MACD Strategy
This MACD strategy I m about to show you is one of the highest win rate
strategies you can possibly do in trading.
MACD 策略
00:06
It is very easy to use, works in almost every single
market, and most importantly, it makes money.
它非常容易使用，幾乎適用於所有市場，最重要的是，它能賺錢。
00:11
Well enough talk, lets get straight into it.
好吧，說夠了，我們直接開始。
00:14
The MACD or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence is one the most popular technical
indicators used by traders.
MACD，或移動平均線收斂發散，是交易者使用的最受歡迎的技術指標之一。
00:20
Essentially this indicator uses moving averages to find trends
in markets, and its pretty damn good at it too. Now, if you re an experienced
trader, you ve probably used or
But the MACD indicator by itself, is just alright to be honest.
但老實說，單獨使用 MACD 指標，效果僅能算普通。
00:36
So, make sure you watch this
full video to see how I pair it with some other indicators to make it perform so much better.
所以，請務必觀看此完整影片，了解我如何將它與其他指標搭配使用，以使其表現得更好。
00:42
First things first, let s add the MACD indicator to our chart.
首先，讓我們將 MACD 指標添加到我們的圖表中。
00:47
To do that . Now that we have the MACD indicator added, lets
make sure we know how the MACD actually works.
這樣做。現在我們已經添加了 MACD 指標，讓我們確保我們了解 MACD 的實際運作方式。
01:03
The MACD is made up of 4 different
components.
MACD 由 4 個不同的組成部分組成。
01:06
The MACD line, the signal line, the histogram, and the zero line.
MACD 線、信號線、直方圖和零線。
01:09
The MACD line which is the blue line, in most cases is usually a 12 day moving
average, the signal line, which is the orange line, is usually a 26 day moving average.
Next we have the histogram, which represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal
line.
接下來是直方圖，它代表 MACD 線和信號線之間的差異。
01:25
So for example, the smaller the space between the two lines, the smaller the histogram
gets.
例如，兩條線之間的間距越小，直方圖就越小。
01:30
The bigger the space, the bigger it gets. You can also see once the MACD
line crosses above the signal line, the histogram turns green and if the MACD line
crosses below the signal line it turns red.
And finally, we have the zero
line, which basically represents the center of the MACD indicator.
最後，我們有零線，它基本上代表 MACD 指標的中心。
01:47
Now that we know the 4 components, lets make sure we know how to them.
現在我們了解了 4 個組成部分，讓我們確保我們知道如何使用它們。
01:52
The MACD indicator is insanely good at finding trends in markets.
MACD 指標非常擅長尋找市場趨勢。
01:56
How you can tell
if a chart is about to have an upward trend is by looking for a cross upwards between
the MACD line and the Signal line. For example, here the macd crosses above the
signal line indicating the chart is in upward
momentum, and here the macd crosses below the
signal line indicating it s in downward momentum. You can also use the histogram to indicate
how much momentum there actually is.
動能，這裡MACD向下穿越訊號線，表示它處於向下動能。你也可以使用柱狀圖來顯示實際的動能大小。
02:19
So, if the histogram is getting bigger, that means
there is an increase in momentum.
所以，如果柱狀圖越來越大，就表示動能正在增強。
02:23
If it s getting smaller, there is a decrease in momentum.
如果柱狀圖越來越小，就表示動能正在減弱。
02:26
So how you want to use this indicator is by when the lines cross upward, but only if they cross
below the zero line.
使用這個指標的方式是，當線條向上穿越時，但前提是它們必須穿越在零軸下方。
02:33
If they cross and its above the zero line you wouldn t enter a trade.
如果線條穿越且位於零軸上方，你就不應該進場交易。
02:37
It s the same thing with shorting, you only enter a short trade if the lines are
crossing downward, and is ABOVE the zero line. So as you can see, this indicator is extremely
easy to use.
But the problem most traders encounter, is that they use this indicator by
itself.
但大多數交易者遇到的問題是，他們單獨使用這個指標。
02:55
Let me tell you why this doesn t work. The MACD indicator works extremely well if
the market is in a trend.
讓我告訴你為什麼這樣行不通。MACD指標在市場處於趨勢時效果非常好。
03:02
So for example here, the MACD indicator is doing a great job
indicating when the price is about to move upward.
例如，這裡MACD指標很好地指示了價格即將向上移動。
03:08
Because the chart is in an upward trend.
因為圖表處於上升趨勢。
03:10
But here, the price is in a downward trend, but the MACD is still signaling to buy
long even though the price is going down. To fix this issue, for example if
we are trading long, we only want
to trade if the market is in an uptrend.
You never want to trade against the trend, because the odds will always be against you.
在市場處於上升趨勢時才交易。你永遠不應該逆勢交易，因為機率始終對你不利。
03:29
So, an easy way to figure out if the market is in an uptrend.
所以，一個簡單的方法來判斷市場是否處於上升趨勢，
03:32
You simply just
need to add a 200 day moving average. To do this
Once we have the indicator added,
你只需要新增一個200日移動平均線。這樣做
04:06
you ll just see a single line.
你會看到一條單線。
04:07
If the price is above that line, the market is in an uptrend.
如果價格在該線之上，則市場處於上升趨勢。
04:11
If the price is
below that line, the market is in a downtrend. So after learning that we only want to
buy when the market is in uptrend, if we re going long of course.
This will guarantee that you are only trading when the market is in an
uptrend, which is a very power combo. If you wanted to short, you would just do
the exact opposite.
Make sure the price is below the 200 day average and the macd lines
are crossing downward above the zero line. So as an example we would enter a long trade
right here, because the macd lines are crossing
upward below the zero line, and the current
price is above the 200 day moving average. Now what I like to do is set a stop loss below the
200 day moving average, so the 200 day almost acts
as a wall that the price has to break through
to hit my stop loss.
價格必須突破這道牆才能觸及我的停損點。
05:07
Then I like to have a 1.5 profit ratio for my profit target mark.
然後我喜歡為我的獲利目標設定1.5的風險報酬比。
05:10
So as you can see for this example, the strategy worked exactly as we
wanted it to, and we made money. But, we can still make this
trading strategy even better.
This macd strategy combined with a 200 day moving
average, works extremely well only if there is a lot of price movement.
這個MACD策略結合200日移動平均線，只有在價格波動很大的時候，才會發揮極佳的效果。
05:28
Where the strategy starts
to get kind of iffy and giving false signals, is when the chart starts going
sideways and losing momentum. So as you can see here the chart is moving
sideways and lost almost all of its upward
momentum and the macd is giving lots
of false signals.
動能，而MACD則發出許多錯誤的信號。
05:43
If you traded here, odds are you probably lost money.
如果您在這裡交易，您很可能賠錢。
05:46
To fix this issue we have to combine the MACD with price action.
要解決這個問題，我們必須將MACD與價格行為結合。
05:49
To do this, identify
a key support or resistance where price hits and bounces.
為了做到這一點，請識別價格觸及並反彈的關鍵支撐位或阻力位。
05:55
So as you can see the prices goes
down, hits this point, and reverses upwards. The next step is to wait for the price to
hit the same key level again.
如您所見，價格下跌，觸及這個點，然後向上反彈。下一步是等待價格再次觸及相同的關鍵位置。
06:04
Once it does, we are expecting the price to bounce off this
support and go upwards just like it did before. But as a clear note, just because we made
the support and it bounced off this before,
doesn t mean that it will always do that again.
It can easily break through the support and drop lower if it has enough momentum.
並不意味著它總是會再次這樣做。如果它有足夠的動能，它很容易突破支撐位並下跌。
06:22
If we want to make sure the price is about to change in momentum, that s
when we bring out the MACD indicator. So what you would do, is make sure the
price above the 200 day moving average,
once the price hits the support made, wait for the
lines on the MACD to cross below the zero level, and that s when you enter the trade.
一旦價格觸及建立的支撐位，就等待MACD線向下交叉零軸，這時您就可以進入交易。
06:39
So I just revealed to you how the MACD, 200 day moving average, and using support
and resistances levels gives and extremely high win rate with this strategy.
All I ask for in return is if you to take 2 seconds of your time and like
this video.
作為回報，我只希望您花2秒鐘的時間點讚這個影片。
06:51
If you want to stay up to date with my future strategies make to
subscribe.
如果您想隨時了解我未來的策略，請務必訂閱。
06:55
Because in my next video, I m planning to release a strategy that works
even ever better than this MACD strategy. Hope you guys learned something from this
video, and I ll see you guys next time.
