maybe you look something like this okay it's not perfect but a lot of you see breakouts okay but it doesn't
好的,也許看起來像這樣,它並不完美,但很多人看到突破,但它並沒有
05:22
really last long you want in you can draw the bottom trendline to exit bottom phonetic profit target so some of the
持續太久,你想進入,你可以畫底部趨勢線來退出底部獲利目標,所以一些
05:31
tips for you if you are trendline trader this is very important okay you can learn to swat strong and weak trend
給你的技巧,如果你是趨勢線交易者,這非常重要,你可以學會分辨強弱趨勢線
05:38
lines because doesn't mean that if the price has the trendline then you can go in doesn't mean that if the price
線,因為這並不意味著如果價格觸及趨勢線,你就可以進場,這並不意味著如果價格
05:44
approaches trendline then you need to do this or that because context is very important is the price testing a strong
接近趨勢線,你就需要做這個或那個,因為背景非常重要,價格是在測試強勢
05:52
trend line or is it testing a weak trend line or is it testing a mediocre trend line you can understand that okay
趨勢線,還是在測試弱勢趨勢線,還是在測試中等趨勢線,你可以理解這一點,好的
05:59
there are many factors that makes a strong trend line but what makes us strong trend line just to give you a
有許多因素可以形成強勢趨勢線,但什麼能形成強勢趨勢線,僅僅是給你
06:04
couple pointers the first one and girls cannot be too steep okay cannot be too steep when you have a trendline that is
幾個要點,第一個,它不能太陡,不能太陡,當你有一條趨勢線
06:12
a straight is a pole going up just like that it is not a strong trend line and also a strong trend is for when it takes
是一條直線,就像這樣一根向上傾斜的柱子,它不是一條強勢趨勢線,而且強勢趨勢是當它需要
06:19
a long time for it to form when you look at a trend line on a d1 timeframe an h1 timeframe
很長時間才能形成時,當你在日線時間框架上看到趨勢線,在小時時間框架上
06:25
provided both are the same length which one do you think is stronger the trend line that you see on the day anytime
假設兩者長度相同,你認為哪一個更強?日線時間框架上的趨勢線
06:32
family stronger and also if the price test a trendline at least three times in fact the more times it turns the better
更強,而且如果價格測試趨勢線至少三次,事實上,測試的次數越多越好
06:39
but with that said if it has that way to eight times like for example 1015 times it probably tells you that the bullish
但話雖如此,如果它被測試了八到十次,例如 10 到 15 次,這可能意味著看漲
06:47
trend is gonna end there comes a trendline you gotta learn how to draw it because like I said it's more of an art
趨勢即將結束,有一條趨勢線,你必須學會如何畫它,因為正如我所說,它更像是一門藝術
06:53
than a science and it is a skill that takes time so if in the first week you cannot draw trend line properly and you
而非科學,而且這是一項需要時間的技能,所以如果你在第一周無法正確畫趨勢線
07:00
gotta practice more the best way to learn it is true drawing it using your hands rather than reading a book about
你需要多加練習,學習它的最好方法是動手畫,而不是讀一本關於
07:06
trend lines going back to the example just now okay i jus model a bit and you can see that now major trend line okay
趨勢線回到剛剛的例子,好的,我稍微畫一下,你可以看到現在這條主要趨勢線,好的
07:12
let's call this a major trend line in a major trend line some people call it a stronger trend line as well you can also
我們稱這條為主要趨勢線,在主要趨勢線中,有些人也稱之為更強的趨勢線,你也可以
07:19
draw a minor trend lines for example trend lines that lasts only a while my
畫出次要趨勢線,例如,只維持一段短時間的趨勢線,我
07:25
dad ran nine okay trend lines that last me for a while okay so this and how they chat and us that this trend is very
爸跑九次,好的,維持一段短時間的趨勢線,好的,像是這個,它們如何與我們對話,顯示這個趨勢非常
07:33
steep okay this trend line my new trend is very steep this one so very steep also this one is very steep and also we
陡峭,好的,這條趨勢線,我的新趨勢非常陡峭,這條,非常陡峭,這條也非常陡峭,而且我們
07:41
realize that these three minor finance that I draw it is not only red steep but also when the price breaks above the
意識到我畫的這三條次要趨勢線,不僅非常陡峭,而且當價格突破
07:48
trend line okay when it breaks a bus upside move man doesn't really last long you see price broke here again not in a
趨勢線時,好的,當它突破向上移動時,並不會持續很久,你看價格在這裡再次突破,又一次
07:57
break one more time on a dutchman over here the upside movement doesn't really last on if I went down afterwards
在這裡突破,向上移動並沒有持續,如果之後下跌
08:02
compare that with a major trend line you see price broke this major trend line at this point in time and you have a major
與主要趨勢線比較,你看價格在這個時間點突破了這條主要趨勢線,之後出現了主要的
08:10
bullish trend after that one important rule for you is try to avoid drawing minor trend lines because I find that
牛市趨勢,對你來說一個重要的規則是,盡量避免畫次要趨勢線,因為我發現
08:18
it's quite redundant and also I find that it's gonna cut your chart it's more about quality trend lines than quantity
這相當多餘,而且我發現它會切斷你的圖表,重點在於趨勢線的品質而非
08:25
amount of trend lines now of course we realize alone you can spoil reversal but of course it's better you point more
數量,當然我們知道單憑趨勢線 alone 可能會誤導反轉,但當然最好搭配更多
08:31
indicators and Confirmation special Michelle view okay so so can trade Nikita you can use is
指標和確認指標,特別是 Michelle view,好的,所以可以交易 Nikita,你可以使用
08:38
moving mhm now very popular moving average people use this I know Amy and I find that SMA price tender come down
移動,嗯,現在非常流行的移動平均線,人們使用這個,我知道 Amy,我發現 SMA 價格傾向於下跌
08:47
test this level quite often of course in this case it has the only two times when the price is above hundred SME then you
測試這個水準相當頻繁,當然在這個案例中,只有兩次價格在 100 SME 之上,那麼你
08:55
can say that it is a bullish trend when the price goes below in resume you can say that is a bearish trend but
可以說這是牛市趨勢,當價格跌破移動平均線時,你可以說是熊市趨勢,但
09:01
basically the moving average it helps you determine the trend but it also helps neo to spot areas of entry a
基本上,移動平均線幫助你判斷趨勢,但也幫助你發現進場點,
09:08
couple tees for you if you use moving a rich again just like trend lines you gotta learn how to a spot we are
幾個技巧給你,如果你再次使用移動平均線,就像趨勢線一樣,你必須學會如何發現
09:16
significant moving a rich because they are certain moving averages they are strong sorta moving a rich they are not
重要的移動平均線,因為有些移動平均線是強勢的,有些移動平均線是強勢的,它們沒那麼
09:23
so strong they're really weak so the line of the future uh what's good and what's not so good okay what makes us
強勢,它們真的很弱,所以未來的路線,嗯,什麼好,什麼不好,好的,是什麼讓我們
09:29
really strong moving a rich the first criteria is gun price has to test several times at least three times how
真正強勢的移動平均線,第一個標準是價格必須測試多次,至少三次
09:37
do you know whether the bullish trend is strong if the moving average is not paying upwards if it is going up like
如何知道趨勢是否強勁?如果移動平均線沒有向上傾斜,如果它像這樣向上走
09:42
that okay but too steep not to state and it is a strong boyfriend if the mortgage is sloping downwards like that high
好,但太陡峭不太好,而如果像那樣向下傾斜,則是強勢的空頭趨勢
09:50
chance in a bearish trend but when the moving which is sloping sideways going sideways like this you can say that the
但當移動平均線像這樣橫向移動時,你可以說趨勢
09:58
trend is not as strong or the trend is going to change I'm a bearish trend to an upwards trend or from a bullish trend
不那麼強勁,或者趨勢即將改變,從空頭趨勢轉為上升趨勢,或從多頭趨勢
10:05
to a bastion and a lot fitness they like to you know go run fine you know what's the magic moving average number when
轉為空頭趨勢,很多交易者喜歡,你知道的,去尋找,你知道那個神奇的移動平均線數字是什麼
10:12
there's no really magic number just got the tomato care what kind of moving average is suitable for which timeframe
其實沒有真正的神奇數字,只是要留意哪種移動平均線適合哪個時間框架
10:21
because if you're using smaller timeframes the smaller moving average would be more useful for you if you're
因為如果你使用較小的時間框架,較小的移動平均線對你來說會更有用,如果你
10:28
using the larger timeframes then the larger moving average values would be more suitable for you
使用較大的時間框架,那麼較大的移動平均線數值會更適合你
10:34
it's not about Karen what moving average number is the best because it depends on what type of trainer you are basically
這不是關於尋找哪個移動平均線數字是最好的,因為這取決於你基本上是哪種類型的交易者
10:41
there are two main ways they can use moving average and the first one is you can use
使用移動平均線主要有兩種方式,第一種是你可以使用
10:47
cross over strategy and you can use it enter when the price comes down or goes up and test the moving average so let's
交叉策略,以及你可以用它在價格下跌或上漲並測試移動平均線時進場,所以假設
10:56
say yes moving ovation at Snopes upwards okay you want the price to come down
移動平均線向上傾斜,好的,你希望價格下跌
11:02
Hesperia wage then potentially you can enter right here and fall down let's train line you want applies to go ahead
接近移動平均線,那麼你可能可以在這裡進場並順著趨勢線,你希望價格繼續
11:09
and test the moving average okay a weight goes up one more time you might potentially want to enter here and
去測試移動平均線,好的,如果它再次上漲,你可能想在這裡進場
11:16
one way pointing don't use moving average in isolation because you use moving average for entry signals it's
但請注意,不要單獨使用移動平均線,因為如果你只用移動平均線作為進場訊號
11:23
gonna be a bit risky because moving average is a lagging indicator so if you're entering just using a lagging
會有點風險,因為移動平均線是落後指標,所以如果你只用一個落後指標進場
11:30
indicator it's not what cuts are well now when it comes to crossovers okay crossovers you want your small moving
這不是什麼好主意,現在談到交叉,好的,對於交叉,你希望你的小移動平均線
11:37
average for example 50s ma be above a larger moving average for example hundred SMA okay you want your fifty to
例如 50 日均線,要大於較大的移動平均線,例如 100 日均線,好的,你希望你的 50 日
11:44
be above to be above hundred okay never for a downtrend you want small and made to be below your lunch MA
要在 100 日均線之上,好的,對於下降趨勢,你希望小均線要在大均線之下
11:52
notice I meant to be on top then you want your 50s MA to be below so like I said there are two main strategies for
請注意,我指的是在上方,然後您的 50 期移動平均線要位於下方。所以,就像我說的,移動平均線有兩種主要的策略。
11:59
moving averages the first one is crossover so right here I have the 50's ma over here then followed by the yellow
第一種是交叉。所以在這裡,我這裡有 50 期移動平均線,然後是黃色的
12:08
one which is your hundreds ma okay so when the 50's ma is above under the main you can see that high chance that price
100 期移動平均線。好的,所以當 50 期移動平均線在主要趨勢上方時,您可以看到價格有很高的機會
12:16
is going to go in a bullish trend so once you've determined that okay this is a bullish trend then you want to wait
會進入看漲趨勢。所以一旦您確定了「好的,這是一個看漲趨勢」,那麼您就要等待
12:22
for price to come down and then test the fifty or hundred SMA so the first
價格回落,然後測試 50 或 100 期簡單移動平均線。所以第一個
12:31
criteria you want to have a good crossover what I mean by good crossover aside from the fact that the small boy
條件是您要有一個好的交叉。我所說的好的交叉,除了小的移動平均線
12:40
average has to be above the large moving average the larger the gap in between the two moving averages the stronger is
必須在大移動平均線之上之外,兩條移動平均線之間的差距越大,趨勢就越強。
12:48
the trend okay so once you see this crossover then you want to wait for
好的,所以一旦您看到這個交叉,那麼您就要等待
12:54
price to retrace you want to wait for pi straight face and test uh 50 Smar and resume and we have
價格回調。您要等待價格回調並測試 50 期簡單移動平均線並恢復。我們有
13:04
some time you find out okay price would tend to test the smaller moving averages as compared to hun resume so if you use
一些時候您會發現,價格會傾向於測試較小的移動平均線,而不是 100 期移動平均線。所以如果您使用
13:12
100 SMA we have 200 ma the price is gonna test 100 SMA more often than it tests to and resume so if you're using
100 期簡單移動平均線和 200 期移動平均線,價格測試 100 期簡單移動平均線的頻率會比測試 200 期移動平均線更頻繁。所以如果您使用
13:21
hundred with 200 you might want to wait for entry when it tests 100 SMA now this one bullish trend when it comes to
100 期和 200 期,您可能想在價格測試 100 期簡單移動平均線時等待入場。現在這是看漲趨勢,當談到
13:28
bearish trend I change the color a little bit so I'm just gonna label it for you so that's not too confusing the
看跌趨勢時,我稍微改變了顏色,所以我只是為您標記一下,這樣就不會太混淆。
13:35
white one is your hand resume then a yellow line is your 50 SME okay so in the good don't train your one d 50s m8
白線是您的 100 期移動平均線,然後黃線是您的 50 期簡單移動平均線。好的,所以在好的下跌趨勢中,您的 50 期簡單移動平均線
13:45
we below resume where does the first criteria crossover and of course the larger the gap the better it is second
會在 100 期移動平均線下方。這是第一個條件:交叉。當然,差距越大越好。第二個
13:51
criteria again you want to wait for retracement back up to the moving average so in this case it went back up
條件是,您要等待價格回調到移動平均線。所以在這種情況下,它回升
13:58
and tell son resume before it be traced and over here we're not in test 50 SMA before we trace the key thing is where
並測試了 100 期移動平均線,然後才回調。而在這裡,我們沒有測試 50 期簡單移動平均線,然後才回調。關鍵是您將
14:07
you put stop-loss you put your stop loss at the slower moving average always and in this case it is the resume okay if
止損點放在哪裡。您總是將止損點放在較慢的移動平均線,在這種情況下是 100 期移動平均線。好的,如果
14:16
you're in third at 50 SMA then you put your stop loss at where the 100 SMA is if you use 100 and 200 SMA then you put
您在 50 期簡單移動平均線入場,那麼您將止損點放在 100 期簡單移動平均線的位置。如果您使用 100 期和 200 期簡單移動平均線,那麼您將
14:25
your stop loss at where the 200 some it is so you realize that when a tool moving away just start to converge over
止損點放在 200 期移動平均線的位置。所以您會發現,當兩條移動平均線開始收斂時
14:32
here okay so the converge over here then you better get out so in a way you can use crossovers as a tick profit strategy
好的,這裡的收斂,你最好出場。所以某種程度上,你可以將交叉作為一個獲利了結的策略。
14:40
and a lot of stock investors they do this when there's a moving average crossover they're going to take profit
很多股票投資者在移動平均線交叉時就會這樣做,他們會獲利了結。
14:45
when you are holding the stock long term they're gonna take profit and then a second skill then you should learn is
當你長期持有股票時,他們會獲利了結。那麼第二個技巧,你應該學習的是。
14:52
learn a trade overbought and oversold levels well learn how to use momentum indicators now there are three in
學習交易超買和超賣水平。嗯,學習如何使用動能指標。現在有三個。
15:00
momentum indicators that people use RSI stochastics and also MACD so because they may see these a little bit more
動能指標是人們常用的:RSI、隨機指標(Stochastics)和 MACD。因為它們可能看起來稍微複雜一點。
15:07
complex I'm not gonna cover it too much I'm just gonna carbon stochastic Sanel our site and also CCI when it
我不會講太多,我只會簡單介紹隨機指標、RSI 和 CCI。
15:13
stochastic RSI CCI they have some things are common okay the values might be a bit different but the principles are
隨機指標、RSI、CCI,它們有一些共同點。好的,數值可能有點不同,但原理。
15:20
about the same no media at the bottom of your chart so you will see two lines over here that so this have you over
大致相同。在圖表底部,你會看到兩條線。
15:28
here okay it's your overbought level this level over here at the bottom is your oversold
好的,這是你的超買水平。底部的這個水平是你的超賣。
15:34
level just understand this for now and in the middle over here from here to here there's a neutral level overbought
水平。現在先理解這個就好。中間這裡,從這裡到這裡,有一個中性水平。頂部是超買。
15:43
at the top also at the bottom so some pointers so take note again you don't just trade based on over so ANOVA but
底部也是。所以有些要點,再次請注意,你不僅僅是因為超賣就交易。
15:49
doesn't mean that if it is over so then you need to buy doesn't mean that if it is overbought then you need to sell
這並不意味著如果超賣你就需要買進,也不意味著如果超賣你就需要賣出。
15:56
because you know why price can remain at those levels for a long time when you see a stock or can see pair being
因為你知道為什麼嗎?價格可以在這些水平維持很長一段時間。當你看到一檔股票或貨幣對被。
16:03
oversold it can still continue to go down and down down and then you get stopped up again and again again but
超賣,它可能繼續下跌、下跌、下跌,然後你一次又一次地被停損出場。但。
16:09
basically in an uptrend assuming that you are treating along with the trend you can ignore overbought signals and if
基本上在上升趨勢中,假設你順勢交易,你可以忽略超買訊號。如果。
16:16
you are treating a downtrend you got no signals because of trend you gonna see a lot of overbought signals
你在下降趨勢中交易,順勢而為,你會看到很多超買訊號。
16:23
down rain you're gonna see a lot oversold signals which means that very likely those signals are going to be
在下降趨勢中,你會看到很多超賣訊號,這意味著那些訊號很可能會是。
16:29
false signals so in an uptrend you want to enter when it goes to over so potentially enter and in a downtrend you
假訊號。所以在上升趨勢中,當它跌到超賣時,你想要進場。潛在的進場點。在下降趨勢中。
16:37
want to potentially enter when it goes to an overbought level there are a lot of momentum indicators as ima City CCI
當它漲到超買水平時,你想要潛在的進場點。有很多動能指標,像是 RSI、CCI。
16:44
toka stakes but pick one okay just pick one at most you can use tool but anything more than that I feel that it's
隨機指標,但只選一個。好的,最多選一個。你最多可以使用兩個,但我覺得超過那個。
16:51
redundant because most of the time these indicators just give you the same signals so if I pick our side for
冗餘,因為大多數時候這些指標只會給你相同的訊號,所以如果我選擇做空為例
16:58
example and now let's apply whatever that you've learned so far your trend line your moving average
現在讓我們應用你目前學到的一切,你的趨勢線、你的移動平均線
17:02
again this white line is your hundred SMA I can see right here there's a confluence
再次強調,這條白線是你的100日SMA,我可以在這裡看到一個匯聚點
17:08
okay where the price has the trend line at the same time it tests moving average and the same time I give you a beverage
好的,價格在這裡同時觸及趨勢線,同時測試移動平均線,同時給你一個看跌
17:15
and I'll stick signal so this is why I call a high probability trade of course you can see that there's a Libya force
蠟燭訊號,這就是為什麼我稱之為高勝率交易。當然,你可以看到這裡有一個假突破
17:21
break over here okay how do you spot false because there are many ways there can spot force because of
你如何發現假突破?因為有很多方法可以發現假突破,第一個是時間過濾器,第二個是蠟燭圖過濾器
17:27
one's a time filter second one is a candlestick filter for example if you see a breakout like this over here and
例如,如果你看到像這樣的突破
17:34
it breaks up on a bearish candlestick pattern in this case this a bearish ami pattern he's told it okay high chance
它是在一個看跌的蠟燭圖形態(例如烏雲蓋頂)上突破的,這代表
17:41
this a false breakout and the other thing is that another false breaker occurs it wouldn't last very long only
這是一個假突破的機率很高。另一件事是,假突破通常不會持續很久
17:47
lasts ok a few candles then it goes back down if it breaks above the trend line okay and there are love candles it lasts
只持續幾根蠟燭,然後它就會跌回來。如果它突破趨勢線上方,且伴隨著很多根蠟燭,它持續
17:54
for more than two days you can see that this is not really a false because this is the end of the trend some other
超過兩天,你可以看到這不是真正的假突破,因為這是趨勢的結束。有些其他
18:00
beggars too much but you can see that the first confirmation first confirmation is that test a trend line
指標太過敏感,但你可以看到第一個確認是測試趨勢線
18:08
okay second confirmation is that it has moving a rich confirmation and gives you a bearish candlestick signal and the
好的,第二個確認是它有移動平均線的確認,並給你一個看跌蠟燭訊號,而
18:16
fourth confirmation you realize that as I went from over pots and then back to the neutral level so basically have four
第四個確認是你意識到RSI從超買區回到中性水平,所以基本上有四個
18:23
confirmations that surprise is gonna continue to go down from this point onwards okay then the question is can
確認點確認價格將從這一點開始繼續下跌。好的,那麼問題是,你能
18:31
you add more confirmation yes you can if you want to if you look at CCI stochastics
增加更多確認點嗎?是的,你可以,如果你想的話。如果你看CCI和隨機指標
18:38
most times going to be a same signal okay see when CCI goes to overbought stochastic also when to over pot again
大多數時候它們會給出相同的訊號。好的,看到當CCI到達超買區,隨機指標也到達超買區
18:46
over here of a pot of pots what's out here and also here of course if I gave
這裡也是超買區,還有這裡也是。當然,如果我給你
18:54
you a little bit earlier the signal also here over so here so on and so forth you can see the same thing doesn't happen
早一點的訊號,這裡也是超買,等等。你可以看到相同的事情並不是
19:02
all the time I realize that this a downtrend okay that was CCI stochastic Scotto
每次都會發生。我意識到這是一個下降趨勢,好的,那是CCI和隨機指標的表現
19:07
ferbots okay see price went down from here little bit against CCI gives you of
費爾bots 好的,看到價格從這裡下跌了一點,CCI 在這裡給出了一個買入訊號,價格從這裡下跌,我們從那裡只下跌了一點點,如果你看
19:16
a bought signal over here price went down from here we in just a little bit go down from there and if you look at
趨勢線訊號,例如這裡,這裡也有訊號,價格並沒有真的上漲太多,事實上是橫向整理
19:22
over stop signals okay for example here okay also signal here the price didn't really go up that much in fact Ranger
然後下跌。好的,各位,接下來你們要學的是學習發現趨勢與
19:30
sideways then go down okay guys the next you're gonna learn is learning to spot trends versus so then the spot trend
趨勢反轉的跡象,你需要使用動能指標,你也可以使用趨勢線。好的,在下跌趨勢中,價格正在形成
19:38
reversals you need to use your momentum indicators you can also use your trend lines okay downtrend the price is making
更高的高點,但如果你看隨機指標,它並沒有確認價格正在形成更高的低點、更高的低點
19:46
lower highs but if you look at stochastic the moment and negate other prices making higher lows higher lows
這就是我們所說的正背離。正背離基本上是指當你的動能指標
19:55
and this what we call a positive divergence a positive divergence basically when your momentum indicator
正在向上傾斜時。好的,這是下跌趨勢的情況。對於上升趨勢,你也可以使用我們的網站,如果你畫出你的
20:04
is sloping upwards okay so this what downtrend for an uptrend you can use our site as well and if you put your
趨勢線,你可以看到價格正在形成更高的低點,好的,更高的低點,幾乎在趨勢的
20:11
trendline you can see that price is making higher lows okay higher lows almost at the end of
末端,它正在形成更低的高點。好的,背離也可能有假訊號,所以你要等待趨勢線的
20:18
the trend as is making lower highs ok go ice divergence can also have false signals so you want to wait for a break
突破,來確認牛市趨勢,並加上移動平均線交叉,加上
20:28
in a trendline for you to confirm that bullish trend and that at that with moving average crossovers add that with
價格行為確認,還有如果你學會閱讀圖表型態,你會發現這裡是一個
20:36
price action confirmation and also if you learn read chat patterns you realize that this here's a head and shoulder
頭肩頂型態,這裡是頭部,這是左肩,然後是右肩,然後你有你的頸線
20:42
pattern over here it's the head there's the left shoulder then is the right shoulder and then you have your neckline
在這裡。當價格跌破這個頸線並跌破主要趨勢線時,這是另一個確認,表示
20:51
over here so when the price broke this neckline and break the major trend line this is another confirmation that the
牛市趨勢即將結束。好的,現在有些要點要記下來:當出現正背離時,熊市趨勢
20:58
bullish trend is going to end okay now some points to take notes when there's a positive divergence the bearish trend
結束,所以價格將從下跌趨勢轉為上升趨勢。當出現負背離時,它告訴你牛市趨勢
21:04
school and so price is going to go from downtrend to uptrend when there's a negative divergence it tells you that a
即將結束,價格將從上升趨勢轉為下跌趨勢。現在,當談到背離指標時,
21:10
bullish trend is gonna end price is going to go from option to downtrend now when it comes to divergence indicators
如果你是保守的交易者,你可以將其作為獲利了結或分批出場的策略。如果你是積極的交易者
21:16
your conservative trader you can use this as a tick profit or scale out strategy if you're an aggressive trader
或是有經驗的交易者,那麼你可以將其作為進場點來進行趨勢反轉。這意味著你像保羅·都鐸·瓊斯
21:24
you're experienced trader then you can use it as an entry under trend reversal this means that you're like Paul Tudor
一樣,可以抓到頂部和底部。所以你接下來要學的技術分析技巧是學習找到
21:31
Jones you can pick tops and bottoms so the next technical analysis skill you gonna learn is learn to find areas of
的區域是...
21:39
support and resistance so you can see an uptrend over here prices above hundred SMA
支撐與阻力,所以你可以看到這裡有一個上升趨勢,價格在100日移動平均線之上
21:46
I drew a support zone over here okay it's upon zone based on the price here and here and here so now that test over
我在這裡畫了一個支撐區,沒錯,它是基於這裡、這裡和這裡的價格形成的支撐區,所以現在測試這裡
21:55
here you see a confluence confluence where the price has on resume and at the same time it tests yards apart so on so
你看到一個匯合點,價格在這裡恢復並同時測試支撐區的地方
22:02
you can see that these are potential and three points provided that you have a good bisection signal right after it
你可以看到這些是潛在的入場點,前提是你在第四次測試後有良好的反轉訊號
22:10
tests the fourth time price broke below the support zone and it went been Lauren SMA so the bullish trend and that can
價格跌破支撐區並跌破移動平均線,牛市趨勢結束
22:17
you see a head and shoulder pattern there's a left shoulder there's the head there's a right shoulder of course it
你可以看到一個頭肩頂形態,左肩在那裡,頭部在那裡,右肩在那裡,當然它
22:24
made another right shoulder so this is a Buddhist trend and when it comes to a bearish market you should draw
又做了一個右肩,所以這是熊市趨勢,當你面對熊市時,你應該畫
22:31
resistance zone ok resistance zone again you can use a publicist honest to and touch wait to get over trade so for
阻力區,沒錯,阻力區,同樣你可以使用公眾的支撐點來等待交易機會,所以
22:39
example when price comes up here and test the resistance zone you can make a sell trade if you are day trader they'll
舉例來說,當價格上漲到這裡並測試阻力區時,如果你是日內交易者,你可以做空
22:45
be useful for you but if you're a long-term trend forward you're writing this onto a trend when price broke above
這對你很有用,但如果你是長期趨勢交易者,你會等待趨勢,當價格突破
22:51
this resistance zone you're gonna get up okay you gotta get profits so it depends on what kind trainer you are you can use
這個阻力區時,你會獲利,你會得到利潤,所以這取決於你是哪種交易者,你可以使用
22:58
this a tick profit strategy or you can use it like a sir and free strategy again if you look at the chart properly
這個作為波段獲利策略,或者你可以把它當作波段交易策略,同樣,如果你正確地看圖表
23:06
you see that there's an inverse head and shoulder pattern now if you use support resistance couple points to take notes
你會看到現在有一個倒轉頭肩頂形態,如果你使用支撐阻力幾個點來做筆記
23:13
it's not a straight line it should be drawn as a zone and what makes her strong support resistance when the
它不是一條直線,應該畫成一個區域,而什麼讓支撐阻力強勁,當
23:20
priced has your as an are at these three times but not too many times and if it takes a long time to form base another
價格在這些點測試了三次但不要太多次,而且如果花了很長時間形成底部,另一個
23:28
trend line okay and if you see in the higher time frame the principal is pretty much similar to a trendline and
趨勢線,沒錯,如果你在更高的時間框架看到,原則與趨勢線非常相似
23:34
you can use it as a stop loss level you can also use this tick profit level and you can so use it to enter on the bounce
你可以把它當作止損位,你也可以用它作為波段獲利位,你也可以用它在反彈時入場
23:42
off so the fifth skill you should learn I will say this one the most important ones because price is king so you got a
所以第五個技能你應該學習,我會說這是最重要的,因為價格是王道,所以你得到一個
23:50
time a trades using price action so see a resistance line over here okay and price came out to test at that time
時間,使用價格行為交易,所以看到這裡有一條阻力線,沒錯,價格出來測試那個時間
23:57
obviously this was false cut and it gives you a bearish candlestick signal so you can see that
顯然是假突破,它給了你一個熊市K線訊號,所以你可以看到
24:03
these are bearish on offering pattern but it's not supplied you because I prefer that this bullish candlestick be
這些是看跌的提供模式,但我沒有提供給你,因為我比較偏好這根看漲燭台能
24:09
a bit smaller and in a downtrend like this you realize that my hundreds ma is here 50s amis here you can use price
小一點,而在像這樣的下跌趨勢中,你會發現我的百日移動平均線在這裡,50日移動平均線在這裡,你可以使用價格
24:17
action to confirm a reversal so you can see that just before the downtrend ends okay you have a bullish honey pattern
行動來確認反轉,所以你可以看到就在下跌趨勢結束之前,你有一根看漲的蜂蜜形態
24:25
also at the same time you see that when price has trendline okay it gives you a bearish signal is when you can enter if
同時你也看到當價格觸及趨勢線時,它會給你一個看跌訊號,這就是你可以進場的時機,如果你是
24:33
your date winner swing trader I realized that you can use candlesticks for many different purposes you can use it to
波段交易者,我了解到你可以將燭台用於許多不同的目的,你可以用它來
24:39
take profit for example when you see a very strong bullish signal you can TP when this candle form okay
獲利了結,例如當你看到一個非常強烈的看漲訊號時,你可以在這根燭台形成時獲利了結
24:46
not all candlestick signals will work out because if it appears at the wrong time in the wrong place it will not work
並非所有的燭台訊號都會成功,因為如果它在錯誤的時間、錯誤的位置出現,它就不會
24:54
out basically context is key actually don't really need to memorize the names because you just need to understand the
成功,基本上情境是關鍵。其實不需要死記名稱,因為你只需要理解其背後的
25:00
psychology behind it okay so I called GB honey and also just take know where it appears does it apply in this context
心理學就好。所以我稱之為GB蜂蜜,也只需要知道它在哪裡出現,它是否適用於這個情境
25:09
that's all I need to know don't even know the name is just a bonus so what makes a candlestick signal really strong
這就是我需要知道的全部,甚至不知道名稱也只是個附加價值。那麼,是什麼讓一個燭台訊號真正強烈呢?
25:15
like I said if he appears at the right place at key critical levels for example if it has a pot resistance if it has a
就像我說的,如果它出現在正確的位置、關鍵的關鍵水平,例如如果它有潛在的阻力位、
25:23
trendline if it has a feeble level now for some candlestick signals the larger the size
趨勢線,或者是一個斐波那契水平。對於某些燭台訊號,實體的
25:29
of the body the strong way this but for some cannot stick signals the smaller the body the stronger it is then for
大小越大,代表越強烈;但對於某些燭台訊號,實體越小,反而越強;然後對於
25:35
some candlestick signals the longer the shadow the better it is then for some a shorter that shadow them batteries it
某些燭台訊號,影線越長越好;而對於某些,影線越短越好。這取決於
25:42
depends on a pattern what I'm telling you is done you got take know the size the body and a shadow parlor I would say
特定的形態。我告訴你的是,你需要知道實體的大小和影線的長度。我會說
25:49
it depends but it's not as important as the body size and also the shadow length so basically how do you understand it's
這取決於情況,但它沒有實體大小以及影線長度那麼重要。那麼基本上,你要如何理解其背後的
25:55
like ecology behind candlesticks if I show you this tool candlestick pattern okay you see that price open over here
生態學呢?如果我給你看這個特定的燭台形態,你看到價格在這裡開盤,
26:02
during this time frame sellers push the price all the way down and it seems like that okay the sellers are winning the
在這段時間框架內,賣方將價格一路推低,看起來似乎是這樣,賣方正在獲勝,
26:09
bears are coming in but then for most at the end of the timeframe a bias not to come in
空頭正在進場,但隨後在大多數時間框架的末端,多頭沒有進場,
26:15
and then push the price up all the way up then it closes at this level so who do you think won if I give you some
然後將價格一路向上推升,最後收盤在這個水位。那麼你認為誰贏了?如果我給你一些...
26:25
context at the initial part the buying and selling it is mostly retail and mature traders but at the end of the
在最初階段的買賣 mostly 是散戶和成熟交易者 但在買賣的
26:33
buying and selling at the end of the period that buy and selling is dominated by professional traders so at the end of
末期 在那段時間的買賣 主要由專業交易者主導 所以在
26:40
the session the pros push the price up so who do you think one bias or seller's bias where do you think the price will
交易時段的尾聲 專業人士將價格推高 你認為誰佔優勢 買方優勢還是賣方優勢 你認為價格接下來會
26:49
go next by chance if you see this in a downtrend at the end of the downtrend we
往哪裡走 如果你偶然在下跌趨勢的末期看到這個 我們
26:56
prepare for price to go up but of course if this pattern appears at the end of an uptrend price make sure they go down
準備好價格上漲 但如果這個形態出現在上漲趨勢的末期 請確保他們下跌
27:03
because you know why fact that sellers push the price down all the way down here tells you that okay there is some
因為你知道為什麼 賣方將價格一路推低到這裡的事實告訴你 好的 有
27:09
sellers that came in but personally I would say that this is stronger bullish pattern than a bearish pattern okay
一些賣方進場了 但我個人會說 這是一個比看跌形態更強的看漲形態 好的
27:16
especially when it's green color for this kind okay price open here and then close here and then bias push the price
尤其是當它是這種綠色的時候 價格在這裡開盤 然後在這裡收盤 然後買方優勢將價格
27:24
all the way up okay and it seems like that buyers are winning and then later on the seller start to come in which
一路推高 好的 看起來買方正在獲勝 然後後來賣方開始進場 將
27:30
that price all the way down at the end of the session who won the game tell us if you see this at the end of an uptrend
價格一路壓低到交易時段的最後 誰贏了這場遊戲告訴我們 如果你在上漲趨勢的末期看到這個
27:38
this time that the bullish trend might end if you see this at the end of a downtrend it tells you that okay buyers
這次看漲趨勢可能結束 如果你在下跌趨勢的末期看到這個 它告訴你 好的 買方
27:45
my stud would come in and then push the price up because the fact that surprised went all the way up here it tells you
我的策略應該會進場 然後將價格推高 因為價格一路上漲到這裡的事實告訴你
27:52
that okay maybe buyers just nothing will come in one day in context is very important but again I will say that this
好的 也許買方有一天什麼都不會進場 在背景中非常重要 但我再說一次 我會說這個
27:58
morva stronger bearish pattern then a bullish pattern okay give you some examples combine everything together
更像是比看漲形態更強的看跌形態 好的 給你一些例子 把所有東西結合在一起
28:06
first thing first a hundred SMA here the first thing is to look at the moving averages okay that's
首先 這裡的100 SMA 第一步是看移動平均線 好的 那是
28:13
the first step 50 SMA all right now it's a bearish trend 50 SMA is below and SMA okay first
第一步 50 SMA 好的 現在是看跌趨勢 50 SMA 在100 SMA下方 好的 第一個
28:19
criteria for feel good to go bearish trend second criteria is the only confluence
標準是適合做空的看跌趨勢 第二個標準是唯一的匯合點
28:25
so you can see price came up here test this trend line and the 50's ma at the same time alright
所以你可以看到價格上漲到這裡 測試了這條趨勢線和50日移動平均線 同時 好的
28:31
plus there's a bear chamois crossover here I don't we can see it stochastic so so
加上這裡有一個看跌的黃金交叉 我不知道 我們可以看到隨機指標 所以
28:37
when to over but so this that conformation so you can look for potential and fee over here right and
超買了 所以這個確認 你可以在這裡尋找潛在的回檔 好的
28:46
you can put a stop above the slower moving average with just hundreds ma then you can take a poor fit at the V
你可以在移動速度較慢的均線上方設置止損,只需幾百個移動平均線,然後你就可以在 V 型反轉時獲利出場
28:52
Sun swing low or if you are trend follower you can write that trend longer at fundamentals to it at sentiment
或者如果你是趨勢跟隨者,你可以根據基本面將趨勢持倉更長時間,加入情緒分析,然後你就可以將趨勢持倉更長時間,好的,所以趨勢從熊市轉變為牛市
28:59
analysis to it then you can write the trend longer okay so the trend went from bearish and then to bullish
好的,所以讓我們為雙底形態尋找一些確認,第一個確認,你看到一個倒頭肩形態,或者我們在這裡有右肩,然後在這裡有一個頭部,如果你畫出頸線,它會像這樣,好的
29:05
okay so let's find some confirmation for bball sauce first confirmation you see an inverted head and shoulder or we have
第一個確認是你的形態已完成,第二個確認你看到價格突破了這個主要趨勢線
29:13
right shoulder over here then a head over here if you draw the neckline it goes like this okay
這個確認是,當價格出現 90 度下跌或接近 90 度下跌時,它告訴你趨勢即將結束,但這不保證,只是大約有兩個確認
29:19
first confirmation your pattern Bieber so second confirmation you see that price bra above this major trend line
你看到 50 日均線 above 100 日均線,這是你的第四個確認,同時你也意識到
29:27
that confirmation you see that the price make a 90 degree drop when the price does discounting a 90 degree drop or
價格上漲到這裡,然後又回跌測試這條趨勢線,這條趨勢線最初是阻力位,當它測試趨勢線作為支撐位時,它在這裡給了你一個牛市信號,所以基於
29:35
near 90 degree drop it tells you that the train is about to end up but we're not guaranteed but about two n for
K 線信號,這是你的第五個確認,好的,我知道有點亂,但當我們播放這個影片時,你可以隨時這樣做,當它形成頭部時,它也變成了超買,所以這裡有第六個確認,它變成了超買,如果你
29:43
confirmation you see 50 if the may cost above 100 SMA that is your for confirmation and also you realize that
仔細看,仔細看,這裡有一點正背離,這是第七個確認
29:51
price came up here and also came back down test this trendline this trendline was initially a resistance then he
現在關於隨機指標的是,就像我說的,你可以畫趨勢線,你可以像這樣畫一條線,像是隨機指標的趨勢線,但畫在隨機指標趨勢線的上方,所以這是一個確認
29:59
became Zapata when it tested the trendline as a support he gave you a bullish signal over here so based on
你還需要多少個確認?好的,讓我們再找一個,第九個確認,如果你看隨機指標,白線向上穿越黃線,白線是你的快速隨機指標,黃線是慢速
30:08
candlestick signal this is your fifth confirmation okay I know it's a bit messy but when we play this video feel
隨機指標,所以當白線向上穿越黃線時,會給你一個潛在的牛市信號,好的,所以你可以
30:17
free to do that when it forms the head he also went to over so so there's a six confirmation we went to over so if you
說那是第九個確認,第十個確認,讓我們找第十個確認,我們記得我們的頸線帽子和
30:24
look properly look properly there's a little bit of positive divergence over here there's the seven confirmation
仔細看,仔細看,這裡有一點正背離,這是第七個確認
30:30
right now the thing about stochastic is that just like I say you can draw trend line to it you can draw a line like this
現在關於隨機指標的是,就像我說的,你可以對它畫趨勢線,你可以像這樣畫一條線
30:37
like a trend line for stochastic but above the stochastic trendline so this is a confirmation
像是隨機指標的趨勢線,但在隨機指標趨勢線上方,所以這是一個確認
30:44
how many more confirmations you need okay let's find one more 9th confirmation if you know to reach
你還需要多少個確認?好吧,讓我們再找一個第九個確認,如果你知道要達到
30:49
stochastics the white line cross above yellow line white lie is your first acoustics yellow line is just slow
隨機指標,白線向上穿越黃線,白線是你的第一個隨機指標,黃線只是慢速
30:57
stochastic so when the white line cross above that yellow line gives you a potential bullish signal okay so you can
隨機指標,所以當白線向上穿越黃線時,會給你一個潛在的多頭訊號,好吧,所以你可以
31:05
say that is the ninth confirmation 10 confirmation let's find 10 confirmation they remember our neckline hats and
說那是第九個確認,第十個確認,讓我們找第十個確認,我們記得我們的頸線帽子和
31:13
shoulder neckline when the price broke our neckline right here it came back down and test the neckline one more time
肩頸線,當價格在這裡突破我們的頸線時,它回跌並再次測試頸線
31:21
and give you a bullish candlestick signal so maybe if you are conservative you can tell here after the 10
並給你一個多頭K線訊號,所以也許如果你是保守的,你可以在第十個確認後在這裡說,在經過所有這十個確認後,你仍然有一個良好的趨勢,對吧?你想要
31:27
confirmation when you enter after all these freaking 10 confirmations you still have a good trend right do want
當你在所有這些該死的十個確認之後進場時,你仍然有一個良好的趨勢,對吧?你想要
31:34
more confirmations at your fundamentals one more confirmations at sentiments ok
在基本面更多確認,在情緒面再多一個確認,好的
31:42
I'm done with this why not be honest guys 4 to 5 confirmations is enough I'm just being crazy away ok let's go to
我受夠了,為什麼不老實說呢,各位?4 到 5 個確認就夠了,我只是在發瘋而已,好的,我們來
31:51
another example let's find a good and three points ok first thing first again moving average it's our 50 above hundred
看另一個例子,讓我們找一個好的三個點,好的,首先,再次,移動平均線,我們的 50 在 100 之上
32:00
I'll say this was a little bit more tricky and we look at that test which is right here second confirmation there's a
我會說這有點棘手,我們看看那個測試,就在這裡,第二個確認,有一個
32:07
confluence where the price tested our trendline and also our moving a rich in
共振,價格在那裡測試了我們的趨勢線以及我們的移動平均線
32:14
fat test 50 SMA and hundreds ma at the same time ok test both moving I wish at the same time it also tests 29 at same
同時測試 50 SMA 和 100 SMA,好的,同時測試兩條移動平均線,它也在同一時間測試了 29
32:23
time so that's the second confirmation then the third confirmation you realize that there's a bullish candlestick
所以這是第二個確認,然後第三個確認,你意識到這裡有一個多頭
32:29
signal right here it's not ideal but it is a boyish candlestick signal is on candlestick signal
K 線訊號,這不是最理想的,但它是一個男孩(多頭)K 線訊號,是 K 線訊號
32:36
desta that confirmation we look below ok ok a momentum indicator as I remember in an uptrend we wanna look for oversold
那個確認,我們看下方,好的,好的,一個動量指標,我記得在上升趨勢中,我們想尋找超賣
32:46
levels ok oh you have your for confirmation right here don't need to go crazy like just
水位,好的,哦,你在這裡有你的第四個確認,不需要像剛才那樣發瘋
32:52
now when those not hundred-percent idea because you know why your 50s ma its kind of below
現在當那些並非百分之百理想時,因為你知道為什麼嗎?你的 50 SMA 它有點在
32:58
your hundreds amazing I would say it's not ideal but the good thing about this is that the gap is very small so because
你的 100 SMA 下方,我會說這不是最理想的,但這件事的好處是差距非常小,所以因為
33:04
moving averages are lag indicators so it's going to cross a little bit later understand that telekinesis is a risk
移動平均線是滯後指標,所以它會晚一點才交叉,要理解這點,電感(指標)是風險
33:12
management tool not a predictive tool and also because I use a combination of lagging and leading indicators and also
管理工具,不是預測工具,而且因為我使用滯後和領先指標的組合,並且
33:21
don't use too many indicators just pick one from each category and from momentum indicator one from volatility indicator
只需從每個類別中各選一個指標,例如動量指標選一個、波動率指標選一個
33:28
and from trend indicator to at the end of the day understand that the most important data is still the price PI
再從趨勢指標選一個,最終目的是要明白最重要的數據仍然是價格
33:34
section make sure you learn it properly and also aside from learning and technology use only to learn and entry
這部分請務必學好,此外除了學習與技術之外,只用於學習與進場
33:41
signals because for example if you treat breakout a lot don't know need to know when should you enter pickup but you
信號,因為例如,如果你大量處理突破,不知道需要知道何時應該入場,但你也需要學習如何識別假突破,如何識別假信號,你點綴了你的入場信號,同時也學習你的假信號,這樣當你看到它時你就知道了。
33:47
also need to learn how to spot false breakouts how to spot false signals you garland your entry signals and also at
基本上,掌握技術分析的最佳方法就是使用它進行交易,而不是只閱讀它,不是只閱讀它,不是吟唱它,也不是只聽關於它的內容。
33:53
the same time learn your false signals so that you know when you see it basically the best way to master
為了讓我的努力值得,請訂閱我的頻道,因為有人告訴我,我能不能賺到身體(誤譯,原文應為單純的錢),5000美元,40000美元,我看了你的免費影片就開始獲利了,我從未付過一分錢。
34:00
technical analysis is to trade using it not to read about it to read about it not to sing about it not to listen about
當人們,兄弟們告訴我,我看了YouTube頻道就買了一輛該死的車,我從未付給你一分錢,我說,兄弟,我為你感到高興。
34:07
it also to make my effort worth it subscribe to my channel because people tell me can I earn body $5,000 $40,000 I
這可能是來源,不幸的是,很多人沒有利用它,有時候免費的東西正是幫助你將事業、生意提升到更高層次所需要的東西。
34:17
become profitable just from watching your free videos I never pay a single cent there when people guys who tell me
你知道有一天,即使它是免費的,好吧,我可以輕易對它收費,但沒關係,我就免費給你。
34:23
I bought a freaking car from watching on YouTube channel I never pay you a single cent and I'm like I'm happy for you bro
喔,兄弟們,如果你想知道更多關於K線(蠟燭圖)的知識,關於你可以使用的不同指標,我會把它放在這裡的某個地方。
34:30
this may be sources unfortunately a lot of people they don't take advantage of it sometimes the free things are the
這樣你可以查看,我們在下一個課程影片見,掰掰。[音樂]
34:37
things you need to help you your career to your business to the next level you know one day even though it's free okay
其實是能幫助你事業、生意更上一層樓的東西,你知道嗎,即使它是免費的
34:44
I can easily charge for it but it's fine I just give you for free Oh guys if you want to learn more about
我其實可以輕易收費,但沒關係,我就免費提供給大家。各位,如果你想深入了解
34:49
candlesticks about the different indicators you can use I'm going to put it right up here somewhere up here okay
K線以及你能使用的不同指標,我會把它放在這裡的某個地方,上面那裡
34:56
so I can check it out I'll talk to you in the next course video bye [Music]
這樣你們就能查看,我們在下一個課程影片見,掰掰。[音樂]

Technical Analysis for Beginners - FREE COURSE

📝 影片摘要

本單元「K線圖解密」是為初學者設計的技術分析入門課程。講者強調順勢交易(Trend Trading)優於區間交易,並詳細介紹了如何辨識上升、下降與橫盤趨勢。教學內容涵蓋三大核心工具:趨勢線(Trend Lines)、移動平均線(Moving Averages)與動能指標(如RSI、Stochastic)。講者透過圖表示例,講解如何畫出強勢的趨勢線、如何利用移動平均線交叉策略進場,以及如何結合多種指標(如背離現象、K線型態、支撐阻力區)來提高交易勝率。最後,影片強調價格行為(Price Action)的重要性,並提醒交易者需學會辨識假突破(False Breakouts)。

📌 重點整理

  • 趨勢辨識:學會區分上升趨勢(更高的高點/低點)、下降趨勢(更低的高點/低點)與橫盤趨勢。
  • 順勢交易:對於新手與老手,順應趨勢交易的勝率通常高於區間震盪交易。
  • 趨勢線畫法:上升趨勢線畫於價格下方,下降趨勢線畫於上方;應避免過度陡峭的線條。
  • 移動平均線策略:利用短期均線穿越長期均線(黃金交叉/死亡交叉)判斷趨勢,並等待價格回踩均線進場。
  • 動能與背離:使用RSI或Stochastic判斷超買超賣,並利用背離(Divergence)來預判趨勢反轉。
  • 假突破識別:突破趨勢線若伴隨長影線或未持續,往往是假訊號(Whipsaw),應避免追高殺低。
  • 支撐阻力區:支撐與阻力應視為「區域」而非單一價格點,可用於設定停利或進場點。
  • 多指標共振:高勝率交易需等待趨勢線、均線、K線型態與動能指標同時發出確認訊號。
📖 專有名詞百科 |點擊詞彙查看維基百科解釋
趨勢
trend
上升趨勢
uptrend
下降趨勢
downtrend
波動性
volatility
假突破
false breakout
匯合
confluence
回調
retracement
背離
divergence
確認
confirmation
止損
stop-loss

🔍 自訂查詢

📚 共 10 個重點單字
trend /trend/ noun
the general direction in which something is developing or changing
趨勢
📝 例句
"You gotta learn how to spot that trend."
你必須學會如何發現趨勢。
✨ 延伸例句
"The trend is your friend until the end."
趨勢是你的朋友,直到它結束。
uptrend /ˈʌp.trend/ noun
a general upward movement in price or activity
上升趨勢
📝 例句
"The first one is uptrend just like this visually you can spot it."
第一種是上升趨勢,就像這樣,你可以從視覺上識別它。
✨ 延伸例句
"We are currently in a strong uptrend."
我們目前處於強勁的上升趨勢中。
downtrend /ˈdaʊn.trend/ noun
a general downward movement in price or activity
下降趨勢
📝 例句
"The second one is a downtrend visually you can see that when the price makes lower highs."
第二種是下降趨勢,視覺上你可以看到價格形成更低的高點。
✨ 延伸例句
"The stock entered a downtrend after earnings."
該股在財報公佈後進入下降趨勢。
volatility /ˌvɒləˈtɪləti/ noun
the quality of being likely to change suddenly
波動性;不穩定性
📝 例句
"In the ranging market what happens is that there's a lot of volatility."
在區間震盪市場中,發生的情況是波動性很大。
✨ 延伸例句
"Crypto markets are known for high volatility."
加密貨幣市場以高波動性著稱。
false breakout /fɔːls ˈbreɪk.aʊt/ noun
a price movement that breaches a support or resistance level but fails to sustain the momentum
假突破
📝 例句
"It just tends to give you a lot of false breakouts."
它往往會給你很多假突破。
✨ 延伸例句
"Traders got trapped by a false breakout."
交易者被假突破困住了。
confluence /ˈkɒn.flu.əns/ noun
a situation where two or more things happen at the same time or place
匯合;聚集
📝 例句
"I can see right here there's a confluence okay where the price has the trend line."
我可以在這裡看到一個匯合點,價格在那裡同時觸及了趨勢線。
✨ 延伸例句
"We need a confluence of indicators to enter."
我們需要多種指標的匯合來進場。
retracement /rɪˈtreɪs.mənt/ noun
a price movement that reverses the primary trend
回調;回撤
📝 例句
"I would prefer the retracement rate because you're entering at a better price."
我會偏好回調交易,因為你以更好的價格入場。
✨ 延伸例句
"Wait for a retracement to the 50-day moving average."
等待價格回調至50日均線。
divergence /daɪˈvɜː.dʒəns/ noun
a situation where the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction to a technical indicator
背離
📝 例句
"This what we call a positive divergence a positive divergence basically when your momentum indicator is sloping upwards."
這就是我們所說的正背離,基本上是指當你的動能指標向上傾斜時。
✨ 延伸例句
"Look for divergence on the RSI indicator."
尋找RSI指標上的背離。
confirmation /ˌkɒn.fəˈmeɪ.ʃən/ noun
the action of confirming something
確認
📝 例句
"First confirmation is that test a trend line."
第一個確認是測試趨勢線。
✨ 延伸例句
"We need at least three confirmations."
我們至少需要三個確認訊號。
stop-loss /stɒp lɒs/ noun
an order placed to limit potential loss
止損
📝 例句
"You put your stop loss at the slower moving average always."
你總是將止損點放在較慢的移動平均線。
✨ 延伸例句
"Always use a stop-loss to protect capital."
總是使用止損來保護資本。
🎯 共 10 題測驗

1 According to the video, which type of market is generally recommended for beginners? 根據影片內容,初學者通常建議交易哪種市場? According to the video, which type of market is generally recommended for beginners?

根據影片內容,初學者通常建議交易哪種市場?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The speaker states that for beginners and experienced traders, trading along with the trend is better.

講者表示,對於新手與有經驗的交易者,順應趨勢交易會更好。

2 How is an uptrend visually identified? 如何從視覺上識別上升趨勢? How is an uptrend visually identified?

如何從視覺上識別上升趨勢?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Visually, when the price makes higher lows and higher highs, it is an uptrend.

視覺上,當價格形成更高的低點和更高的高點時,即為上升趨勢。

3 Why does the speaker prefer trading retracements over breakouts in an uptrend? 為什麼講者在上升趨勢中偏好交易回調而非突破? Why does the speaker prefer trading retracements over breakouts in an uptrend?

為什麼講者在上升趨勢中偏好交易回調而非突破?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The speaker prefers retracements because you enter at a better price and get good history (confirmation).

講者偏好回調,因為你以更好的價格入場,並且能獲得良好的歷史記錄(確認)。

4 What characterizes a strong trend line? 什麼特徵能界定一條強勢的趨勢線? What characterizes a strong trend line?

什麼特徵能界定一條強勢的趨勢線?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

A strong trend line takes a long time to form and is tested at least three times.

一條強勢的趨勢線需要很長時間形成,並且至少被測試三次。

5 Which strategy involves using a small moving average crossing above a larger moving average? 哪種策略涉及使用短期均線穿越長期均線? Which strategy involves using a small moving average crossing above a larger moving average?

哪種策略涉及使用短期均線穿越長期均線?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The crossover strategy is when the small moving average (e.g., 50 SMA) is above the larger one (e.g., 100 SMA).

交叉策略是指短期均線(如50 SMA)在長期均線(如100 SMA)之上。

6 In a bullish trend, how should you interpret overbought signals from momentum indicators? 在上升趨勢中,應如何解讀動能指標發出的超買訊號? In a bullish trend, how should you interpret overbought signals from momentum indicators?

在上升趨勢中,應如何解讀動能指標發出的超買訊號?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

In an uptrend, you can ignore overbought signals because the price can continue to rise.

在上升趨勢中,你可以忽略超買訊號,因為價格可能會持續上漲。

7 What is a 'False Breakout' (Whipsaw)? 什麼是「假突破」(Whipsaw)? What is a 'False Breakout' (Whipsaw)?

什麼是「假突破」(Whipsaw)?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

False breakouts usually don't last very long; the price quickly reverses back.

假突破通常不會持續很久,價格會迅速反轉回來。

8 What does a positive divergence indicate? 正背離(Positive Divergence)代表什麼? What does a positive divergence indicate?

正背離(Positive Divergence)代表什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Positive divergence (momentum going up while price goes down) suggests the bearish trend is ending.

正背離(指標向上而價格向下)暗示下降趨勢即將結束。

9 How should support and resistance be drawn according to the video? 根據影片,支撐與阻力應該如何繪製? How should support and resistance be drawn according to the video?

根據影片,支撐與阻力應該如何繪製?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Support and resistance should be drawn as a zone, not a straight line.

支撐與阻力應畫成一個區域(Zone),而非一條直線。

10 What is the key takeaway regarding 'Price Action'? 關於「價格行為」(Price Action)的關鍵要點是什麼? What is the key takeaway regarding 'Price Action'?

關於「價格行為」(Price Action)的關鍵要點是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The video emphasizes that 'Price is king' and understanding the psychology behind candlesticks is crucial.

影片強調「價格是王道」,且理解K線背後的心理學至關重要。

測驗完成!得分: / 10