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The ONLY Technical Analysis Guide You'll Ever Need! (Beginner to Advanced)
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00:01
welcome to today's Deep dive into the world of technical analysis in today's episode I'm going to teach you how to
歡迎來到今天的深度解析技術分析的世界,在今天的節目中,我將教你如何
00:06
read Candlestick charts so you can make accurate predictions about which direction the price is going to go in
讀懂蠟燭圖,以便你能準確預測價格的走向
00:13
and I'm going to use some of my trades today as a case study of the strategies and the techniques that I use personally
我將使用我今天的一些交易作為案例研究,來展示我個人在交易中使用的策略和技巧
00:19
in my own trading I am sitting up right now $34,000 on the day and I'm telling you
我今天目前已經獲利 34,000 美元,我告訴你
00:26
this would not be possible if I had not become a m at performing technical analysis so for those of you who are
如果我沒有精通技術分析,這是不可能實現的,所以對於那些
00:33
already subscribed to the channel welcome back you know that we're about to jump into a fulllength episode for
已經訂閱本頻道的觀眾,歡迎回來,你知道我們即將進入一集完整的節目
00:38
those of you guys who are brand new do me a favor hit that thumbs up subscribe to the channel for more episodes just
對於全新的觀眾,請幫我一個忙,點讚訂閱本頻道,以獲取更多類似的節目
00:44
like this and let's go ahead and dive into the screen share I've got a whiteboard for today we've got a slide
讓我們開始進入螢幕分享,我準備了白板,今天的節目還有投影片
00:49
deck and we have a lot to cover this will be the ultimate guide to performing technical analysis the right way let's
我們有很多內容要講,這將是正確執行技術分析的終極指南,讓我們
00:58
begin this episode with with a quiz let's level set and see where we're all at at the very beginning of this class I
以一個小測驗開始本集,讓我們統一標準,看看我們在這堂課開始時的水平
01:05
think by the end of this class you're going to know a whole lot more about how to perform technical analysis than you
我認為在這堂課結束時,你對如何執行技術分析的了解將會比現在多很多
01:10
do right now so let me ask you this question is this right here a safe entry now you're probably looking at this
所以讓我問你這個問題,這裡是一個安全的進場點嗎?你可能正在看這張
01:17
chart and you're thinking look this stock clearly has been moving up it's pulled back it's moved up it's pulled
圖表,你可能會想,這支股票明顯一直在上漲,它回調了,它上漲了,它回調了,它上漲了,它回調了,它上漲了,它回調了,現在它可能會上漲
01:21
back it's moved up it's pulled back it's moved up it's pulled back right here it's probably going to move up the
答案是肯定的,這絕對是一個安全的進場點,錯了,哇,差得遠了,但沒關係,這就是你來這裡的原因
01:26
answer is yes this is definitely a safe entry wrong wow not even close but that's okay that's why you're here this
這裡失敗了,為什麼會失敗?它一直表現得很好,然後突然間,我們終於進場了,它卻下跌了
01:34
failed right here why did it fail it was doing so well and then all of a sudden we finally get in and it rolls over well
技術分析會告訴我們,這裡有一個指標,告訴我們並顯示這很可能會失敗,MACD 這個指標已經交叉了,那個交叉是一個強烈的指標,表明趨勢開始反轉
01:41
technical analysis would tell us that there was an indicator right down here telling us and indicating this was
所以讓我們再看一個例子
01:47
likely to fail the macd this indicator had crossed over that crossover is a strong indicator that the trend is
好的,現在你可能首先注意到的是 MACD 已經交叉了,所以即使這支股票已經有了一個不錯的上漲,並且正在回調,你可能認為它會
01:55
beginning to reverse so let's look at another one right here okay so now the first thing you're probably noticing is
那麼,現在你可能首先注意到的是
02:01
the macd has crossed over so even though this has made a nice move up and it's on a pullback you're probably thinking it's
即使這支股票已經有不錯的漲勢,並且正在回調,你可能認為它不會成功,而你說得沒錯。
02:08
not going to work and you would be correct although it popped up just for a moment ultimately the trend is coming
這方法行不通,而且你說得沒錯,雖然它只是短暫出現,但最終趨勢是回落。
02:15
back down look at that macd before you take a trade that's one of our technical indicators now you're going to look at
看看這個MACD,在進行交易之前,這是我們的技術指標之一。現在你要觀察
02:21
this chart and you're probably going to think okay macd is open this is easy I'm going to be a millionaire before the end
這個圖表,你可能覺得「沒錯,MACD打開了,這很簡單,我這個星期結束前就能賺到一百萬。」
02:26
of the week no wrong again macd is open you're right about that but there was another problem here which is that the
不,又錯了。MACD是打開了,你說得對,但這裡還有另一個問題,那就是
02:34
volume Bars were higher on the selling so we had more selling than we had buying let's go back and look at that
成交量柱狀圖顯示賣方成交量更高,賣方的力量大於買方。讓我們再回頭看一下
02:41
again for a second so high volume on the buying candle but just as high equally high on the selling and there was more
一下,買方蠟燭的成交量很高,但賣方成交量也同樣很高,甚至更高。
02:48
red volume bars which means in total there was more selling than buying so that overrides a positive macd that
這意味著總體而言,賣方力量大於買方,這會抵消正面的MACD訊號,
02:55
tells us not to take the trade okay we can do this next one all right here we go we've got a macd that's open we've
這告訴我們不要進行這筆交易。好,我們來看下一個例子。
03:02
got a good volume profile this surely is a good setup am I right buy the dip yes we are right we've got light volume
好,我們這裡有一個打開的MACD,還有良好的成交量形態,這絕對是一個好的設置,對不對?買進下跌。
03:11
selling a positive macd and the entry is right here as this first candle makes a new high now some of you guys are saying
沒錯,我們有輕微的賣方成交量,以及正面的MACD,而且入場點就在這裡,
03:18
Ross I don't even understand the anatomy of candlesticks you're at the very beginning of your learning curve and
當第一根蠟燭創下新高時。現在有些人可能會說:「羅斯,我甚至不理解K線圖的結構。」
03:23
that's no problem I've been doing this for a long time and my job here is to send the ladder back down to you and to
你正處於學習曲線的起點,這沒問題。我已經做這件事很久了,
03:29
help you better on understand how to perform technical analysis so you're going to understand what all of this is
我的工作是把梯子伸下來,幫助你更好地理解如何進行技術分析。
03:34
on these charts by the end of today's episode let's look at another one all right here we go looking good nice
所以,在今天的節目結束前,你會理解圖表上所有這些東西的含義。
03:40
volume coming up little pullback another squeeze back up macd is open no issue with the volume this should work just
讓我們再看一個例子。好,這裡有一個,看起來不錯,成交量正在上升,
03:47
fine and in fact it does a nice squeeze higher now a little bit later it rolls over but we're not in the trade over
有一點回調,然後又向上擠壓,MACD打開了,成交量沒有問題,這應該會奏效。
03:54
here the macds crossed over it's coming back down so we're not taking that trade we're trading it right in this area
事實上,它確實向上擠壓,但稍後它翻轉了。但我們沒有參與這筆交易,
04:00
these are the small little places that we want to trade so when it comes to the financial markets there are really two
因為MACD在這裡已經交叉,正在回落,所以我們不會在這裡進行交易,
04:05
forms of analysis on the one hand you have fundamental analysis which is what long-term value investors use to try to
而是會在這些小小的區域進行交易。當談到金融市場時,基本上有兩種
04:14
understand the fundamentals of a company how much is the company worth how much money do they make what are their assets
分析方法。一方面是基本面分析,這是價值投資者試圖理解公司基本面的方法,
04:20
what are their liabilities you can learn all this information in the quarterly filings that all publicly trade
他們的負債是什麼?你可以從所有公開交易公司的季度報告中學習到這些資訊,這些報告會透過美國證券交易委員會的資料庫發布給股東。
04:26
companies produce to shareholders through the SEC database now active Traders like myself we don't
現在,像我這樣的積極交易者,我們並不會真的依賴基本面分析,因為在短期內,價格可能會因為市場上的恐懼和貪婪情緒而與基本面嚴重脫節。
04:33
really rely on fundamental analysis because in the short term the price can get extremely disconnected from the
作為積極交易者,我們的任務是利用這些情緒,同時避免自己成為這些情緒的受害者。
04:41
fundamentals due to the emotions in the market of fear and greed as active Traders our job is to capitalize on
我們透過技術分析來做到這一點,所以技術分析是金融市場的通用語言,並且它顯示在我們每天使用的K線圖中。
04:49
those emotions without falling victim to them ourselves we do this by performing technical analysis so technical analysis
現在,無論你交易期貨、外匯,還是其他金融市場,抑或是像我一樣交易美國股市,這確實是一門你即將學習的通用語言。
04:57
is the universal language of the financial markets and it's displayed in the actual Candlestick charts that we
順便一提,我還沒自我介紹,我叫羅斯·卡麥隆,是一名全職交易者,我在2011年資助了我的第一個帳戶,
05:05
use every single day now it doesn't matter if you're trading Futures Forex if you're trading a different Financial
所以我已經做了很久了。2017年,我開始了一項挑戰,實際上是你們,這裡的YouTube觀眾,挑戰了我。
05:11
Market or you're trading the US Stock Market like I do this truly is a universal language that you're about to
你們說:「羅斯,我不認為你用小額帳戶交易會賺錢。」
05:17
learn now I didn't introduce myself yet my name is Ross Cameron I'm a full-time Trader I funded my first account in 2011
我說:「好吧,我要把錢放在嘴巴上,來試試看。」我用583美元資助了一個帳戶,開始於2017年1月。
05:24
more than 20 years ago so I've been doing this for a long time in 2017 I set out on a challenge actually you guys
現在,我已經將這個帳戶的總利潤增長到超過1250萬美元。
05:31
right here on YouTube challenged me you said Ross I don't think you would make money if you traded in a small account I
不僅如此,我會在每個月的月底在我的網站上發布我的券商對帳單,你可以看到從2017年1月1日開始的所有對帳單。
05:36
said you know what I'm going to put my money where my mouth is and I'm going to try it I funded an account with
我還聘請了第三方獨立會計師來審計我的交易績效報告,他們驗證了我在2017年1月1日以583美元啟動帳戶,
05:42
$583 in January of 2017 I have now grown that account to over $12.5 million in gross profit so not
截至2023年12月,我產生了1070萬美元的利潤。
05:51
only do I post my broker statements at the end of each month right here on my website you can see them going all the
在2024年結束後,我的總利潤已達到略高於1250萬美元,更新後的審計報告將在2025年第一季發布。
05:56
way back to January 1st 2017 I actually have a thirdparty independent accountants audit their report of my
我說這些並不是要吹噓,而是為了讓你確信,今天你從我這裡學習,花時間吸收資訊的人,
06:03
trading performance and they verify that on January 1st 2017 I started with $583 in my account and as of December 2023 I
是可信的、合格的,並且實際上每天都在實踐你即將學習的技巧。
06:13
produced $10.7 million of profit after my 2024 year which that audit will be available the updated audit in q1 of
在2024年之後,我總共賺取了1070萬美元的利潤,這份審計報告將在2025年第一季提供更新版本。
06:21
2025 I'm at uh just over 12.5 million in gross profit now I say this not to brag but so you know beyond a shadow of a
目前我的總利潤已超過1250萬美元,我這麼說並非炫耀,而是希望你確信無疑地知道
06:29
doubt that the person that you're learning from today that you're going to spend time consuming information from is
你今天學習的講師,你將花時間閱讀其資訊的人,是
06:35
credible is qualified and is actually putting the techniques that you're going to learn into practice every single day
可信、合格,並且實際上每天都在實踐你即將學習的技巧。
06:42
I'm not an armchair quarterback just teaching general theory of the market but not putting my money where my mouth
我不是坐在觀眾席上空談市場理論的人,我會用實際資金來驗證我的觀點。
06:47
is I trade every day of course you could see today's trades as an example of that we will recap those trades later on in
事實上,我每天都在交易,今天交易的例子就能證明這一點,我們稍後會在課程中回顧這些交易。
06:54
this class but let's go ahead and start here with chapter one which is the anatomy of candlesticks by the way don't
好,那我們現在開始第一章,也就是K線圖的解剖,順便提醒大家,
07:01
let me forget to tell you trading is risky and my results are not typical so please manage your risk and practice
交易是有風險的,我的交易結果並非典型,請務必管理好您的風險,並在
07:08
these new strategies that you're about to learn today in a safe simulated environment before putting real money on
將真實資金投入之前,在安全的模擬環境中練習您即將學習的這些新策略。
07:14
the line all right so let's get back into the anatomy of a Candlestick uh candlesticks are actually the most
好,那我們回到K線圖的解剖,K線圖實際上是最
07:21
popular type of chart that is available there are other types of charts that some people use but to a much lesser
常見的圖表類型,當然也有其他一些人使用的圖表類型,但使用頻率要低很多。
07:27
extent the reason Candlestick chart charts are so popular is because the individual shape the individual
K線圖如此受歡迎的原因是,每個K線的形狀都能提供更多關於
07:34
Candlestick provides more information about the price action of that stock or that Financial instrument and that
該股票或金融工具價格走勢的信息,而這些信息被交易者用來解讀
07:42
information is used to help Traders interpret Market strength or Market weakness Market sentiment so this chart
市場的強弱、市場情緒。所以,這個圖表
07:52
right here is a one minute chart and what that means is that every single one of these candlesticks right down here
是一個一分鐘圖表,這意味著這裡的每一個K線
07:58
these are all candlesticks represent 1 minute of time so the Market opens at 4:00 a.m.
都代表一分鐘的時間。所以市場在美國東部時間早上四點
08:04
eastern standard time for pre-market trading so starting at 4:00 a.m.
開始盤前交易,從早上四點
08:09
exactly on the dot that first candle opens so it's 4:00 a.m.
整點開始,第一個K線就開啟了,它有開盤價,
08:15
we're going to say 4:00 a.m.
我們可以說,早上四點
08:16
right here and the first candle of the day begins it has its opening price and that right
在這裡,一天的第一個K線開始,它有開盤價,並且
08:20
there creates a line so that's our first piece of information the open let's just say for a moment that the price dips
價格隨即下跌一小段,然後又上漲,最後在這裡收盤。所以現在我們有了收盤價,
08:27
down for a second and then it squeezes up and then it closes right here so now we have the close we have the high and
我們有了最高價和最低價,這四個信息點,開盤價和收盤價連接起來形成
08:36
we have the low those are the four pieces of information we have the open and the close are connected to create
K線的主體,而最高價和最低價則顯示為K線的影線,就像這裡的這些線一樣。
08:44
the body of the candle and the high and the low stay just as candle wicks just as these lines right here so this would
所以,這就是…
08:53
be the first candle now this candle with these four pieces of information happen to take this shape
現在這是第一根蠟燭,這根蠟燭剛好因為這四個資訊而呈現這個形狀。
09:00
this is a shape that communicates sentiment so other Traders would look at this candle and draw a conclusion what
這個形狀傳達了市場情緒,所以其他交易者會看這根蠟燭並得出結論。
09:06
conclusion would you draw if you saw this candle on a chart H the stock seems strong it's moving up it looks really
如果你在圖表上看到這根蠟燭,你會得出什麼結論?它看起來股價很強勁,正在上漲,非常…
09:11
good but what if let's say it had taken a different shape let's say for instance that we had the open it dipped down here
很好,但如果它呈現不同的形狀呢?例如,如果我們看到開盤價下跌到這裡,
09:20
for a second it squeezed up just for a moment goes higher and then comes all the way
稍微向上擠了一下,只持續一瞬間,然後又漲上去,最後卻跌回
09:26
back down and closes right here so now we connect the open and the close that's our high that's our low now this sends a
到這裡收盤。所以現在我們將開盤價和收盤價連接起來,那是它的最高價,那是它的最低價。現在這會發出
09:35
little bit of a different signal than the previous candle we just looked at right this tells us that yes the price
一種與我們剛才看到的蠟燭略有不同的訊號。它告訴我們,是的,股價
09:40
did Squeeze up but obviously it came all the way back down so the individual shapes of these candles are sending
確實向上擠了一下,但顯然又跌回原點。所以這些蠟燭的個別形狀正在向市場參與者發出
09:48
signals to Market participants so a green candle opens at the bottom and closes at the top so this is a green
訊號。一根綠色蠟燭的開盤價在底部,收盤價在頂部,所以這就是一根綠色
09:56
candle open at the bottom closes at is at the top uh of the body this is the body of the candle these are the candle
蠟燭,開盤價在底部,收盤價在蠟燭主體的頂部。這就是蠟燭的主體,這些是蠟燭
10:04
wicks also called the Shadows so lower Shadow upper Shadow lower candle wick upper candle wick and a red candle opens
的影線,也稱為影子。下影線、上影線、下燭芯和上燭芯。而一根紅色蠟燭的開盤價在
10:11
at the top and closes at the bottom which signifies that it's red that the price had declined so it is important
頂部,收盤價在底部,這表示它是紅色的,股價下跌了。所以辨別蠟燭的顏色非常重要,
10:19
that the color of the candle is distinguished between candles that are green and going up and candles that are
也就是區分綠色(上漲)和紅色(下跌)的蠟燭。有些人有色盲,
10:24
red and going down some people who have color blindness uh will use colors will use colors that are easier to see like a
會使用更容易看到的顏色,例如空心或實心填充。
10:30
a hollow or a solid fill so it's one of the other or even like a hatched fill just to create a better um easier to
或是使用斜線填充,只是為了創造更好的、更容易區分的視覺效果。
10:38
distinguish but whatever however you do it it is important to be able to distinguish between a green candle and a
無論你如何做,能夠區分綠色蠟燭和紅色蠟燭都很重要,因為它們根據開盤價和收盤價的位置,
10:44
red candle because the they actually mean different things based on the position of the open and the close so
實際上代表不同的意義。所以,
10:52
when it comes to the candle body size the size of the candle body communicates sentiment the larger the candle body the
關於蠟燭主體的大小,主體的大小傳達了市場情緒。蠟燭主體越大,
11:01
stronger the sentiment so again back here on the Whiteboard let's just say we had 4 a.m.
市場情緒就越強烈。所以,回到白板上,
11:07
we open we don't drop at all we just go straight up here and we close at the very top so that's our big candle
假設我們有4點,我們開盤,根本沒有下跌,直接向上,然後在最頂端收盤。這就是一根很大的蠟燭。
11:15
it's a longbody candle that's very bullish on the other hand let's say we opened and we just go straight down
這是一根長實心K線,非常看漲。另一方面,假設我們開盤後直接下跌。
11:23
right we open here we close here this is also the high this is also the low we opened at the high we closed at the low
對,我們在這裡開盤,在這裡收盤,這同時也是最高價,也是最低價。我們以最高價開盤,以最低價收盤。
11:30
this is very bearish this is very weak so these are longbody candles longbody communicates strong sentiment in the
這非常看跌,非常疲弱。所以這些是長實心K線,長實心代表市場情緒強烈。
11:38
market so if we look at the stock that I traded today just as an example we're going to use this as a case study we're
讓我們以我今天交易的股票為例,用它作為案例研究,我們會不斷回過頭來分析它。
11:44
going to keep coming back to it um if we pull up the one minute chart this right here is a one minute chart and there's
我們拉出1分鐘圖,這裡就是1分鐘圖,有些內容你可能還不理解,因為我們還沒講到,像是技術指標和一些不同的線條。
11:49
some things on here that you may not understand yet because we haven't gotten to it like technical indicators and um
但你可以在這裡看到長實心K線。你看這兩根長實心K線,它們傳達了市場的強勁力量。
11:54
some of these different uh lines uh but what you can see here are longbody candles so see how you have those two
事實上,我們看到更多的是長實心綠K線,而不是長實心紅K線。這告訴我們,市場情緒和動能偏向買方。
12:01
longbody candles right there those communicate a lot of strength in the market in fact we're seeing a lot more
買方力量大於賣方力量,我們也可以在成交量剖面中看到這一點。成交量是一個指標,告訴我們在每個K線週期內交易的股數。
12:08
longbody green candles than we are seeing longbody red candles so what that's telling us is that the sentiment
再次說明,這是1分鐘圖,這意味著每個K線代表一分鐘的時間。例如從早上4點到4點01分,4點01分到4點02分。
12:15
and the momentum is really to the buy side there's more buying strength than selling strength and we can see that in
現在我們可以查看不同的時間框架,那麼每個K線就會代表不同的時間週期。事實上,長期投資者可能會直接使用日線圖,就像這裡一樣。
12:22
the volume profile as well the volume is actually an an indicator that tells us the number number of shares that traded
每個K線代表一整天的時間,這很好用,也有它的目的。即使對於像我們這樣的積極交易者,我們也不會使用日線圖。
12:30
hands during each one of these Candlestick periods so again this is a one minute chart which means each one of
我們主要會使用1分鐘時間框架。好的,我把這個拉高一點。現在我們來看看K線的影線代表什麼。
12:36
these candlesticks represents one minute of time so from 4:00 a.m.
如果K線的主體代表情緒,那麼影線也傳達了一種訊息,它傳達了一種爭鬥。較大的上影線是看跌的,因為它顯示了。
12:42
to 4:01 401 to 402 now we could look at a different time frame and then each Candlestick
從凌晨4點到4點01分,4點01分到4點02分,現在我們可以看不同的時間框架,那麼每個K線
12:46
would represent a different period of time in fact a a long-term investor might instead just use a DA chart like
將代表不同的時間週期。事實上,長期投資者可能會直接使用日線圖,就像
12:54
this right here where each one of these candlesticks represents one whole day of time which is fine and useful and it has
這個,每個K線代表一整天的時間,這很好用,而且有
13:02
its purpose even for active Traders like ourselves but when it comes to jumping in and out of positions we're not going
它的用途,即使對於像我們這樣的積極交易者,但當涉及到快速進出倉位時,我們不會
13:08
to use daily charts we're going to use primarily our one minute time frame all right so I'll move this up here for a
使用日線圖,我們主要會使用一分鐘的時間框架。好的,我將這個移到這裡,稍作
13:14
second now what the Candlewick tells us so if the body tells us sentiment the candle wick also communicates a message
展示。現在,K線的影線告訴我們什麼?如果K線的主體代表情緒,那麼影線也傳達了一種訊息,它傳達了一種爭鬥。
13:22
and it communicates a bit of a battle a large upper candle wick is bearish it's bearish because it shows that the
較大的上影線是看跌的,因為它顯示了
13:32
sellers were stronger they pulled the price back down right although we had the squeeze up so let's say we've got
賣方勢力較強,他們把價格拉回下來,儘管我們之前經歷了一波軋漲,所以假設我們有
13:40
the open right here we get the squeeze up all the way to here to the high but then the sellers came in and pulled the
開盤價就在這裡,價格一路軋漲到這裡,達到高點,但隨後賣方介入,把
13:48
price all the way back down imagine if it came all the way to Red so that means this was the open this was the close
價格一路拉回。想像一下,如果價格一路跌到紅色區域,那這就是開盤價,這就是收盤價,
13:56
this was the low and this was the high what does that what kind of message does that send that candle is like an
這就是低點,這就是高點。這個情況傳達了什麼訊息?這個K線就像一個
14:03
exclamation point and and I do want to think about this in a way that each one of these individual candlesticks are
感嘆號,而且我希望以這樣的方式思考,每一根K線都像是
14:10
like letters in the alphabet and as they combine they form sentences and some of the sentences are going to say buy me
字母,當它們組合起來時,就形成了句子,有些句子會說「現在買我」,有些則會說「賣我,不要靠近,不要碰我,空方掌控一切」,所以你必須
14:18
right now and some are going to say sell me don't get near me don't touch me the shorts are in control so you got to be
能夠解讀這些訊號,這些訊號就存在於圖表上。現在我要告訴你,我已經達到了一個可以
14:25
able to read those signals which are right here on the charts now I'm telling you that I've gotten to a point where I
很好解讀這些訊號的程度。我不是百分之百正確,我也有虧損,就像其他人一樣,但我正確的次數
14:30
can read them very well no I'm not right 100% of the time I have my losses just like anyone else but I'm right more
比錯誤的次數多,這都要歸功於我能夠完全理解市場的語言。
14:36
often than I'm not and it's thanks to this um this ability to really fully understand the language of the markets
所以,較大的上影線是看跌的,請注意,它們顯示賣方勢力較強,並且
14:43
so the large upper candle wicks are bearish just take note of that they show that the sellers were stronger and
把價格拉回下來。因此,反過來說,較小的下影線是看漲的,因為它們顯示
14:49
pulled the price back down so then inversely the lower candle wicks are bullish because they show that the
買方勢力較強,他們把價格拉回上漲。所以,假設我們有一檔股票一直在下跌,
14:56
buyers were stronger and they pulled the price back up so let's say for instance we have a stock that has been selling
假設它稍微上漲了一點,我們假裝那些都是實心長K線,然後
15:04
off so let's just say it moved up for a little bit and let's just pretend those are full longbody candles and then the
價格回落,然後在這裡我們有這個下影線。注意,我們有這個下影線,這告訴我們
15:10
price pulls back and then right here we have this candle wick all right see how we have that lower candle wick what that
即使價格下跌,買方也進場買回,所以這可能預示著
15:17
tells us is that although the price dropped the buyers came in and bought it back up so this could indicate the
反轉的開始,也許下一個K線會創出新高,從而確認這一點。所以,這個早期訊號,表明
15:23
beginning of a reversal and maybe the next candle makes a new high which confirms it so the early signal right
這可能會改變方向,實際上就是這個K線形態,在這種情況下。
15:30
here that this may be about to change directions would in fact be this Candlestick shape in this context
上下文非常重要。事實上,圖表基本上給了我們歷史背景,這就是它們所做的。
15:37
context is incredibly important in fact charts essentially are giving us historical context that's really what
它們並不能確切地告訴我們接下來會發生什麼,但它們告訴我們一切。
15:44
they're doing they're not telling us with certainty what's going to happen next but they're telling us everything
它們所做的事情,它們並不能確切地告訴我們接下來會發生什麼,但它們告訴我們一切
15:49
that has already happened now when we really understand the context of what's happened we're going to recognize
這件事已經發生了,但當我們真正理解事情的脈絡時,我們會發現
15:54
certain patterns so being a successful Trader means being pretty good at patter recognition we start to realize this
某些模式。因此,成為成功的交易者意味著相當擅長模式識別。我們開始意識到
16:00
relationship that when this happens a bottoming tail candle like this this green three bar candle follows these
這種關係:當這件事發生時,就會出現像這樣的底部反轉燭線,以及接下來的這種綠色三根燭線。
16:08
these three bar candles so you start to recognize that okay right now in real time I see this and now I'm predicting
你開始辨識,好的,現在我即時看到這個情況,並且預測
16:16
that this is what's going to happen and this is how we're actually able to see into the future and maybe we're only
這將會發生,這就是我們實際上得以預見未來的方式。也許我們的準確度只有
16:22
doing it with 65 70% accuracy but that can be enough to make millions of dollars in the market
65%到70%,但這可能足以在市場上賺取數百萬美元。
16:29
okay so the candle wicks uh do communicate incision they tell us that although the price dropped or spiked
好的,所以燭線的影線確實傳達了信息,它們告訴我們,儘管價格下跌或暴漲,
16:35
there was a battle and it brought it back in so the larger the candle wick the bigger the battle now what I want to
但曾經有一場戰鬥,並且將其拉了回來。因此,影線越長,戰鬥就越大。現在我想
16:42
get into now is analyzing the individual Candlestick shapes so now that you understand the anatomy of a single
探討的是分析單一燭線的形狀。既然你已經了解單一
16:52
Candlestick the body with the candle wick we're going to look at the different Candlestick shapes that are
燭線的解剖結構,也就是燭身和影線,我們將會研究市場上最常見的
16:58
the most common in the market because the shape of the Candlestick sends a signal that communicates a message about
不同燭線形狀,因為燭線的形狀會發出信號,傳達關於
17:05
sentiment right so here's a Candlestick chart this is just for snti a stock um from a couple weeks ago and every single
市場情緒的信息。所以,這裡有一張燭線圖,這是幾週前的一支股票 SNTI。
17:13
one of those candles you could read into them about the sentiment that they create the high volume green candle the
你可以從每一根燭線中讀取它們所營造的情緒。例如,成交量高的綠色燭線,以及
17:19
red candle with a large topping tail up here so some people will over complicate their trading by adding a lot of
上方帶有大長上影線的紅色燭線。有些人會透過添加大量的
17:27
technical indicators and unfortunately by doing that sometimes you muddy the water to the point where you can barely
技術指標來過度複雜化他們的交易,不幸的是,有時候這樣做會混淆視聽,以至於你幾乎
17:34
even see the actual Candlestick themselves you're not even seeing the candlesticks because now you're just
看不到實際的燭線。你甚至看不到燭線,因為你現在只是
17:39
looking at all of these different indicators that are overlaid on top of it and so I'm a big advocate of keeping
關注疊加在上面的各種指標。因此,我非常主張保持簡單,我喜歡在交易中使用第二級盤口,我們稍後會在
17:46
it simple I like to use level two in my trading we'll talk about that a little bit more later in this class but level
本課程中更詳細地討論它。第二級盤口向我們顯示市場深度,也就是
17:52
two shows us the depth of the market so this is showing us all of the orders that are currently live in the market
目前市場上所有活躍的訂單。這顯示了想要買入和想要賣出的人的訂單,這對於
17:59
for this stock people that want to buy it and people that want to sell it so this is very important in a in order for
了解…非常重要。
18:06
me to be able to make a prediction about which direction the stock is going to go if I see a really big seller that's
如果我看到一個非常大的賣方,就能預測股價的走向。
18:11
going to be a problem if I think the Stock's going to go higher if I see a really big buyer then that's probably
如果我認為股價將上漲,那這將會是一個問題;如果我看到一個非常大的買方,那可能
18:16
supporting the stock at this level and indicates that we may go higher so level two is very important that's sort of
是支撐股價在這個水準,並顯示我們可能進一步上漲,所以第二層非常重要,這有點像
18:23
looking forward but the chart is equally important for understanding cont context and and the price action is what creates
展望未來,但圖表同樣重要,用以理解情境和價格走勢,而價格走勢正是創造
18:32
each one of these Candlestick shapes so if you're missing out on the candlesticks because you've had so many
這些K線形態的基礎。如果你因為使用了過多的
18:37
indicators you're sort of losing your true um your source of Truth the data the actual price action is the source of
指標而錯過K線,你就會失去真正的、你的真相來源,資料、實際的價格走勢才是真相的
18:46
Truth indicators are just complex formulas that can be used as kind of an aid to help you interpret price action
來源。指標只是複雜的公式,可用作輔助工具,幫助你解讀價格走勢,
18:56
but they shouldn't be used to replace looking at the Candlestick charts so if we look at the individual
但不應使用它們來取代對K線圖表的觀察。所以,如果我們觀察個別的
19:03
Candlestick shapes there are a few that are very important now you've already learned one
K線形態,其中有幾種非常重要。你已經學過其中一種,
19:09
of them so far a longbody Candlestick so longbody candlesticks are exactly as they sound a candle that has a long body
就是長紅/長黑K線。長紅/長黑K線顧名思義,就是具有長身體的K線,
19:17
these are candles that communicate very powerful emotion in the market strong sentiment big green candles super
這些K線傳達了市場中非常強烈的動能,強勁的情緒,大綠柱線超級
19:26
bullish big red candles super bearish so we've got our long Body candles those are important and then we have our short
多頭,大紅柱線超級空頭。所以我們有長身體的K線,這些很重要,然後我們還有短
19:33
Body candles so short Body candles communicate obviously less strength but let's imagine something what if we had a
身體的K線。短身體的K線顯然傳達了較少的強度,但讓我們想像一下,如果我們有一支
19:42
stock that started to squeeze up you had a nice green candle like this and it's a long body candle then you have another
股票開始向上突破,出現像這樣一根長綠柱線,
19:49
one that's a little shorter another one that's a little shorter another one that's a little shorter another one
然後又出現一根稍微短一些的,又一根稍微短一些的,又一根稍微短一些的,又一根
19:53
that's a little shorter and another one that's a little shorter what is this me what is the message that we're receiving
稍微短一些的,再一根稍微短一些的,這意味著什麼?我們接收到的訊息是什麼?
19:58
now of course if you just saw one candle by itself it's out of context so you wouldn't have any real context and in
當然,如果你只看到一根K線,它就會脫離情境,因此你將沒有真正的背景資訊,而且
20:05
fact maybe I'm getting ahead of myself because this would be considered a multi Candlestick pattern but nonetheless
事實上,我可能有點操之過急,因為這會被認為是一種多根K線的形態,但儘管如此,
20:11
these smaller Body candles in the context of having just been next to large Body candles or long Body candles
在剛才出現過大身體或長身體K線的背景下,這些較小的身體K線
20:18
indicate that the trend is exhausting and what's likely to happen is a reversal coming back down and often
表明趨勢正在耗竭,而接下來很可能出現反轉,股價回落。
20:26
those will be formed by longbody candles now what if on the flip side the move started with small Body
這些將會由長實心燭線形成。現在,如果反過來,如果這波走勢一開始是由小實心燭線開始,但燭線開始變得越來越大,這就表示市場有真正的強勢。
20:33
candles but the candles start getting bigger and bigger now that indicates some real strength in the market now of
當然,這種情況不可能永遠持續下去,所以我們如何知道它何時會反轉?嗯,我們觀察燭線的實際形態。
20:40
course that's not going to last forever and so how do we know when this is going to reverse well we look at the actual
所以,一旦我們開始看到這種帶有上影線的頂部燭線,開盤價和收盤價大致相同,或者我們看到這種小實心、帶有上影線的燭線,
20:46
shape of the candle so once we start to get that topping tail candle with uh sort of the open and close around the
我們就會開始注意到,好的,這裡正在形成一場小小的戰鬥。
20:53
same price or maybe we get a candle that looks kind of like uh kind of like this with little body and that topping tail
所以這是個在這種情況發生之前出場的地方。一般來說,這些大型紅色燭線通常是可以預測的。
21:00
that's when we start to notice okay we're starting to have a little battle that's forming up here so that's the
問題是,大多數初學者交易者看不到它們即將到來,因為他們還沒有學會察覺它們發生的微妙信號。
21:05
place to get out before this happens so generally speaking these big red candles are usually somewhat
因此,他們等到紅色燭線真正開始出現時才開始恐慌性賣出,而此時已經沒有人買入了。
21:14
predictable the problem is most beginner Traders don't see them coming because they haven't learned to pick up on the
然後你就會以糟糕的價格成交,在價格下跌時成交,甚至可能在這筆交易中蒙受損失,或者失去原本不需要回吐的利潤。
21:20
subtle cues that they're about to happen and so they wait for them to actually start to happen and then you're Panic
如果你更擅長察覺這些微妙的提示,預示著趨勢即將轉變,那就沒事了。所以,短實心燭線很重要,
21:26
selling in the middle of the red candle when no one is buying and so then you get a bad fill in your
而且它們在趨勢價格的背景下尤其重要。這是一個重要的概念。
21:30
order you get filled as the price is dropping and you might even take a loss on the trade or you give back profit
上下文至關重要。如果價格走勢是橫向的,你通常不會看到長實心燭線。
21:36
that was unnecessary if you had been better at picking up on these subtle hints right here that a trend shift was
但如果價格已經在橫向走勢中,那麼短實心燭線的意義就不那麼重大。
21:42
about to take place so it so short Body candles are important and they're most important
價格的橫向走勢已經傳達了市場存在猶豫不決,買方和賣方正在鬥爭,或者只是沒有人真正關心這支股票。
21:50
when they take place or form in the context of a trending price this this is an important thing to
因此,小實心燭線的意義不大,但如果你之前已經連續出現了 10 根長實心燭線,那麼小實心燭線的意義就重大了。
22:00
understand context is critical so if you have the price going sideways then you're not typically going to see a
因此,上下文確實很重要,能夠判斷這在目前的情況下是否具有意義。所以,接下來我們要講的是另一種形態。
22:07
longbody candle but a short body candle when the price is already going sideways doesn't really carry as much weight the
因此,上下文確實很重要,能夠判斷這在目前的情況下是否具有意義。所以,接下來我們要講的是另一種形態。
22:14
fact that the price is going sideways already communicates that there's some indecision there's sort of a battle
事實上,價格已經在盤整,這也表示存在一些猶豫,買方和賣方之間存在一種拉鋸,或者說,沒人真的在意這支股票。因此,小主體
22:19
between buyers and sellers or is there's just indifference no one really cares about the stock so the small Body
買方和賣方之間的拉鋸,或者說,根本沒人真正關心這支股票。因此,小幅波動的K線意義不大,但如果之前連續出現10根長K線,那麼小幅波動的K線就非常重要,這時候情境就變得非常重要,要能夠解讀它是否在當前位置具有意義。
22:24
candles don't mean much but a small body candle means a lot if you've just had 10 longbody candles in a row so context
K線意義不大,但如果之前連續出現10根長K線,那麼小幅波動的K線就非常重要,這時候情境就變得非常重要。
22:31
really is important to be able to sort of read into is this significant in the current position um so now the next type
情境非常重要,要能夠解讀它是否在當前位置具有意義。所以,接下來我們要介紹的K線型態叫做「土狗」K線。K線圖源自日本,因此其中一些
22:39
of candle is called a dogee candle now Candlestick charts are Japanese and so some of the names uh for some of these
這種開盤價和收盤價相同的蠟燭現在被稱為「土狗」蠟燭。K線圖源自日本,因此其中一些
22:46
uh chart these Candlestick patterns are Japanese and origin so the dogee is a candle that opens and closes at the same
這些圖表和K線形態的名稱也帶有日本的起源,所以「土狗」是一種開盤價和收盤價相同的蠟燭。
22:56
price so this is the open and it's also the close however it's very rare that you have a candle that looks like that
也就是說,它的開盤價同時也是收盤價。然而,你很少能看到像這樣的蠟燭。
23:03
in fact the only time you really have a candle that looks like that is if nobody is trading the stock so just kind of
實際上,只有在沒有人交易該股票時,你才會看到這種蠟燭,就像一分鐘過去了,價格沒有變化,因為沒有交易量。
23:09
like a minute passes where the price didn't change because there was no trading volume if there's actual volume
如果股票有實際的交易量,你通常不會看到這種情況。但你可能會看到它以某個價格開盤,價格上漲到一個
23:15
in the stock then you're not usually going to see that but what you might see is that it opens the price pops up to a
高點,下跌到一個低點,然後回升並以大致相同的價格收盤,這就是所謂的「土狗」。
23:21
high drops down to a low and then comes back up and closes more or less at the same price and this is is called a dogee
現在,「土狗」有幾種類型,這是一種典型的「土狗」,而這是一種「長腿土狗」。
23:30
now there's a couple different types of dogee this is a typical dogee this would be a long legged dogee what's different
這兩者的區別在於,上影線和下影線更長,這表明買方和賣方之間存在激烈的鬥爭。
23:38
between these two is that the upper and the lower candle wicks are longer and this communicates a real battle between
這被稱為「墓碑土狗」,它的開盤價和收盤價大致相同,
23:44
buyers and sellers this is called a gravestone dogee the open and the Clos are the same
可能有一個小的實體,但大致相同,並且具有較大的上影線,而沒有
23:50
more or less and it could be a small body but it's more or less the same and it has a larger upper candle wick and no
下影線。所以,再次強調,情境至關重要。如果股票在此處被擠壓上漲,
23:56
lower candle wick so again context is everything so in the context of a stock that's been squeezing up here right so
想像一下股票一直在上漲,然後出現這種蠟燭,這表明反轉即將到來。
24:05
just imagine the Stock's been squeezing up and then this candle forms this is indicating a reversal is coming the
價格被擠壓上漲,然後被拉回下跌,反轉已經開始。事實上,當價格回落時,
24:11
price squeezed up got pulled back down the reversal is already starting in fact as the price dropped back down the
反轉就已經開始了,而確認將是下一根蠟燭創出新低。所以這就是「墓碑土狗」。現在還有
24:17
reversal began and Confirmation will be the next candle making a new low so that's a gravestone dogee now there's
另外一種「蜻蜓土狗」。蜻蜓土狗看起來像這樣,所以「蜻蜓土狗」有
24:24
also a dragonfly dogee a dragonfly Doge looks like this so a dragonfly dogee has
下影線或下影,但沒有上影線。這些是我們看到的「土狗」的不同類型,
24:32
the lower candle wick or the lower Shadow but no upper Shadow so these are the different types of dois that we see
通常我們最常看到的是這種情況,它確實表明了激烈的鬥爭。所以記住,如果
24:39
and typically this is what we see the most often and it definitely communicates a battle so remember if the
價格走勢橫盤,看到「土狗」並不是很重要,因為價格走勢橫盤已經表明了猶豫不決。
24:46
price is going sideways seeing dois not really that significant the price going sideways already indicates indecision
「土狗」是一種猶豫不決的蠟燭,它上漲、下跌、開盤和收盤都相同,是一種鬥爭,但當這個價格
24:53
the dogee is a candle of indecision it's up it's down it opens and closes to the same it's a battle but when this price
的時候…
25:00
is already going sideways the battle is not surprising it's significant when at the at the top of an uptrend you see a
目前已經呈現橫盤走勢,這場戰役並不令人意外,但意義重大。當你在上升趨勢的頂端看到一場戰役時,
25:07
battle because that's when it's like uhoh the people that were really bullish on this suddenly are not in as much of
那就像是「喔不」,原本對此非常看好的投資者,突然間不再像以前那樣掌握主動權,因為現在我們看到的不再是另一根長紅K線,
25:14
control as they were before because now rather than seeing another longbody green candle we're seeing a dogee form
而是出現了十字星。我們正在看到鞭打行情,一些賣方正在變得強勢,多方偏好的交易者也變得更加謹慎,
25:20
we're seeing the whip so some sellers are getting stronger the long biased Traders are getting a little more
而這些資訊正在透過圖表傳達。現在,實際在市場上成交、形成這些形態的訂單,可以在你的第二級資料中看到,
25:25
cautious and that's being communicated right on the chart now the actual orders that are going through the market that
也就是你的交易資料中,就在這裡,在你的時間和銷售資料中,你可以看到每一個成交的訂單,最終形成
25:34
create these shapes are visible on your level two data so it's actually in your trading data uh right here on your time
這些K線形態。因此,K線形態在某種程度上是歷史性的,因為它們記錄了
25:43
and sales on your level two where you can actually see each individual order that goes through that ultimately create
剛剛發生的價格變動。而這記錄的是正在發生的實際訂單,這些訂單創造了
25:51
these Candlestick shapes so the Candlestick shapes in a sense are historical because they're documenting
K線,並且顯示了目前掛在盤面上用於買入或賣出的訂單,這些訂單有可能
26:00
price action that has just occurred and this is documenting the actual orders that are taking place which create the
創造未來的K線。所以,大多數日內交易者會結合使用第二級資料、時間
26:09
candles and it's displaying the orders that are currently on the on the book to buy or sell which is potentially going
和銷售資料,以及回顧圖表。現在,我想向你展示的下一個K線類型是長K線、短K線、十字星,
26:17
to create future candles so a combination of so most day Traders use a combination of level two and time in
現在我們要看槌頭線。再次強調,槌頭線的重點在於情境,
26:25
sales and looking back at charts now the next type of candle I want to show you we've got the longbody candle
只有在正確的情境下,它才是槌頭線。所以,我們將會看到一檔股票正在
26:32
the short body candle the dogee candle and now we're going to look at the hammer candle so a hammer candle again
稍微下跌,這沒問題。如果這檔股票是當天低點,也沒關係,
26:38
I'm going to say it again all about context it's a hammer in the right context so we're going to we're going to
如果這檔股票剛剛大幅上漲,但目前正在回調,那麼它就是一個槌頭線。槌頭線是一種具有小主體和長下影線的K線,
26:44
have a stock that's been um selling off a little bit and it's it's fine if this is a stock that's at low of day it's
較大的下影線顯示,儘管價格下跌,但在K線收盤前卻反彈了上來。這被稱為槌頭線,因為我們正在
26:52
also okay if this is a stock that you know just made a big move up but is currently on a pullback a hammer is a
敲打出一個底部,這被視為低點,並且可能成為支撐。確認的方式是觀察下一根K線的開盤,
26:59
candle with a small body and a large lower candle wick that larger lower candle wick shows that although the
所以,如果我們能更仔細地觀察這裡,我會把它放大,以便我們能更清楚地看到。
27:06
price sold off it rallied back up before the close of that candle and this is called a hammer because we're hammering
價格下跌後,在K線收盤前又回升,這種K線被稱為「鎚子」,因為我們正在敲定一個底部,這被視為低點,潛在的支撐位,確認則是在下一根K線
27:13
out a base this is considered the low and potentially support the confirmation is when the next candle
開盤時,通常會繼續向上移動,直到出現第一根逆勢的K線。
27:22
opens so if we actually get kind of really zoomed in here and I'll I'll just make this even bigger so we can get
開盤時,通常會繼續向上移動,直到出現第一根逆勢的K線。所以,我們放大觀察這個鎚子型態,可以看到一個紅色的蠟燭,又一個紅色的蠟燭,然後就在這裡,我們有這個鎚子型態。
27:29
zoomed in on this Hammer so we've got a red candle another red candle and then right here we have our Hammer so the
我們放大觀察這個鎚子型態,可以看到一個紅色的蠟燭,又一個紅色的蠟燭,然後就在這裡,我們有這個鎚子型態。
27:38
next candle the close of this candle so this was the open and this was the close so
下一根蠟燭的收盤價,也就是這根蠟燭的開盤價和收盤價。
27:44
typically the next candle and actually I should draw just a little bit lower like well actually I'll leave that like that
一般來說,下一根蠟燭,我應該畫稍微低一點,但其實我會保持這樣。
27:50
I'm going to make this one like this so remember that each one of these candles are one minute of price action if we're
我將這根畫成這樣,記住,如果我們使用一分鐘圖表,每一根蠟燭代表一分鐘的價格變動。
27:56
doing a one minute chart and we are so let's just say this is 4 a this is 401 this is 4:02 a.m.
舉例來說,假設這裡是4點,這裡是4:01,這裡是4:02。
28:05
just for example all right so when this candle closes at exactly 401 this new candle opens and so
舉例來說,當這根蠟燭在4:01準時收盤時,新的蠟燭就會開啟。
28:13
the close in the open will generally be at about the same price right it's only 1 second so it's possible that you could
開盤價和收盤價通常會落在相同的價格附近,畢竟只差一秒鐘,所以有可能稍微高一點或低一點,但通常情況就是如此。
28:20
open just a smidge higher or a smidge lower but generally this is the way it is you have a candle that closes and
一根蠟燭收盤後,下一根蠟燭就會在幾乎相同的價格開啟,然後收盤,下一根蠟燭又在幾乎相同的價格開啟。
28:26
then the next candle opens about the same price and then it closes and the next candle opens at about the same
所以,在這個例子中,它以開盤價開啟,然後下跌到這裡,形成蠟燭的主體,接著我們有下影線。
28:32
price as the previous close and so in this case it opens it sells off down here has the body and then we have our
就在這裡,是我們的下影線。現在這根蠟燭從這裡開啟,大約在上一根蠟燭的收盤價。
28:41
lower candle wick all right so right here is our lower candle wi so now this candle opens right here at about the
假設它開始上漲,現在這根蠟燭變成綠色,正在形成。
28:48
close of the previous one and let's just say it starts to move up so now the candle is green it's beginning to form
這裡沒有最低點,它只是在這裡開啟,然後開始上漲。現在這根蠟燭的最高點,為了方便起見,假設是550。
28:55
right there's no low it just opened right here and it's moving up now the high of this candle let's just say just
所以,最高點是550。如果這根蠟燭突破550,就代表發生了重要的事情,我們有趨勢的轉變。
29:00
for the sake of argument the high of this candle is uh I said three but I wrote a five so we'll just call it 550
我們剛剛得到了第一根突破新高價的蠟燭,這就是反轉型態的確認。
29:08
so the high is 550 so if this candle breaks over 550 something important has happened we have
然後下一根蠟燭會開啟,並很可能繼續上漲,接著下一根蠟燭開啟,並很可能繼續上漲,直到出現一根突破這根蠟燭最低價的蠟燭。
29:16
a shift in Trend we have now just had our first candle that made a new high and that is the confirmation that this
市場通常以波浪形式移動,所以鎚子型態的蠟燭具有較小的主體和底部尾巴,並且出現在回調的底部。
29:24
is a reversal pattern and then the next candle is going to open and likely continue that moving up and then the
它不一定需要是…
29:31
next candle opens and likely continues moving up until you have a first candle that does the trend the opposite way
是一種反轉型態,然後下一根K線將會開盤,並可能繼續向上移動,直到出現第一根與趨勢相反的K線。
29:37
where it breaks the low of this previous candle so we often move in waves in the market so a hammer candle is a candle
趨勢相反的K線,也就是跌破前一根K線的低點。市場通常以波浪式的方式移動,所以鎚子K線是一種具有底部尾巴的小幅K線,它出現在回調的底部。
29:46
with a small body and a bottoming tail and it occurs at the bottom of a pullback now it doesn't have to be a
具有小幅主體和底部尾巴,並且出現在回調的底部。它不一定需要是…
29:54
stock that's at low of day it's okay if it's a on a stock where we had let's just say for example we had a nice move
這支股票當天處於低點時,如果是在先前有不錯漲幅的股票上,是沒問題的。
30:02
up 3 four five green candles we had a little bit of a pullback and then right here we have a little hammer and then
比如,我們有連續上漲三、四、五根紅K線,經歷了一點回調,然後在這裡出現了一個錘頭線,接著
30:09
boom that's the reversal for a move back up that would be fine that's still a hammer candle it's at the bottom of a
砰!這就是回升信號,可以再次買進,這仍然是一根錘頭線,它位於回調的底部,不一定非得在當天最低點,也可能只是像那樣的小幅下跌,但它傳達了
30:15
little bit of a pullback doesn't have to be at low of day it can just be a little dip like that but this communicates with
較長的下影線,記住這些下影線傳達的訊息,就是買方正在進場,買方正在介入,所以
30:20
that lower Wick remember what those lower Wicks communicate that buyers are coming in buyers are stepping in so the
我希望你們真正專注的地方,是這些PL,價格變動的點位。我們想要
30:26
places that I want you to get really focused are on these PL these points where price is changing so we're wanting
在這些波段低點買進,基本上我們想要在這些地方買進和賣出,我們想在這裡賣出,我們想在這裡
30:35
to buy basically at these uh wave points this is where we want to be buying and selling we want to sell here we want to
買進,如果假設這裡即將出現另一次回調,那我們想
30:43
buy here we want to sell you know up here if let's just say this was you know about to be another pullback and then we
在這裡買進,為下一波上漲做準備。這就是我們想要做的事情,我們試圖準確預測
30:49
want to buy you know down here for the next leg up that's what we're trying to do we're trying to make accurate
何時買進和賣出。下一個K線形態叫做流星線。流星線
30:54
predictions about where to buy and where to sell so the next Candlestick shape is called a shooting star a shooting star
再次強調,情境至關重要,通常發生在向上擠壓之後的頂端。流星線基本上就是反轉的
31:02
again context being everything takes place at the top of a squeeze up a shooting star is essentially an inverted
錘頭線,它是一種小實體K線,但不是有下影線,而是反過來,有上影線,這個
31:10
Hammer it's a small body candle but instead of a lower Wick it's inverted so it has an upper Wick and what this
K線告訴我們,一段漂亮的向上擠壓之後,突然出現了反轉信號,所以我們有
31:17
candle is telling us is that long body nice squeeze up and then all of a sudden we're seeing this reversal so we've got
這種頂部尾巴,它正在將價格推回下跌,現在這個K線在這裡收盤,是一根小綠K線,這個K線在這裡打開,然後下跌,這絕對是
31:23
the topping tail here and it's pushing the price back down so now this candle closed right here it's a small green
你應該出場的時機,如果你還沒出場的話。然後我們讓它回調,得到可能完全相同的形狀,但反過來,然後這就是我們買進的時機。
31:30
candle this candle opens right here and goes lower that's your spot definitely to be out if you're not already out
在這裡,我們再次進場,然後尋找下一波上漲。這些是當我們經歷趨勢變化時,我們需要
31:38
right then we let it pull back we get maybe the same exact shape except inverted and then this is where we buy
關注的重要位置。這是一個反轉的錘頭線,但被稱為流星線。下一個K線叫做吊頸人K線。吊頸人K線
31:44
right here we're back in and then we're looking for that move back up so these are our important places that we're
有點不吉利,它也出現在上漲趨勢的頂端,所以吊頸人K線的形狀也和蜻蜓倒影K線相同,記住我們之前說過的。
31:50
watching when we have these changes in Trend so this is an inverted Hammer but it's called a shooting
觀察這些趨勢變化時的重要位置。這是一種倒鎚子,但也被稱為「射星」。下一根K線被稱為「吊頸人」K線,吊頸人K線有點不吉利,它也出現在上漲趨勢的頂端,所以吊頸人K線的形狀也和蜻蜓倒影K線相同,記住我們之前說過的。
31:58
star the next candle is called a hanging man candle now a hanging man candle um is is a bit ominous and this also occurs
吊頸人K線有點不吉利,它也出現在上漲趨勢的頂端,所以吊頸人K線的形狀也和蜻蜓倒影K線相同,記住我們之前說過的。
32:08
at the top of an uptrend so a hanging man uh is also the same shape as a dragonfly dogee so remember we said this
墓碑倒棘狀與吊人倒棘狀的K線圖形看起來像這樣,這就是吊人K線。
32:17
is a gravestone dogee a hanging man dogee looks like this that's a hanging man candle so we've got a hanging man
墓碑倒棘狀與吊人倒棘狀的K線圖形看起來像這樣,這就是吊人K線。
32:26
right there and and and in fact you can even put a small body on it and that's still valid so this is a bearish
這裡有一個吊人K線,事實上,即使它有較小的實體,仍然有效。這是一個看跌
32:36
indicator it even though the problem here with this it's not as bearish as a gravestone dogee but it's also not great
訊號,儘管這個訊號不如墓碑倒棘狀那麼看跌,但也不是什麼好兆頭。
32:43
a gravestone dogee is worse that's worse but the bottoming tail while typically bullish unfortunately at the top of this
墓碑倒棘狀更糟,更具負面意義。但底部尾狀線通常是多頭訊號,不幸的是,在這個
32:52
uh position here still indicates that there were sellers that came in now it's good the buyers came back up but this is
位置出現,仍然表明有賣方介入。現在買方回升是好事,但這
32:58
this is a little ominous so we have to be careful because now we've got a little bit of a battle that has coming
有點不祥,所以我們必須小心,因為現在這裡出現了一場正在
33:05
into play here the last two candles are bullish and bearish engulfing candles so a bearish engulfing candle would look
展開的戰鬥。過去兩根K線是看漲吞噬和看跌吞噬K線。看跌吞噬K線的形態
33:14
like this uh you've got this small green candle the next one opens just a little higher it gaps just a smidge higher and
如下:你看到這根小綠K線,下一根K線稍微高開,只是略微高開,然後
33:22
then fully engulfs it going red so the open is slightly higher and the close is lower it pulls back and then you get a
完全吞噬它,變成紅色。所以開盤價略高,收盤價略低,它回調,然後你得到一根
33:29
small candle here and then this candle opens down here it has to Gap just slightly lower and then it completely
小K線,然後這根K線從這裡開始下跌,必須略微低開,然後它完全
33:37
engulfs it going back up so engulfing candles are not as common because they do require a a slight gap down to fully
吞噬它,再次上漲。吞噬K線不如其他K線常見,因為它們需要一個輕微的缺口才能完全
33:46
engulf the previous candle but they can happen and they're quite strong in sentiment uh whether it's bearish or
吞噬前一根K線,但它們確實會發生,而且在情緒方面非常強烈。無論是看跌還是
33:53
bullish depends on whether it's green or red but they are a pretty powerful candles okay so now you understand these
看漲,取決於它是綠色還是紅色,但它們是相當有力的K線。好的,所以現在你理解了這些
34:00
uh individual Candlestick shapes we've got 2 four six eight of them but of course we had a couple of different
個別K線形態,我們有 2、4、6、8 個,而且我們還有一些不同的
34:05
dogee candles as well so each of these individual Candlestick shapes form of course our our individual letters in the
倒棘狀K線。所以,這些個別K線形態當然構成我們在市場中形成訊號的個別字母,可以這麼說。
34:14
alphabet so to speak that help form our signals in the market so as we look at this chart right here we can see that
因此,當我們看這張圖表時,你會看到一些長實體K線,非常大的長實體K線,這傳達了非常強烈的情緒。
34:19
there's a few longbody candles right very big long Body candles that communicates really strong sentiment
這讓我們感到興奮。看看這裡的頂端,這個形態
34:26
that's something that we can get excited about this right here look at that top so this is when you see it now it's like
現在你看到它了,是不是覺得很有道理?我會在看到這根紅色的倒棘狀K線形成時立即賣出,
34:33
wow that makes sense so I would have sold as soon as this red dogee was forming and that would have saved me a
這會讓我省下很多錢,因為你看,在那根K線之後,價格下跌了多少。當它在這裡擠壓時,它移動了
34:41
lot because look at how far this came down following that candle so as this was squeezing up right here it moved
一段距離。
34:47
higher and then we had a little pullback right here just a brief one now that was acceptable a small pullback and it
價格走高,然後這裡出現了一點小幅回檔,只是一次短暫的回調,這是可以接受的,一次小幅回檔,而且它
34:54
pushes higher you do have a small dogee right here and in spite of that it pushes higher
繼續走高,這裡有一個小小的十字星,儘管如此,它仍然走高。
35:00
you have another small dogee right here but in spite of that it pushes higher but after these really big huge longbody
這裡又有一個小小的十字星,但儘管如此,它還是走高。但在這些非常大、巨大的陽線之後,我們知道一波反轉即將到來,價格不可能永遠這樣一路攀升。所以當你開始看到
35:08
candles we know that a reversal is coming they don't just go up like this forever so when you start getting
實體較長的K線時,一方面你希望盡可能長時間地順勢而為,但另一方面你也要
35:14
longbody candles on the one hand you want to ride that momentum as long as possible but on the other hand you've
留意潛在的反轉信號,而這個十字星就是一個完美的信號。在一段漲勢的頂端出現十字星,這
35:20
got to keep your eyes open for potential reversal indicators and that dogee is a picture perfect one dogee at the top of
個地方是一個射星,也就是倒錘頭線。所以在一段漲勢的頂端出現這種K線,你就會
35:26
a move this right here is a shooting oops that right there is a shooting star candle at the top of a move so you've
看到一個漂亮的向上擠壓,實體較長的K線,趨勢開始有點疲軟,出現了一個十字星,它
35:32
got this nice squeeze up long Body candles trend is starting to get a little exhausted you've got a dogee it
仍然稍微漲了一點,然後向上擠壓並反轉,因為它是紅色的K線,所以表明反轉已經開始,因為這根K線是紅柱收線,所以在這時候,我會
35:38
pushes a little higher anyways and then squeezes up and reverses because it's a red candle it indicates the reversal has
盡快出場。
35:46
actually already begun because this candle closed red so at this point you would I would be getting out as soon as
所以有趣的是,你可以即時觀察K線的形成。如果我打開一張圖表,我不知道現在有沒有什麼劇烈波動
35:54
we had this top and this dogee is forming so the kind of cool thing is that you can watch candlesticks forming
,現在是盤後交易時間,但我們還是打開看看。這是一張10秒圖表,所以每10秒鐘會
36:02
in real time so if I pull up um a chart here I don't know if there's anything really um moving a whole heck of a lot
產生一根新的K線。你看,現在這根K線的形狀正在變化,因為實際的訂單正在成交,所以它在變化形狀。現在它變成了一根實體較長的K線。
36:10
right now it's in after hours but um but we'll just pull this up this is a 10-second chart so every 10 seconds a
這張10秒圖表我更多的是用來教學,而不是真正執行交易,因為K線的開盤和收盤速度非常快。
36:16
new candle's going to open so do you see how right now this candle is sort of changing shapes it's changing shapes
有時候我會用它來回顧,向別人展示在一段漲勢中我注意到的一個非常小的回檔,但無論如何,這是一個很好的機會,讓你看到如何觀察K線的形成。
36:23
because of actual orders that are going through so there it became a long body candle now it this is a 10-second chart
這是你的10秒圖表。現在我們跳回到一分鐘圖表,你會看到
36:30
which I really use more as a teaching tool than actually for executing trades because the candle's open and close so
這裡有一個像墓碑一樣的倒錘頭線,然後隨之而來的是一小段…
36:36
quickly uh sometimes I'll use this to go back and show someone like a very small pullback that I noticed in the middle of
這是一個像墓碑一樣的倒錘頭線,然後隨之而來的是一小段…有時候我會用它來回溯,向別人展示我在移動過程中注意到的一個非常小的回調。
36:43
a move but nonetheless this is a good opportunity for you to kind of see how you can watch candlesticks as they're
移動過程中注意到的一個非常小的回調。儘管如此,這是一個很好的機會,讓您了解如何觀察K線的形成。
36:50
forming so this is your 10c chart now if we jump back over here to the one minute chart right we have a little bit of
形成。現在這是您的10c圖表。如果我們跳回到這裡,到一分鐘圖表,我們可以看到這裡有一個像墓碑一樣的倒棘狀,然後隨之而來的是一小段…
36:56
what's this C stick shape right here a little bit of a gravestone dogee and then what followed was a small uh
這裡有個像墓碑一樣的倒棘狀,然後隨之而來的是一小段…
37:02
standard dogee so you could see you got a couple long Body candles here then a little
標準的倒棘錘,所以你可以看到這裡出現了幾根長實體蠟燭,然後稍微
37:07
pullback sort of gradual rise back up a little bit of a battle anytime we see these topping Tails it shows that
回調,呈現一種逐漸上升的趨勢。每當我們看到這些上影線時,就表示
37:15
although the price squeezes up it gets pushed back down I do not like seeing topping Tails sounds like a Doctor Seuss
價格雖然向上擠壓,但會被壓回。我不太喜歡看到上影線,聽起來像
37:22
book but I really don't uh I do not like them not one bit uh it's nice to see this is rallying back up but generally
蘇斯博士的書,但真的不喜歡。很高興看到它正在回升,但總體而言,
37:28
speaking topping tails are are not a good signal um it it just communicates that there's too much of a struggle as
上影線並不是一個好的信號。它只是表明存在太多的掙扎,就像你所見。
37:34
you could see sort of back here so but in real time you can kind of see how these candles are moving around so all
所以,在即時情況下,你可以看到這些蠟燭是如何移動的。突然間,
37:40
of a sudden it's like okay there's another topping tail forming and how much time is left on this candle let's
就像「好的,又形成了一個上影線」,然後看看這根蠟燭還剩下多少時間。
37:46
look at our time stamp right down here
我們看看這裡的時間戳。
37:48
so 6 5 4 3 2 1 and you know what so it actually my clock might be slightly out
6 5 4 3 2 1,你知道嗎?我的時鐘可能有點不同步,這只是一個
37:58
of sync something that you can do um and this is actually just as a this is totally a side note but I'll just share
順帶一提,但我還是想和你分享一下。你可以進入你的時鐘,點擊
38:03
it with you anyways so you can go into your clock and um if you go click on your settings you can click right here
設定,然後點擊這裡。
38:11
so it's actually been about a day since my clock last synced so I'm going to click sync
實際上,我的時鐘已經一天沒有同步了,所以我將點擊同步。
38:17
now and it sometimes will adjust your clock just by like a even just a second but that'll make a difference so make
現在,有時候它會調整你的時鐘,甚至只調整一秒,但這會產生差異。
38:24
sure you're syncing your your clock from time to time uh anyways okay so that was just a good little tip in the as a side
所以,務必不時同步你的時鐘。總之,這只是一個小技巧。
38:30
note all right so now we're going to jump back out of here um now our Hammer Candlestick there we've got a good
好,現在我們跳回這裡,看看錘子線型,我們有一個很好的例子。
38:35
example of that a squeeze up then dipping down bottoming tail what's the bottoming tail it's bullish the buyers
向上擠壓,然後下跌,形成下影線。下影線是什麼?是看漲的,因為買家
38:41
bought it back up so then we get a a big rally look at those big long Body candles from 660 to 760 to 860 it's
把價格買回來了。然後我們看到一波強勁的上漲,看看從 660 到 760 再到 860 的這些長實體蠟燭,
38:49
amazing but candle sticks are only significant on the right financial instruments so when you're looking at
真是太棒了。但蠟燭只在適當的金融工具上才有意義。所以,當你
38:57
candlesticks you should only be looking at the right financial instruments to trade candlesticks form on every stock
觀察蠟燭時,你應該只關注適合交易的金融工具。蠟燭模式出現在每
39:03
ETF mutual fund currency cryptocurrency commodity but the patterns that we look for are only valid when we have high
一支股票、ETF、共同基金、貨幣、加密貨幣和商品上,但我們尋找的模式只有在我們擁有高
39:12
relative volume the high relative volume indicates that many Traders are actively watching the stock and that the patterns
相對成交量,高的相對成交量表示許多交易者正在積極關注這支股票,並且正在形成的趨勢並非隨意而為。
39:20
that are forming are not just kind of like you know look I mean everyone is seeing you know a grilled cheese
就像,你知道,我看到的是,大家都在看,例如一個烤起司三明治,看起來像母特蕾莎或傑瑞·加西亞,對吧?
39:25
sandwich that looks like the mo you know the Mother Teresa or Jerry Garcia right that
你雖然可能真心相信那是來自其他地方的訊息,但這只是一種巧合。
39:31
you while you might genuinely believe that that's a message um from somewhere else it's just sort of a coincidence you
你知道,這只是隨機發生的。因此,圖表上可能會形成一些只是因為幾筆訂單而隨機產生的趨勢。
39:39
know it just sort of happens and so you can have patterns at form on charts that just sort of happen just through the
但其他的人是否也看到了這些趨勢?其他人是否認可這些趨勢?答案是肯定的,當這支股票的趨勢很明顯時。
39:46
randomness of a couple people placed orders and you know all of a sudden you've got a pattern but do other people
答案是否定的,當這支股票沒有高的相對成交量時。因此,專注於正確類型的股票進行交易非常重要。
39:51
see that pattern do other people respect that pattern and the answer is yes when the stock is obvious the answer is no
而且,不一定是股票,也可能是加密貨幣、期貨、外匯或期貨商品。
39:57
when it's a stock that doesn't have high relative volume so it's very important that we're focusing on the right types
但如果你交易了錯誤類型的股票,你就會看到像這樣的圖表,它們沒有意義,而且它們發出的信號基本上毫無價值。
40:03
of stocks to trade and again it doesn't have to be stocks it could be a cryptocurrency it could be a Futures uh
所以我將為大家提供一個連結,放在影片描述中,你們可以下載一系列 PDF 資源。
40:08
a Forex pair or a Futures commodity but if you're trading the wrong type of stocks you're going to see charts like
這些資源是完全免費的,其中之一就是我的股票選擇 PDF,它會分享我每天評估股票是否值得交易的五個標準。
40:14
this they don't make sense and the signals they're they're going to be essentially meaningless so what I'm
現在,如果你看看我今天的交易,你會發現我交易了多少支不同的股票?2、4、6、7支。
40:19
going to do for you guys um is I'm actually going to put a link in the description where you can download a set
我有一些是虧損的,但損失相對較小,而且我也有一些股票獲利相當不錯。
40:24
of PDF resources these are totally free you can download them and one of the ones in this um in this Suite of
這些股票都具有你在股票選擇 PDF 中可以學到的五個共同點。這非常重要,你能做的最佳風險緩解措施之一,就是確保你每天交易的都是正確類型的股票。
40:31
resources that you'll have access to is my stock selection PDF this will share with you my five criteria for how I
好的,第三部分或第三章,多根K線趨勢圖。把單一的K線想像成字母。
40:40
evaluate every single day whether or not a stock is worth trading now if we look at my trades from today you'll see that
評估每一支股票是否值得交易的五個標準,現在我們來看今天的交易,你會看到
40:46
I traded how many different stocks 2 four six 7 now I have a couple that I'm red on no big deal they're relatively
我交易了多少不同的股票?2、4、6、7支。現在我有一些是紅色的,沒什麼大不了的,它們是相對
40:54
small losses and I have a number of stocks that I'm green pretty nicely on all of these stocks share the five
小的損失,而且我有很多股票是綠色的,表現得相當不錯。所有這些股票都共享五個
41:00
common denominators that you'll be able to learn in the stock selection PDF it's it's really important one of the best
共同點,你可以在股票選擇 PDF 中學習到。這非常重要,你能做的最佳
41:07
things you can do to mitigate your risk is to make sure you're trading the right type of stocks each day okay so part
事情之一,就是確保每天交易的股票類型正確。好的,第三部分或第三章,多個K線形態。把單一的K線想像成字母。
41:14
three or chapter three multi Candlestick patterns so think of individual candlesticks as letters of the alphabet
第三部分或第三章,多個K線形態。把單一的K線想像成字母。
41:21
combined they form sentences these multi Candlestick patterns communicate buy and sell signals I see them plain as day on
這些多個K線形態組合起來形成句子,傳達買入和賣出的信號,我能在圖表上清楚地看到它們,我也希望你能一樣清楚地看到。
41:30
the charts and I want you to be able to see them just the same so the simple and by the way for warrior Pro members these
簡單來說,而且順便一提,對於Warrior Pro會員來說,
41:37
are for my students at Warrior trading you'll learn all of my favorite Candlestick patterns in detail with live
這些是我在Warrior Trading的學生們會詳細學習的,包含即時交易紀錄,
41:43
trading archives and each of these patterns will include your entry your exit your max risk your profit targets
並且每個形態都會包含你的進場點、出場點、最大風險、獲利目標,
41:50
and how to find the setup in real time so there are more than a dozen different patterns that I trade on well I don't
以及如何在即時市場中找到這個形態。所以,我交易的形態超過十多種,
41:56
trade all of them every single day but but on you know basically a daily basis I'm pulling out any one of these
我並非每天都交易所有這些,但基本上每天我都會在看到的時候選出其中一種。
42:02
patterns when I see it in fact more important than the perfect pattern is making sure you're trading the perfect
事實上,比完美的形態更重要的是,確保你交易的是完美的股票。
42:08
stock but naturally a pattern is what gives us the conviction to take the trade because the pattern is what
但自然地,一個形態能給我們採取交易行動的信心,因為這個形態
42:15
stipulating this is how much we're willing to risk and this is how much we stand to gain so this is really the
規定了我們願意承擔多少風險,以及我們能獲得多少收益。所以,這實際上是
42:21
basis of uh of trading in terms of technical analysis so the simplest pattern
技術分析中交易的基礎。最簡單的形態
42:27
is called candle over candle what is candle over candle candle over candle is when you have a candle that makes a new
叫做「吞沒式」。什麼是吞沒式?吞沒式是指當一支K線向上突破前一支K線的最高點時。
42:35
High versus the previous candle so I'm just going to demonstrate this for you I I'll do it right here on the
我現在就在白板上示範給你看,非常簡單,它是現有的最簡單形態。你有一支K線
42:41
Whiteboard super simple candle the simplest the simplest pattern that exists you have one candle right
在這裡,好吧,其實我們反過來做。
42:49
here and well actually let's do it the other way around so we've got this candle right here red candle that's your
所以我們有這支K線在這裡,一支紅色的K線,這是你的第一支K線,然後這支
42:55
first candle and then this right here is your candle over candle so what happened here is this candle closed and actually
是吞沒式。這裡發生的情況是,這支K線收盤價,實際上這並不是最好的例子,
43:05
this isn't the the absolute best example so it opens here it closes here this candle opens around the same price and
它在這裡開盤,在這裡收盤,這支K線在差不多相同的價格開盤,
43:11
breaks the previous high so right here as it breaks the previous high this is what we call a candle over candle
然後突破了前一支K線的最高點。所以,在這裡突破前高,這就是我們所說的吞沒式形態。
43:19
formation this candle broke the previous high so inversely candle under candle is going to happen when you have a stock
這支K線突破了前高,反過來說,當你有一支股票
43:27
that squeezes up like this this opens at about that same price and then drops back down candle under candle this is
像這樣向上擠壓時,它在這裡開盤,然後下跌,這就是「下吞沒式」。
43:34
the simplest pattern but what these patterns are communicating is the change in Trend so remember if we look at a
這是最簡單的形態,但這些形態傳達的是趨勢的變化。所以,記住,如果我們看一個
43:40
chart pattern and some of them are going to be uh a little bit more clear than others but we'll just pull up um I mean
圖表形態,其中有些會比其他更清晰,但我們就先調出來,嗯,我是說
43:47
we could we could pull this one up here so this one's the one we were just looking at before that had these couple
我們可以把這個調出來,所以這個就是我們之前看到的那個,頂端有幾個
43:51
of dois at the top or topping Tails so what are areas that we get interested in the reverse veral points so the highs
帶有上影線的形態,也就是我們感興趣的反轉點,高點、低點、高點、低點、高點和低點。
43:59
the lows the highs the lows the highs and the lows so C A Curr the stock I
像是今天早上我交易的這檔股票,我們可以回顧一下,最終你想要買入的地方,如果可能的話,
44:06
traded this morning this one we could look back at this and ultimately the places that you want to buy if possible
是在低點,而你想要賣出的地方是在高點。所以這些區域我們特別留意。
44:14
are on the lows and the places you want to sell are at the tops so these are the areas we're paying extra close attention
我們要注意在這些回調或這些峰值中,形成什麼樣的K線形態,來判斷趨勢是否會
44:20
what are the Candlestick shapes that are forming on these dips or at these Peaks that indicate that the trend is going to
轉變。所以我們回到這裡,K線形態是怎樣的?那是射星。
44:26
shift so if we go back here Candlestick shape there what was that that's a shooting
看到那個帶有小實體的上影線嗎?那是射星K線,然後接下來發生了什麼?
44:31
star see that topping tail with the small body that's a shooting star Candlestick and then what happened
價格反轉了,價格回落了。我知道這會發生,這很明顯,
44:36
following that well the price reversed the price came back down now I knew that was going to happen it's pretty obvious
但並非所有初學者交易者都能看到。那這裡呢?你看到漂亮的拉回,對吧?
44:41
when you see that Candlestick shape but not all beginner Traders did what about here you've got nice pullback right
然後一波向上突破。事實上,在這檔股票上,我第一次進場就是在這裡,就是這個。
44:47
there and a squeeze higher and in fact on this stock I took my first entry on this one this was Curr and I bought my
我早上第一次建倉在這個位置,嗯,讓我回到這個…
44:54
first position on this at um let's see this morning let me just go back to this um
所以實際上我的交易順序有點亂,所以第一次交易是在
45:04
so this is actually my trades are out of order here uh so first trade on this was at
261美元,那是發生在那個微小的拉回中,嗯,不,抱歉,應該是稍微高一點,
45:11
$261 so that was on this micro pullback that occurred um no sorry it was just a little bit higher it was must have been
應該是在這裡的拉回中。當它向上突破時,我們看到它稍微回調到那些上影線的底部,
45:18
on this pullback right here so as this squeezed up we got a little bit of a dip down to the bottom of those tails and
然後再次向上突破。所以我當時正在買入這個回調。在10秒圖表中會更清晰,
45:24
then we got this squeeze back up so I was actually buying this dip now on the 10-second chart it'd be a little bit
因為在那個10秒圖表中,你會看到,喔,對,它確實在這個區域回調了。
45:30
more clear because on that 10-second chart you'd be able to see oh yeah this did pull back right in that
所以在這裡放大,在這個區域,你會看到這個小小的回調。我喜歡買入這些
45:36
area so right here get zoomed in so that right in this area you get this little dip right here so I like to buy these
回調,這些小小的回調。所以我實際上在這上面做了幾筆交易,我在這個區域做了一筆交易,我在這裡也做了一些交易。
45:45
dips these little dips right here so I actually took a couple trades on this I had a trade in this area I had trades in
400.
45:51
this area right here for the break through the high I had trades on this pullback this pullback I had trades this
這裡是突破前期高點的區域,我在回檔時進場交易,這個回檔讓我進場交易。
45:57
pullback looking for the squeeze through the high these topping Tails did give me cause um for being a little bit more
這個回檔讓我預期會有軋空,這些上影線讓我稍微謹慎一些,股價確實回檔了,但隨後又展開另一波漲勢,小幅回檔並軋空至 460,然後
46:03
cautious and the price did pull back but then we put in another rally micro pull back and a squeeze up to 460 and then we
我們稍微回落了一些。好的,讓我們回到幻燈片。
46:11
kind of rolled back over a little bit all right so let's jump back onto our slide deck so candle over candle is the
單根K線對單根K線是最簡單的形態,這是我想教給你們的下一個形態,這是一個多根K線的形態,我幾乎每天都在交易中使用它。
46:17
simplest pattern this is the next one that I want to teach you this is a multi- Candlestick pattern and it's one
當股票軋空時,我會看到它出現在我的掃描器上,所以我使用這些掃描器來即時搜尋市場中正在移動的股票。
46:22
that I use in my trading pretty much every day stock is squeezing up so when the stock is squeezing up like this I'm
FP 剛剛觸發了掃描器,就在幾分鐘前,LAES 觸發了掃描器。
46:28
going to see it on my scanners so I use these scanners right here to search the market in real time for stocks that are
所以當股票軋空時,我正在尋找回檔,這將是我的第一個進場點。
46:35
moving so FP just hit the scanner uh just a moment ago laes was the one that hit the scanner a few minutes before
這裡的軋空,一個不錯的回檔,形成我的第一個進場點,我們在這裡尋找的是什麼?
46:42
that when we were looking so as the stock is squeezing up I'm looking for that pullback which is going to be my
回檔、基底,第一根突破新高的K線,那就是你的進場點,你的最大虧損是回檔的低點,你的獲利目標是回到當天的最高點。
46:48
first entry so right here this squeeze up a nice little pullback that takes the form for my first entry so what we look
我們回到幻燈片,紅色的K線正在形成,回檔,然後我們在這裡觸底,我們正在尋找什麼?
46:56
for in this context right here is pullback base first candle to make a new high right there is your entry your max
第一根突破新高的K線,下一根K線突破新高,然後,砰!軋空,這當然是最好的情況,如果它能直接回到當天的高點,一根K線
47:04
loss is the low of the pullback your profit Target is a move back to the high of
有時候會這樣做,有時候會稍微漸進一些,但無論如何,這就是我們正在尋找的設定。
47:08
day so we'll go back onto our slide deck here we got the red candle forming pulling back and right here we're
軋空、回檔、第一根突破新高的K線。現在我聽到有些人問,羅斯,我應該用什麼時間框架來交易這個?
47:16
bottoming out we're looking for what first candle to make a new high so the next candle makes a new high right here
我應該看什麼,看你的圖表,你有一分鐘、五分鐘等等,當我看到一檔股票快速移動時,作為一個積極的日內交易者,我主要使用一分鐘時間框架。
47:22
boom squeezes up and that would be I mean of course it's awesome when it goes all the way back to the high one candle
是的,我還有其他時間框架的圖表,我會查看,並且我擁有足夠的螢幕空間。
47:27
sometimes it does that sometimes it's a little more gradual but nonetheless that's the setup that we're looking for
有時候它會這樣做,有時候會更漸進一些,但無論如何,這就是我們正在尋找的形態。
47:32
so the squeeze up the pull back the first candle to make a new high now I hear some of you guys saying wait a
所以,向上擠壓、回調、第一根創出新高的K線。現在我聽到有些人說,等等,羅斯,我應該在哪個時間框架上交易?我應該交易這個嗎?看看你的圖表,你
47:37
second Ross do what time frame do I trade this on should I be trading this look and look at your charts you've got
第二,羅斯,我應該在哪個時間框架上交易?我應該交易這個嗎?看看你的圖表,你
47:43
one minute you've got five minute what is all this so when I see a stock moving quickly as an active day trader I'm
有一分鐘、有五分鐘,這一切是什麼?所以,當我作為一個活躍的日內交易者看到一檔股票快速移動時,我
47:50
primarily using the one minute time frame yes I have others up that I look at and I have the screen real estate
主要使用一分鐘時間框架。是的,我還有其他圖表,我會查看,而且我有足夠的螢幕空間
47:55
space to do that but I'm primarily executing my trades on the one minute time frame the one minute chart so it's
我有空間這麼做,但主要是在一分鐘時間框架上執行我的交易,也就是一分鐘圖表。
48:01
the one minute chart where I'm looking for that pattern right there now sometimes we'll have a stock that's
我主要在一分鐘圖表上尋找這個模式。有時候,股票的漲勢非常非常快,甚至不會給我們一個適當的一分鐘回調,我們得到的只被稱為
48:06
moving really really fast and it might not even give us a proper one minute pullback all we get is what's called a
微型回調,它出現在十分鐘圖表上,我可以接受交易這個回調,當然,每次
48:13
micro pullback and that occurs on the 10-second chart and I'm okay with trading that and of course every time
我早上交易時,都會向大家提供我的即時評論。Warrior Trading的會員已經
48:19
when I'm trading in the morning I'm giving you guys my live commentary so members at Warrior trading you already
知道了,但對於那些還沒有加入或尚未試用兩週試用期的人來說,當你們進行兩週
48:23
know that but those of you guys who haven't joined or haven't done a twoe trial before uh when you do the twoe
試用期時,你們可以一邊聽我交易,一邊從中學習,從而受益並借鑒我多年的
48:30
trial you could listen over my shoulder while I'm trading so you get to benefit and piggyback off all of my years of
教育直覺。你們可以聽到我即時的評論,例如「這是我想找的回調」、「第一根
48:36
educated intuition you get to hear that real-time commentary as I'm saying okay this is the pullback I'm looking for the
柱線要創下新高,我進場了,尋找突破5點或其他情況」。
48:41
first C to make a new high I'm in looking for the break of five or whatever the case may
所以,好的,我們回到投影片中。好的,我們再看一次,沒關係。
48:46
be so oop so we'll go back into the slide deck here all right so so now next slide oh we go through this again that's
這是這個模式,重點是,在這裡你必須能夠預測接下來會發生什麼。如果這根
48:54
fine so that's that pattern and it it this is the thing where right here you have to be able to kind of make the
柱線變成紅色,我們就不會進行交易,因為它沒有突破高點。事實上,這根柱線
49:00
prediction of visualizing what's going to happen next now if this candle went red we wouldn't take the trade because
就成了觸發柱線,如果價格突破高點,它就會
49:06
it didn't break the high so in fact this candle right here becomes a trigger candle if the price breaks the high it's
確認一個柱線對柱線的反轉。我們正在尋找這種兩根柱線的反轉模式。
49:15
confirming a a candle over candle reversal right we're getting that two candle reversal pattern so that's what
如果我們沒有看到它,我們就不會進行交易,只是繼續等待。也許另一根柱線回調,然後它會
49:21
we're looking for and if we don't get it we don't take the trade we just keep waiting so maybe another candle pulls
向上突破,然後我們在那裡進行交易。所以,很多時候我只是坐在這裡等待這個
49:26
back and then it goes and then we take the trade there so a lot of the time I'm just sitting here waiting sort of
設定,一旦我看到它,砰,我就出手,果斷地進場。
49:33
sitting waiting for that setup and then as soon as I see it boom I strike I jump in and I I jump in with conviction now
這種模式背後的心理,它之所以有效,是因為快速的向上移動會吸引交易者。所以,我們首先
49:41
the psychology behind this pattern the reason why it works is that a rapid move up attracts Traders so we got the rapid
看到快速的向上移動,這吸引了交易者,讓交易者感到興奮,然後你會看到,AAL 確實如此,
49:49
move up in the first place right here that attracted Traders right that got Traders excited then you get uh that's
當漲勢是由突發新聞催化劑驅動時。所以,早上8點。
49:56
AAL true when the move is driven by a breaking news catalyst so it's 8: a.m.
AAL 確實,當漲勢是由突發新聞催化劑驅動時。所以,早上8點。
50:01
we've got breaking news coming out of the company that you know all of a sudden whatever the case may be they've
我們剛收到一則突發新聞,來自這家公司,無論如何,他們突然有了…
50:06
got some new drug they've just released or clinical trials now we often like trading pharmaceutical and biotech
一種新藥,或者現在正在進行臨床試驗。我們通常喜歡交易製藥和生物科技股,
50:12
stocks because these are stocks that can go up 200% in a single day with good news I mean they can even go up higher
因為這些股票在有好消息時,一天內就能上漲200%,甚至更高,這真的令人難以置信。
50:19
than that it's really incredible so for Traders with relatively small accounts that's the type of stuff that we really
所以對於資金相對較小的交易者來說,這正是我們非常喜歡交易的標的。
50:25
like to trade and even for Traders with slightly larger accounts like mine I still like those stocks because I can
即使對於像我這樣資金稍大的交易者,我也喜歡這些股票,因為我可以獲得非常好的風險報酬比,
50:30
get such great risk to reward ratios on them where I can get really nice winners so the first pullback is formed by
實現漂亮的獲利。所以,第一次回調是由於
50:39
profit taking from people that were holding before the news came out and possibly some early short selling some
在新聞公布之前持有股票的人獲利了結,以及一些早期的空頭賣出,
50:45
early short sellers who are like you know what I think this is up more than it should be I'm going to short it but
也就是一些早期的空頭交易者覺得,嗯,我覺得這支股票的漲幅過度,我要做空它。
50:50
if the stock holds at least 50% of that first leg up so that first leg up is created so right here we've got the
但如果股價至少維持住第一次上漲的50%,也就是第一次上漲的這段,
50:59
first leg up boom right there so when this pulls back our 50% line is right down here so it's okay if it pulls back
砰,就在這裡。那麼,當它回調時,我們的50%線就在這裡。
51:07
a little bit it's okay if it pulls back a little bit we don't want to see it go like that that's not good it can pull
稍微回調一下是可以的,稍微回調一下是可以的。我們不希望看到它像這樣崩落,這不好。
51:13
back to about the 50% line and then about there I say I'd really like to see this thing bottoming out so green candle
它可以回調到大約50%線的位置,然後大約到那裡,我會希望看到它觸底反彈,出現綠色蠟燭。
51:20
and then that first candle make a new High second candle pushes higher right now again you got to make sure the open
然後第一根蠟燭創下新高,第二根蠟燭繼續上漲。現在,你必須確保開盤價和收盤價大致相同,
51:26
and the close are about the same but you get you get the idea so that's the spot we're looking for now maybe it doesn't
但你大概能理解我的意思。所以,這就是我們正在尋找的點位。
51:32
pull back three candles it just pulls back two candles that's fine when it's ready to move higher we'll watch the
現在,可能它不需要回調三根蠟燭,只需要回調兩根就可以,這沒關係。
51:38
price coming up to this level and when I see other Traders buying and I see that the price is about to break this high
當它準備好再次上漲時,我們會觀察股價上漲到這個位置,當我看到其他交易者正在買入,
51:44
and we're going to get that candle over candle formation that's when I'm jumping in and pressing the buy button that's
並且股價即將突破這個高點,當我們看到出現一根蠟燭蓋過另一根蠟燭的形態時,
51:49
when I'm executing the trade now it doesn't matter if you trade with Weeble you trade with thick or Swim trade with
我就會果斷地介入並按下買入鍵,執行交易。
51:54
Robin Hood it makes sense if you're using a desktop platform for executing these trades and the reason is because
無論你使用Weeble、Thinkorswim還是Robin Hood,使用桌面平台來執行這些交易都是有意義的,
51:59
you want to be able to look at your level two data and really see the stock kind of moving in real time but but
因為你想要能夠查看你的二級市場數據,並真正看到股價的即時動態,但…
52:04
nonetheless um it it's as long as you're able to see it right in front of you and and you've got the buttons to click that
儘管如此,只要你能清楚地看到它就在眼前,而且有按鈕可以點擊,那麼具體選擇哪家券商其實差異不大。我通常會在第一次回調和第二次回調時買入。
52:13
buy button the the actual broker doesn't make a huge difference so I will typically buy the first pullback and the
股票上漲一段後,我會在第一次回調時買入,然後在第二次回調時買入。
52:20
second pullback so a stock squeezes up I buy the first pullback squeezes up and I buy the second pullback by the time
但到了第三次回調時,我通常不太喜歡在那裡交易,我覺得風險太大了,已經過度延伸。所以,我會在第一次和第二次回調時買入,
52:27
we're getting the third pullback I usually don't like to trade up there I feel like it's too extended so first and
然後我不想停留太久,我會繼續在1分鐘圖上尋找第一次和第二次回調的機會,同時也會考慮在5分鐘圖上尋找。
52:34
second pullback and then I don't want to overstay my welcome I continue to trade first and second pullback on the one
現在我們稍後會更詳細地討論這個問題,我不想跑題。好的,讓我們來看這個圖形。
52:39
minute chart and then I'll also consider the first and second pullback on the five minute
那麼,我們現在應該買入嗎?你覺得好還是不好?嗯,成交量分佈看起來相當不錯,我們有綠色的成交量柱,成交量較輕,MACD指標呈現擴散狀態,所以我認為這是一個可以買入的機會。
52:45
chart now we'll talk more about that in a second I don't want to get ahead of myself all right so let's look at this
而且你看到了那個漂亮的底部尾線,以及隨後的回升。我希望你們能夠達到可以即時看到這個情況,並且一眼就能判斷出這是個絕佳的買入機會的程度。
52:51
pattern all right so is this something that we should be buying right here what do you think yay or nay well the volume
如果我現在不買入,那我真的就太蠢了,因為這個買入訊號非常明顯。我偶爾會這樣跟自己說:「Ross,你認真嗎?如果你現在沒買,你就是個白痴!」
52:57
profile looks pretty good to me we've got green volume bars lighter volume red macd is open so I would say this looks
這就是它,沒有比這更簡單的了。所以,我早期會把像這樣的圖表印出來。對於下載我PDF資源的各位,你們就能獲得可以列印的PDF文件。
53:02
like a yes and you've got that nice bottoming tail right there and the rally back up I want you to get to the point
把這些PDF文件印出來,放在你的桌子周圍,就像你想和成為什麼樣的人一樣,要用同樣的方式來包圍自己。
53:08
where you could see this in real time and you could look at this and say this is a no-brainer I if I'm not buying this
這很好,你要用你想交易的圖表來包圍自己,因為當你在周圍看到這些圖表時,
53:16
I've got to be some kind of really some kind of special stupid because this is a clear as day setup now I sometimes say
當你開始在即時圖表中看到這些圖形形成時,你就會知道你在看什麼。當這種轉變發生時,真的太棒了,我把所有這些圖表都印出來了。
53:24
that to myself I'm like Ross you've got to be kidding me you if you didn't just buy that you're an idiot this is it
有時候我會這樣對自己說,羅斯,你一定是在開玩笑吧!如果你沒有剛買進去,你就是個白痴!就是這樣
53:29
doesn't get simpler than that so what I did early on is I would print out charts like this so for those of you guys who
簡單明瞭。所以,我早期做的一件事就是把像這樣的圖表印出來,對於那些下載我的 PDF 資源的你們,你們將能夠擁有可以隨時印出的 PDF。把這些 PDF 印出來,放在周圍
53:35
download my PDF resources you'll be able to have PDFs that you can just print so print out those PDFs put them around
下載我的 PDF 資源,你就能擁有可以隨時列印的 PDF,把這些 PDF 列印出來,放在你桌邊。
53:42
your desk and I want you to surround yourself with just like you want to surround yourself with the type of
你想和你想成為的那種人相處一樣。很好,你想要和你想成為的那種人相處。
53:47
people you want to become that's good you you want to surround yourself with the type of people you want to become
他們會影響你,所以要和你想交易的圖表類型相處在一起,因為當你
53:51
they they rub off on you surround yourself with the type of charts you want to trade because when you're
他們會影響你,所以要和你想交易的圖表類型相處在一起,因為當你看到它時,真的太酷了,當這種轉變發生時,我把所有的圖表都列印出來
53:56
looking around your desk and you're seeing that then when you start to see it forming in real time you know what
看到它時,真的太酷了,當這種轉變發生時,我把所有的圖表都列印出來,現在我看到這個,雖然還沒發生,但我可以知道這檔股票符合所有五個選股標準。
54:01
you're looking at it's really cool when that kind of transformation happens of I've got all these charts printed out
你看到的是什麼,真的太酷了,當這種轉變發生時,我把所有的圖表都列印出來。
54:08
and now I'm seeing this right here now this hasn't happened yet but I can tell the stock meets all five criteria of
現在我看到這個,雖然還沒發生,但我可以知道這檔股票符合所有五個選股標準。
54:14
stock selection the pattern is there it's time it's game time here we go and boom you get the trade what about this
選股模式已經出現,時機到了,遊戲開始,然後你就能成功交易。那這個呢?
54:22
nice rally up pullback rally up pullback high volume we move in the right direction that looks like a nice setup
漂亮的漲勢,接著回檔,又漲,又回檔,而且成交量很高,我們朝著正確的方向前進。這看起來像一個不錯的布局。
54:28
so we take that trade what about this nice rally up light volume pullback yes that's a nice entry so I want you to
所以我們就執行這筆交易。那這個呢?漂亮的漲勢,成交量輕微,接著回檔。是的,這是一個不錯的進場點。我希望你
54:36
print out these charts put them around your desk and in real time as you start seeing these setups forming test
列印出這些圖表,放在你的桌子周圍,然後在實際操作中,當你開始看到這些布局形成時,測試
54:42
yourself practice in the simulator and see if you can have the courage to actually press the buy button all right
你的自己,在模擬器中練習,看看你是否真的有勇氣按下買入鍵。好,
54:48
number four popular charting time frames so I why I didn't want to get ahead of myself before because now we're going to
第四點,常用的圖表時間框架。所以,我之前不想說太多,因為現在我們要
54:53
show you these different time frames so most a Traders most active Traders are going to use one minute time frames we
示範這些不同的時間框架。大多數交易者,特別是活躍的交易者,會使用一分鐘時間框架。
54:59
use one minute time frames because these stocks are moving so quickly that if we wait for a 5 minute setup we're going to
我們使用一分鐘時間框架,是因為這些股票的波動太快了,如果我們等到五分鐘的布局出現,我們就會
55:06
end up just completely missing it and and that's not we don't want to miss setups so the way I have my charts laid
完全錯過它,而我們不想錯過任何布局。所以我安排我的圖表方式是,針對同一檔股票,有四個圖表,但每個圖表的
55:12
out is I have four charts for one stock but each of them are a different time frame so I've got my one minute I've got
時間框架都不同。我有一分鐘圖表、五分鐘圖表、每日圖表和十秒圖表。我主要使用這個一分鐘圖表,
55:19
my five minute I've got my daily chart and I've got my 10-second chart I'm primarily using this one right here and
有時候我會調整這些圖表,讓這個圖表稍微小一點,讓一分鐘圖表看起來更大,
55:26
sometimes I'll adjust these to kind of make this one smaller and you know to make the the one minute the biggest one
因為我主要關注的是一分鐘圖表。所以在我的分鐘圖表上,我主要尋找交易機會,但如果我在
55:31
since the one I'm focusing on so on my one minute chart this is where I'm primarily looking for trades but if I've
一分鐘圖表上已經看到第一次和第二次的回檔,而且一分鐘圖表的走勢變得
55:37
already gotten the first pullback and the second pullback on the one minute chart and the one minute's getting
擴大,我可能會說,好吧,現在我得等到五分鐘的布局形成。我尋找的是在五
55:43
extended I may say all right now I've got to wait for a 5 minute setup to form so what I'm looking for there is for
分鐘圖表上出現相同的模式,也就是一個大綠色K線,然後是幾個紅色K線。
55:49
that same pattern to form on the 5- minute chart where you've got a big green candle and then a couple of red
想想看,每個五分鐘K線就像這樣,
55:54
candles so think about this for second so each each 5minute candle like this
包含五個一分鐘K線。如果我們仔細分解,它可能看起來像
56:02
that contains five one minute candles so if we actually broke it down it would probably look something like
這樣。所以,這個五分鐘K線包含五個一分鐘K線,這些K線顯然是開盤和收盤,從而形成這個形狀。
56:09
this right so that 5minute candle has five one minute candles that obviously opened and closed to create this shape
也就是說,這個五分鐘K線是由五個一分鐘K線組成的,它們的開盤價和收盤價共同塑造了這個形態。
56:16
now it's possible that you could have had a huge green one and then a red one and then it goes back to green but at
現在有可能你先看到一根很大的綠色柱線,然後一根紅色柱線,然後又回到綠色,但
56:21
the end of the day this 5 minute is telling us we opened here and we closed here so now the next candle pushes
歸根結底,這五分鐘的圖表告訴我們,我們在這裡開盤,在這裡收盤,所以現在下一根柱線向上推動
56:27
higher so again you get five more green candles so 1 2 3 four five and then you
所以,再次出現五根綠色柱線,一、二、三、四、五,然後你
56:34
finally get a red candle that forms so now you get your red candle that forms so you got 1 2 3 four five so now maybe
終於看到一根紅色柱線形成。現在你得到你的紅色柱線形成,你得到一、二、三、四、五,所以現在也許
56:43
in all of this let's just say let's just say for the sake of argument that it actually popped up nicely here and then
在所有這些情況下,我們假設,就為說明起見,它在這裡很好地彈升,然後
56:50
it pulled back right here for two candles and then it pushed higher so we were actually able to get get our first
它在這裡回調了兩根柱線,然後它繼續上漲,所以我們實際上能夠在那裡完成我們的第一筆
56:56
trade right there and then it squeezed up again and then it pulled back for Just Two candles and then it squeezed up
交易,然後它再次向上擠壓,然後它回調了僅僅兩根柱線,然後它再次向上擠壓
57:04
one more time so we actually let's just say we already got our first pullback right here and our second pullback right
一次。所以實際上,我們假設我們已經在這裡完成了第一次回調,在右邊完成了第二次回調
57:11
here so we've already trade it twice on the one minute chart but this is what the five minute chart is now looking
所以我們已經在一分鐘圖表上交易了兩次,但這是五分鐘圖表現在的樣子。
57:15
like so now it pops up here but the five minutes a little extended it drops back down and it pulls back so is the is the
所以它在這裡彈升,但五分鐘的趨勢稍微拉長了一點,然後它下跌,並回調。所以,這個
57:23
stock dead well now in the 5 minutes it's pulled back for two red candles in a row but then all of a sudden we start
股票已經死了嗎?現在在五分鐘圖表上,它連續回調了兩根紅色的柱線,但突然
57:30
to Rally back up here we pull back again let's just say and now we get our first candle on the five minute that goes
我們開始在這裡反彈。我們再次回調,我們假設,然後我們得到第一根在五分鐘圖表上變
57:38
green so sort of hide that for a second so now all of a sudden your five minute is giving you that same pattern so it's
成綠色的柱線。所以先隱藏一下。現在突然你的五分鐘圖表給你呈現了相同的模式,就像
57:46
like this pattern that we just traded right down here this pattern is now repeating on the 5 minute chart and yes
我們剛才在下方交易的這種模式,現在正在五分鐘圖表上重複出現,是的
57:53
there is a corresponding one minute pattern that's occurring inside it but a lot of Traders will trade 5 minute
裡面也存在著相應的一分鐘圖表模式,但很多交易者會交易五分鐘
57:59
patterns so it's kind of interesting here because you can trade the same stock multiple times trading even the
模式,所以這裡很有趣,因為你可以在不同的時間框架上交易同一支股票,甚至
58:06
same pattern you're just trading it on different time frames so how do you decide between the one minute the 5
交易相同的模式。那麼你如何決定在一分鐘和五分鐘之間選擇?我主要使用一分鐘,事實上,我可以
58:11
minute how do you flip back and forth I primarily use the one minute in fact I could live without the 5 minute I use
沒有五分鐘也能生存。我非常頻繁地使用一分鐘,但我不想完全忽略五分鐘,因為有時在五分鐘圖表上會出現
58:17
the one minute so much but I don't want to completely disregard the 5-minute because sometimes there are nice setups
很好的交易設置。所以,如果我在五分鐘圖表上看到一個模式正在形成,而且是一個很好的回調,我會查看
58:23
that occur on the 5-minute chart so if if I see a 5-minute pattern forming and it's a nice pullback I'll look at the
一分鐘圖表。
58:29
chart I'll consider it and if the one minute isn't giving me a big red flag I'll take the trade but if the one
圖表我會考慮一下,如果一分鐘圖沒有給我明顯的負面信號,我就會進行交易。但如果一分鐘圖出現負的 MACD,我們稍後會討論,或者出現成交量非常高的紅色陰線,這可能是一個
58:36
minute has a negative macd which we'll talk about in a second or a really high volume red candle that could be a
警告信號,告訴我不要相信它。一分鐘圖看起來不錯,但五分鐘圖裡潛藏著負面信號,
58:43
warning sign that's telling me don't trust it the F minute looks good but buried inside the 5 minute is a red flag
就不要交易。所以我幾乎總是需要一分鐘圖看起來良好,如果一分鐘圖不好,
58:51
Don't trade it so I always pretty much always need the one minute to look good and if the one minute doesn't look good
這幾乎就否定了這筆交易。但如果一分鐘圖和五分鐘圖都良好,那麼我可能會獲得另一個
58:58
it pretty much negates the trade but if the one minute looks good and the 5 minute looks good then I may get another
交易機會。所以我通常最終會在一分鐘圖上進行交易,然後在五分鐘圖上再做一兩筆收盤交易,
59:03
opportunity so I usually end up trading on the one minute and then taking maybe a couple of final trades on the five
結束當天對這支股票的交易。第五點,我們來談談這些技術指標。我強烈
59:09
minute before being done trading that stock for the day number five let's talk about those technical indicators I'm a
提倡保持簡單,因此我只在圖表上使用少數幾個技術指標。
59:17
big advocate of keeping it simple therefore I only use a small handful of technical indicators on my chart the
我在圖表上使用的第一個指標是移動平均線。移動平均線是一種技術指標,
59:23
first indicator I use on my charts are moving averages moving averages are a uh are a technical indicator they're a
是一種數學公式,可以提供背景資訊。它們的作用只是告訴你股票的平均價格,
59:30
mathematical formula that give you context so what they do is they just tell you the average price of a stock so
在一段時間內。所以,假設我們有這裡的這支股票,我們使用九期移動平均線,
59:39
over the course of a period of time so let's just say you've got this stock right here and we're using a nine moving
就像這樣。這裡的九期移動平均線,九期 EMA,也就是指數移動平均線,
59:47
average so I'll just do this so a nine moving average right here nine EMA it's an exponential moving average
現在正位於這個蠟線上。它是過去九根蠟線的平均價格。
59:56
is going to be the right now on at this candle right here it's the average price of the last nine candles so add all nine
將所有九根蠟線的價格加總,然後除以九,這樣就得到了平均值。所以,你的九期 EMA 指數移動平均線
1:00:05
candles together add all those prices divide by nine and boom that's your average so your 9 EMA exponential moving
總是會稍微落後於價格。除非價格一直橫盤,否則九期 EMA 不可能正好位於
1:00:12
average is always going to Trail a little bit behind the price it's you can't have the 9 em be right at the
當前價格。如果價格一直在上漲,那麼九期移動平均線
1:00:18
current price unless of course the price has been just going sideways so if the price has been moving up then the 90 ma
就會略低於價格,因為它是根據過去九根蠟線的平均值計算的。現在,
1:00:25
is going to be slightly below the price because it Trails based on the average of the last nine Candles now the
九期 EMA 的重要性在於,它是一個備受尊重的技術指標,因此,當價格下跌時,我們通常
1:00:31
significance of the 9 EMA is that it's a well-respected technical indicator and so as the price comes down we often
會預期在九期 EMA 處找到支撐,然後再次上漲。所以,如果我們在圖表上有了九期 EMA,
1:00:39
expect that we'll find support at the 9 EMA before making another move up so if we have the 9 EMA on our charts then
當我們看到它下跌時,如果我們注意到下影線與這個備受尊重的支撐位對應,
1:00:48
when we see it coming down if we notice that bottoming tail corresponding with this well-respected level of support
當我們看到它下跌時,如果我們注意到下影線與這個備受尊重的支撐位對應,
1:00:55
that's going to give us additional confirmation that we should be taking this trade so the 9 EMA is an indicator
這將給我們額外的確認,我們應該執行這筆交易,所以九期EMA是一個指標。
1:01:03
that's helping support and help us basically decide whether or not this is a pattern and in a current position
這個指標有助於支撐,並幫助我們判斷這是否為一種模式以及目前的部位。
1:01:10
where we should take the trade so I use three moving averages I use the nine exponential moving average and then I
我使用三個移動平均線,我使用九期指數移動平均線,然後我
1:01:17
use the 20 exponential moving average so the 20 is always going to be a little further down from the nine CU it's
使用二十期指數移動平均線,所以二十期總是會比九期更靠下,因為它
1:01:24
averaging the last 20 candles so it goes further back and then I use the 200 way down here now the 200 EMA truthfully is
計算的是過去二十根K線的平均值,回溯的週期更長,然後我使用二百期,遠在下方。老實說,二百期EMA
1:01:33
almost like not applicable on intraday charts like one minute and five minute you you almost the stock is always going
在一分鐘和五分鐘等盤中圖表中幾乎沒有參考價值,股價總是會
1:01:41
to be so far above it it doesn't matter however I leave it on all my time frames but it's really significant on the daily
遠高於它,所以它並不重要。然而,我會在所有時間框架上保留它,但它在日線圖中非常重要。
1:01:48
chart and I'll show you that in the second so these are the the three moving averages I use the nine the 20 and the
我使用的三個移動平均線是九期、二十期和
1:01:55
200 I color them where my nine is gray my 20 is blue and my uh 200 is in
二百期。我將它們設定為灰色(九期)、藍色(二十期)和
1:02:03
magenta so these are uh very easy to set up on your charts doesn't really matter what platform you offer or you're using
洋紅色(二百期)。這些在您的圖表中設置起來非常簡單,您使用的平台無所謂。
1:02:10
uh all platforms will have a little area where you can add indicators uh they'll sometimes be like thinker swims platform
所有平台都會有一個小區域,您可以添加指標,有時候像Thinkorswim平台
1:02:19
um on their charts shows a little picture of a um little like um I don't know Beaker like like a science Beaker
在他們的圖表上會顯示一個像燒杯一樣的小圖片,就像一個化學實驗室的
1:02:28
something chemistry lab and you can go to the studies here and you can add a moving
儀器。您可以前往“研究”部分,然後添加移動
1:02:36
average and then you just scroll down to exponential moving average um where is it right down here so you can add that
平均線,然後向下滾動到指數移動平均線。就在這裡,您可以將其添加到您的圖表中,然後您可以選擇顏色和時間框架。所以我將長度設定為
1:02:42
to your chart and then when you add it you could choose your color and your time frame so I set the S the length as
二十,來源設定為收盤價。在DayTradeDash軟件(我使用的平台)中,只需選擇移動
1:02:48
uh 20 and the source as close now over on day trade Dash which is the software that I use FX there just go moving
平均線,然後添加指數移動平均線。添加後,您可以更改設置,例如
1:02:58
average and then add exponential and then once it's added you can change the the settings so change the color ch
顏色、樣式等。好的,所以移動平均線非常簡單,
1:03:05
change the style Etc all right so that um so the the moving averages are are really very simple um they're they're
毫不複雜,設置容易,現在它提供了背景資訊。事實上,當我看沒有移動平均線的圖表時,我
1:03:14
not complicated it's easy to set up and now it gives you context in fact when I look at charts without moving averages I
有時候覺得這太不可思議了。讓我向您展示它的樣子,我們將關閉
1:03:22
sometimes feel like it's it's kind of incredible so let me show you what this looks like so we're going to turn off
有時候我覺得這太不可思議了。讓我向您展示它的樣子,我們將關閉
1:03:27
all the moving averages here I'm going to turn them all off I look at this and I I I feel like it's floating I don't
.
1:03:35
have context I'm like whoa what something is wrong with this chart and what's wrong is all of a sudden I put on
我要把這裡所有的移動平均線都關掉,我看了看,覺得它在漂浮,我沒有脈絡。
1:03:42
that that 20 EMA and it's like oh okay now I get that there's the 200 EMA okay yep I get that there's the nine
我覺得這個圖表有問題,問題是當我打開那個 20 日 EMA 時,它就像是說,喔,原來如此,現在我知道了,這是 200 日 EMA,沒錯,我知道了,這是 9 日。
1:03:52
okay yep and then there's the volume weight average price which I'm going to teach you about in just a moment all
沒錯,然後這是成交量加權平均價,我稍後會教你關於它的內容。
1:03:57
right so uh the 200 EMA is very well respected on the daily chart stocks below the 200 EMA when they come up to
好,所以 200 日 EMA 在日線圖上備受尊重,當股價在 200 日 EMA 下方時,上漲到它時,幾乎總是在那個價位遇到阻力,所以 200 日 EMA 是股價在它下方時的阻力位。
1:04:06
it almost always have resistance at that level so 200 EMA is a level of resistance when the stock is below it
當股價在它上方時,它可以成為支撐位。成交量加權平均價的縮寫是 VWAP。
1:04:13
when the stock is above it it can be a level of support the volume weighted average price is vwap is the acronym so
我們說 VWAP,成交量加權平均價,它就像一個移動平均線,但它包含了在不同價格成交的量,所以從某種意義上來說,它是一種更詳細的移動平均線。
1:04:21
we say vwap volume weight average price it's like a moving average average except that it includes the amount of
我真的很喜歡它,因為它實際上向我們顯示了股價在一天內的平衡價格,全天的平均價格。
1:04:29
volume that traded at these different prices so it's a more detailed type of moving average in that sense now um I
所以 VWAP 是一個盤中指標,它不適用於日線圖,而且它會考慮從早上 4 點開始的所有成交量。
1:04:38
really like it because it actually shows us the equilibrium price of the stock over the course of the day the exact
它是價格的運行平均值,所以它顯示的是股價的確切平均價格,為什麼這很重要呢?
1:04:45
average price over the whole day so the vwap is an intraday indicator it doesn't work on daily charts and it's factoring
好吧,如果股價低於它,那就是熊市,如果股價高於它,那就是牛市,而且我們經常會看到,如果股價高於它並回落到它,它會將該價位作為支撐位。
1:04:52
in all of the volume starting at 400 a.m.
所以我們有可能從支撐位處進場。
1:04:55
so it's a running average of the price so it is showing you the exact average price of the stock why is that
我們也注意到,當我們有突破或交叉時,股價原本在 VWAP 下方,然後突然向上突破時,它表示控制權從賣方轉向買方,反之亦然。
1:05:01
important well if the stock is below that it's bearish if it's above it it's bullish and often we'll see that if the
當股價從 VWAP 上方轉到下方時,控制權從買方轉回賣方。
1:05:10
stock is above it and comes down to it it'll hold that level as support so we could take an entry off support
所以我會在所有盤中圖表中保留 VWAP,而且我發現它非常有幫助。下一個指標是 MACD,再次強調,這是一個移動平均線收斂發散指標的縮寫,它是一個震盪指標,就在這裡,它在正數和負數之間震盪。
1:05:16
potentially we also notice that when we have a break over a crossover where the price was below vwap and then suddenly
我們也可能會注意到,當價格突破 VWAP,從低於 VWAP 突然
1:05:23
crosses above it it signals a shift in control from sellers to buyers and likewise or inversely when the stock
突然突破到 VWAP 上方時,這表示控制權從賣方轉移到買方,反之亦然,當股票
1:05:32
shifts from above vwap to below it's a shifting control from the buyers back to the sellers so I keep the vwap on all my
突然突破到 VWAP 上方時,這表示控制權從賣方轉移到買方,反之亦然,當股票從 VWAP 上方轉移到下方時,控制權從買方轉移回賣方,所以我會在所有盤中圖表中保留 VWAP。
1:05:39
charts intraday and I find it very helpful the next indicator is macd again this is an acronym for moving average
突然突破到 VWAP 上方時,這表示控制權從賣方轉移到買方,反之亦然,當股票從 VWAP 上方轉移到下方時,控制權從買方轉移回賣方,所以我會在所有盤中圖表中保留 VWAP,而且我發現它非常有幫助。下一個指標是 MACD,再次強調,這是一個移動平均線收斂發散指標的縮寫,它是一個震盪指標,就在這裡,它在正數和負數之間震盪。
1:05:47
convergence Divergence indicator and it's an oscillating indicator right down here it oscillates between positive and
震盪指標,就在這裡,它在正數和負數之間震盪,而且它的作用是比較這些移動平均線之間的關係。
1:05:54
negative and and what it does is it actually is comparing the relationship to these of these moving averages so
負數,而且它的作用是比較這些移動平均線之間的關係。
1:06:02
moving average convergence means the moving averages are converging they're moving together and Divergence is when
移動平均線收斂是指這些移動平均線正在靠攏,一起移動;而背離是指它們在
1:06:08
they're moving apart so when a stock is moving up quickly the 9 EMA Trails the price closer than the 20 so now these
走分歧,所以當股票快速上漲時,9日EMA的追蹤比20日EMA更貼近價格。現在這些
1:06:16
moving averages are actually moving apart the price is moving away and so we're having this Divergence that's when
移動平均線實際上正在分開,價格正在遠離,所以我們正在經歷這種背離,這時候
1:06:24
we're usually going to have the best trades and then you'll have a point where the price starts to consolidate
我們通常會看到最好的交易機會。然後,你會看到一個價格開始盤整的點。
1:06:29
and when it consolidates the 90 ma starts going sideways but the 20 continues moving higher and so now you
當它盤整時,9日MA開始橫向移動,但20日MA持續向上移動,所以現在你
1:06:35
get this convergence so it's okay to have the oscillations of diverging converging moving apart moving together
看到這種收斂。因此,移動平均線的背離和收斂,也就是分開和靠攏的波動是可以接受的。
1:06:43
but when we notice the crossover where the moving averages have actually come so close together right
但當我們注意到交叉點,也就是移動平均線實際上靠得很近時,
1:06:49
here that this um signifies a cross that indicates the front side of the move may be over and now we're going to see a
這表示一波漲勢可能已經結束,現在我們將看到一波
1:06:59
more sustained selloff coming back down so this is an indicator that I do use in my trading but I only use it on the one
更持久的下跌。所以這是個我會在交易中使用,但只用於一
1:07:06
minute time frame I find that the signals that it produces on the 5 minute are too slow and the signals it produces
分鐘時間框架的指標。我發現它在5分鐘時間框架上產生的信號太慢,而在10秒時間框架上產生的信號太快。
1:07:13
on the 10sec are too fast so I'm only using it on the one minute time frame number six support and resistance so in
因此我只在一分鐘時間框架中使用它。第六點,支撐位和壓力位。所以
1:07:21
addition to technical indicators which help us understand potential areas of support and resistance the 9em the vwap
除了技術指標,這些有助於我們了解潛在的支撐位和壓力位,例如9日EMA、VWAP,
1:07:28
I also draw support and resistance trend lines based on historical price action this helps me understand potential
我也會根據歷史價格走勢繪製支撐位和壓力位趨勢線,這有助於我了解潛在的
1:07:36
future price action and areas where we might see resistance so notice here how we have this ascending trend line so
未來價格走勢以及我們可能看到壓力位的位置。注意這裡,我們有一個上升趨勢線。
1:07:43
this trend line was drawn by connecting these lows and I just draw it and it extends both to the left and the right
這條趨勢線是通過連接這些低點繪製的,我只是畫出來,它會向左和向右延伸。
1:07:50
so it goes both ways so then the price breaks below it but then it comes back up and now this actually what was
所以它雙向延伸。然後價格跌破它,但隨後又回升,現在這個實際上原本是
1:07:56
previously support has now become resistance and that is a common theme so previous support becomes resistance
支撐位,現在已經變成壓力位。這是一個常見的現象,所以先前的支撐位會變成壓力位。
1:08:05
horizontal support and resistance trend lines are the easiest to visualize and therefore the most popular and the most
水平支撐位和壓力位趨勢線是最容易視覺化的,因此也是最受歡迎和最
1:08:11
well respected and what's very interesting is that these typically occur around half dollars and whole
受人尊敬的。有趣的是,這些通常發生在半美元和整數美元的價位附近。
1:08:17
dollars why is that well in fact if you looked at a chart if you looked at the the order the order book of a stock
美元,這是為什麼呢?嗯,事實上,如果你看圖表,如果你看股票的訂單簿,
1:08:25
what you would notice is that we'll draw lines here around half dollars and whole dollars so we're going to do right here
你會注意到我們會在半美元和整數美元的附近畫線,就像我們在這裡做的,
1:08:34
we're going to do right here I'm going to do right here and we'll do one more right up here all right so let's say
我們在這裡做,我這裡做,還會在上面再畫一條,好的,所以假設一下,
1:08:41
this is three this is 350 this is 4 and this is 450 all right so what we would typically see is as a stock starts
這裡是三美元,這裡是三點五美元,這裡是四美元,這裡是四點五美元,好的,所以我們通常會看到,當一檔股票開始
1:08:51
squeezing up here we squeeze up we squeeze up we're going to hit resistance at the whole dollar and pull back and
上漲時,它會向上擠,向上擠,然後我們會在整數美元處遇到阻力並回落,
1:08:57
then we rally back up boom rally back up right here we hit resistance at the half dollar we pull back we rally back up
然後我們再次上漲,砰!再次上漲到這裡,我們在半美元處遇到阻力,回落,再次上漲,
1:09:05
here we break through that level we come up to the whole dollar and we pull back why does this happen this happens
然後我們突破這個水平,上漲到整數美元,然後回落。為什麼會發生這種情況?
1:09:11
because a lot of people put their orders right around these levels so people put orders to take profit around half
這是因為很多人會在這些水平附近下單,人們會在半美元和整數美元附近下單獲利了結,
1:09:19
dollars in whole dollars so if you looked at all the orders on the book you would notice that the orders are
所以如果你看訂單簿上的所有訂單,你會注意到訂單
1:09:24
clustered around half dollars and whole dollars and there are fewer orders in between so these are sell orders that
集中在半美元和整數美元附近,中間的訂單較少。這些是已經
1:09:29
are already on the book for people to take profit so as we approach these areas with a high degree of selling
存在於訂單簿上的賣單,供人們獲利了結。所以當我們接近這些區域時,伴隨著高度的賣壓,
1:09:35
we're going to see resistance it's going to pull back and then if it can break through that level if it can hold over
我們會看到阻力,它會回落,然後如果它能夠突破這個水平,如果它能夠站穩在
1:09:40
it then we've got the breakout so we often see at these half dollars and whole dollars that we tap it a couple of
上方,那麼我們就完成了突破。所以我們經常會看到在這些半美元和整數美元處,我們會敲擊它幾次,然後再突破,這非常常見。
1:09:46
times before breaking that is very common so here you could see we tap 650 we tap 650 we tap 650 and then finally
所以你可以在這裡看到,我們敲擊 6.50 美元,敲擊 6.50 美元,敲擊 6.50 美元,然後最終
1:09:56
we break 650 now this can also be in the form of a daily resistance so a double
我們突破了 6.50 美元。現在,這也可以是每日阻力的形式,所以一個
1:10:02
top here just under $15 very common so a high here now when the stock comes back up a lot of Traders are looking to the
雙重頂峰就在 15 美元之下,非常常見。所以一個高點在這裡,當股票回落後再次上漲時,很多交易者會向左看,向上看,
1:10:10
left and up to ask themselves where's nearby resistance how high can this stock go before it runs into resistance
問自己附近的阻力在哪裡,這檔股票在遇到阻力之前能漲多高,
1:10:17
and so naturally you end up looking at a candle just like this now this candle was a high volume day where the stock
因此,自然而然地,你會看到像這樣的 K 線,現在這根 K 線是一個高成交量的日子,股票向上擠,然後賣出。
1:10:25
squeezed up and sold off some people would say well if the stock is squeezing up what about this area here wouldn't
有些人可能會說,如果股票正在向上擠,那麼這個區域呢,它不是阻力嗎?
1:10:31
this be resistance no this would not be resistance because the resistance that was created here was broken on this day
不,這不是阻力,因為在這裡產生的阻力在這一天被突破了。
1:10:39
anyone who is still holding here who wanted to sell would have been able to sell on this day so they're not going to
任何還持有並想賣出的人,今天都能賣出,所以他們不會
1:10:45
be creating resistance as the price moves up here all right so this is a basically a a clear window on the chart
在價格上漲時製造阻力。好的,所以這基本上是圖表上的一個清晰窗口
1:10:52
where there's no resistance till the top of that candle so this uh then casts sort of a shadow backwards right here
在那根蠟燭的頂部之前沒有任何阻力,然後這就會向後投下一個影子
1:11:00
and then it moves up to the next candle so you got a little high there and then you move up to the next candle and then
然後它移動到下一根蠟燭,所以在那裡有一個小高點,然後移動到下一根蠟燭,然後
1:11:05
a little high there and you move up to the next candle and a little high here and then you move up and so forth so
另一個小高點,然後移動到下一根蠟燭,又一個小高點,然後繼續上漲,以此類推
1:11:10
this double top right here right around half dollar and now if it comes back up to this level again a third time it's
這就是這裡的雙重頂,大約在五角硬幣的位置。如果它再次回升到這個水平,第三次
1:11:17
going to be resistance because now it's been tested twice it's going to be an issue again in the future so this is
它就會遇到阻力,因為現在已經測試了兩次,未來也會再次成為問題。這非常常見。
1:11:22
very common now the way I draw trend lines on my chart is um is pretty straightforward I can pull this uh right
我在圖表上畫趨勢線的方式很直接。我可以在這裡從工具欄中拖出
1:11:31
here from the toolbar I could just grab a trend line like this and I could just click it just like that and boom I've
趨勢線,然後像這樣點擊它,砰!我就在圖表上畫好了一條趨勢線。這通常是我畫的方式。
1:11:36
got a trend line on the chart so that's how I usually do it um we can see see RR from today so this one I drew this trend
我們可以看到今天的RR,我畫的這條趨勢線就在這根蠟燭的最高點
1:11:44
line right at the top the high of this candle so that was the pre-market High we came down we came back up 450
那是盤前高點,我們下跌,然後回升到450
1:11:50
retested it pulled back came back up broke through that level came down retested it previous resistance became
重新測試它,回調,然後再次回升,突破了那個水平,下跌,重新測試它,之前的阻力變成了
1:11:56
support and then we got to squeeze up to seven right up to the whole dollar lots of sellers up there couldn't break that
支撐,然後我們向上擠壓到7,整整一個美元,那裡有很多賣家,無法突破那個
1:12:02
level and it sold off and so you know we ended up getting this nice squeeze but then it pulled back and dropped back
水平,所以它下跌了。因此,我們得到了這個漂亮的擠壓,但後來它回調並再次下跌。
1:12:08
down all right so now ascending and descending resistance levels these can be a little bit more abstract because
好的,所以現在是上升和下降的阻力位,這些可能更抽象,因為
1:12:16
different Traders will draw them differently so and they can this is a daily chart for Tesla these lines can be
不同的交易者會以不同的方式畫它們。而且,對於特斯拉的這張日線圖,這些線條
1:12:22
well respected over the course of years so this is a descending resistance line so when the price comes up to it you
可能會在幾年的時間裡受到高度尊重。這是一條下降的阻力線,所以當價格上漲到它時
1:12:29
know you've got that very well-respected level on the chart so this is where we see uh the stock holding holding holding
你就知道圖表上存在一個非常受人尊敬的水平。這就是我們看到股票在這裡持續維持
1:12:38
and then resistance as it comes back up right here that is very common so I'll just uh just before we jump on to number
然後在它再次回升時遇到阻力。這非常常見。所以在我們跳到第七點之前
1:12:46
seven I'll just jump over here for one more second I'll just demonstrate drawing some trend lines for a second
我只是再演示一下如何畫趨勢線。
1:12:51
here so let's do a trend line right here let's connect these two right there interesting right that's probably
好的,所以我們在這裡畫一條趨勢線,連接這兩點,有趣吧?這可能不是巧合。
1:12:59
not a coincidence right you end up having this ascending resistance line that's very common so I usually connect
你最終會得到這條上升的阻力線,這很常見。所以我通常會連接
1:13:05
the highs of candles the high of candle wicks um when I'm doing an ascending support line down here I'll connect the
蠟燭的最高點,也就是燭線的最高點。而在畫上升的支撐線時,我會連接
1:13:12
lows to the candle wicks now sometimes you'll you'll draw it and you'll be like yeah that seems valid other times you'll
蠟燭的最低點。有時候你會畫出來,覺得好像合理,但有時候你會
1:13:18
draw you'll be like hm well I don't know if that is valid that doesn't seem like too many people really cared about that
畫出來,然後想,嗯,我不確定這個是否有效,似乎沒太多人真的在意這個
1:13:23
level and you realize okay you know maybe I'm not maybe I'm the only one that Drew the the trend line in that
層級,然後你意識到,好吧,也許只有我畫了這個區域的趨勢線,
1:13:28
area and that's why the ascending and descending lines are a little bit trickier because another Trader that
這就是為什麼上升和下降的線比較棘手,因為另一個交易者
1:13:33
Drew it just slightly differently see how how dramatically it could it could change the line so I try to always
畫的可能稍微不同,看看這會如何劇烈地改變這條線。所以,我總是嘗試
1:13:41
connect the highs of candles but also just ask myself does this feel valid trend lines that have been tested
連接蠟燭的最高點,但同時也會問自己,這個感覺有效嗎?
1:13:46
multiple times are going to gain validity just by the fact that they've been tested and now it's given other
經過多次測試的趨勢線,會因為被測試過而獲得有效性,
1:13:52
Traders the opportunity to draw what is is now probably a similar trend line number seven daily charts versus
也因此給了其他交易者畫出類似趨勢線的機會。第七點,日線圖與
1:14:01
intraday charts so part of my process of due diligence each day is EV is evaluation of both daily and intraday
盤中圖。所以,我每天的盡職調查過程的一部分,是評估股票的日線圖和盤中圖。
1:14:08
charts for a stock so yes I'm a day trader so I'm focusing primarily on intraday time frames but I don't want to
沒錯,我是一個日內交易者,所以我主要關注盤中時間框架,但我不想
1:14:14
completely disregard daily levels so daily resistance areas what's a good daily chart look like the 200 EMA is
完全忽略日線的層級。所以,日線的阻力區域,一個好的日線圖是什麼樣子的?
1:14:23
such a significant area of support and resistance on a daily chart I want to see that the stock has a lot of room to
200日均線在日線圖上是一個非常重要的支撐和阻力區域。我希望看到股票有很大的空間
1:14:29
squeeze up to the 200 if it's below it or if it's above it then that's fine but if it's below it it needs a lot of room
上漲到200日均線。如果它在200日均線之上,那沒問題,但如果它在下方,它需要有足夠的空間
1:14:36
to get up to it before it hits that resistance level I also look at gaps and windows on daily charts to create areas
上漲到它,然後才會碰到那個阻力位。我還會觀察日線圖上的缺口和窗口,以創造
1:14:43
of support and resistance which I'll show you in a second and I draw ascending and descending trend lines
支撐和阻力區域,我稍後會向你展示。我還會畫上升和下降的趨勢線,
1:14:48
that can also create support and resistance so this is an example of a gap on a chart you see how this stock
這也可以創造支撐和阻力。這是一個圖表上缺口的例子,你看這支股票
1:14:55
all of a sudden this day is way up here the previous day was down here so overnight it jumps up like 200% or no
突然有一天大幅上漲,前一天還在這裡,隔夜卻跳漲了200%或更多。
1:15:03
not quite that much but no nonetheless it has this big gap this is the result of the company putting out breaking news
雖然不完全是那麼多,但毫無疑問,它產生了這個巨大的空檔,這是公司發布重大新聞的結果。
1:15:09
overnight and by the next morning people are already bidding the stock higher and then it opens higher and it continues so
隔夜之後,到了隔天早上,人們已經開始提高股票的出價,然後它以較高的價格開盤,並持續上漲。
1:15:17
this is a gap on the chart when you have this big gap on the chart what can happen is as the stock starts to dip
這就是圖表上的空檔,當你看到圖表上有這麼大的空檔時,可能發生的情況是,當股價開始下跌時,
1:15:24
back down if it gets into this Gap where do you find support there's kind of no support so you can run into a little bit
如果它跌入這個空檔,那裡幾乎沒有支撐,所以可能會出現一些
1:15:30
of a freef fall coming back down and that can be that can create what's called Gap fill where the Gap gets
自由落體式的下跌,而這可能會形成所謂的「填補空檔」,也就是空檔被
1:15:38
filled by the price action selling off um this is an example of a gap down so this stock you know doing fine and the
股價的下跌所填補。這是一個向下跳空的例子,這支股票之前表現良好,
1:15:46
next day it's at a dollar a share so bad news comes out and now in the future as it starts to come back up you can get
但隔天每股就下跌了一美元。壞消息傳出,未來當它開始回升時,你可能會看到
1:15:53
Gap fill going back up cuz there's really no resistance in this huge area so you've got this big gap on the chart
空檔被填補,因為在這個巨大的區域內幾乎沒有阻力。所以圖表上有這個巨大的空檔,
1:16:00
where if the price starts to come back up you're not going to run into resistance until way back up here now
如果股價開始回升,你將不會遇到阻力,直到回到這裡。
1:16:05
could you look to the left and over right here you could but most people are going to look at the bottom of this Gap
你可以向左看,也可以向右看,但大多數人會看這個空檔的底部,
1:16:10
right here most people are going to look at that area there now windows are a little bit different a window is not
就在這裡。而窗口則有點不同,窗口不是由空檔形成的,而是由大型的K線圖所形成的。
1:16:18
created by a gap but it's created by a large Candlestick so this large red Candlestick here creates this this
所以,這個大型的紅色K線圖就形成了這個窗口,現在當股價回升時,如果我們突破這個水平的最高點,
1:16:25
window where now is the stock is coming back up if we break over the high of this level here we look to the left and
我們會向左看,然後向上看,下一個阻力位在1950。所以從877到1950之間沒有阻力,因為
1:16:32
we look up and the next resistance is at 1950 so we have room from 877 all the way to 1950 with no resistance because
這根K線掃描了所有水平,將其全部擊破,現在當它回升時,我們有清晰的上升通道。
1:16:41
that candle kind of sweeped down broke it all down and now as it comes back up we've got a clean shot coming back up so
這就是圖表上的窗口,而發生在這個窗口之前的任何事情都被否定了,因為它已經突破了
1:16:47
that is a window on the chart and anything that happened prior to that window is negated because this broke
所有的水平。所以這些水平已經被突破,現在這是一個有巨大窗口的圖表,我
1:16:54
through all of those levels so they've already been broken so now this is a chart where we've got a big window and I
會說,如果我們能突破8.77這個價位,那將是一個觸發點,我們就可以清晰地上漲到1950。
1:17:01
would say there's a trigger at 8.77 if we can break that price we've got a clear shot up to 1950 now in order
但為了從877一路漲到1950,我們需要相當大的交易量和一個強大的催化劑,
1:17:08
for us to go from 877 all the way to 1950 we would need some pretty serious volume and a pretty strong catalyst so
這可能不會發生,但擁有一個沒有阻力的圖表總是比擁有一個有很多阻力的圖表更好。
1:17:16
it might not happen but it's always better to have a chart that has no resistance than to have one that has a
所以,這就是為什麼我們總是希望看到一個沒有阻力的圖表。
1:17:22
lot of resistance now let's look at another example here we have a stock that had a gap so it it closed here and
現在有很多阻力,讓我們來看另一個例子。這裡有一檔股票出現了缺口,它在這裡收盤,
1:17:30
it opened way lower but on this on right here it opened here and then it sold off even more so it actually created a
而它開盤時卻大幅下跌。但就在這裡,它開盤於此,然後進一步賣出,實際上形成了一個
1:17:36
window now it sold off more and then suddenly has good news it opens right here at about 249 on this day with high
窗口。它繼續下跌,然後突然出現好消息,當天以大約 249 的價格開盤,伴隨著高
1:17:43
volume and it squeezes up first to the top of the window which was 381 and then that began the beginning of a gap that
的交易量,並一路向上突破,首先來到窗口的頂部,也就是 381,然後這就開啟了一段缺口,
1:17:50
led us up to 655 and this filled the Gap it broke the window and filled the Gap that is picture perfect that's what you
最終帶領它上漲到 655。這個缺口被填平了,窗口也被突破並填平,這簡直完美,這就是你
1:17:58
like to see so on a nice daily chart we're going to have a lot of room up to the 200 moving average which is that
所希望看到的。所以在一個漂亮的日線圖上,我們將有很大的空間向上移動到 200 日移動平均線,也就是那條
1:18:04
magenta line so this is fine this can this is at 241 has room to 750 no problem if this goes to 750 we'll be
紫紅色線。這一切都很好,這檔股票目前在 241,向上到 750 毫無問題。如果它漲到 750,我們會
1:18:12
thrilled so that's no problem but if the 200 moving average was at three that would be too close 50 cents away 10%
感到非常興奮。所以這沒問題。但如果 200 日移動平均線在 3 附近,那就太近了,僅相差 50 美分,10%
1:18:19
away 20% away that's too close that's not going to work so we need that the stock can make a big move now if there
或 20%,都太近了,行不通。所以我們需要這檔股票能夠大幅上漲。如果
1:18:24
was ever a Time the stock could break the 200 it would be on a day that it has news that something exciting is
這檔股票有任何時候能夠突破 200 日移動平均線,那一定是在有消息出現,有令人興奮的事情
1:18:31
happening so it's not impossible that you could break the 200 and if you can break it and hold above it then that's
發生時。所以突破 200 日移動平均線並非不可能,而且如果你能夠突破並守住,那
1:18:38
game time for the next leg up and so that is something that we definitely will pay attention to um here's another
就代表下一波漲勢即將開始,這絕對值得我們關注。嗯,這裡還有另一個
1:18:44
strong daily chart in this case we're above the 200 so we're above that level so we're all good it's not an issue
強勁的日線圖,在這個例子中,我們已經在 200 日移動平均線之上,所以我們已經超越了這個水平,一切都很好,沒有問題。
1:18:50
we're above the 200 it's all set now number eight finding strong stocks to trade so everything we've gone over so
我們在 200 日移動平均線之上,一切準備就緒。現在第八點,尋找強勢股票進行交易。所以我們到目前為止所討論的
1:18:58
far is about technical analysis understanding the language of the financial markets but in order to have
都是技術分析,理解金融市場的語言。但為了讓
1:19:04
technical analysis work for you you've got to make sure you're focusing on the right stocks to trade so as I already
技術分析對你有效,你必須確保你關注的是正確的股票。正如我之前在 PDF 資源中提到的,你可以下載我用於股票選擇的五個
1:19:11
mentioned in the PD in the PDF resources you can download my five uh my five criteria for stock selection and I'm
標準,我今天將為你總結這些標準。你應該下載 PDF,這樣你就可以將其作為
1:19:18
going to break down these in summary for you here today you should download the PDF that way you can have it as a
一個資源,並且它也會更詳細地闡述這些標準。簡而言之,在當今的市場中,我們需要供需失衡,
1:19:23
resource and it also EXP expans upon these criteria in short right now in this market we need to have an imbalance
供需失衡是讓股票能夠大幅上漲的關鍵。所以每一個
1:19:30
between supply and demand the imbalance between supply and demand is what allows a stock to make a big move so every
供需失衡是讓股票能夠大幅上漲的關鍵。所以每一個
1:19:37
stock has a fixed level of Supply that Supply is known as the float it's the number of shares available to trade and
股票有固定的供應量,這個供應量被稱為「流通股」,指的是可供交易的股數。
1:19:44
a float was created when a company did its initial public offering so if we jump onto the Whiteboard here let's do a
流通股是在公司進行首次公開募股(IPO)時產生的,所以我們跳到白板上,來做一個
1:19:51
little scenario so a company decides to do do an IPO and they decide to sell let's just say 10 million shares and
小情境。假設一家公司決定進行IPO,並且決定出售,比如說1000萬股。
1:20:01
they pric the IPO at $7 a share so that means they raise 7 time 10 $70 million now don't forget they're going to have
他們將IPO價格定在每股7美元,這意味著他們籌集到7乘以10,也就是7000萬美元。
1:20:10
to pay the underwriter which is the bank could be Goldman Sachs one of these big Banks they're going to have to pay that
別忘了他們需要支付給承銷商,也就是銀行,可能是高盛這樣的大銀行,他們需要支付
1:20:16
bank the fee for bringing their stock to the public markets so they pay a fee but the company gets to keep the rest of
該銀行將他們的股票帶入公開市場的費用。他們支付了費用,但公司可以保留剩下的
1:20:23
that money that money goes onto the balance sheet of the company and the company now takes that money and
資金。這筆資金會進入公司的資產負債表,而公司現在會利用這筆資金
1:20:29
typically invests in growing the company so something like McDonald's doing an IPO they take that money and they go buy
通常投資於公司的發展。例如麥當勞進行IPO,他們會用這筆錢去購買
1:20:37
more land so they can build more McDonald's expand the company then the company makes more money because they've
更多的土地,以便建造更多的麥當勞,擴大公司規模。然後公司因為擁有更多
1:20:42
got more uh you know more more restaurants right so that's the idea and all the investors that bought into the
餐廳而賺取更多的錢。所以這就是這個概念,所有投資者都可以分享
1:20:48
company get to share in the profit so from this point forward there are 10 million million shares available to
公司的利潤。從這點開始,有1000萬股可供交易。
1:20:56
trade now let's just say for the sake of argument that this is a stock that ipoed
假設這支股票以每股7美元的價格進行IPO,並且一上市後,在90
1:21:02
at $7 a share and as soon as it ipoed it it kind of went sideways for about 90
天左右的時間裡橫盤整理,然後開始快速下跌。為什麼會發生這種情況?
1:21:09
days and then starts to sell off quickly why would that happen insiders usually have a 90-day lockout period where they
內部人士通常會有90天的鎖售期,在此期間他們不能出售股票。
1:21:16
cannot sell shares so after the lockout period is ended these people sell and I mean think about people early investors
因此,在鎖售期結束後,這些人會出售股票。也就是說,早期投資者,例如
1:21:23
in Twitter or Facebook they are just at a certain point happy to get out they're in at such a great price they just sell
推特或臉書的早期投資者,在某個時候會很高興退出,因為他們以非常優惠的價格買入,所以他們會出售。
1:21:30
they just they just get out so you have this period of selling off and this is true with a lot of IPOs so it sells off
他們會這樣做,這在很多IPO中都是真的。所以股價下跌,
1:21:36
let's say it goes down to $3.50 a share so now a couple things could happen here if the company is not doing very well
假設它降至每股3.50美元。現在,這裡可能會發生幾件事。如果公司經營狀況不佳,
1:21:45
they may say you know this is not good um investors are not happy with our price and we're because we're not
他們可能會說,情況不妙,投資者對我們的價格不滿意,而且因為我們
1:21:55
performing well we're in a position where we need to raise more money so what will happen is the company will
表現不佳,我們需要籌集更多的資金。所以公司會…
1:22:02
sell more shares now they don't want to sell more shares at a lower price but they have no choice so they sell another
他們現在出售更多股份,因為他們不願意以更低價格出售更多股份,但他們別無選擇,所以又出售了
1:22:07
5 million shares and they sell them at three $3 a share so now they raised 15 million so they'd already raised 70
500萬股,每股以3美元出售,所以現在他們籌集了1500萬美元,加上他們之前籌集的7000萬美元,
1:22:14
million on the 10 million shares they sold another what was it 5 million we did they sold another 5 million at 3
在他們出售的1000萬股股份之上,又出售了500萬股,每股3美元,
1:22:19
million so or $3 so they raised another 15 million so now they're at $85 million total raise and they've sold 15 million
或者說3美元,所以又籌集了1500萬美元,現在總計籌集了8500萬美元,並且在公開市場上出售了1500萬股。
1:22:27
shares on the open market now people here they're selling more shares and they're like well this isn't good
現在人們看到他們出售更多股份,就會想,這不太好,
1:22:34
because imagine if you bought all 10 million shares and then you find out that the company has just sold another 5
因為想像一下,如果你買了全部的1000萬股,然後你發現公司又出售了500萬股,
1:22:39
million shares they've now diluted your ownership you owned the whole Pi now you own only 2third of the pi diluting the
他們稀釋了你的所有權。你原本擁有一整塊派,現在你只擁有一部分派的2/3。稀釋公司的價值不是好事,
1:22:48
value of a company is not good it's a good decrease the price now the price goes down let's say all the way to 50
這會降低股價。現在股價下跌,假設一路跌到每股50美分,這將是災難性的,一點也不好。
1:22:53
cents a share this is catastrophic this is not good at all now in fact the company gets a letter from NASDAQ and
實際上,公司收到了一封來自納斯達克的信,
1:22:59
NASDAQ says hey we're not a penny stock exchange you got to get your stock price above a dollar and you've got 90 days to
納斯達克說:「我們不是低價股交易所,你們必須把股價提高到1美元以上,你們有90天時間
1:23:06
do it or we're going to delist you and move you to the OTC market with all the other penny stocks now the company files
去做到,否則我們將會退市,並將你們轉移到OTC市場,和其他低價股一起。」
1:23:12
an appeal they get an extra 90 days and so over the period of several months the company realizes shoot we're in a real
現在公司提出上訴,獲得額外90天時間。在接下來的幾個月裡,公司意識到:「糟了,我們真的遇到麻煩了,
1:23:19
situation here our stock is below 50 cents a share or below a dollar a share and we need to turn things around but
我們的股價低於50美分,或者低於1美元,我們需要扭轉局面,但我們正在盡一切努力,
1:23:24
we're doing everything we can and we're not making more money what do we do so there's a mechanism called a stock split
而且我們沒有賺更多的錢,我們該怎麼辦?」所以有一個機制叫做股票分割。
1:23:31
now you may have heard of this before Apple has historically done stock splits so as the price has gone up it got too
你可能以前聽說過,蘋果歷史上做過股票分割,所以隨著股價的上升,它變得太貴了,
1:23:37
expensive at 1.
達到每股1美元700元。
1:23:39
$700 a share so then Apple did a 7 to1 stock split the next day the stock price opened at $100 a
所以蘋果進行了7拆1的股票分割,第二天股價以每股100美元開盤,
1:23:44
share and if you owned 1,000 shares here at 700 the next day you logged in and you own 7,000 shares at 100 so the
如果你擁有700美元的1000股,第二天你登錄後,你會發現你擁有100美元的7000股。
1:23:52
market cap doesn't change but theice price does and the float does so what's very common is right now we've got a 15
總市值沒有改變,但股價和流通股數量確實改變了。所以現在很常見的是,我們有1500萬股的流通股,
1:24:02
million share float stock it's at 50 cents a share they do a 10 to One reverse split the next day the stock is
股價是50美分,他們做一個10拆1的反向分割,第二天股價是
1:24:09
at $5 a share so now all of a sudden it's at $5 a share now the chart still looks the same but it now looks like it
以每股 5 美元掛牌,所以現在突然變成每股 5 美元,圖表看起來仍然一樣,但現在看起來就像是。
1:24:16
ipoed at 70 so all of a sudden everything kind of backs up and the float went down by the ratio of the
最初以 70 美元上市,所以突然間一切都往上調整,而且流通股減少了拆股的比例。
1:24:22
split so if you're holding in a th000 shares of this uh or sorry if you were holding 10,000 shares of this at 50 the
如果你持有這家公司的 1 萬股,而且是以每股 50 美元買進,那麼
1:24:30
next day you log in it's at $5 a share you're like oh my gosh I'm up you know a ton but now you realize you're only
第二天登入時,它變成每股 5 美元,你會想「天啊,我賺了很多」,但你很快就會發現你只
1:24:36
holding a thousand shares so the float has just gone from 15 million shares divid by 10 1.5 million shares and then
持有 1 千股,所以流通股從 1500 萬股除以 10,變成 150 萬股,然後
1:24:45
the stock is at $5 now what often happens is the stock will be at $5 for a period of time and the company will put
股價現在是 5 美元。通常情況下,股價會維持在 5 美元一段時間,然後公司會發布
1:24:52
out some good news so it goes from here and it actually spikes up maybe to seven or eight or n gives maybe even to
一些好消息,所以它會從這裡開始,實際上可能會上漲到 7 或 8,甚至
1:24:59
10 gives you a nice squeeze but then eventually it kind of comes back down makes its way back down to 50 cents and
上漲到 10,給你一個不錯的軋空機會,但最終它會回落,回到 50 美分左右,
1:25:05
they have to do another secondary another reverse split so now they do another 10 to One reverse split and boom
然後他們必須進行另一次增發,又一次反向拆股。所以現在
1:25:12
the stock is back to a $5 stock so it's back to $5 and the float is now gone from uh 1.5 million down to like 150,000
股價又回到 5 美元,流通股也從 150 萬股減少到 15 萬股左右,僅作為一個例子。
1:25:21
shares just for example uh and then they do another offering and they sell more shares so this is the cycle that we see
然後他們又進行一次發行,出售更多的股票。這就是我們看到的這些公司
1:25:28
a lot of companies uh go through it sounds kind of depressing because essentially they make it so the
經常經歷的循環。聽起來有點令人沮喪,因為基本上他們讓
1:25:35
stock can never reach zero it just keeps going lower but what is important here is that these stocks can become uh a
股價永遠不會跌到零,它只是不斷下跌。但重要的是,這些股票可能會成為
1:25:43
target for short Sellers as Gamestop did and when short sellers get heavy short these types of stocks and all of a
空頭賣家的目標,就像 GameStop 一樣。當空頭賣家大量做空這些股票時,如果公司突然
1:25:50
sudden the company does put out good news these stocks can squeeze up 100 200 300% or more in a matter of hours as
發布好消息,這些股票可能會在幾小時內軋空上漲 100%、200%、300% 甚至更多,因為
1:25:59
short sellers are forced to cover in the case of GameStop that resulted in some short sellers losing billions of dollars
空頭賣家被迫平倉。在 GameStop 的例子中,這導致一些空頭賣家損失了數十億美元。
1:26:06
and every single day I'm trading small cap stocks they're squeezing up on breaking news and these are typically
而且每天我交易的小盤股都會因為突發新聞而軋空上漲,這些通常是
1:26:12
stocks have been beating up for a long time and so what's great about these stocks is that they're it's kind of like
遭受重創的股票。所以這些股票的好處是,就像
1:26:18
buying something off the low I mean they're so low that I'm buying off these lows and then we catch this nice squeeze
從低點買進一樣。它們的價格太低了,我就是在這些低點買進,然後我們就能抓住這個不錯的軋空
1:26:25
back up so a critical component to these five criteria is that the level of Supply is generally less than 10 million
上漲機會。因此,這五個標準中的一個關鍵組成部分是供應量通常低於 1000 萬股。
1:26:34
shares lower is better so that's the float that's the supply we need that part of the equation for an imbalance
股價下跌反倒更好,這就是流通股,也就是我們需要的不平衡方程式中的供應部分。
1:26:41
between supply and demand but where's the demand come in the demand is that the stock is already up 30% on the day
那麼需求在哪裡呢?需求在於這支股票當天已經上漲了 30%。
1:26:48
at least why is it up 30% on the day it's because there's news breaking news now if there was news but the stock
至少,它為什麼上漲了 30%?因為有突發新聞。
1:26:55
wasn't moving it wouldn't be worth trading the stock has to be up if there was news and the stock is down it's not
如果有新聞但股價沒有動靜,那這支股票就不值得交易。如果出現新聞,股價必須上漲。如果新聞出現後股價下跌,也不值得交易。
1:27:01
worth trading either so first the stock has to be up 30% but what happens if we're thinking about the chicken or the
所以首先,股價必須上漲 30%,但如果我們考慮先有雞還是先有蛋的問題呢?
1:27:06
egg it doesn't go up 30% and then news comes out the first thing that happens is there's a news event so if we
並不是先上漲 30% 然後新聞才出現。首先發生的事情是突發新聞事件。
1:27:11
actually want to really get serious about this let's back this up for a second so let's just let's just put this
如果我們真的想認真研究這個,我們稍微倒退一下,把這個順序整理一下。
1:27:16
in order so the first thing that happens is we get the breaking news event and if the price is between 3 and 20 then
首先發生的事情是我們收到突發新聞,如果股價介於 3 到 20 之間,
1:27:24
what's most likely to happen is Traders like the news and all of a sudden the price starts to squeeze up as the price
最有可能發生的情況是交易者喜歡這個新聞,股價突然開始上漲。
1:27:31
squeezes up 230% it experiences five times relative volume which is much higher volume than is average for that
隨著股價上漲 230%,它經歷了五倍的相對成交量,這比該股票的平均成交量高得多。
1:27:37
stock on high relative volume that that essentially attracts even more Traders and this is where you get these really
在高相對成交量的情況下,這本質上吸引了更多的交易者,這就是你看到這些真正史詩級的漲幅的原因。
1:27:46
epic moves so if you look at crr today the stock that I made the most on this had a float of 4.8 million shares the
看看今天 crr 的情況,我賺得最多的股票,其流通股為 480 萬股。
1:27:55
relative volume was 157 times higher than normal relative volume is a measurement of the volume today relative
相對成交量比正常高 157 倍。相對成交量是衡量當天成交量相對於該股票正常或平均成交量的指標。
1:28:03
to what's normal or average for that stock so when a stock trades on five times higher volume why would a stock
那麼,為什麼一支股票的成交量會是正常情況的五倍?因為有突發新聞,有催化劑,有事情正在發生。
1:28:10
trade on five times higher volume it's because there's breaking news there's a catalyst there's something happening so
這點至關重要。事實上,這支股票的成交量幾乎達到 3 億股,這太瘋狂了。它以 94.4% 的差距開盤。
1:28:15
that's critical and in fact this traded nearly 300 million shares of volume that's insane it gapped up 94 4% so that
這就是相較於前一天的收盤價的差距,並且漲幅達到驚人的 350% 左右。
1:28:25
was the Gap from the previous day's close and it peaked at gosh it must have been 350% or something like that it
目前收盤價為上漲 144%,而突發新聞正是推動這波漲勢的動力。
1:28:31
closed right now at 144% and it had breaking news that was driving this move if it weren't for the breaking news we
如果沒有突發新聞,我們就不會有這波軋漲。
1:28:39
wouldn't have had this squeeze so now your job is to find stocks that meet these five criteria in real time it's
現在你的任務是在即時情況下找到符合這五個條件的股票。
1:28:47
not enough to see it after the fact you've got to find it in real time and that's where scanners come into play so
事後看到這些資訊是不夠的,你必須在即時情況下找到它們,這就是掃描器發揮作用的地方。
1:28:53
I have a development team team that I hired in 2017 to build out these scanners that I still use and every
我在2017年聘請了一個開發團隊來構建這些我至今仍在使用,而且每天都在不斷完善和擴展的掃描器,它們越來越好,所以這些掃描器實際上是在即時搜尋市場上符合我選股標準的股票,它會過濾,並且
1:28:58
single day we've been building them out and Contin to expand them and they get better and better so these scanners are
在這個掃描中,我們只是在尋找市場上漲幅最高的領先股票,這有點像第一層過濾,我們只是大方向地看看今天市場上哪些股票表現突出。
1:29:04
actually searching the market in real time for stocks that meet my criteria for stock selection it filters it and in
我通常喜歡交易整個市場中領漲的股票,因為那是最明顯的選擇,所以這是我一直在密切關注的。
1:29:10
this scan we're just looking at the top leading percentage gainers in the market this is sort of the first filter where
這些掃描器就在背景中,而且這些掃描器是基於我自己的歷史交易數據,為我提供關於我應該尋找的股票類型的見解。
1:29:17
we just look big picture what is moving in the market today generally I like to be trading the stock that is the number
如果我現在查看我的數據,當我們談到這五個標準時,我們會搜尋更大的一組數據,所以這是我們1280萬美元的利潤。
1:29:24
one leading gainer in the entire Market because that's the stock that's the most obvious so that's what I'm always paying
這是我的價格表現,所以我知道我在2到20美元之間的股票表現最好,我只是知道。
1:29:30
close attention to so these are the scanners that you see in the background right here and these these scanners by
通常情況下,5到10美元是我的最佳盈利區間,這就是我的甜蜜點。
1:29:36
the way I used all of my his my own personal historical trading data to give me the insight about the type of stocks
那麼,我還可以從我交易的股票的成交量中學習到什麼呢?我可以在這個分頁中向下滾動,然後
1:29:45
that I should be looking for so if I pull up my data right here when we talk about the five criteria we talk about
我可以按這些股票的相對成交量排序,我更擅長交易高成交量的股票,我更擅長交易
1:29:52
price and we'll just search for for a larger uh set of data so this is $12.8 million of profit right here that we're
相對成交量為500倍的股票,這比平均水平高五倍。所以,這五個標準並不是憑空想像的,而是從我的歷史交易數據中提取出來的。
1:29:59
looking at and this is my performance by price so I know that I do the best on stocks between 2 and 20 I just know that
我認為理解這一點很重要,至少對我來說,這增加了這些掃描器所尋找內容的可信度。
1:30:07
now generally 5 and 10 is the place I make the most but this is sort of my sweet spot right so now I know that now
好,所以你們每天的工作就是即時找到這些類型的股票,然後當然你們必須執行
1:30:14
what else what else can I learn if I look at the volume of the stocks I trade I could scroll down on this tab and then
你的交易計畫。所以,我將要做的是,在資源連結中提供一個
1:30:19
I can sort by how much relative volume these stocks have so I do better on stocks with high volume I do better on
下載簡單交易計畫的連結,這個交易計畫和我的小額帳戶工作表將引導你完成。
1:30:25
stocks that have um 500 times relative volume which is five times higher than average so it's not just opinion that
股票有固定的供應量,這個供應量被稱為「流通股」,指的是可供交易的股數。
1:30:33
created these five criteria it's actually uh derived from my historical trading data so I I think if that's
我建立這五個標準,其實是根據我過去的交易數據推導出來的,所以我覺得了解這一點很重要,因為至少對我而言,這能大大提升這些掃描工具的有效性。
1:30:40
important to understand because to me at least to me it adds a lot of validity to what these scanners are looking for all
了解這一點很重要,因為至少對我而言,這能大大提升這些掃描工具的有效性,好的,那麼你每天的工作就是即時找出這些類型的股票,然後當然你必須執行
1:30:47
right so now so your job each day is to find these types of stocks in real time and then of course you've got to execute
好的,那麼你每天的工作就是即時找出這些類型的股票,然後當然你必須執行你的交易計畫,所以接下來我要做的是,我會將連結和資源提供給你,
1:30:55
on your trading plan so here's what I'm going to do I'm going to give you as part of the links in the resources a
你的交易計畫,所以接下來我要做的是,我會將連結和資源提供給你,一個
1:31:01
link to download a simple trading plan this trading plan and my small account worksheet is going to walk you through
連結下載一個簡單的交易計畫,這個交易計畫和我的小額帳戶工作表將引導你了解
1:31:09
not only the type of stocks I like to trade but the strategy that I use of where to buy where to sell and it's also
不僅是我喜歡交易的股票類型,還有我使用的策略,也就是在哪裡買、在哪裡賣,這也會
1:31:16
going to dictate the time a day the share size and the strategy of how to scale in and how to start trading my
決定你交易的時間、股數大小,以及如何分批進場和開始交易的策略。
1:31:23
goal for you is that you're able to start practicing following this trading plan in a safe simulated environment so
我對你的期望是,你能夠在一個安全的模擬環境中開始練習遵循這個交易計畫。
1:31:30
I'm going to give you the rules all you have to do is follow the rules but I'm going to tell you it takes time to build
我會提供你規則,你只需要遵循規則,但我會告訴你,建立
1:31:37
educated intuition that's what requires you to come to the table and and spend the time gaining that experience so you
經過學習的直覺需要時間,這需要你投入時間並獲得經驗。所以你
1:31:44
could do that in a simulated environment you can do it trading real money with one share if you're with a commission
可以透過模擬環境來做到,也可以用一股的資金進行真實交易,如果你使用像Thinkorswim或Webull這樣的
1:31:48
free broker like thinker swim or Weeble if you're a member at Warrior trading of course you can use our simulator that we
免手續費券商,或者如果你是Warrior Trading的會員,當然可以使用我們為Warrior Pro會員提供的模擬器,但
1:31:53
make available for warrior Pro members but however you want to do it I want you to practice following this plan in a
無論你如何操作,我希望你能在一個安全的環境中練習遵循這個計畫。
1:31:59
safe environment the goal is that during phase one of following this plan that you're going to download phase one looks
目標是在遵循這個計畫的階段一期間,你將下載階段一的樣貌,它看起來像這樣。
1:32:06
like this so phase one is about gaining a lot of experience so when you're gaining a lot of experience you will
所以階段一的重點在於獲得大量的經驗,當你在獲得大量經驗時,你會
1:32:13
lose money and that is totally okay because this is just about trading as much as possible all of the stocks are
虧損資金,這完全沒問題,因為這只是關於盡可能多地交易,所有股票都
1:32:19
on the top 10 list of the biggest gainers you want to pull up the level two you want to be actively trading them
在最大漲幅前十名的清單上,你想要調出二級市場,並且積極地交易它們。
1:32:24
you just want to get a feel for how these stocks are moving and then what you're going to notice is through this
你只是想感受這些股票的動態,然後你會發現,透過這個階段,你會意識到:喔,現在我開始掌握竅門了,這就是我賺錢的方式。
1:32:29
phase you're going to realize oh now I'm starting to get the hang of like this is how I make money so you're going to
你會開始贏得一些交易,階段二是實施交易計畫的規則,並真正努力在每次交易中獲利。
1:32:34
start catching a couple winners phase two is when you implement the rules of the trading plan and actually make a
我剛剛做了一個採訪,實際上是在今天稍早,採訪對象是Warrior Trading的一名學生,他的名字是Justin,他是我們社群中經驗豐富的
1:32:40
concerted effort to try to make money on every single trade you take now I I just did an interview it was actually earlier
盤中交易股民,許多人認識他為Jor。所以Justin是一位來自明尼蘇達州的交易員,他的重點是交易
1:32:47
today with a student at Warrior trading his name is Justin he's our penny stock uh veteran penny stock Trader in the
盤中交易股,他從2022年開始設定每天賺取5美元的目標,去年是他交易獲利最好的一年,
1:32:53
community Comm many of you guys know him as Jor so Justin is uh he's a Trader from Minnesota and his focus is trading
賺取了超過20萬美元的交易利潤,他逐步擴大規模,所以他從設定這個簡單的目標,也就是遵循計畫開始。
1:33:00
penny stocks he started with a daily goal of $5 a day back in 2022 this last year he had his best year he's ever had
他從設定每天賺取5美元的目標開始,去年是他交易獲利最好的一年,賺取了超過20萬美元的交易利潤。
1:33:07
over $200,000 in trading profits he scaled his way up so he started with this simple goal of following the plan
他逐步擴大規模,所以他從設定這個簡單的目標,也就是遵循計畫開始。
1:33:16
$5 per day all right so he was consistently making money slow and steady and then what did he do phase so
每天五美元,沒錯,所以他持續穩健地賺錢,然後他做了什麼,階段性地。
1:33:23
this is all this is all Sim and this is Sim until you've proven you can have 10 days where you're maintaining the
這一切,這一切都還是模擬交易,直到你證明自己能夠維持十天,達到我將為你列出的指標,驗證你已經準備好進行實盤交易。
1:33:30
metrics that I'll lay out for you that verify that you're ready to go live so then phase three is continuing with real
所以第三階段就是繼續用真實資金,以每天五美元這個非常小的目標。
1:33:37
money with this $5 daily goal really small size phase four is now scaling up your share size so going from $5 a day
第四階段是現在擴大你的交易量,從每天五美元,到十美元、二十美元、四十美元、八十美元、一百六十美元,很快你就會有每天三百美元、四百美元的目標,甚至達到每天一千美元。
1:33:46
daily goal to 10 to 20 to 40 to 80 to 160 next thing you know you've got $300 $400 daily goal you got $1,000 daily
每天一千美元,那就是一年二百五十萬美元,四分之百萬美元。所以賈斯汀已經獲得了他年賺二百五十萬美元的徽章,而且他是按照這個交易計畫,以戰士Pro會員的身份做到的。
1:33:55
goal $1,000 a day that's $250,000 a year quar million dollar so Justin just earned his $250,000 badge and he did it
現在我要坦白說,我要把策略擺上桌,我會給你策略,給你看規則,但遵守規則的紀律就看你自己的了。
1:34:03
as a warrior Pro member following this trading plan now I'll tell you I'm going to put it on the table I'm going to give
因為失敗的兩個主要原因就是這個,這也是為什麼我總是會告訴你交易是有風險的,我的結果並非典型,而且沒有任何保證你會成功。
1:34:08
you the strategy I'm going give you the set the rules but it is on you to have the discipline to follow the rules
導致失敗的第一大原因是,交易者一開始就沒有策略,他們憑直覺操作,做一點這個,一點那個,然後就賠錢了。我剛開始的時候就是這樣,也許你也是。
1:34:13
because here are the two leading causes of failure and it's why I'm always going to tell you the trading is risky my
所以我理解,在今天的節目之後,你不會變成那樣,因為你現在已經學到了技術分析的大綱,而且你也有資源可以學習我正在用真實資金進行交易的策略大綱。
1:34:18
results aren't typical and there's no guarantee you'll find success the number one leading cause of failure is Traders
第二個會失敗的交易者群體,他們有策略,但仍然失敗。為什麼會這樣?
1:34:23
that come in and don't even have a strategy they're shooting from the hip they're doing a little of this a little
這是因為他們缺乏遵守策略規則的紀律。這點就看你自己的了。
1:34:27
of that and they lose money that was me when I was got when I was getting started may maybe you as well so I
好,我們現在要深入了解,我會給你規則,但你必須遵守它們,就這麼簡單。
1:34:32
understand that that's not going to be you after today's episode because now you learn you've learned at least the
你能向我承諾你會遵守這些規則嗎?也許你會說「是」,但我會監督你,我會告訴你,在交易的每一天,你都要查看我列出的規則,這些是你的安全防護欄。
1:34:38
outline of technical analysis and you have the resources available to learn the outline of a strategy that I'm
現在請仔細聽。
1:34:44
trading with real money every single day now the second group of traders who fail they've got the strategy but they still
技術分析的概要,而且你也能取得資源來學習我正在
1:34:51
fail so why is this and this is because they lack the discipline to follow the rules of the strategy this one's on you
用真錢交易的策略,現在第二組失敗的交易者,他們有策略,但仍然
1:35:00
all right so we're going to get in real tight I'm going to give you the rules but you have to follow them that's it
失敗,為什麼會這樣呢?這是因為他們缺乏遵守策略規則的紀律,這點就看你的了。
1:35:05
it's as simple as that so can you commit to me that you will be disciplined in following these rules now maybe you're
好的,我們現在要深入探討,我會提供規則給你,但你必須遵守,就這麼簡單。
1:35:11
going to say yes but what I'm going to do is I'm going to hold you to it and I'm going to tell you that every single
就這麼簡單,所以你能向我保證你會嚴格遵守這些規則嗎?也許你現在會說沒問題,但我會監督你,並且告訴你,每天在交易時,我希望你檢視我所列出的規則,這些是你的安全防護措施,現在請仔細聽。
1:35:15
day when you're trading I want you to look at the rules that I've laid out these are your guard rails now listen
你不可能靠著扶手和輔助輪贏得圖魯盃,但你剛開始時就需要它們,這樣才能預防犯下重大錯誤,導致你的職業生涯就此結束,因為你知道大多數
1:35:21
you're not going to win the torto France with guard rails with training wheels but you need them as you're getting
你不可能靠著扶手和輔助輪贏得圖魯盃,但你剛開始時就需要它們,這樣才能預防犯下重大錯誤,導致你的職業生涯就此結束,因為你知道大多數
1:35:26
started so you can pre prevent having a big blowup mistake that ends your career because you know what happens to most
初學交易者會發生什麼事,我會直說,現在就把它分解給你聽,這就是大多數
1:35:33
beginner Traders I'm going to be real with you I'm going to break it down right now this is what happens to most
初學交易者剛開始時會發生的事:他們用真錢資助帳戶,我需要一支新的筆,他們資助
1:35:37
beginner Traders when they're getting started they fund their account real money I need a new new pen they fund
帳戶的錢是真錢,然後他們遭受損失,損失了錢,無論是 1 萬、5 萬還
1:35:44
their account with real money and they take a loss they lose money doesn't matter if it's 10,000 if it's 50,000 a
10 萬,他們遭受損失,這會立即引發什麼?情緒,難過的表情,眼淚流下來,
1:35:50
th000 they take a loss and what does that trigger immed immediately it triggers emotion sad face the tears are
雖然我體格健壯,但我還是要承認,交易讓我流過幾滴眼淚,從這裡流下來,
1:35:58
streaming down I'm not too much of a man despite my obvious physical advantages and physique to admit that trading has
這塊區域,而且那並不是灰塵,它可能會非常
1:36:07
led me to shed a couple of tears from my eye from this area right here that area and it wasn't just dust it can be very
令人沮喪,你遭受重大損失,這可能會令人灰心,而這種感覺非常糟糕,會讓你做任何
1:36:14
frustrating you take a big loss and it can be disheartening and that feeling is so bad that it'll lead you to do
事來感覺好一點,所以如果你損失了 1 萬美元,最好的方法來感覺好一點就是賺回 1 萬美元,對
1:36:23
anything thing to feel better so if you're down $10,000 what's the best way to feel better is to make 10 grand right
現在,讓損失消失吧,這就是問題所在,因為這會導致以情緒為導向的行為,所以現在
1:36:30
now make that loss go away that's a problem because that's going to result in Emotion seeking Behavior so now
你以情緒為導向,你尋求感覺更好,而你所採取的行動是魯莽的交易,所以現在你交易
1:36:37
you're emotion seeking you're seeking to feel better and the action you take is reckless trading so now you're trading
基本上,我們來畫一個小小的美式足球,你正在做絕地一傳,所以你揮棒猛打,
1:36:45
basically we're going to draw a little football you're doing a Hail Mary pass so you're swinging for the fences you
準確度很差,而且受到情緒的驅使,那麼這會導致什麼?讓我們說實話,
1:36:51
with with poor accuracy emotionally fueled and what's that going to what's that going to do let's be real it's
這會導致更多的損失,這會讓你更加情緒化和衝動,這會導致更多的交易,哎喲,你
1:36:56
going to result in more losses which makes you more emotionally impulsive which leads to more trading and uhoh you
看到我們接下來的發展了嗎?這是一個惡性循環,這是許多交易者在你之前都經歷過的命運。
1:37:02
see where we're going with this this is a downward spiral this is a fate that many Traders before you have experienced
我希望你從這些錯誤中學習,現在,這裡的失敗在於,許多交易者缺乏教育,他們
1:37:08
I want you to learn from those mistakes now the the the failure here is that a lot of Traders are uneducated they come
帶著真錢進入市場,損失了錢,變得情緒化,他們甚至沒有意識到交易會有多麼情緒化,
1:37:15
into the market with real money they lose money they got emotionally fueled they don't even realize how emotional
然後他們就消失了,甚至還沒開始,事實上,如果他們放慢速度並先打下堅實的基礎,他們
1:37:20
trading can be and then they're gone before they hardly even got started in fact they might have actually had the
可能本來就有機會成為成功的交易者,所以我們現在要打下
1:37:25
chance to become successful Traders had they slowed down and laid a solid foundation first so this is how we lay a
一個基礎。
1:37:31
solid foundation even if this has already happened to you we can break this cycle
即使這已經發生在你身上,我們也能建立起堅實的基礎,打破這個循環。
1:37:36
right here and I'm going to show you how so whether this has happened to you or not this is how we start a positive
就在這裡,我會向你展示如何做到。無論這是否已經發生在你身上,這就是我們開始正向
1:37:41
feedback loop we start by focusing on a plus quality stocks these are stocks that meet all five criteria 1 2 3 4 five
反饋循環的方式。我們從專注於優質股票開始,這些股票符合所有五項標準:一、二、三、四、五
1:37:50
of stock selection we only trade those stocks by only trading those stocks and only doing it in a simulator if on your
的選股標準。我們只交易這些股票,而且只在模擬交易中進行。如果你的
1:37:57
first trades you lose money sadness minimal tear not there because you didn't lose real money so you might feel
首次交易虧損,那也是微不足道的損失,不必過度悲傷,因為你沒有損失真錢。你可能會覺得
1:38:05
a little like man this is a little harder than I thought but it's not a big emotional experience that's important
有點困難,比你想像的更難,但重要的是這不會成為一場巨大的情感體驗。
1:38:11
because now you can continue to focus on trading a quality setups you continue to gain experience and then you realize oh
因為現在你可以繼續專注於優質的交易設定,持續獲取經驗,然後你會意識到,哦,
1:38:17
actually I can have some winners I just have to figure out a little bit better how to you know get in and get out so
其實我也可以獲利,我只需要稍微弄清楚如何更好地進場和出場。所以
1:38:22
now you start building some track record and this is where you're now building in the simulator a track record of
現在你開始建立績效記錄,而且你是在模擬交易中建立起這種績效記錄,
1:38:30
consistency so now you're like okay I'm starting to build some momentum when you build
建立起一致性的記錄。現在你覺得,好的,我開始積累一些勢頭。當你建立
1:38:36
momentum this increases your self-confidence so now you're feeling better about yourself and you feel
勢頭時,這會增加你的自信心。所以你現在感覺更好,你覺得
1:38:42
confident trading more and now you're you you have this track record you're like okay I'm ready to fund my account
你更有信心進行交易,而且你已經有了這樣的績效記錄,你覺得,好的,我準備好用真錢資助我的帳戶了。
1:38:47
with real money so now you fund the account with real money you continue doing exactly what you're doing you have
所以你用真錢資助帳戶,繼續做你正在做的事情。即使
1:38:52
even if it's not a great start you have a decent start because what you know is that you've got this track record of
開局並不是很好,你也有一個不錯的開端,因為你知道你已經有了一致性的績效記錄,
1:38:57
consistency you've already proven that you know what you're doing so even if you have a little setback you go back to
你已經證明了自己知道自己在做什麼。所以即使你遇到一點挫折,你也會回過頭來,
1:39:03
this is your source of truth I know what I'm doing and I can rally back up so this is how we create a positive
這是你的真相來源:我知道我在做什麼,而且我可以捲土重來。這就是我們創造正向
1:39:08
feedback loop the positive feedback loop Begins by focusing on high quality setups right there I don't want to see
反饋循環的方式。正向反饋循環始於專注於高品質的交易設定。我不想看到
1:39:16
you on this negative feedback loop that results in blowups I want to see you on the positive feedback loop that means
你陷入負向反饋循環,最終導致爆倉。我希望你處於正向反饋循環中,這意味著
1:39:23
you understand how to manage your risk how to never take trades where you don't have the potential to double whatever
你了解如何管理風險,如何避免進行沒有潛力獲利至少是風險金額兩倍的交易。你冒險損失
1:39:28
you're risking you risk a th000 to make 2,000 you risk $10 to make $20 the ratio is the same it's always 2 to1 because
1000美元,以獲利2000美元;你冒險損失10美元,以獲利20美元。比例相同,始終是2比1,因為
1:39:36
here's the deal if you can trade with a 2:1 profit to loss ratio if you're one: one right here your winners and losers
這裡的重點是,如果你能以2比1的盈虧比交易,那麼你的勝率和敗率相等,盈虧平衡點是50%。如果你是2比1,你的盈虧平衡點就只有30%,或者說33%,對吧?
1:39:43
are equal 50% is your break even if you're 2 to one your break even is only 30 uh 33% 33% right there if you're 1 to
如果你是1比2,也就是你的虧損是獲利的兩倍,你必須有66%的勝率才能達到盈虧平衡。
1:39:51
two where your losers are twice the size of your winners you need to be right 66% of the time in order just to break even
對於初學者來說,這樣的勝率並不可持續,所以你可以降低標準,專注於強勢股,並且只在潛在收益是你風險的兩倍時才交易,這樣才能建立正向回饋循環。
1:39:58
and that's not sustainable for a beginner Trader so you can set the bar Lower and make it easier for you to be
盈利的三個核心要素是:準確性、盈虧比(你的平均獲利與平均虧損的比較),以及一致性。
1:40:03
successful by focusing on the strongest stocks and only trading when you have the potential to double whatever you're
風險管理的第一個要素是交易優質的設定,這就是建立正向回饋循環的方法。
1:40:10
risking that's how you create the positive feedback loop in your trading The Three core components of
現在我要告訴大家,交易有很多東西要學習。你們已經學會並完成了技術分析的終極指南,但現在你們必須學習如何閱讀二級數據,以及如何執行交易。
1:40:16
profitability are accuracy your profit to loss ratio which your average winners compared to your average losers and then
如果你想繼續學習,我會在影片描述中放一些連結,你可以到Warrior Trading進行兩週的試用,觀察我進行交易。
1:40:23
your consistency so the first element in risk management is trading a quality setups and that's how you create a
你可以使用我們的軟體、掃描器、圖表、新聞資訊、聊天室,並開始學習我的Warrior Pro課程中的更進階課程。
1:40:31
positive feedback loop now I'll tell you guys there is a lot to learn when it comes to trading you have now learned
如果你準備好跨出這一步,我們很樂意歡迎你加入。另外,如果你想繼續在這裡的YouTube上學習,請查看更多集數,我會放一些我認為你會喜歡的連結。
1:40:37
and gone through the Ultimate Guide to technical analysis but now you got to learn how to read level two data and how
我期待很快能在下一集中與大家見面。如果你喜歡這次對技術分析的深入探討,請點讚,並且訂閱頻道,以獲取更多關於交易策略的集數。
1:40:44
to execute your trades so if you want to continue learning I'm going to put some links in the description you can do twoe
感謝大家一直以來的收看。提醒大家,交易有風險,我的結果並非典型,所以請管理好你的風險,慢慢來,我很快會在下一次影片中與大家再見。
1:40:49
trial over at Warrior trading watch over my shoulder for two weeks you can use our software our scanners our charts our
感謝大家一直以來的收看。提醒大家,交易有風險,我的結果並非典型,所以請管理好你的風險,慢慢來,我很快會在下一次影片中與大家再見。
1:40:55
news feed the chat room and you begin to go through some of the more advanced classes that are part of my warrior Pro
新聞資訊、聊天室,以及開始學習我Warrior Pro課程中的更進階課程,所以如果你準備好跨出這一步,我們非常樂意歡迎你加入,而且如果你想繼續學習
1:41:00
curriculum so if you're ready to take the leap we'd love to have you guys join and hey if you want to keep learning
課程中的更進階課程,所以如果你準備好跨出這一步,我們非常樂意歡迎你加入,而且如果你想繼續學習,請在YouTube上觀看更多集數,我會在這裡放上一些連結,相信你們會喜歡,並且
1:41:04
here on YouTube please check out more episodes I'll put some links to some right here that I think you'll enjoy and
請在YouTube上觀看更多集數,我會在這裡放上一些連結,相信你們會喜歡,並且我期待在下一個影片中與大家再次見面。
1:41:09
I look forward to seeing you for the next one real soon if you've enjoyed this deep dive into the world of
我期待在下一個影片中與大家再次見面,如果你喜歡這次對技術分析的深入探討,請點讚,並且訂閱頻道,以獲取更多集數。
1:41:14
technical analysis please hit that thumbs up and I hope you subscribe to the channel for more episodes about
請按讚,並希望大家訂閱頻道,以獲取更多關於
1:41:19
trading strategy just like this thank you guys as always for tuning in and reminder trading is risky my results
交易策略的內容,如同這次一樣。感謝各位的收看,同時提醒大家,交易有風險,我的結果
1:41:24
aren't typical so please manage your risk take it slow and I'll see you guys back here for the next upload real soon
並非典型,所以請務必管理好您的風險,並循序漸進。我們下次影片再見。

The ONLY Technical Analysis Guide You'll Ever Need! (Beginner to Advanced)

📝 影片摘要

本單元《技術分析終極指南》由資深交易員 Ross Cameron 主講,旨在教授投資者如何透過解讀K線圖(Candlestick Charts)來預測市場走勢。課程從K線的基本解剖(實體、影線、開盤、收盤、最高、最低)開始,詳細介紹了多種單K線形態(如錘子線、吊人線、流星線)與多K線組合(吞噬形態)。接著深入探討成交量(Volume)、MACD 指標與趨勢線的綜合應用,強調交易時需結合技術指標與市場情緒。Ross 也分享了他個人的交易策略與風險管理心法,教導學員如何辨識高勝率的進場點與避開假突破,最終目標是建立一套可執行的交易系統。

📌 重點整理

  • K線解剖:理解開盤價、收盤價、最高價、最低價及實體與影線的市場意義。
  • 單K線形態:學習錘子線(Hammer)、流星線(Shooting Star)、十字星(Doji)等形態的反轉訊號。
  • 成交量分析:成交量是價格走勢的確認指標,高成交量能驗證趨勢的強度。
  • MACD指標:利用 MACD 的交叉來判斷趨勢的反轉與動能的變化。
  • 趨勢與支撐阻力:學習繪製趨勢線,識別支撐與阻力位,作為進出場的依據。
  • 多時間框架分析:綜合使用 1 分鐘、5 分鐘與日線圖來確認交易訊號。
  • 風險管理:強調在模擬環境中練習,並遵循 2:1 的風險報酬比原則。
  • 交易心理:克服恐懼與貪婪,保持紀律,避免情緒化交易。
📖 專有名詞百科 |點擊詞彙查看維基百科解釋
技術分析
technical analysis
蠟燭圖
candlestick
移動平均收斂發散
MACD
成交量
volume
回調
pullback
趨勢
trend
支撐
support
阻力
resistance
突破
breakout
流動性
liquidity

🔍 自訂查詢

📚 共 10 個重點單字
technical analysis /ˌtɛknɪkəl əˈnæləsɪs/ noun
The study of past market data, primarily price and volume, to forecast future price movements.
技術分析:透過分析歷史市場數據(如價格與成交量)來預測未來價格走勢的方法。
📝 例句
"[65] think by the end of this class you're going to know a whole lot more about how to perform technical analysis than you do right now"
我想在這堂課結束時,你對如何執行技術分析的了解將會比現在多很多。
✨ 延伸例句
"He relies heavily on technical analysis to make trading decisions."
他非常依賴技術分析來做交易決策。
candlestick /ˈkændlstɪk/ noun
A type of financial chart used to describe price movements of a security, derivative, or currency.
K線(蠟燭圖):一種用於描述證券、衍生品或貨幣價格變動的金融圖表。
📝 例句
"[6] read Candlestick charts so you can make accurate predictions about which direction the price is going to go in"
解讀蠟燭圖,以便你能準確預測價格的走向。
✨ 延伸例句
"A long body candlestick indicates strong buying or selling pressure."
長實體K線代表強烈的買方或賣方壓力。
MACD /mæk-d/ noun
Moving Average Convergence Divergence, a trend-following momentum indicator.
移動平均收斂發散指標:一種趨勢跟蹤的動量指標。
📝 例句
"[107] the macd this indicator had crossed over that crossover is a strong indicator that the trend is beginning to reverse"
MACD 這個指標已經交叉了,那個交叉是一個強烈的指標,表明趨勢開始反轉。
✨ 延伸例句
"Traders use MACD to identify potential buy and sell signals."
交易者使用 MACD 來識別潛在的買賣訊號。
volume /ˈvɒljuːm/ noun
The number of shares or contracts traded in a security or market during a given period.
成交量:在特定時間內交易的證券或合約的數量。
📝 例句
"[154] the volume Bars were higher on the selling so we had more selling than we had buying"
成交量柱狀圖顯示賣方成交量更高,賣方的力量大於買方。
✨ 延伸例句
"High volume often confirms a price breakout."
高成交量通常會確認價格的突破。
pullback /ˈpʊlbæk/ noun
A moderate decline in the price of a security or asset from a recent peak.
回調(拉回):證券或資產價格從近期高點的適度下跌。
📝 例句
"[121] even though this has made a nice move up and it's on a pullback you're probably thinking it's not going to work"
即使這支股票已經有不錯的漲勢,並且正在回調,你可能認為它不會成功。
✨ 延伸例句
"I bought the stock during the pullback to the 50-day moving average."
我在股價回調至 50 日均線時買入了這支股票。
trend /trɛnd/ noun
The general direction in which a security or market is moving.
趨勢:證券或市場移動的總體方向。
📝 例句
"[107] that crossover is a strong indicator that the trend is beginning to reverse"
那個交叉是一個強烈的指標,表明趨勢開始反轉。
✨ 延伸例句
"The trend for this stock is clearly upward."
這支股票的趨勢顯然是向上的。
support /səˈpɔːrt/ noun
A price level where a downtrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of demand.
支撐:由於需求集中,預計下跌趨勢會在此暫停的價格水平。
📝 例句
"[3655] that's going to give us additional confirmation that we should be taking this trade so the 9 EMA is an indicator that's helping support"
這將給我們額外的確認,我們應該進行這筆交易,所以 9 EMA 是一個幫助支撐的指標。
✨ 延伸例句
"The stock found support at $50 and bounced back."
該股在 50 美元找到支撐並反彈。
resistance /rɪˈzɪstəns/ noun
A price level where a rising trend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of selling interest.
阻力:由於賣方興趣集中,預計上升趨勢會在此暫停的價格水平。
📝 例句
"[4085] previous support becomes resistance"
先前的支撐變成了阻力。
✨ 延伸例句
"The stock struggled to break through the resistance at $100."
該股難以突破 100 美元的阻力位。
breakout /ˈbreɪkaʊt/ noun
A price movement through a identified level of resistance or support.
突破:價格移動超過已識別的阻力或支撐水平。
📝 例句
"[4180] then we've got the breakout so we often see at these half dollars and whole dollars"
那麼我們就得到了突破,所以我們經常在這些半美元和整美元看到這種情況。
✨ 延伸例句
"A breakout above the $50 level signals a new uptrend."
突破 50 美元水平發出新上升趨勢的訊號。
liquidity /lɪˈkwɪdəti/ noun
The availability of liquid assets to an organization or market, often indicated by high trading volume.
流動性:組織或市場可用的流動資產,通常以高交易量為指標。
📝 例句
"[5194] supply is generally less than 10 million shares lower is better so that's the float"
供應量通常低於 1000 萬股,越低越好,這就是流通股數。
✨ 延伸例句
"Stocks with higher liquidity are easier to buy and sell quickly."
流動性較高的股票更容易快速買賣。
🎯 共 10 題測驗

1 According to the video, what does a large upper candle wick indicate? 根據影片,較大的上影線代表什麼? According to the video, what does a large upper candle wick indicate?

根據影片,較大的上影線代表什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

A large upper candle wick is bearish because it shows that sellers were stronger and pulled the price back down.

較大的上影線是看跌的,因為它顯示賣方更強勢,將價格拉回下跌。

2 What is the 'hammer' candlestick pattern characterized by? 「錘子線」K線形態的特徵是什麼? What is the 'hammer' candlestick pattern characterized by?

「錘子線」K線形態的特徵是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

A hammer is a candle with a small body and a large lower candle wick, indicating buyers stepped in.

錘子線是具有小實體和長下影線的K線,表示買方進場。

3 Which indicator does Ross Cameron primarily use to detect trend reversals? Ross Cameron 主要使用哪個指標來檢測趨勢反轉? Which indicator does Ross Cameron primarily use to detect trend reversals?

Ross Cameron 主要使用哪個指標來檢測趨勢反轉?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The video explicitly mentions that the MACD crossover is a strong indicator that the trend is beginning to reverse.

影片明確提到 MACD 交叉是一個強烈的指標,表明趨勢開始反轉。

4 Why is context important when reading candlesticks? 為什麼解讀K線時「情境」很重要? Why is context important when reading candlesticks?

為什麼解讀K線時「情境」很重要?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

If you just saw one candle by itself, it's out of context so you wouldn't have any real context.

如果你只看到一根K線,它就脫離情境,因此你將沒有真正的背景資訊。

5 What does a 'gravestone doji' suggest in an uptrend? 在上升趨勢中,「墓碑十字星」代表什麼? What does a 'gravestone doji' suggest in an uptrend?

在上升趨勢中,「墓碑十字星」代表什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

In the context of a stock squeezing up, a gravestone doji indicates a reversal is coming as price gets pulled back down.

在股價擠壓上漲的背景下,墓碑十字星表示反轉即將到來,因為價格被拉回下跌。

6 What is the primary time frame used for day trading in this strategy? 此策略中,日內交易主要使用的時間框架是? What is the primary time frame used for day trading in this strategy?

此策略中,日內交易主要使用的時間框架是?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

Active traders primarily use the one-minute time frame for jumping in and out of positions.

積極的交易者主要使用 1 分鐘時間框架來進出部位。

7 What does 'VWAP' stand for? VWAP 是什麼的縮寫? What does 'VWAP' stand for?

VWAP 是什麼的縮寫?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

VWAP stands for Volume Weighted Average Price, which shows the equilibrium price of the stock over the course of the day.

VWAP 代表成交量加權平均價格,顯示當日股票的均衡價格。

8 Why does the author prefer trading stocks with a low float? 作者為什麼偏好交易流通股數(Float)低的股票? Why does the author prefer trading stocks with a low float?

作者為什麼偏好交易流通股數(Float)低的股票?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

A critical component is that the level of supply (float) is generally less than 10 million shares to create an imbalance.

關鍵因素是供應量(流通股)通常低於 1000 萬股,以創造供需失衡。

9 What is the 'candle over candle' pattern? 什麼是「K線越過K線」形態? What is the 'candle over candle' pattern?

什麼是「K線越過K線」形態?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Candle over candle is when you have a candle that makes a new High versus the previous candle.

K線越過K線是指一根K線的收盤價高於前一根K線的高點。

10 What is the first step in the positive feedback loop for trading? 建立正向交易回饋循環的第一步是什麼? What is the first step in the positive feedback loop for trading?

建立正向交易回饋循環的第一步是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The positive feedback loop begins by focusing on A+ quality setups and trading them in a simulator.

正向回饋循環始於專注於 A+ 級高品質的設定,並在模擬器中進行交易。

測驗完成!得分: / 10