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終極新手指南:價格行為模式
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hi traders before we begin today's video I actually have a question for you and that question is why is it that some
各位交易者,在我們開始今天的影片之前,我實際上想問你們一個問題,這個問題是:為什麼有些
00:05
traders can consistently profit using simple price action patterns like the double top or double bottom whereas
交易者能夠穩定獲利,使用像雙頂或雙底這樣簡單的價格行為模式,而
00:12
other traders consistently lose money using these same exact patterns well in today's video that's the exact questions
其他交易者卻持續虧損,即使他們使用的是完全相同的模式?那麼,
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we're going to be answering so if that sounds are going to be valuable to your trading then you need to make sure that
在今天的影片中,我們將會解答這個問題。如果這對你們的交易有價值,
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you're subscribed here to the trading channel and click that notification bell because we come out with valuable
請務必訂閱我們的交易頻道,並點擊通知鈴聲,因為我們每週都會推出
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content just like this each and every week go ahead and click that like button for me while the intro and disclaimer
像這樣有價值的內容。在影片介紹和免責聲明
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roll and I'll see you guys directly act [Music]
播放的同時,請幫我點個讚,稍後我們再見。[音樂]
00:47
so there are three main components and key steps in improving the accuracy of double bottom and double top price
所以,改善雙底和雙頂價格行為模式準確度有三個主要要素和關鍵步驟,
00:55
action patterns and these three components we're going to be discussing today played a major part in the trade
我們今天將會討論這三個要素,它們在我們上週在 EAP 培訓課程中進行的交易中發揮了重要作用,
00:59
you see on your screen which was a double top trade we took in the EAP training program last week so what I'm
也就是螢幕上看到的雙頂交易。所以,我接下來要做的是走到白板前,
01:05
going to do is go ahead and go up to a whiteboard and actually show you guys these three components so first off what
實際向大家展示這三個要素。首先,我想知道有多少人
01:13
I want to know is how many of you are actually trading double tops and double bottom price action patterns in your
正在交易雙頂和雙底的價格行為模式?請在下方留言告訴我,
01:17
trading comment below and let me know and if you are are you doing so just based around the patterns by themselves
如果你們正在交易,是僅僅根據這些模式本身來交易嗎?
01:24
are you trading every double top and every double bottom that you see and if you are let me explain to you why that
也就是說,你們是否交易你們看到的每一個雙頂和每一個雙底?如果是的話,讓我來解釋一下為什麼
01:31
can be a problem so the first thing I'm going to do is show you guys a trending market right this is a trending market
這可能會成為一個問題。所以,我首先要向大家展示一個趨勢市場,
01:36
pushing down now if you're trying to trade double tops and double bottoms and you decide that you're just gonna trade
就像這樣,正在下跌。如果你試圖交易雙頂和雙底,並且決定
01:42
every one of them the problem is every time we trend down and get a lower low before we get that lower low we get a
交易每一個你看到的,那麼問題是,每次我們趨勢下跌並創下更低點時,
01:50
double bottom every single time here's our previous level of structure that we would look for a double bottom off of
在我們創下那個更低點之前,我們都會看到一個雙底。這是我們之前會尋找雙底的結構級別,
01:56
but the market breaks through it here's that previous level of structure again the market breaks through it here's that
但市場突破了它。這是之前的結構級別,市場再次突破了它。這是之前的
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previous level structure again breaks through it as you may have guessed so the problem with just trading double
結構級別,再次被突破。正如你們可能猜到的,僅僅交易雙底的問題在於…
02:08
bottoms everywhere is that you're gonna get a lot of opportunities to trade a double bottom and very few of them are
到處出現底部,代表你將有許多機會交易雙重底部,但實際上市場反轉的雙重底部卻很少。
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actually going to be where a market reverses so if that's what you're doing don't trade double bottoms anymore based
所以,如果你是這樣做的,就不要再交易雙重底部了。
02:20
on that now what is something that we can use in order to limit that number of double bottoms we take based around
那麼,我們可以用什麼來限制交易雙重底部的次數,基於趨勢市場的價格行為呢?
02:27
price action during a trending market well the first key component to improving the accuracy of a double
提高雙重底部交易準確性的第一個關鍵要素,就是等待市場超賣。
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bottom trade is waiting for a market to be overextended so overextended would give the market a reason to reverse
超賣會給市場一個反轉的理由。
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right if we're overextended pushing down we have a reason to reverse and head back higher what an example of that
對,如果市場超跌,我們就有理由反彈回升。
02:46
would look like is something like this as the market trends down and becomes overextended we put in the double bottom
這會是什麼樣子呢?就像這樣,當市場趨勢下跌並變得超賣時,我們就建立雙重底部。
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and then the market shoots up the double bottom and double top our reversal strategies now there is a non subjective
雙重底部和雙重頂部都是反轉策略。現在,有一個非主觀的方法,或者說客觀的方法,可以通過一個我們可能都聽過過的指標來判斷。
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way or a objec give way to know this based on an indicator that we've all probably heard
如果你還沒聽過這個指標,它叫做RSI,它衡量市場的強弱。
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of if not this indicator is called the RSI and it measures the strength in a market that when the strength of a
當市場的強弱過大時,就像這樣,你可以看到RSI指標顯示,這個市場已經超買。
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market is over bolt like so as you can see here on the RSI indicator that means that this market's overextended it's
這表示市場已經持續上漲一段時間。同樣的,當RSI低於我們的底部線時,
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been pushing higher for a long time same thing with below our bottom line that means we've been pushing lower for a
這表示我們已經持續下跌一段時間,而且下跌非常強勁,這意味著這個市場可能已經超賣,
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long time that we've been pushing lower in a very strong way meaning that this market could possibly be overextended
並為反轉做好準備。所以,如果你只是將這個指標納入你的雙重底部交易策略,等待市場超賣,
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and primed for a reversal so if you just include this into your double bottom trading strategy waiting for a market to
就能大幅減少你的虧損。因此,關鍵要素的第一點,就是在尋找雙重底部交易之前,等待市場超賣。
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be overextended to the downside it will cut the number of losses you have dramatically so that's gonna be key
第二點會稍微進階一些,但你們可能都聽過。
03:45
component number one is waiting for an overextended market before looking for double bottom trades number two is going
這就是等待市場突破結構。
03:52
to be something somewhat advanced but you've all probably heard of as well this is something called waiting for a
這會是什麼樣子呢?如果我們再看一下圖表,我們有一個上漲的走勢。
03:57
market to beat at structure so what would that look like if we look at the chart one more time we have a move up
假設我們正在尋找雙重底部,然後發生這種情況,接著市場開始下跌。
04:03
let's say we're looking for double bottoms and this happens and then we get this move the market starts trending
好,現在我們正在下跌,正如你所看到的,這個市場在這裡停了下來,我們有一個價位。
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down well now that we're trending down here as you can see where this market has stopped right here we have a level
40.
04:16
of support let me draw that line a little straighter and at that level of support this market is also oversold on
這個支撐位讓我畫得更直一點,在這個支撐位,這個市場也處於超賣狀態。
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the RSI see now we're putting things together now we're getting to a point where combining conditions before we
看看RSI,現在我們把各個因素串聯起來,正在接近一個結合條件的點,這樣做可以大幅提高雙底和雙頂的準確性。
04:29
look for double bottoms and that can improve the accuracy of double bottom and double topped rates dramatically
如果你每次看到雙底就交易,那麼限制交易次數,就像這樣,可以大幅提高雙底和雙頂的準確性,因為現在我們觀察的是一個之前已經被測試過,且市場曾用作支撐的結構層級。
04:35
whenever you limit the number of trades you make again going back to the beginning if you were just trading
每當你限制交易次數時,再次回到最開始,如果你只是在看到雙底時就交易,那麼限制交易次數可以避免你陷入許多
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double bottoms every time you saw one if you limit traits like this that one is gonna keep you from being in a lot of
虧損交易,同時也能大幅提高雙底的準確性,因為現在我們觀察的是
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losing trades two is going to increase the accuracy of a double bottom dramatically because now we're looking
一個先前已被測試過的結構層級,而且市場已經將其用作支撐,我們知道這些地方很可能再次被用作支撐。
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at a market at a level of structure that's previously been tested and used by the market as support already and we
我們也看到這個市場處於超延伸狀態,我現在在圖表上畫了很多箭頭,但我們也觀察到這個市場
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know that those places in the market are likely to be used as support once more we also are looking at this market as
處於超延伸狀態,當我們跌至這個支撐位時,市場正處於超延伸狀態。
05:05
overextended and I am drawing a lot of arrows on this chart right now but we're also looking at this market as
如果你只在這種情況下尋找雙底,就像跑了三英里的路,
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overextended and we get down to this level of support while the markets overextended
我本來要跳進泳池涼快一下,但在跑步時,我開始思考目標和
05:14
what if this is the only time you looked for double bottoms sub traders just kept on with about a three-mile run I was
我今年真正想完成的一件事,就是我想培養一千名獲利的Forex交易員。
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gonna jump in the pool here and cool off but on this run I started thinking of goals and
無論這1000人是來自我們的免費資源,例如YouTube和電子郵件列表,還是透過
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something I want to accomplish this year that I'm really excited about is I want to create 1000 profitable forex traders
EAP培訓計畫,都完全無關緊要,我知道實現這個目標的第一步是為大家提供極高的價值。
05:36
now whether these 1000 people come from some of our free resources like that YouTube and our email list or through
所以我會把一個連結放在影片描述中,連結到一個我回家後,在跳進泳池之前錄製的三部分培訓系列。
05:44
the EAP training program is completely irrelevant and I know the first step in doing that is by offering you guys some
如果你願意參與這個三部分系列,我們將討論結構性趨勢和反轉,我會教大家一個基於這三個概念的完整
05:49
extreme value so what I'm gonna do is I'm gonna put a link in the description to a three-part training series that I'm
交易策略。如果你對此感興趣,想獲得這些免費
05:55
gonna record as soon as I get back home after I take a dip in the pool here and if you'd like to take part in this
培訓,只需點擊下面的連結。我先去泳池泡一下,在培訓中見!如果
06:00
three-part series we're gonna be talking about structured trend and reversals and I'm gonna teach you guys an entire
這個三部分系列講座,我們將討論結構性趨勢與反轉,我會教大家一個完整的
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strategy based around those three concepts so if you interested in that if you want to get some of that free
策略,基於這三個概念。所以如果你對此有興趣,想要獲得這個免費
06:09
training just click the link below I'm gonna take a dip in the pool and I'll see you guys in the training what if
訓練,只需點擊下面的連結。我先去泳池泡一下,訓練中見。如果
06:14
that's the only place you didn't trade this double bottom that happened right here you didn't trade this double bottom
這是你沒有交易的唯一一個雙底,就在這裡,你沒有交易這個雙底。
06:20
that happened right here the only time you even consider double bottom traits is it previous level of structure
就在這裡發生的雙底,你只在之前的結構層級考慮雙底特徵。
06:25
support while the markets oversold with the RSI indicator how much I'm more accurate do you think a double bottom
在市場超賣時,配合RSI指標作為支撐,你認為這樣能更準確地判斷雙底嗎?
06:32
would be using those two examples and that's only key component number two the third and final key component we're
使用這兩個例子,雙底的關鍵要素就只有兩個,第三個也是最後一個關鍵要素,我們將在
06:37
gonna discuss before we go down to the charts take a look at a couple of examples and take a look at that live
進入圖表之前討論,看看幾個例子,以及目前美元日圓的即時交易。
06:41
trade we're still currently in on the dollar yen the third and key component of improving double top and double
改善雙頂和雙底價格行為模式的第三個關鍵要素是穩定性,穩定性非常重要,各位,因為如果你看到
06:48
bottom price action pattern traits is consistency and consistency is key guys because if you're looking at double
雙底,然後交易它,我們有結構層級,接著是回測,然後向上突破,對吧,如果你也
06:55
bottoms and you trade that double bottom we have a structure level then a retest and then a push-up right and you also
交易這個雙底,而且你還交易這個雙底,看起來像一個完美的W,如果你以這種方式交易,
07:02
trade this double bottom and you also trade this double bottom looks like a perfect W if you're trading in that way
你的交易會有多穩定?如果沒有明確的規則,會非常不穩定。
07:08
how consistent is your trading going to be pretty inconsistent if you don't have specific rules very specific rules in
如果你沒有具體的規則來進行雙底交易,那麼你就會在交易雙底時遇到問題,你的交易會不穩定。
07:16
order to place double bottom trades then you're gonna have issues trading double bottoms you're going to be inconsistent
所以第三個要素是通過制定規則來保持穩定地交易雙底。
07:22
in your trading so the third component is being consistent by creating rules for a double bottom
例如,規則可以是當你向下突破以進行雙底交易時,這裡有一根K線,
07:28
for instance the rule could be that as you push down for your double bottom trade we have a candlestick here let's
假設這是第一次下跌的最低點,我們得到一波上漲,然後回調到之前的支撐位,
07:36
say this is the swing low of this first push we get a rally and then the pull back towards that previous support level
我們將用作雙底第一步的支撐位,那麼在這裡,我們不希望看到什麼?
07:44
that we're gonna use as the first step of our double bottom well here what is one thing we don't want to see well if
如果你是一位經驗豐富的延續交易者,或者你對目前趨勢有一定了解,你會知道,如果我們看到
07:51
you're a trained continuation trader or if you know a little bit about trend as of right now you know that if we get a
一根K線收盤價跌破之前的最低點,就在這裡,
07:56
candle that closes below the previous swing low right here let's say that
假設發生了這種情況,那麼這是一個非常重要的信號,表明我們可能會看到市場的趨勢延續。
08:03
happens then that's a pretty significant sign that we could see some trend continuation out of this market and guys
如果我們看到趨勢延續,我們還想交易反轉模式嗎?不,我們不想。
08:11
if we could see trend continuation do we want to trade a reversal pattern no no we do not so what's another thing we can
那麼我們還可以尋找什麼呢?在進入之前,如果我們看到它收盤價低於這個最低點,
08:18
look for well before we get into that if we see it close lower than this low right here
就在這裡。
08:24
then we want to discount that trade right because we know that means possible trend continuation well what if
然後我們想要對這筆交易進行折價,因為我們知道這代表著可能的趨勢延續。但如果
08:32
we have something that doesn't even touch the lower half of this body let's say we have a wick that comes down like
我們遇到一個甚至連這個主體的下半部分都沒有觸及的情況呢?假設我們有一個像這樣下跌的影線,
08:38
this and this is our candle and this double bottom comes down like that instead of what we see on the screen now
這就是我們的蠟燭,而這個雙底就以這種方式形成,而不是我們現在在螢幕上看到的。
08:45
so this would be more of that situation now what what do you think is gonna happen in this case well this can be a
所以這更像是一種情況。那麼,你認為這種情況會發生什麼呢?嗯,這可能是一個
08:52
double bottom you can use this as a rule but for a double bottom what you need to see two bottoms because at this point we
雙底,你可以把它當作一條規則。但對於雙底,你需要看到兩個底部,因為目前我們
08:58
have one bottom and then we have kind of a push up and a pullback could lead to another push up or this could just keep
只有一個底部,然後我們看到一波上漲和回調,這可能會導致另一波上漲,或者這可能只是
09:05
going down we don't really know that it's not really a double bottom at that point so let's delete those two and talk
一直下跌,我們其實不知道。所以在那時,它還不是真正的雙底。讓我們刪除這兩個,然後談談
09:11
about what we actually look for for double bottoms here well for me a double bottom needs to look something like this
我們真正尋找的雙底是什麼。對我來說,一個雙底需要看起來像這樣,
09:16
we need to have that second push down and I need to see a candle that at least touches the bottom of the body of this
我們需要有第二次的下跌,而且我需要看到一個至少觸及第一個蠟燭主體底部的蠟燭,
09:23
first candle but does not close below the bottom of that wick that swing low to signal trend continuation as long as
但不能收盤在那個影線的下方,這個最低點的擺盪,用以信號趨勢延續,只要
09:31
we have that in some way we now have one bottom to bottom by touching the lower half of that body of that candle or the
我們以某種方式做到這一點,我們現在就有了一個底部到底部的底部,透過觸及該蠟燭主體下半部或
09:38
lower point of the body of this first wing low so we have two bottoms and we do not have a lower low lower
這個第一個低點擺盪的主體最低點。所以我們有兩個底部,而且我們沒有看到更低的低點,
09:45
closed signaling trend continuation these are rules that we can use consistently to place double bottom and
更低的收盤價,信號趨勢延續。這些是可以持續使用的規則,用以建立雙底和
09:51
double top traits of course for a double top just flip it around and that creates key component number three which is
雙頂交易。當然,對於雙頂,你只需要將它翻轉過來,這就構成了關鍵要素編號三,也就是
09:56
consistency in our trading base around double tops double bottom price action patterns now for us at the trading
在我們的交易基礎中,圍繞雙頂和雙底價格行為模式的一致性。現在,對於交易
10:02
channel I'm not gonna sit here and tell you guys that this is all we use in order to trade double tops and double
頻道來說,我不會坐在這裡告訴大家,這就是我們交易雙頂和雙
10:06
bottoms there are more accurate ways but those are the things that we get into in the EAP training program this is not a
底的全部方法。還有更準確的方法,但這些內容我們會在EAP培訓課程中深入探討。這不是
10:12
sales pitch it would just be wrong of me to disclose all of that information for free here on YouTube whenever people are
一場推銷,如果我免費在這裡在YouTube上公開所有這些資訊,那是不對的,因為人們正在
10:17
paying for it in the EAP training program but let's go ahead and move down to the dollar yen trade that we had in
為EAP培訓課程付費。但讓我們繼續往下看,討論EAP中的美元日圓交易,
10:23
the EAP and talk about how these three key components played a massive role in creating success in that trade so if we
看看這三個關鍵要素如何在該交易中發揮了巨大的作用,創造了成功。所以如果我們
10:29
scroll the chart down here you can see that trade and do you notice anything familiar compared to what we just
滾動圖表向下,你可以看到這筆交易,你注意到任何與我們剛才討論的特定交易機會相似之處嗎?嗯,當然你可能注意到了,我們有一個市場正在上漲。
10:35
discussed about this specific trading opportunity well of course you probably do we have a market that was pushing up
我們正在等待超買的市場,這個市場正在上漲,你在RSI指標上看到什麼?我們有一個超買的RSI。
10:43
right we're waiting for overextended markets this market was pushing up what do you see right here on the RSI we have
所以現在我們知道市場正在上漲,而且在上升後已經超買,這意味著我們已經準備好迎接反轉。
10:51
an overbought RSI so now we know that the markets pushing up we're overextended after pushing up meaning
我們來到一個重要的結構位置,現在我們在這個重要的結構位置,已經超買,我們接下來在尋找什麼?
10:57
we're primed for a reversal we get to a major level of structure now we're at this major level structure we're already
接下來,我們在尋找與雙頂或在本例中雙底模式一致的規則,就像我們之前討論的那樣。
11:06
overextended what are we looking for next next we're looking for those consistent rules of a double top in this
我們剛才討論了雙頂的一致性規則,我們在這裡看到它了嗎?是的,我們看到了。
11:13
case double bottoms what we discussed earlier consistent rules of a double top that we just discussed do we get that
再次強調,還有其他關鍵要素促成了這個特定的交易機會,我們在EAP培訓計畫中使用。
11:19
here yes we do and again there were other key components that went into this specific trading opportunity that we use
但我們剛才討論的所有內容都是創造這個交易成功的關鍵要素。
11:24
in the EAP training program but all of the things we just discussed were key components and creating success in this
而且,正如你所見,目前這筆交易已經上漲了超過一百點子。
11:30
trade as well and as you can see currently this trade up a little over a hundred pips right now
我們已經觸及了第一個目標,並將止損移至損益平衡點。我實際上會將螢幕截圖發佈在郵件分析的左側。
11:35
and we've already hit first targets move the stop-loss to break-even I'll actually post a screenshot to the left
這是我們每週發送給參與EAP培訓計畫的交易者三到五次的郵件。
11:41
of the email analysis we set out for this trade these are emails we send three to five times a week for traders
但現在我們已經完成了這個操作,並且看到它在美元日圓上奏效,市場下跌,我們接下來預期美元會怎樣?
11:46
involved in the EAP training program but now that we've done this right we've seen this work on the dollar yen push
如果你熟悉我螢幕上的藍色和紅色線條,它們通常標示出主要的和次要的結構層級,也就是阻力位和支撐位。
11:53
the market down what are we expecting next out of the dollar yeah well currently if you're familiar
現在我們在哪裡?我們處於一個先前的主要支撐位。我的藍線標示了這個位置。
11:58
with the blue and red lines I normally put on my screen these point out major and minor levels of structure resistance
這個市場觸及了那個支撐位,並在下方收盤,這表示趨勢正在延續。
12:04
and support right now where are we at we are at a previous level of major support my blue line indicates that for me so I
很好,在那之後發生了什麼非常重要。在跌破這個支撐位後,我們現在創造了一個更低的低點,回升後,又在這個先前的支撐位找到支撐。
12:12
have this previous level of major support the market hit that level close below it signaling trend continuation
這是一個非常熟悉的古老模式,稱為「頭肩頂」模式。
12:19
right well what happened after that is pretty significant after closing below this level we have now created a lower
稍作打斷,我想在此之前快速說明一下。
12:29
low pushed back up and we're finding support at this previous level this is a very familiar age-old pattern called the
低點反彈上漲,並在之前的水平找到支撐。這是一個非常熟悉且古老的模式,稱為
12:37
Head and Shoulders pattern a traitor's so one more brief interruption before we continue and this is something I meant
頭肩頂模式。所以,在我們繼續之前,我想再快速補充說明一點。
12:44
to plug into this video but I just realized through the editing process that I did not is that just because
很高興能參與這段影片的製作,但我剛剛在剪輯過程中才意識到,僅僅因為我們
12:48
we're sitting here talking about these different rules we can apply to double tops and double bottoms and we
坐在這裡討論適用於雙重頂底的各種規則,以及我們
12:53
specifically right now talking about these rules on head and shoulders patterns does not mean that this is
特別是現在討論頭肩型態的這些規則,並不代表這會讓你的交易策略百分之百準確。你看,當我們交易時,我們試圖做的是利用一個
12:58
gonna make a strategy 100 percent accurate you see when we're trading what we're trying to do is capitalize on a
相對於市場的統計優勢,就像賭場利用他們每次你把錢給擲骰子檯的莊家時所擁有的微小優勢一樣。
13:06
statistical advantage that we have over the market the same way casinos capitalize on a slight advantage they
賭場知道,隨著時間的推移,他們將創造成功,因為美元日圓貨幣對出現了頭肩型態,對吧?
13:12
have every single time you give money to the person running the craps table they have an advantage and they know that
現在,即使在一個結構層級上,市場也處於超買狀態,這並不意味著它有百分之百的機會上漲。
13:18
they know over time they're going to create success because the dollar yen has a Head and Shoulders pattern right
這並不是交易的運作方式。我們尋找這些統計優勢,各位,要知道你是否
13:24
now at a level structure with an overextended market doesn't mean there's a hundred percent chance that it goes up
擁有統計優勢的唯一方法就是透過歷史數據進行測試,並查看過去市場有多少次
13:28
that's just not how trading works we look for these statistical advantages and guys the only way to know if you
以某種方式做出反應。例如,對於頭肩型態,在結構層級上,當
13:35
have a statistical advantage is to test through historical data and see how many times throughout the past has the market
市場處於超買狀態時,應用你的特定頭肩型態規則,市場有多少次上漲
13:43
reacted in a certain way for instance with the head and shoulders pattern how many times at a level of structure while
足以達到你的目標價,而沒有觸及你的停損價?我知道這說了很多,但這就是你必須做的,這
13:49
the market is overextended putting in your specific rules for a head and shoulders pattern has the market went up
並不輕鬆。你必須研究市場,找到你的統計優勢,找到你擁有的優勢
13:54
enough to hit your targets before hitting your stop-loss I know that was a lot but that's what you have to do it's
相對於市場。我們之所以以這種方式交易,之所以我知道我想交易美元的那個雙重
14:00
not easy you have to go through markets and find your statistical advantage find the advantage you have over the market
頂底,是因為我們觀察到它,而不是因為我知道它肯定會下跌,也不是因為我知道這些都是百分之百
14:05
the reason we trade this way the reason I knew that I wanted to trade that double
準確的。這就是風險管理存在的意義,這就是為什麼我每次下單時只承擔我帳戶中非常小的一部分風險。
14:09
on the dollar um we just looked at it's not because I knew it was gonna go down it's not because I knew those are 100%
這些關鍵概念也是你在交易中取得成功之前必須理解的概念。我知道現在你可能正在掙扎,或者才剛剛開始你的交易
14:14
accurate wait for to go down that's why risk management's in place that's why only risk a very small portion of my
之旅,所以你不了解這些沒關係。但如果你正在掙扎,並且難以在交易中建立穩定性,
14:20
account every time I place a trade these key concepts are also concepts that you're gonna have to understand before
帳戶的資金,每次下單時,這些關鍵概念也是你必須理解的,才能在
14:25
creating success in trading and I know right now you may either be struggling or just now beginning in your trading
交易中取得成功。我知道你現在可能正在掙扎,或者剛開始你的交易
14:31
journey so it's okay that you don't know that but if you're struggling and you're having trouble creating consistency in
之旅,所以你不了解這些沒關係。但如果你正在掙扎,並且難以在交易中建立穩定性,
14:37
your trading when it comes to profit when it comes to not losing your entire account some of these reasons we're
在獲利方面,以及避免失去你整個帳戶方面,你交易時,我們現在討論的這些原因可能是原因所在。
14:42
discussing right now could be why so I just wanted to throw you guys another little piece of the puzzle which is make
我只是想再提供大家一小塊拼圖,那就是務必回測所有這些。
14:48
sure the backtest all of this make sure that you have a statistical advantage even demo trading this for a while it
確保你擁有統計上的優勢,甚至可以先用模擬交易來測試一段時間,這會讓你對自己是否在市場上擁有優勢有個相當好的概念。
14:54
will give you a pretty good idea of whether or not you have an advantage over the market also implementing risk
另外,在你看到自己只有六成、五成五甚至五成的時間能獲勝時,就必須實施風險管理。
14:59
management after you see that you're only gonna win sixty percent of the time or fifty-five percent of the time or
根據這些數字,你必須制定風險管理計畫。
15:04
maybe only fifty percent of the time with a good risk reward you have to implement a risk management plan based
所以,再次強調,這是一個所有專業交易者都必須經歷的關鍵且重要的流程。
15:09
on those numbers so again that's the key and important process that we all have to go through as professional traders I
我至今仍在回測策略,我所經歷的流程與你現在開始的流程相同,如果你打算在你的交易事業中取得成功。
15:14
back test strategies to this day I go through the same process to this day that you'll have to start if you plan to
希望這對大家有所幫助,如果你們在這些方面遇到困難。
15:21
actually create success in your trading business so hopefully that helps out if any of you are struggling in those areas
我們現在回到影片,稍後再見。
15:26
we're going to get back to the video now see you guys over there and the way that you can apply the same exact information
你可以將我們剛才討論的關於雙頂和雙底的相同資訊應用到所有價格行為模式的方法是,為了交易這個
15:33
we just talked about for the double top and double bottom to all price action patterns is that in order to trade this
頭肩頂模式,如果你要應用我們在本影片中討論的所有規則,你會尋找的是一個市場,它向下推動,並且在下跌方面過度延伸。
15:39
Head and Shoulders pattern let's say if you were to apply every rule we just discussed in this video what you would
我們在這裡看到什麼?
15:44
be looking for is a market that was pushing down overextended to the downside what do we have right here
一個大幅下跌、過度延伸且觸及超賣的市場,在第一次測試中。
15:52
major push down overextended market that went oversold on this first test we then have what's
然後我們看到所謂的RSI背離,我們將在稍後的另一段影片中深入探討這個主題。
15:58
called RSI divergence we'll get into that topic a little later on in a different video we didn't have RSI
我們在這次新低時沒有RSI背離,現在我們有了這次的回測,形成了頭肩頂模式。
16:03
divergence with this new low and now we have this retest creating the Head and Shoulders pattern what you would do in
為了將這些相同的策略應用到不同的價格行為模式,例如頭肩頂模式,你可以說我正在等待一個過度延伸的市場,
16:09
order to apply these same tactics to a different price action pattern like the Head & Shoulders pattern is say I'm
我們有超賣的情況,我正在等待一個結構性的阻力或支撐位,讓市場可以從中產生反應,而我們在這裡有。
16:15
waiting for an overextended market we have oversold I'm waiting for a level of structural resistance or support for the
最後一個關鍵要素是,大家為這個價格行為模式制定規則,制定一套明確的、具體的規則,你可以用來在市場上持續交易這個模式。
16:21
market to be reacting from which we have here and then the last key component is wet guys creating rules for this price
所以。
16:28
action pattern creating set in stone specific rules you can use to trade this pattern consistently in the markets so
價位走勢模式,制定一套明確且具體的規則,以便在市場上持續交易這個模式。所以
16:35
there was three key steps and components to improve the accuracy of all price action patterns guys I hope it was
改善所有價位走勢模式準確度有三個關鍵步驟和要素,各位希望對你們有價值。
16:41
valuable to you I hope you got some good information out of this video if you enjoyed this training one we have an
希望你們從這部影片中獲得了有用的資訊,如果你喜歡這次的教學,我們有一個
16:46
absolutely free reversal training series it's a three part series that we're offering to you guys for absolutely free
完全免費的反轉訓練系列課程,這個系列課程共有三部分,我們完全免費提供給各位。
16:51
there's a link in the description to this series there's a clip of me at the pool telling you guys about this as well
這個系列課程的連結在影片描述中,影片中也有我在泳池邊向大家介紹這個課程的片段。
16:56
but that link is in the description labeled free reversal training and in this three-part series guys we tell you
但那個連結在描述中標記為「免費反轉訓練」,在這個三部分系列課程中,我們會告訴大家
17:02
an entire strategy based around some of the key components we discussed here and a couple of other components we use in
一個完整的策略,基於我們在這裡討論的一些關鍵要素,以及我們在
17:07
order to trade reversal so get your hands on that it's absolutely free to take and if you're interested in some
交易反轉時使用的其他一些要素,所以趕快去取得它吧,完全免費。
17:13
more advanced training that goes beyond the scope of the things we talked about here in YouTube videos or the free
如果你對更進階的訓練感興趣,這些訓練內容超越了我們在 YouTube 影片或免費
17:17
trainings that we offer and you're ready to invest in your trading education of course we have the EAP training program
課程中討論的範圍,並且你準備好投資於你的交易教育,我們當然有 EAP 訓練計畫。
17:23
that we've ran here at the trading channel for a couple of years and that has gotten fantastic results from
我們在交易頻道已經運行這個計畫好幾年了,而且來自世界各地的交易者都取得了非常棒的成果。
17:27
traders around the world if you're interested in learning more about that program there's also a link in the
如果你對了解更多關於這個計畫的資訊感興趣,影片描述中也有一個標記為「EAP」的連結。
17:32
description labeled EAP I look forward to hearing from you either way also comment below let me know some topics
無論如何,我都期待收到你們的回應,另外,請在下方留言,告訴我你們希望我未來製作哪些主題的影片。
17:37
you guys would like me to do some videos on in the future also make sure you're subscribed here if you're new make sure
如果你是新手,請務必訂閱本頻道,而且在離開之前,請務必點讚。
17:42
you click that like button for me before you go if you enjoyed this content and I will talk to you guys in the next video
如果你喜歡這個內容,我們下次影片再見。
17:52
[Music]
[音樂]
18:04
[Music]
[音樂]

終極新手指南:價格行為模式

📝 影片摘要

本單元旨在為新手交易者解密K線圖中的價格行為模式,特別是雙頂和雙底。影片強調單純依賴這些模式進行交易往往會導致虧損,因為市場中存在大量的假信號。為了提高交易準確性,影片提出了三個關鍵要素:等待市場超賣(利用RSI指標判斷)、等待價格突破結構(尋找先前被測試過的支撐或阻力位)、以及保持交易規則的一致性。透過結合這些要素,交易者可以更有效地篩選出真實的反轉機會,減少不必要的損失,並建立穩定的交易策略。影片最後也介紹了EAP培訓計畫,提供更深入的學習資源。

📌 重點整理

  • 僅僅依賴雙頂和雙底模式交易容易受騙,需結合其他因素。
  • 等待市場超賣是提高雙底/雙頂準確性的關鍵,RSI指標可作為判斷依據。
  • 尋找價格突破結構(先前支撐/阻力位)能增加交易成功的機率。
  • 建立一致的交易規則,避免情緒化操作,是長期獲利的基礎。
  • 風險管理至關重要,需要透過歷史數據回測策略,並制定相應的風險計畫。
📖 專有名詞百科 |點擊詞彙查看維基百科解釋
過度延伸的
overextended
一致的
consistent
結構
structure
反轉
reversal
燭芯
wick
打折
discount
趨勢的
trending
客觀的
objective
基於
premised
波動性
volatility

🔍 自訂查詢

📚 共 10 個重點單字
overextended /ˌoʊvərɪkˈstendɪd/ adjective
stretched or strained to an excessive degree
過度延伸的;過度擴張的
📝 例句
"The market became overextended after a long rally."
在長時間的上漲後,市場變得過度延伸。
✨ 延伸例句
"The athlete's muscles were overextended during the intense training."
這位運動員的肌肉在劇烈的訓練中過度伸展。
consistent /kənˈsɪstənt/ adjective
acting or done in the same way over time, especially so as to be fair or accurate.
一致的;穩定的
📝 例句
"Consistent application of the rules is crucial for success."
一致應用規則對於成功至關重要。
✨ 延伸例句
"She is a consistent performer, always delivering high-quality work."
她是一位表現穩定的員工,始終交付高品質的工作。
structure /ˈstrʌktʃər/ noun
the arrangement of and relations between parts of a system or organization.
結構;組織
📝 例句
"Waiting for a market to break structure is key."
等待市場突破結構是關鍵。
✨ 延伸例句
"The building's structure was designed to withstand earthquakes."
這棟建築的結構設計可以承受地震。
reversal /rɪˈvɜːrsəl/ noun
a change to an opposite direction, position, or course of action.
反轉;逆轉
📝 例句
"Double bottoms and double tops are reversal strategies."
雙底和雙頂是反轉策略。
✨ 延伸例句
"The company experienced a dramatic reversal of fortune."
該公司經歷了一次戲劇性的命運逆轉。
wick /wɪk/ noun
the thin part of a candle or oil lamp that burns.
燭芯;燈芯
📝 例句
"The candle has a long wick at the top."
這根蠟燭頂部有一根長的燭芯。
✨ 延伸例句
"The wick of the oil lamp needed trimming."
油燈的燈芯需要修剪。
discount /ˈdɪskaʊnt/ verb
to reduce the usual price of something.
打折;折價
📝 例句
"We want to discount that trade because we know that means possible trend continuation."
我們想要折價那筆交易,因為我們知道這意味著可能的趨勢延續。
✨ 延伸例句
"The store is offering a 20% discount on all items."
該商店正在為所有商品提供 20% 的折扣。
trending /ˈtrendɪŋ/ adjective
having a general direction or tendency.
趨勢的;走勢的
📝 例句
"The market is trending down."
市場正在趨勢下跌。
✨ 延伸例句
"The latest fashion trends are often influenced by social media."
最新的時尚趨勢通常受到社交媒體的影響。
objective /əbˈdʒektɪv/ adjective
based on facts rather than feelings or opinions.
客觀的;不主觀的
📝 例句
"There is an objective way to know this based on an indicator."
基於指標,有一種客觀的方法來了解這一點。
✨ 延伸例句
"The journalist strived to present an objective account of the events."
這位記者努力呈現對事件的客觀報導。
premised /ˈpremɪst/ verb
based on
基於
📝 例句
"This entire strategy is premised on the three concepts we've discussed."
整個策略基於我們討論的這三個概念。
✨ 延伸例句
"The argument is premised on the assumption that everyone wants to be happy."
這個論點基於每個人都想快樂的假設。
volatility /ˌvɒləˈtɪləti/ noun
the quality of being likely to change suddenly
波動性;不穩定性
📝 例句
"The market is experiencing high volatility."
市場正經歷高度波動。
✨ 延伸例句
"Oil prices are notoriously volatile."
石油價格以波動劇烈而聞名。
🎯 共 10 題測驗

1 影片中強調,僅僅依靠雙頂/雙底模式交易的最大問題是什麼? What is the biggest problem with relying solely on double top/double bottom patterns, as emphasized in the video? 影片中強調,僅僅依靠雙頂/雙底模式交易的最大問題是什麼?

What is the biggest problem with relying solely on double top/double bottom patterns, as emphasized in the video?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The video highlights that trading every double top/bottom leads to many losing trades because of false signals.

影片強調,交易每一個雙頂/雙底會因為假信號而導致許多虧損交易。

2 提高雙底/雙頂準確性的第一個關鍵要素是什麼? What is the first key component to improving the accuracy of double bottom/double top patterns? 提高雙底/雙頂準確性的第一個關鍵要素是什麼?

What is the first key component to improving the accuracy of double bottom/double top patterns?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The video states that waiting for a market to be overextended is the first key component.

影片指出,等待市場超賣是第一個關鍵要素。

3 RSI 指標可以用來判斷什麼? What can the RSI indicator be used to determine? RSI 指標可以用來判斷什麼?

What can the RSI indicator be used to determine?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The RSI indicator measures market strength and can identify overbought or oversold conditions.

RSI 指標衡量市場強弱,可以識別超買或超賣狀況。

4 等待價格突破結構指的是什麼? What does waiting for price to break structure refer to? 等待價格突破結構指的是什麼?

What does waiting for price to break structure refer to?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

It refers to waiting for the price to break below a previously tested support level.

指的是等待價格跌破先前被測試過的支撐位。

5 影片中提到的第三個關鍵要素是什麼? What is the third key component mentioned in the video? 影片中提到的第三個關鍵要素是什麼?

What is the third key component mentioned in the video?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The third key component is consistency in applying trading rules.

第三個關鍵要素是在應用交易規則時保持一致性。

6 如果價格跌破雙底結構的最低點,應該怎麼辦? If the price breaks below the lowest point of a double bottom structure, what should you do? 如果價格跌破雙底結構的最低點,應該怎麼辦?

If the price breaks below the lowest point of a double bottom structure, what should you do?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

Breaking below the low point suggests a continuation of the downtrend, so consider a stop-loss or abandoning the trade.

跌破最低點表示趨勢可能延續,因此應考慮止損或放棄交易。

7 EAP 訓練計畫主要提供什麼? What does the EAP training program primarily offer? EAP 訓練計畫主要提供什麼?

What does the EAP training program primarily offer?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The EAP training program offers more advanced trading techniques beyond what's discussed in free resources.

EAP 訓練計畫提供比免費資源更進階的交易技巧。

8 在交易策略中回測的目的是什麼? What is the purpose of backtesting in a trading strategy? 在交易策略中回測的目的是什麼?

What is the purpose of backtesting in a trading strategy?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

Backtesting helps identify whether a strategy has a statistical edge over time.

回測有助於確定策略是否在時間上具有統計優勢。

9 影片中提到,專業交易者需要經常做什麼? The video mentions that professional traders need to frequently do what? 影片中提到,專業交易者需要經常做什麼?

The video mentions that professional traders need to frequently do what?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The video emphasizes the importance of continuously backtesting strategies.

影片強調持續回測策略的重要性。

10 關於風險管理,影片建議如何操作? Regarding risk management, what does the video suggest? 關於風險管理,影片建議如何操作?

Regarding risk management, what does the video suggest?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The video advocates for developing a risk plan based on backtesting results and win rates.

影片提倡根據回測結果和勝率制定風險計畫。

測驗完成!得分: / 10