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The Only Technical Analysis Video You Will Ever Need... (Full Course: Beginner To Advanced)
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your ability to use technical analysis in order to make good trading decisions and inevitably make money in any market
您運用技術分析做出良好交易決策,並在任何市場中穩賺不賠的能力
00:08
is imperative it's something you cannot do without and if you do not understand some parts of technical analysis or if
至關重要,這是您不可或缺的技能;如果您不理解技術分析的某些部分,或者
00:16
you don't know how to use them correctly then that is likely a huge reason that you are currently either losing money as
您不知道如何正確使用它們,那麼這很可能就是您目前身為交易者正在虧損,或者
00:23
a trader or struggling to create profits over time so for that reason what i want to do in today's video is show you
長期難以創造獲利的主要原因。因此,在今天的影片中,我想做的是向您展示
00:30
everything you need to know about technical analysis we're going to be going all the way from what a
您需要了解的關於技術分析的一切。我們將從什麼是
00:34
candlestick chart is to indicators support and resistance trend all the way to entry patterns and how to take stops
K線圖開始,一路講解到指標、支撐與阻力、趨勢,再到進場型態以及如何設置停損
00:42
and targets we're dissecting everything today in this video i will be pouring all the knowledge about technical
和目標。今天我們將在這部影片中剖析一切。我將把我過去十年交易生涯中
00:49
analysis that i have gained over the past decade of my own trading career into one video and since i'm doing that
關於技術分析所學到的所有知識,全部灌注在這一部影片中。既然我這樣做了,
00:56
for absolutely free it would be awesome if you could just smash that like button for me to help out with the youtube
而且完全是免費的,如果您能幫我按個讚,協助推廣 YouTube 演算法,那就太棒了。如果您是新朋友,請點擊那個訂閱按鈕,因為我們每週都會推出像這樣的內容。
01:01
algorithm if you are new go ahead and click that subscribe button because we come out with content like this each and
如果您已經訂閱,歡迎回來,您知道接下來會發生什麼。在片頭和免責聲明之後見。
01:05
every week you're already subscribed welcome back you know what's coming i'll see you after the intro and disclaimer
[音樂]
01:13
[Music] so i'm gonna say this really slowly so
我會說得很慢,
01:22
that anybody who is brand new will easily understand technical analysis is the study of
讓完全的新手也能輕鬆理解。技術分析是研究
01:28
historic price movements in order to make accurate decisions of what the market may do next technical analysis is
歷史價格走勢,以準確判斷市場接下來可能做什麼的學問。技術分析是
01:37
how we make those accurate decisions of what price may do next every part of technical analysis is
我們用來準確判斷價格接下來可能做什麼的方法。技術分析的每一個部分都是
01:45
based around price think about a candlestick chart that's just a visual representation of price
圍繞著價格運作的。試想一下 K線圖,那只是價格本身的
01:52
itself trends are nothing more than higher highs and higher lows or lower lows and lower highs in price
視覺呈現。趨勢不過是價格走勢中的更高高點和更高低點,或是更低低點和更低高點。
01:58
structure support and resistance even indicators are based around price they are just a
支撐與阻力,甚至指標,都是基於價格運作的。它們只是
02:03
formula added to historic price data in order to plot that indicator on your chart so because of the fact that the
附加在歷史價格數據上的公式,以便在您的圖表上繪製該指標。因此,由於
02:10
foundation of all technical analysis is priced the very first thing we're going to study today is a candlestick chart
所有技術分析的基礎都是價格,我們今天要研究的第一件事就是 K線圖。
02:17
and i'm going to put a timestamp beside me of the seven or eight things we're going to be going over in today's video
我會在我旁邊放一個時間戳,列出我們今天影片要探討的七到八個重點
02:23
that way you can skip ahead if you already know parts of technical analysis with that said let's go ahead and dive
這樣如果你已經懂技術分析的某些部分,就可以直接跳過。那麼我們就開始深入
02:28
into candlestick charts what you see on the screen in front of you is known as a candlestick chart
了解K線圖。你現在在螢幕上看到的,就是所謂的K線圖
02:37
right now we are on a daily chart of the s p 500.
目前我們看的是標普500指數的日線圖。
02:40
i'm gonna go to a price chart of bitcoin now we are on the daily chart of bitcoin
我現在切換到比特幣的價格圖,現在我們在比特幣的日線圖上
02:46
and now let's go to a candlestick chart of the euro dollar now what do you notice about all three
接著我們來看歐元兌美元的K線圖。現在你注意到這三張圖有什麼共同點嗎?
02:52
of these they all have candlestick charts so the foundation of technical analysis no matter what market you're
它們全都是K線圖。所以技術分析的基礎,無論你交易的是哪個市場,
02:59
trading in whether that be forex stocks crypto the foundation of technical analysis in every market are
不論是外匯、股票還是加密貨幣,所有市場的技術分析基礎都是
03:06
these candlestick charts but before we can understand this full candlestick chart first you need to understand what
這些K線圖。但在我們能看懂整張K線圖之前,首先你需要了解
03:13
a single candlestick represents so let's do that now here are a couple of single candles and what these candles represent
單根K線代表什麼意思。現在我們來看幾根單獨的K線,這些K線代表的是
03:19
is price movement throughout a certain period of time depending on the time frame that you're on i'm sure you've all
在某段特定時間內的價格走勢。取決於你所在的時間框架,我相信大家都
03:26
heard of time frames right the daily chart the one hour chart the five minute chart depending on what time frame
聽過時間框架,對吧?日線圖、一小時圖、五分鐘圖。取決於你所在的時間框架,
03:31
you're on that's the amount of price movement these candles represent so let's consider that we are on a five
這些K線所代表的價格波動幅度就不同。所以假設我們現在在一個五
03:38
minute chart that means that each of these candlesticks would represent five minutes of price movement now before i
分鐘圖上,這意味著每根K線代表五分鐘的價格走勢。在我繼續往下講之前,
03:45
get ahead of myself candles have two parts candlesticks have a body which you can see here colored in in green
K線有兩個部分。K線有一個實體,你在這裡可以看到,綠色的部分,
03:52
and a wick which are the lines above and below the body of the candle a green candle represents a five-minute period
還有影線,也就是在K線實體上方和下方的線。一根綠色K線代表在一個五分鐘的時段內——
04:01
since we're on a five-minute chart right a five-minute period where price went up or closed above where it opened we're
因為我們現在是在五分鐘圖上,對吧——在一個五分鐘的時段內,價格上漲,或是收盤價高於開盤價。我們
04:09
going over that in just a second a red candle has a body as well but the body of this candle is red because it
稍後會詳細說明。一根紅色K線也有一個實體,但這根K線的實體是紅色的,因為它
04:15
represents a five minute period where price closed below or went lower during that five minutes to make this really
代表在一個五分鐘的時段內,價格下跌,或是收盤價低於開盤價。為了讓這更
04:23
simple let me go ahead and explain the open high low and close the open of a candle
容易理解,讓我來解釋開盤價、最高價、最低價和收盤價。一根K線的開盤價
04:29
is where it opened during that five minute period so let's say that the beginning of our candle is at 12
是指它在那五分鐘期間的開盤價,所以假設我們K線的起始時間是12點
04:35
o'clock what this candle would represent is the open of a candle at 12 o'clock the low
這根K線代表的是12點的開盤價,低點
04:41
would be the lowest point price got to during a five minute period the high
是價格在五分鐘期間內達到的最低點,高點
04:48
would be the highest point price got to during a five minute period and our close would happen
是價格在五分鐘期間內達到的最高點,而我們的收盤價會發生在
04:54
at 1205 and that would be the ending price during a five minute period
1205,也就是五分鐘期間的結束價格
05:02
so that is a green candle a red candle represents when price went down during that period of time so for a red candle
所以這是一根綠K線,紅K線則代表價格在該時段內下跌,所以對於紅K線
05:10
we would have an open at the top of the body this is the only difference between the two candles the open is at the top
我們的開盤價會在實體的頂部,這是兩種K線唯一的區別,開盤價位於
05:16
of the body of a red candle because during a red candle it represents a period where price closed below where it
紅K線實體的頂部,因為在紅K線中,它代表的是一段收盤價低於開盤價
05:23
opened or went lower during let's say a five minute chart so the open is there the highest point is the same it's the
或是在(例如)五分鐘圖表中走低的時期,所以開盤價在那裡,最高點是相同的,它就是
05:30
top of the line or wick of the candle that's the highest point price got to within five minutes the low is the
K線的上影線頂端,那是五分鐘內價格達到的最高點,低點是
05:37
lowest wick on that candle that's the lowest point price got to in five minutes and the close is the closing
該K線的下影線底部,那是五分鐘內價格達到的最低點,而收盤價是
05:44
price after five minutes of data on a five-minute chart again if we started this at 12 o'clock
五分鐘圖表中經過五分鐘數據後的收盤價,再次強調,如果我們從12點開始
05:50
then the closing price would be at 1205 and this candle shows you all of price between all of the action of price
那麼收盤價就會在1205,這根K線顯示了12點到1205之間所有的價格
05:58
between 12 and 1205 if you're on a five minute chart if we're on any other time frame everything is exactly the same
所有的價格波動,如果你是在五分鐘圖表上,如果我們在任何其他的時間框架,一切都完全相同
06:05
except for the amount of time that passes if you're on a one hour chart then this would be the open at 12
除了經過的時間長度不同,如果你是在一小時圖表上,那麼開盤價會在12點
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o'clock and the close of this candle would be at one o'clock everything else stays the same the low is the lowest
而這根K線的收盤價會在1點,其他一切都保持不變,低點是那根K線在
06:18
point that candle got to during that hour the highest the highest point that candle got to during that hour so at
那個小時內達到的最低點,高點是那根K線在那個小時內達到的最高點,所以到
06:25
this point you should know exactly what each and every candle represents and we put a large amount of these candles
這個階段,你應該已經確切知道每一根K線代表什麼,而我們將大量的K線
06:32
together in order to interpret what price is likely to do next by identifying trends and areas of value
組合在一起,是為了透過識別趨勢和價值區來解讀價格接下來可能的走勢
06:38
identifying entry patterns which is all stuff that we're going to go over right now so let's dive down to a chart take a
識別進場模式,這些都是我們接下來要講的內容,所以讓我們深入圖表,取一個
06:44
look at a couple of live examples of single candles and talk a little more about trend areas of value and the way
我們來看幾個實際的單根K線範例,並更深入探討趨勢價值區,以及我們如何運用K線圖
06:51
we can use candlestick charts to predict what the market may do next with a high degree of accuracy just as a quick look
以高度準確性預測市場下一步的走勢。快速看一下實際圖表上的K線,這是紐西蘭元兌日圓
06:59
at candles on an actual chart we are currently on the one day chart of the year in new zealand so what do each of
的日線圖。那麼,這些K線各自代表什麼?它們代表24小時的價格走勢,或一天的價格變動。
07:06
these candlesticks represent they represent 24 hours of price movement or one day of price movement a green candle
綠色K線代表當天價格上漲,或收盤價高於開盤價。紅色K線代表當天價格下跌,
07:14
represents a day where price went higher or a day where the price closed above where it opened right a red candle
或收盤價低於開盤價。最近這根綠色K線,
07:23
represents a day when price went lower or a day where price closed below where it opened this most recent green candle
它代表價格在當天一開始就開在這裡,
07:32
what does it represent it represents price opening right here at the beginning of the day
價格在該時段內觸及的最低點是這根K線的下緣,而24小時內的最高價則是上影線的頂端,
07:37
the lowest price that price got to is the bottom of this week the highest price that price made during that 24
當天的收盤價則是這根K線實體的頂端。紅色K線的情況則正好相反。
07:43
hour period is the top of the wick right here and the close of that day is the top of the body of that candle the
既然我們搞懂了這個,接下來我們要談如何運用大量的K線來辨識趨勢市場,
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opposite is true for a red candle so now that we have that let's move on to how we can use a large amount of these
並做出精準的交易決策。
07:57
candles in order to identify a trending market and make accurate trading decisions
如果要你猜猜歐元兌紐西蘭元目前處於什麼趨勢,也就是你面前這張圖表的趨勢,
08:07
so if you had to take a guess of what trend the euro new zealand was in which is the chart that is in front of you
你會怎麼說?是上漲趨勢、下跌趨勢,還是盤整?希望你能說出這是上漲趨勢。
08:12
what would you say uptrend downtrend or consolidation hopefully you were able to say an
簡單來說,上漲趨勢就是K線圖持續創下新高,
08:17
uptrend and simply put an uptrend is nothing more than when a candlestick chart is consistently making new highs
並且出現更高的低點:新的高點、更高的低點、新的高點、更高的低點、新的高點、更高的低點,依此類推。
08:25
and then higher lows fall by new higher highs new higher lows new higher highs new higher lows new higher highs new
這種「更高的高點」和「更高的低點」的情況,就是所謂的趨勢市場。
08:33
higher lows and so forth this higher high and higher low situation is what is referred to as a trending market and
而眼前這個情況就是一個上漲趨勢。我們之所以利用趨勢市場,
08:40
this particular situation would be an uptrend now the reason we utilize a trending
是因為它能讓我們的交易更準確。你可能聽過「順勢而為」這句話,
08:47
market is because it gives us more accuracy on our trades you've probably heard followed the trend before and most
大部分的初學者都會被趨勢交易所吸引,這是有充分理由的。它再次為你的交易增添了準確性,
08:53
beginners will gravitate towards trend trading for good reason again it adds accuracy to
能創造出更好的報酬風險比設定。總而言之,順著已經形成的趨勢操作要容易得多。
09:00
your trait it can make for better reward to risk setups and all in all it's much easier to ride a trend that's already
你的特質。它能創造出更好的報酬風險比設定。總而言之,順著已經形成的趨勢操作要容易得多。
09:07
there than to pick the very top or the very bottom of a market trying to trade reversals so it's a good thing to trade
與其試圖交易反轉而挑選市場的頂部或底部,不如順勢交易,這樣比較好
09:15
with the trend with this market being in an uptrend what direction would you like to trade this market to the upside right
既然這個市場處於上升趨勢,你希望交易哪個方向?當然是向上,對吧?
09:22
you'd want to be buying while the market is in an uptrend but here's the problem with trend
在市場處於上升趨勢時,你會想要買進,但趨勢識別有個問題
09:27
identification that i see all the time and that is just not really understanding or having a set in stone
是我經常看到的,那就是缺乏真正的理解,或者沒有一套堅定不移
09:34
objective defined way to identify trend a lot of traders can easily identify this
客觀定義的方式來識別趨勢。很多交易者可以輕易識別這個
09:40
right that's an easy trend to see but what if price is acting like price normally does and it looks more like
對吧?這是一個很容易看出的趨勢,但如果價格走勢像平常那樣,看起來更像這樣呢?
09:45
this we have our high low a new high but then price does this
我們有高點、低點、新高,但接著價格這樣走
09:50
and this and then finally goes up and then goes up again at this point doesn't it get a
這樣,然後終於上漲,接著又再上漲一次,到了這個時候,識別趨勢是不是變得
09:56
little bit harder to identify trends so with that being the case i want to give you an objective way to identify trend
有一點困難了?正因為如此,我想給你一個客觀的方法來識別趨勢
10:02
right now what we have in a trending market are impulsive moves that is the big moves that break into new highs
在一個有趨勢的市場中,我們有的是衝動性走勢,也就是那些突破新高的大動作
10:09
right here is our impulsive move i'll label those with an i these are the impulsive moves after an
這裡就是我們的衝動性走勢,我會用 i 來標記這些,這些就是衝動性走勢,在一個
10:16
impulsive move the market takes a breather we call that our pullbacks
衝動性走勢之後,市場會稍作休息,我們稱之為回檔
10:21
these are our pullbacks in price this would be a pullback
這些是我們價格的回檔,這裡會是一個回檔
10:28
followed by our next impulsive move that breaks a high right here impulsive move and again
接著是我們下一個突破高點的衝動性走勢,就在這裡,衝動性走勢,然後又是
10:34
pullback right here so the objective way that we're going to be identifying trend is the lowest low
這裡的回檔,所以我們用來識別趨勢的客觀方法是,回檔的最低點
10:41
of the pullback cannot be broken for us to stay in an uptrend so once we have this move that
不能被跌破,我們才能維持在上升趨勢中,所以一旦我們有了這個走勢
10:50
breaks and closes above our previous high we call that our what impulsive move
突破並收在我們前一個高點之上,我們稱之為我們的——什麼?衝動性走勢
10:56
once we have that impulsive move breaking into new higher highs which is what we're looking for in an uptrend
一旦我們有了那個衝動性走勢突破進入新的更高高點,這就是我們在上升趨勢中所尋找的
11:02
this market is still considered in an uptrend until we break our close below the lowest low of the previous pullback
這個市場仍被視為處於上升趨勢中,直到我們跌破並收在前一個回檔的最低點之下
11:10
so when we get a break above this high right here when this market breaks above this high with the new impulsive move
所以當我們突破這個高點——就在這裡,當這個市場以新的衝動性走勢突破這個高點時
11:18
making a new higher high then this market
創造出新的更高高點,那麼這個市場
11:23
is still considered to be in an uptrend until or unless the market breaks and closes
仍然被視為處於上升趨勢,除非市場跌破並收盤
11:32
below what the lowest low of the pullback which would be where i just put this line this is the lowest
低於回檔的最低低點,也就是我剛剛畫這條線的位置,這是該次回檔的最低
11:39
low of that pullback so as long as the market
低點,所以只要市場
11:43
stays above that low then we're still considered to be in an uptrend and we still want to look for
維持在該低點之上,我們就仍被視為處於上升趨勢,並且我們仍然要尋找
11:48
buying opportunities at this point right here we have had what another impulsive move
買進機會,在此點我們已經出現了另一次衝擊走勢
11:55
this move is our impulsive move because it broke above the previous higher high at this point what level cannot be
這次走勢是我們的衝擊走勢,因為它突破了此點的前一個更高高點,什麼水位不能被
12:02
broken for us to continue this uptrend we cannot see the low
跌破才能讓我們繼續這個上升趨勢?我們不能看到
12:07
of our pullback broken where's the low that's the lowest point price got to in this pullback as long as the market
我們回檔的低點被跌破。低點在哪?那就是這次回檔中價格達到的最低點。只要市場
12:15
stays above that level and continues making higher lows and higher highs than we're still in an uptrend what we do not
維持在該水位之上,並持續創出更高的低點和更高的高點,那麼我們就仍處於上升趨勢。我們不希望
12:22
want to see is the market come down and break below that previous low of the previous
看到市場下跌並跌破前一個
12:30
pullback i know that might sound complicated we'll do it on a real chart to help clear things up also if it
回檔的低點。我知道這聽起來可能有點複雜,我們會在實際圖表上操作以協助釐清。另外,如果
12:35
sounded complicated just go back and rewatch this portion of the video this is how i objectively identify whether
聽起來很複雜,請倒回去重新觀看影片的這一部分。這就是我如何客觀識別市場
12:42
the market is trending up or down is going to be the opposite we'll look at a downtrend as well but the reason we have
是處於上升還是下降趨勢的方法。下降趨勢的情況將是相反的,我們也會看下降趨勢,但我們之所以需要
12:47
to have this information is because we want to be trading alongside the trend of any given market if this
這些資訊,是因為我們希望順著任何給定市場的趨勢進行交易。如果這個
12:54
market's in an uptrend like this do i need to be trying to sell and go short and go against the trend no because the
市場像這樣處於上升趨勢,我需要嘗試賣出、做空並逆勢操作嗎?不需要,因為最可能的
13:01
likely scenario is that we're going to continue into this trend we're going to continue breaking into new highs and
情況是我們將繼續順著這個趨勢,我們將繼續突破創下新高。
13:08
just to show you that let's click play and see what happens at at this point right now looking at the chart what do
為了讓你看到這點,讓我們點擊播放,看看現在這個點會發生什麼事。看著圖表,你
13:13
you expect to happen what do we have we have our low just as we were just drawing it out to a high
預期會發生什麼?我們有什麼?我們有我們的低點,正如我們剛剛畫出來的,一個高點、
13:20
a higher low a higher high here's our higher low right here our
一個更高的低點、一個更高的高點。這是我們的更高低點,在這裡,我們的
13:27
higher high our higher low our higher high and our higher low we have now done what created an impulsive move
更高的高點、更高的低點、更高的高點,以及更高的低點,我們已經完成了創造一波推動走勢的條件
13:34
what do we expect after the impulsive move we expect a pullback but what cannot happen
在推動走勢之後,我們預期什麼?我們預期會有回調,但什麼情況不能發生?
13:40
this pullback after our impulsive move cannot break and close below the low of our previous pullback this is
在推動走勢之後的這個回調,不能跌破並收在前一次回調的低點之下。這是
13:49
the low of our previous pullback so if this market does this then we're expecting what a possible
我們前一次回調的低點。所以如果市場這樣走,那我們預期什麼?一個可能的
13:55
reversal we're expecting this market to possibly head lower but as long as we stay above this previous pullback we're
反轉。我們預期這個市場可能 heading lower(走低),但只要我們保持在這個前一次回調之上,我們
14:02
still considering this market in an uptrend still looking for buying opportunities let's see what this market
仍然認為這個市場處於上升趨勢,仍然尋找買入機會。讓我們看看這個市場
14:08
does boom just like that we break into new structure highs continuing this uptrend
怎麼走。砰!就像這樣,我們突破了新的結構高點,延續了這個上升趨勢
14:16
here on the euro new zealand so that's how i identify uptrends list now switch the script flip the coin if you will and
在歐元兌紐元這裡。這就是我識別上升趨勢的方法。現在切換腳本,換個角度看看
14:23
take a look at downtrends and how to identify those in order to make more accurate trading decisions so if for a
下降趨勢以及如何識別它們,以便做出更準確的交易決策。所以如果是為了
14:31
uptrend we are looking for higher lows and higher highs what do you think we're looking for with a downtrend
一個上升趨勢,我們尋找更高的低點和更高的高點,你認為在下降趨勢中我們尋找什麼?
14:36
it's the complete opposite right we're looking for a starting point here then we're looking for lows
完全相反,對吧?我們在這裡尋找一個起點,然後我們尋找低點
14:42
followed by a lower high followed by a lower low followed by a lower high followed by a lower low followed by a
接著是一個更低的高點,然後是一個更低的低點,然後是一個更低的高點,然後是一個更低的低點,然後是一個
14:48
lower high so on and so forth and with this being the case just like
更低的高點,如此類推。既然如此,就像
14:55
with the other example i'll give you an example on the whiteboard here if we're heading lower it's really easy to
另一個例子一樣,我在白板上給你舉個例子。如果我們正在走低,很容易
15:00
identify this as a downtrend this chart extremely easy what about when price does what price normally does and we get
將其識別為下降趨勢,這張圖非常容易。那當價格做它通常做的事時呢?我們得到
15:07
something like this and then the market goes like this and gets higher and consolidates and
像這樣的東西,然後市場像這樣走,變得更高並盤整,然後
15:12
then finally breaks below this low well now since we just went over this you know
最終跌破這個低點。好吧,既然我們剛剛講過這個,你知道
15:17
that this is still a downtrend unless what happens just like an uptrend we have our impulsive moves here
這仍然是一個下降趨勢,除非發生什麼情況。就像上升趨勢一樣,我們在這裡有我們的推動走勢
15:24
followed by pullbacks what we do not want to see is the market break and close above the
接著是回調。我們不想看到的是市場突破並收在
15:34
high of the previous pullback in a downtrend if that happens then we're considering
前一次回調的高點之上。在下降趨勢中,如果發生這種情況,那麼我們就認為
15:39
that a possible reversal but as long as that doesn't happen then we are still in a downtrend and what kind of trading
這可能是一個反轉訊號,但只要它沒有發生,我們就仍然處於下降趨勢中,那麼在這個市場 heading down 的情況下,我們正在尋找什麼樣的交易
15:45
opportunities are we looking for if this market's heading down we're looking for selling opportunities as long as the
機會?只要市場持續向下走,我們就在尋找賣出機會
15:52
market continues to head in the downward direction so that is my objective way of identifying trend and at this point you
這就是我客觀識別趨勢的方法,而在這個階段,你
16:00
have a lot of knowledge you've gained throughout this video you now understand candlestick charts you understand how to
已經在這段影片中獲得了大量知識,你現在理解了K線圖,也理解了如何
16:05
identify a trending market whether that be up or down so if you've already gained value why not go ahead and smash
識別趨勢市場,無論是上升還是下降。如果你已經獲得了價值,何不幫我按下那個
16:11
that like button for me and what we're going to do now is talk about how to find high probability areas of value
讚按鈕?我們接下來要做的是討論如何利用結構、支撐和阻力來尋找高機率的價值區
16:18
using structure support and resistance see you there support and resistance are simply areas
我們那裡見。支撐和阻力 simply 是市場中
16:27
in the market that price is likely to react from support is an area in the market that price is likely to have a
價格可能產生反應的區域。支撐是市場中價格可能
16:34
bounce up from or be supported by whereas resistance is an area in the market where the price of an asset or
反彈向上或受到支撐的區域,而阻力則是市場中資產、
16:41
currency pair or crypto or stock is likely to fall or drop down from these areas are based on historic price
貨幣對、加密貨幣或股票價格可能從這些區域下跌或回落的區域。這些區域是基於歷史價格
16:51
and based on other areas of support and resistance we can see in historic data and those are based on the decisions of
以及我們在歷史數據中看到的其他支撐和阻力區域,而這些又是基於所有其他市場參與者的決定。
16:59
all other market participants we're not going to dive into the psychology of support and resistance in this beginner
我們不會在這個初學者影片中深入探討支撐和阻力的心理學,但這些支撐和阻力區域主要有三個用途
17:05
video but these areas of support and resistance are useful for three main reasons
你可以用它們來發現可能的反轉,你可以用它們作為趨勢
17:11
you can use them to spot possible reversals you can use them as entry points on train
你可以用它們來發現可能的反轉,你可以用它們作為趨勢
17:17
continuation trades and you can use them to help you determine your stops and targets so what we're going to do right
延續交易的入場點,你也可以用它們來幫助你決定停損點和目標。所以我們現在要做的
17:24
now is go over a couple of those as i said earlier most beginners are going to gravitate towards trend continuation
就是回顧其中幾點。正如我之前所說,大多數初學者會傾向於趨勢延續
17:30
trading so what i'm going to do is show you how to use these areas of support and resistance to make better trading
交易,所以我要做的是向你展示如何在趨勢市場中使用這些支撐和阻力區域來做出更好的交易
17:36
decisions while in a trending market and i'm going to go over how to use them to help you set your stops and targets so
決定,我也會說明如何利用它們來幫助你設定停損點和目標。那麼
17:42
let's go ahead and dive into some charts and talk about support and resistance and how they can help us make better
我們就開始深入探討一些圖表,談談支撐和阻力,以及它們如何幫助我們做出更好的
17:48
trading decisions using support and resistance as entry points in a trending market is very simple if we build on
交易決策。在趨勢市場中,利用支撐和阻力作為入場點非常簡單,如果我們建立在
17:56
what we already know from the previous lesson about trend if we were to draw out a trending market it would look
根據我們在上一課中對趨勢的了解,如果我們畫出一個趨勢市場,它會看起來像
18:02
something like this low to a high pull back break above a little bit of consolidation not crossing
這樣:從低點到高點,回檔,突破一點盤整區間,但沒有跌破
18:09
that previous pullback low though so what are we still in an uptrend right continuing then pulling back continuing
先前的回檔低點。所以,我們是否仍處於上升趨勢?是的,持續上漲後回檔,持續
18:15
up pulling back and continuing higher in an uptrend the likely scenario if we're going to
上漲,回檔,然後繼續走高。在上升趨勢中,如果我們要
18:23
continue in this uptrend and one of the best ways to look for possible support and resistance trades is to look at the
繼續這個上升趨勢,最尋找可能的支撐和阻力交易的方法之一,就是觀察
18:30
previous level of resistance that was broken to become support
先前被突破並轉變為支撐的阻力位。
18:37
this is how we use support and resistance for entry points in a trend continuation
這就是我們在趨勢延續
18:43
model and in a trending market is by using that previous level of resistance as possible support let's do a bearish
模式以及趨勢市場中,如何利用先前的阻力位作為可能的支撐來進場。讓我們舉一個空頭
18:50
example in a bearish trend the trend would look something like this right as we go further and further what we're
的例子:在空頭趨勢中,趨勢會看起來像這樣,對吧,隨著我們越走越遠。在空頭趨勢中,我們
18:57
looking for in a bearish trend is for the market to get back up to that previous level of structure support
尋找的是市場回升到先前的結構支撐位,
19:04
that now we expect to become resistance so this is called a break and re-test strategy and what we're looking
我們現在預期它會變成阻力。這被稱為突破再測試策略。我們使用這個策略時,再次尋找的是
19:12
for with this strategy again is the market to break below a previous level of support like we have
市場跌破先前的支撐位,就像我們
19:18
right here come back to that level and provide a trading opportunity we're going to talk about how we enter trades
這裡看到的一樣,然後回到那個水平,並提供一個交易機會。我們稍後會在影片中討論如何進場交易,
19:25
later on in the video but what you need to know right now is using structure support and resistance for entry levels
但您現在需要知道的是,在趨勢延續模式以及趨勢市場中,使用結構支撐和阻力作為進場點
19:32
in a trend continuation model and in a trending market goes like that and what we're going to do now is take a look at
就是這樣。我們現在要做的是
19:38
this on live chart data here we are on that same euro new zealand chart
在即時圖表數據上來看看這個情況。我們現在在同一張歐元兌紐元的圖表上。
19:44
what did we just discuss well we want to see the trend start so we have our low to high
我們剛剛討論了什麼?我們希望看到趨勢開始,所以我們有從低點到高點,
19:50
high or low followed by our higher high at this point the reason this is our higher high is because
高點或低點,然後是更高的高點。在這一點上,這之所以是我們的更高高點,是因為
19:58
this is where the market made a new high compared to its previous high and closed above the previous level
這是市場相對於先前高點創下新高,並收在先前
20:05
of resistance with that being the case the previous level of resistance is likely to become support for a trend
阻力位上方的地方。既然如此,先前的阻力位很可能會成為趨勢的支撐。
20:14
continuation market for a train continuation trade if we continue looking here we have a
火車的延續市場,延續交易,如果我們繼續觀察這裡,我們有一個
20:20
push-up a pullback a push-up to a new high this pullback
推升、一個拉回、一個推升到新高,這個拉回
20:25
where does this pull back come to if i was to draw this box out right here at our previous level of structure
這個拉回到哪裡?如果我要在這裡畫一個框,就在我們之前的結構位
20:31
resistance and make it a little easier to see for you
阻力位,讓它對你來說更容易看清楚
20:36
what do you notice at this point with this trend continuation in mind the market made a
在考慮到這個趨勢延續的情況下,你注意到什麼?市場用我們的
20:41
new high with our impulsive move comes down to our pullback where does our pullback come to our pullback comes
衝擊性走勢創造了一個新高,然後下跌到我們的拉回位置,我們的拉回到哪裡?我們的拉回正好
20:48
right into the previous high that was broken this is resistance turned into support and this is how we use support
進入到之前被突破的高點,這是阻力位轉為支撐位,這就是我們如何使用支撐
20:56
and resistance to find entry points in trend continuation let's take a look at a bearish example of this now here we
和阻力位來在趨勢延續中找到進場點,現在讓我們來看一個看跌的例子,這裡我們
21:02
are on that same euro aussie chart we looked at for the trending model we were discussing earlier in the video in this
在同一張歐澳圖上,我們在影片前面討論趨勢模型時看過,在這個
21:08
case we have our high down to our low up to our high once we break below this low right here what are we looking
情況下,我們有一個高點到低點,再到高點,一旦我們跌破這個低點,我們在看跌趨勢中
21:17
for in a bearish trend after we break that low
要尋找什麼?
21:23
we would be looking for a pullback and let me delete these lines to make it easier to see
我們會尋找一個拉回,讓我刪除這些線以便看得更清楚
21:28
into that low just as we have right here and a continuation of the trend afterwards as you can see this market
進入到那個低點,就像我們在這裡看到的一樣,然後是趨勢的延續,如你所見,這個市場
21:35
pulls back right into the previous area of support it does become resistance and this market continues pushing down this
拉回到之前的支撐區域,它確實變成了阻力位,而這個市場繼續向下推進,這
21:43
happens over and over again and looks to be happening right now on live chart data here on the euro aussie let's draw
一再發生,並且似乎正在歐澳的即時圖表數據上發生,讓我們把它畫出來
21:51
that out so you have a complete comprehension of how to use support and resistance to find entry points in
讓你完整理解如何使用支撐和阻力位在
21:56
trending markets we have our high to our low our lower high what happens we break below what our previous low if we
趨勢市場中找到進場點,我們有一個高點到低點、一個更低的高點,發生了什麼?我們跌破了之前的低點,如果我們
22:04
put a box around that previous low what has price now done price has now came back into
在那個之前的低點周圍畫一個框,價格現在做了什麼?價格現在回到了
22:12
that previous support level that now is what it's a break in retest strategy so if it was
那個之前的支撐位,現在這就是一個突破再測試的策略,所以如果它之前是
22:18
support it's now going to be resistance so at this point once we get to that level we can start looking for entry
支撐位,現在將會是阻力位,所以在這個點,一旦我們到達那個水準,我們就可以開始尋找進場點
22:25
reasons again we're gonna talk about ways to enter the market in these type of situations a little bit later on in
關於原因,我們稍後會在影片中討論在這種情況下進場的方式
22:31
the video but for now it's just important for you to understand and comprehend that we're looking for breaks
但目前對你來說,重要的是要理解並掌握我們正在尋找趨勢市場中
22:36
and re-tests of support and resistance levels in trending markets whether we're trending up or down that shouldn't have
支撐與阻力位的突破和回測,無論是上漲還是下跌趨勢,這應該不難
22:43
been too hard to comprehend but if you had any trouble rewind the video and watch that section again now let's talk
理解,但如果你有任何困難,請倒帶影片並再次觀看該部分。現在讓我們來談談
22:48
about how to use these levels for possible targets let's go back to a bullish example
如何使用這些水位來設定可能的目標。讓我們回到一個看漲的例子
22:54
so for a bullish example of this let's say that you got a entry in this area on a lower timeframe let's
那麼,關於這個的看漲例子,假設你在一個較低的時間框架在這個區域進場
23:00
say you drop down and you saw like a double bottom or something in this area if that's the case then the way we could
假設你切換到較低週期並在這個區域看到像是雙底的形態,如果是這種情況,那麼我們可以
23:06
use support and resistance for possible targets is this level of support this box that we
用來設定可能目標的支撐與阻力方式是,這個我們畫出的支撐水位,這個方框
23:12
drew we definitely want our stop loss below that level so with that being the case we would make sure that our stop is
我們絕對希望我們的停損點設在該水位下方。既然如此,我們會確保停損點
23:19
below that level keeping us safe in terms of what we can expect out of targets the way we use this to prepare
在該水位下方,以保障我們的安全。關於我們可以從目標中預期什麼,我們使用這個來準備
23:26
to take those targets is if we're expecting train continuation and before i continue do you see how
獲取這些目標的方式是,如果我們預期趨勢將會延續。在我繼續之前,你有看到
23:32
everything's coming together we learned about trend in the last section if your pullback
所有內容是如何結合在一起的嗎?我們在上一節學到了關於趨勢的知識。如果你的回調
23:39
has not broken below the low of the previous pullback then what's the likely scenario that we break above these highs
沒有跌破前一次回調的低點,那麼我們突破這些高點
23:45
right into new highs and continue in this uptrend with that being the case what if you said well the way i'm going
直接創下新高並在這個上升趨勢中繼續延續的可能性有多大?既然如此,如果你說,好吧,我打算
23:52
to take targets on this trade is by looking at the previous high and taking my targets there because the likely
在這筆交易中獲取目標的方式是觀察前高並在那裡設定我的目標,因為可能的
23:59
scenario is that this market continues higher so then you would place your targets based on this resistance level
情況是這個市場繼續走高。那麼你就會基於這個阻力位
24:06
right here and that is how you use trend and structure in order to give yourself good
在這裡設定你的目標。這就是你如何利用趨勢和結構來給自己帶來良好的
24:13
reward to risk ratios and accurate trading opportunities in this case would have been about 3.6 reward to risk ratio
風險回報比和精準的交易機會。在這個案例中,這筆交易的風險回報比大約是 3.6
24:21
on this trade my camera literally just died on me but i have an extra camera so no worries
我的相機剛剛壞掉了,但我有一台備用相機,所以別擔心
24:26
let's wrap it up with a recap for a trending market to the upside what we are looking for is a level of
讓我們用一個回顧來總結。對於一個上漲的趨勢市場,我們正在尋找一個水位,那就是
24:33
resistance to break and then we're looking for the pullback after the break of that level of resistance to come back
當阻力位被突破後,我們會尋找回調的機會,在突破該阻力位後等待價格拉回
24:38
to that level of resistance we're then looking for that level to become support in an uptrend and in a trending market
再回到該阻力位,我們期待在上升趨勢和趨勢市場中,該水準會轉變為支撐
24:47
for a downtrend we are looking for quite the opposite we're looking for a level of support to break
在下降趨勢中,我們尋找完全相反的情況,我們尋找一個支撐位被跌破
24:53
and then the market have a pullback that comes back to that level of support we're looking for that level of support
然後市場出現回調,價格回到該支撐位,我們期待該支撐水準
24:59
to become the likely area of resistance for the continuation of that downtrend in terms of stops and
會成為下降趨勢延續的可能阻力區域,就停損點和
25:06
targets we're using these levels to make sure our stop loss is beyond that level of support that we point out or that
獲利目標而言,我們利用這些水準來確保停損設在我們指出的支撐位之外,或是
25:12
level of resistance we point out and we want to look left and make sure our targets are not close to a level of
我們指出的阻力位之外,並且我們要回顧左側走勢,確保我們的獲利目標不會太靠近
25:18
resistance for a buy trade or not past a level of major resistance because that level of major resistance may push the
買進交易的阻力位,或是不要越過主要的阻力位,因為那個主要阻力位可能會壓低
25:25
market down we want to make sure we take targets or at least roll stops to break even before the market gets pushed down
市場,我們要確保在市場被該阻力位壓低之前,我們能鎖定利潤或至少將停損點移至成本價
25:32
by that level of resistance the opposite is true in a downtrend with a level of support if you're selling you want the
在下降趨勢中遇到支撐位則是相反的道理,如果你在做空,你希望
25:38
market to go lower you don't want to be beyond a level of support so that wraps up the support and
市場繼續走低,你不希望價格越過支撐位,以上就是支撐與
25:44
resistance lesson next up we're going to talk all about indicators and how they can help you
阻力課程的總結,接下來我們要全面探討指標,以及它們如何幫助你
25:50
make better trading decisions let's do that right now before we get started i need you to make
做出更好的交易決策,我們現在就開始吧,在開始之前,我需要你讓
25:58
your chart look exactly like this just joking but trading indicators are formulas added to current and historic
你的圖表看起來跟這個一模一樣,開個玩笑,但交易指標是附加在當前和歷史
26:08
price and mathematical equations in order to plot lines and histograms on your chart the purpose of trading
價格上的公式與數學方程式,目的是在你的圖表上繪製線條和柱狀圖,交易指標的
26:16
indicators is to help simplify what price is doing a candlestick chart itself can be very confusing at times so
目的是幫助簡化價格的走勢,K線圖本身有時會非常令人困惑,所以
26:23
trading indicators are meant to clean up some of that noise they can also be used as an invaluable
交易指標旨在過濾掉一些雜訊,它們也可以在交易策略或我們的整體交易中
26:30
objective role in a trading strategy or in our trading in general to help us have consistency so essentially trading
扮演客觀且無可取代的角色,幫助我們保持一致性,因此本質上,交易
26:39
indicators can help to provide clarity on market conditions they can even help us to identify trend identify areas of
指標有助於釐清市場狀況,它們甚至能幫助我們識別趨勢、找出價值區域、
26:46
value help us find entry points and even help us determine where we want to place our stops and targets now there are
幫助我們找到進場點,甚至協助我們決定停損點和獲利目標的位置,現在有
26:54
thousands of trading indicators out there and feel free to go test and study all of them to find the ones that fit
有成千上萬種交易指標,歡迎你去測試和研究所有指標,找出最適合
27:01
your trading style best but in this lesson what i'm going to do is share with you my top three that i use every
你交易風格的指標。但在本課中,我要做的是與你分享我每天都在使用的前三名指標
27:07
single day in my trading as indicators to help me make better trading decisions so let's jump into that right now
來輔助我做出更好的交易決策。那麼,我們馬上開始吧
27:16
the most useful indicator that i have ever found and with no exaggeration an indicator that i use every single time i
我發現過最有用的指標,毫不誇張地說,這是我每次下單都會使用的指標
27:23
place a trade is the atr indicator atr stands for average true range and what this indicator does is gives you the
就是 ATR 指標。ATR 代表平均真實波幅(Average True Range),這個指標的作用是為你提供
27:31
average movement of price out of the last 14 candles the way it works is it adds up the price movement in total the
最近 14 根 K 線的平均價格波動。它的運作方式是將價格波動加總,也就是
27:41
total amount of pips each candle moved out of the last 14 candles then it divides that number
最近 14 根 K 線每根 K 線波動的點數總和,然後將這個數字
27:48
by 14 to give you the total average movement of price in the last 14 candles
除以 14,得出最近 14 根 K 線的總平均價格波動
27:56
hopefully you can already see why that is so valuable but if not let's talk about how we use this indicator before
希望你已經明白這為何如此有價值,但如果沒有,讓我們來談談如何使用這個指標。在
28:03
we do that let's talk about how to find it on trading view it's super easy you go up here to your indicator tab click
這之前,讓我們先談談如何在 TradingView 上找到它。非常簡單,你到上方的指標分頁點擊
28:08
indicators and you type in atr it is the first one that is called built-ins any trading platform should have an atr
指標,然後輸入 ATR。它會是第一個名為內建指標(built-ins)的結果。任何交易平台都應該有 ATR
28:17
indicator if it doesn't you probably shouldn't be trading with it but the way we use this indicator is to
指標。如果沒有,你可能不應該使用該平台交易。但我們使用這個指標的方式是為了
28:24
stay in line with the volatility of a market currency pair or time frame for example there's been so many times that
與市場、貨幣對或時間框架的波動性保持一致。舉例來說,有很多次
28:32
i see a trader or hear from traders and they say stephen i don't know what i'm doing wrong i keep losing trades and you
我看到或聽到交易者說:Stephen,我不知道我哪裡做錯了,我一直輸,而且你知道嗎,我有很好的報酬風險比,但我輸得很慘,帳戶還在虧損。他們會
28:38
know i'm i got a good reward to risk ratio but i'm losing so much i'm still losing money in my account and they'll
我知道我有很好的報酬風險比,但我輸得太慘了,我的帳戶還在虧損,而他們會
28:44
send me emails of their trades and they're risking 10 pips to make 20 pips
寄來他們的交易明細,他們冒著 10 點的風險去賺 20 點
28:51
but they're doing that on every currency pair and every time frame now this may work
但他們在每個貨幣對、每個時間框架都這樣做,現在這招也許有效
28:55
on a five minute chart maybe right on a 15-minute chart possibly that creates a profit depending on the strategy but if
在 5 分鐘圖上也許可以,在 15 分鐘圖上可能也能創造利潤,取決於策略,但如果
29:03
you're on a daily chart risking 10 pips when the average if you look up top here
你在日線圖上交易,只冒著 10 點的風險,而平均(如果你看上方這裡)
29:11
whenever i go away from my drawing tool the average movement on a daily chart is 190
每當我離開我的繪圖工具時,日線圖上的平均波動是 190
29:16
pips you think that 10 pip stop loss is going to get hit yeah 90 of the time 90 of time you're
點值 你認為 10 點的止損會被觸發嗎?是的,90% 的時間,90% 的時間你都會
29:23
gonna lose that trade because you're not in line with the volatility of the time frame you're on the same thing goes for
虧損那筆交易,因為你沒有與你所處時間框架的波動性保持一致。對於
29:29
different currency pairs for example the euro pound in the currency world is a currency pair
不同的貨幣對也是如此,例如在貨幣世界中,歐元英鎊(Euro Pound)是一個
29:36
that has a very small amount of movement per candle on the daily chart we're looking at 50 pips again look up here at
在日線圖上每根 K 線波動幅度非常小的貨幣對,我們看到的是大約 50 點,再看這裡的圓圈
29:43
the circle right at 48 pips that's a full day of trading on average for the euro pound whereas the pound new
正好在 48 點,這是歐元英鎊平均一整天的交易量。而英鎊紐元(Pound New
29:51
zealand on the same chart look at this day 160 pips so do you think you need to be
Zealand)在同一張圖表上,看看這一天,160 點。所以你認為你需要
29:58
using the same exact stop loss when these two markets are moving so differently one moving in
在這兩個市場波動如此不同的情況下,使用完全相同的止損嗎?一個每根 K 線只移動
30:05
tiny amounts per candle one moving in huge amounts per candle no so that's why we need the atr indicator to help us
微小的幅度,一個每根 K 線移動巨大的幅度?不。這就是為什麼我們需要 ATR 指標來幫助我們
30:12
stay in line with the volatility of a certain currency pair or a certain time frame to keep from getting wicked out by
與特定貨幣對或特定時間框架的波動性保持一致,以避免被市場的
30:19
the market if you've ever been wicked out of a trade a lot of that could be because you're not following the
影線(Wick)掃損。如果你曾經在交易中被影線掃損過,很大一部分原因可能是你沒有遵循
30:25
volatility of a certain market so now let me move on and show you how i actually use this in my own personal
特定市場的波動性。那麼現在讓我繼續向你展示我實際上是如何在自己的個人
30:31
trading so based on what you've learned so far in this video what trend is the aussie canada in right now well we've
交易中使用它的。根據你在本影片中目前學到的內容,澳元加元(Aussie Canada)目前處於什麼趨勢?嗯,我們
30:38
had a high down to a low up to a lower high down to a lower low with that being the case are we in a
已經從高點下跌至低點,反彈至較低的高點,再下跌至較低的低點。既然如此,我們是否處於
30:45
downtrend yes we are and in terms of structure and support and
下跌趨勢中?是的,我們是。就結構以及支撐和
30:50
resistance we look for while in a downtrend what are we looking for we are looking for the previous level
阻力而言,當處於下跌趨勢時,我們尋找什麼?我們尋找先前的
30:56
of support to become resistance in a downtrend and we haven't gone over this yet but we actually have a nice
支撐位變成阻力位。雖然我們還沒講過這個,但我們在這裡其實有一個漂亮的
31:04
inverted hammer here or a nice shooting star candle whatever you want to call it i don't really worry about the names of
倒錘頭(Inverted Hammer),或者說一個漂亮的射擊之星(Shooting Star)K 線,隨便你怎麼稱呼它,我其實不太在意它們的
31:09
them this candle has a long wick to the top side again we're going over candlestick patterns actually in the
名稱。這根 K 線有一根很長的上影線。實際上,我們在
31:14
very next lesson but right now what i want to show you is how i would use the atr to help me predict stops and targets
下一課會詳細講解 K 線形態。但現在我想展示的是,我如何使用 ATR 來幫助我預測止損和目標位,
31:21
in terms of how i would use that indicator to place those let's go ahead and put a position tool on the chart
也就是我如何使用該指標來設置這些位置。讓我們繼續在圖表上放一個部位工具。
31:27
right now the atr if you look in the top left corner of the screen right up here is 67
現在,如果你看螢幕左上角這裡,ATR 是 67
31:33
for the aussie canada if the atr is 67 what i want to do is make sure that i am at least one atr
對於澳幣兌加幣,如果 ATR 是 67,我想做的是確保我至少距離
31:39
above the swing high of this current pullback to give the trade breathing room so if up to that high is 30 pips as
這波回檔的波段高點有一個 ATR 的空間,來給這筆交易呼吸的空間,所以如果到那個高點是 30 點
31:47
you can see right here this is up to the swing high then i need to add 67 pips to
如你所見,這裡是到波段高點的距離,那麼我需要在那基礎上加上 67 點
31:52
that that would be a 97 pip stop loss now i know that i said we shouldn't be looking past levels of
那將會是一個 97 點的止損。現在,我知道我說過我們不應該為了設定目標而去看像這樣的支撐位
32:01
support like this in order to take targets but in this situation let's just do it anyway
但在這種情況下,我們就這樣做吧
32:07
and with that being the case i may say something like i expect this in terms of targets right this was how i use it for
既然如此,我可能會這樣說:就目標而言,我預期會是這樣。沒錯,這是我用來設定止損的方式
32:13
stops i make sure that i'm at least one atr above the swing high or below the swing
我確保我至少距離波段高點一個 ATR,或者如果我是做空而非做多,則是距離波段低點一個 ATR
32:19
low if i'm shorting versus going long now for targets i may say i'm expecting the
現在,對於目標,我可能會說我預期市場會移動 ATR 指標的兩倍
32:25
market to move two times the atr indicator so what's two times 67
所以 67 的兩倍是多少?
32:30
134 so now i can have a 134 pip target and again this would work better if there wasn't a level of structure in the
134。所以我現在可以設定一個 134 點的目標。同樣地,如果中間沒有結構位階阻擋,這樣做會更好
32:38
way but for the purpose of the atr indicator just go with it and that sets me up with a 1.4 to 1 reward to risk
但就 ATR 指標的目的而言,就這樣做吧。這樣我就設定了一個 1.4 比 1 的報酬風險比
32:44
ratio this is how one of the ways that i would use the atr in order to place stop losses another
這是我使用 ATR 來設定止損的其中一種方式。另一種
32:51
way you can do this is by simply this is a more simple way is by saying okay i want a stop loss that is two times the
方式可以這樣做,這是一個更簡單的方式:直接說,我想要一個距離我的進場點兩倍 ATR 指標的止損
32:58
atr indicator from my entry so that would be 134 from entry right and in order to get a two to one reward
所以從進場點算起就是 134。為了獲得 2 比 1 的報酬風險比
33:07
to risk ratio i want to have a 4 times atr indicator for my target 134 times 4 is 268
我希望我的目標是 ATR 指標的 4 倍。134 乘以 4 是 268
33:15
and that would be a 2 to 1 reward to risk ratio and that would be the way your trade setup looks at this point
那將會是 2 比 1 的報酬風險比,而你的交易設定在這個時候看起來會是這樣
33:22
you're giving yourself room for your stop loss and you're accounting for the volatility of the market in terms of
你給了自己止損的空間,並且在尋找目標時也考慮了市場的波動性
33:27
finding targets as well those are the two ways i like to use the atr indicator let's now move on to the next
以上這兩種方式是我喜歡使用 ATR 指標的方法。現在讓我們繼續看下一個
33:34
favorite indicator that i have the second most valuable in my opinion which is
我最喜歡的指標,我認為是第二有價值的,那就是
33:39
moving averages moving averages are exactly what they sound like it is the average movement of price over a certain
移動平均線 移動平均線正如其名,它指的是特定時間週期內的價格平均走勢
33:46
period of time so the red line you see on the screen right now is the 20 period moving average what that means is that
所以您現在在螢幕上看到的紅線就是 20 週期移動平均線,這意味著
33:51
this indicator took the closing price of the last 20 candles and then divided that number by 20 in
此指標取了最後 20 根 K 線的收盤價,然後將該數字除以 20
34:00
order to plot this line on the screen if this moving average was to be 50 periods or look back period or length whatever
以便在螢幕上繪製這條線。如果此移動平均線設定為 50 週期,或是回溯週期或長度(無論您的
34:08
it's defined as in your trading platform it may be slightly different if it's 50 though what does that mean
交易平臺如何定義),雖然可能會略有不同,但如果是 50 週期,那意味著
34:14
that means that this indicator took the closing price of the last 50 candles divided that by
此指標取了最後 50 根 K 線的收盤價,並將其除以
34:22
50 and that's how you get this line on your screen right here now in order to plot this on the chart it should be
50,這就是您在螢幕上看到這條線的方式。要在圖表上繪製它應該是
34:28
self-explanatory but you just go up to indicators here on trading view it's very easy you
不言自明的,您只需前往 TradingView 上的「指標」,這非常簡單,您
34:33
type in moving average without that weird vocal tone and then you go down to moving average and just plot it on the
輸入 Moving Average(無需理會奇怪的發音),然後點擊移動平均線並將其繪製在
34:40
chart now there are three main ways i use moving averages let's go ahead and dive into those right now the first way
圖表上。我使用移動平均線主要有三種方式,讓我們現在就深入探討。我喜歡使用移動平均線的第一種
34:46
that i like to use moving averages is to help me define trends so earlier in the video we talked about candlestick
方式是協助我定義趨勢。在影片稍早我們談到了 K 線圖以及如何利用波段高點和低點來定義趨勢,正如我之前提到指標時說過的
34:53
charts and a defining trend with swing highs and lows as i said about indicators earlier
圖表以及利用波段高點和低點來定義趨勢,正如我之前提到指標時說過的
34:58
though indicators are there to help you clarify what price is actually doing so a moving average is a
指標是為了協助您釐清價格的實際走勢,因此移動平均線是
35:06
great objective way to define trend the way you would do that is if price is trading above whatever period moving
定義趨勢的一個絕佳客觀指標。做法是:如果價格交易在您選擇的任何週期移動平均線之上(對於短期趨勢,20 週期效果很好),如果價格在 20 之上,那麼我處於
35:13
average you choose for short term trends the 20 works great if price is above the 20 then i am in
上升趨勢,我現在將在螢幕上舉例說明;如果價格在 20 之下,那麼我處於
35:21
an uptrend and i'll do an example on the screen now for if price is below the 20 then i am
下降趨勢,這就是我們使用單一移動平均線來協助
35:28
in a downtrend and that's the way we would use a moving average a single moving average to help
定義趨勢的方式,而我們基於此進行交易的方式是:只有在價格移動並在 20 週期移動平均線之上
35:35
us define trend and the way we would trade based around that is we only look for buy trades while price is moving and
創造新高點和低點時,我們才尋找買入交易。對於這個短期趨勢且高度波動的趨勢,如果
35:41
creating new highs and lows above the 20 period moving average for this short term trend and highly volatile trend if
它維持在 20 移動平均線之上,那麼這是一個波動性非常高的趨勢,是交易突破的絕佳時機,而
35:49
it's staying above the 20 moving average then a really high volatility trend great time to trade breakouts which
它維持在 20 期移動平均線之上,那麼這是一個波動性非常高的趨勢,是交易突破的絕佳時機,而
35:54
we're gonna discuss later on in the video but the next way i like to use moving
我們稍後會在影片中討論,但我喜歡使用移動平均線的另一種方式是將其視為價值區
36:00
averages is as an area of value as you can see on the chart here yes this is cherry picked and it will not work every
如圖表所示,是的,這是刻意挑選的案例,並非每次都有效
36:06
single time i'm not saying buy every time the market hits the 20 period moving average trust me i've done
我不是說每次市場觸及 20 期移動平均線都要買進,相信我,我試過了
36:12
that and it sucks it does not work that's why let me just break off for a second here that's the reason that we
那樣做很糟糕,根本行不通。這就是為什麼——讓我先暫停一下——這就是為什麼我們必須結合所有這些技術因素
36:19
have to have a combination of all of these technical factors in order to create a profitable edge over the market
才能在市場中創造出獲利的優勢
36:24
in a profitable system we can't just use one but let's get back to the video this can add confluence to a trade when
在一個獲利的系統中,我們不能只單獨使用一個指標,但讓我們回到影片。當你將這個價值區
36:30
you're using this area of value with combinations like the previous level of resistance
與像是先前被突破的阻力位等組合結合使用時,可以增加交易的確認信號
36:35
that was broken and candlestick patterns right but as i digress the 20 period moving average can act as a great area
還有 K 線型態,對吧?但話說回來,20 期移動平均線在短期趨勢中可以扮演很好的價值區
36:45
of value in short term trends as you can see on the chart here when the market pulls back to that moving average we get
如圖表所示,當市場回調至該移動平均線時,我們會看到反彈
36:50
a pop out of it pulls back gets a pop out of it pulls back gets a pop out of it now in terms of using moving averages
回調後反彈,再次回調後又反彈。那麼,在使用移動平均線來識別價值區方面
36:56
for identifying areas of value there are only three i would use and that is the
我只會使用三個,那就是
37:01
20 period moving average we have right here the 50 period moving
我們在這裡看到的 20 期移動平均線,以及我們在這裡看到的 50 期移動平均線
37:06
average that we have right here as you can see support provided area value out of the market
如你所見,它提供了支撐並為市場提供了價值區
37:12
and i bet this is going to land somewhere near the 200 or this may let's let's try it and the 200 period moving
我打賭這個會落在 200 附近,或者這個可能——讓我們試試看——以及 200 期移動平均線
37:19
average so those are the only three i would use damn i was close those are the only three i would use as areas of value
所以這些就是我唯一會使用的三個,天啊,我猜得真準。這些就是我唯一會當作價值區使用的三個
37:25
as you can see the 200 also provides resistance and support as well the reason those three work the best is
如你所見,200 期也能提供阻力和支撐。這三個指標效果最好的原因是
37:31
because those are the top three moving averages used by traders around the world so you might as well align with
因為它們是全球交易者最常使用的三大移動平均線,所以你最好與他們站在同一邊
37:37
them if there's gonna be a bunch of traders taking longs off the 200 period moving average
如果會有一大群交易者基於 200 期移動平均線做多
37:42
that's gonna push the price up right so that's how i like to use moving averages as areas of value again not by
那就會推升價格,對吧?這就是我喜歡將移動平均線當作價值區使用的方式。再次強調,不是單獨使用
37:48
themselves don't just buy because the market hits a moving average i got to combine that with things like structure
不要只因為市場觸及移動平均線就買進,我必須將其與像是結構等東西結合起來
37:54
support and resistance and candlestick patterns and other technical factors trend and other indicators in order to
支撐與阻力、K線型態及其他技術因素、趨勢及其他指標,為了
38:00
create that profitable edge the third way to use a moving average in your trading or the third most useful way
創造出那個獲利優勢,使用移動平均線的第三種方式,或者說我個人發現第三有用的
38:08
that i personally have found is to use a moving average as a trailing stop the way that would work is maybe you decided
方法,是將移動平均線作為移動式止損點使用。運作方式可能是你決定
38:15
you want to place a reversal trade after you saw something like this the market broke above
在看到像這樣的訊號後進行反轉交易,市場突破了
38:22
a previous resistance right our trend continuation trade that we've talked about we got our higher high higher high
先前的阻力位對吧,我們談論過的趨勢延續交易,我們看到了更高的高點、更高的高點
38:28
higher low higher high now we're pulling back into that resistance let's say you place a trade there so your entry would
更低的低點、更高的高點,現在市場回測到那個阻力位,假設你在那裡下單,所以你的進場點會是
38:35
be right here boom you enter the market and at this
就在這裡,砰,你進場了,而在這個
38:39
point you have a stop loss one atr right below the lows so let's say here's your stop
時點,你設了一個停損點,在低點下方一個ATR,所以假設這裡是你的停損點
38:46
i'm gonna color that red what you would do with the third way is use the moving average as a trailing
我把它標成紅色,第三種方式你會做的是使用移動平均線作為移動式
38:52
stop so if you were just going for a regular two to one you'd probably be out of your trade right up here and that's
止損點,所以如果你只是追求常規的兩倍報酬風險比,你可能在這裡就出場了,那樣
38:59
great you know you got your two to one reward risk awesome but if you would have used the 20 period moving average
很棒,你知道你獲得了兩倍的報酬風險比,超讚的,但如果你當時使用了20期移動平均線
39:04
as a trailing stop you could have got a little bit more out of this trade taking profits up here closer to a three or
作為移動式止損點,你本來可以在這筆交易中獲得更多,在接近三或
39:10
four to one reward to risk ratio so in a trending market using a moving average as a trailing stop can be highly
四倍報酬風險比的地方獲利了結,所以在趨勢市場中,使用移動平均線作為移動式止損點,對於
39:18
beneficial to capture more of that trend and essentially capture more targets out of that particular
捕捉更多那段趨勢非常有幫助,並從該特定交易中
39:25
trade so those by far my favorite two indicators the other indicator that we are going to go over although i barely
捕捉更多目標,這些是我最喜歡的兩個指標,另一個我們將會介紹的指標,雖然我幾乎
39:31
use it is the rsi indicator because i do think there's a place for it when trying to trade reversals only
不使用它,是RSI指標,因為我確實認為在嘗試交易反轉時,它有一席之地,但
39:39
when combined with other factors like structure higher time frame trend all of things that we're going to go over later
必須結合其他因素,像是結構、更高時間框架的趨勢,所有我們稍後會在影片中
39:45
in the video but we are going to discuss the rsi indicator right now the rsi indicator is considered by most traders
介紹的要素,但我們現在就要討論RSI指標,RSI指標被大多數交易者
39:51
as a reversal indicator when in fact it's actually a momentum indicator it tells you when price has been moving in
視為反轉指標,但實際上它是一個動量指標,它告訴你價格是否已經朝著
39:58
a certain direction for a long period of time this is why we don't just sell when the market goes over ball and
某個方向移動了很長一段時間,這就是為什麼我們不會在市場超買時就直接賣出,而
40:05
buy when the market goes oversold let me digress one more time with the rsi indicator most traders
當市場超賣時買入 讓我再離題一下 使用RSI指標 大多數交易者
40:10
think that when the market uh price is above 70 that that means it's time to sell in
認為當市場 價格高於70時 這意味著該賣出了
40:17
order to look for that possible reversal and when the price is below 30 on the rsi that means it's time to buy for a
以便尋找可能的反轉 而當RSI低於30時 這意味著該買入了 以等待
40:24
big reversal to the upside while this may work out sometimes without combining this with other technical
向上的大反轉 雖然有時這可能奏效 但若不與其他技術
40:30
factors it is a losing strategy other technical factors including major levels of structure trend on higher time frames
因素結合 這是一個會虧損的策略 其他技術因素包括主要的結構水準 更高時間框架的趨勢
40:36
things of that nature but as i said there is a place for the rsi indicator i'm going to go over this very briefly
等等 但正如我所說 RSI指標有其用武之地 我會非常簡短地介紹這個
40:43
because i know how long this video is going to be already the place i see
因為我知道這支影片已經夠長了 我認為RSI指標的適用時機是
40:48
the rsi indicator is if we're at a previous level of major structure resistance when this market
當我們處於先前的主要結構阻力位時 如果這個市場
40:56
goes into an overbought scenario and if we have something called rsi divergence
進入超買情況 並且我們有稱為RSI背離的現象
41:03
where price is making higher highs and the rsi is making lower highs then we get a candlestick pattern like
即價格創出更高的高點 而RSI創出更低的高點 此時若出現K線型態 如
41:11
an engulfing pattern that is an area where i believe the rsi is extremely useful
吞噬型態 我認為這就是RSI極其有用的地方
41:19
outside of using this indicator as a confluence with multiple other technical factors i don't see it being as useful
除了將此指標作為多種其他技術因素的輔助外 我不認為它像
41:26
as things like the atr indicator and the moving average indicator but i did want to throw this on the screen here and
ATR指標和移動平均線指標那樣有用 但我確實想把這個放在螢幕上
41:32
throw it in with this video because i think it can be useful when used properly when used with divergence and
並放入這支影片中 因為我認為如果使用得當 結合背離以及
41:37
higher time frame structure levels and trend but with that said that is going to do it for indicators next up we're
更高時間框架的結構位和趨勢 它會很有用 但話雖如此 指標部分就到此為止 接下來我們
41:43
moving on to how we actually enter the market we're talking candlestick patterns chart patterns breakout
將探討如何實際進場 我們會談到K線型態 圖表型態 突破
41:49
patterns the real nitty gritty i'll see you guys there candlestick patterns are candlesticks
型態 這些才是真正的核心內容 我們那邊見 K線型態是指K線
41:57
that form in a very specific way in order to help us determine what price is likely to do next you may
以非常特定的方式形成 以幫助我們判斷價格接下來可能的走勢 你可能
42:05
have heard of some of these before candlestick patterns like the engulfing pattern are very popular
聽過其中一些 K線型態如吞噬型態非常受歡迎
42:10
hammer and shooting star candles are extremely popular and there are tons of candlestick patterns out there feel free
錘形線和射擊之星K線也極為常見 市面上有成千上萬的K線型態 歡迎自行探索
42:17
to go study all of them but it's unnecessary because what i'm going to do right now is give you my favorite three
去學習全部的型態,但這沒有必要,因為我現在要做的是分享我最喜歡的三個
42:23
candlestick patterns that i use in my own personal trading but before we do that let's talk about how we use these
我在個人交易中使用的K線型態,但在那之前,我們先來談談如何使用這些
42:29
candlestick patterns candlestick patterns can be used to help us spot reversals they can be used to help
K線型態。K線型態可以幫助我們發現反轉,也可以幫助
42:35
provide clarity on market sentiment and they can be used for entry reasons and trend continuation and reversal trades
阐明市場情緒,並且可以用於進場理由以及趨勢延續和反轉交易
42:43
that's what i normally use them for and now let me show you the three candlesticks that i use most often the
這是我通常的用法,現在讓我看我最常使用的三種K線。第
42:50
first one is called the 382 candle or 38.2 percent candle and you're gonna understand why in a second you may be
一種叫做382 K線或38.2% K線,你馬上就會明白為什麼。你可能
42:56
looking at these going man steven that looks like a hammer or a tweezer top and that looks a lot like a
看著這些心想,天啊Steven,這看起來像錘子線或上吊線,那個很像
43:02
shooting star why are you calling it a 38.2 candle because the name of the candlestick pattern does not matter let
射擊之星,為什麼你叫它38.2 K線?因為K線型態的名稱並不重要,讓
43:10
me explain the reason i call this a 38.2 candle is because the role that i have for this pattern and what it shows us is
我解釋一下。我稱之為38.2 K線的原因是基於我對此型態的規則以及它向我們展示的意義是
43:18
that price or buyers the market itself meaning all of their participants
價格或買方,市場本身,也就是說所有的參與者
43:25
have pushed this market all the way down to the bottom of this wick remember when we talked about candlestick charts at
已經將市場一路推至這根下影線的底部。還記得我們在影片一開始談論K線圖時
43:31
the very beginning of the video price moved all the way down to here but what happened after price moved down
價格一路跌到這裡,但在價格下跌後
43:37
there buyers came in and took control pushing us all the way back up
發生了什麼事?買方進場並掌控局勢,將我們一路推回
43:44
near the highs this is a huge bullish sign for me and a reason to expect bullish pressure afterwards in any
接近高點。對我來說,這是一個巨大的看漲訊號,也是預期後續在任何
43:52
particular market the reason it's called a 38.2 candle is because in order to objectively identify these candles the
特定市場會有看漲壓力的理由。之所以稱為38.2 K線,是因為為了客觀識別這些K線,
44:00
only thing i do to make this extremely simple and let me talk about the reason i do this first if you ask people what a
我為了讓這件事極度簡單而做的唯一一件事,先讓我談談我這樣做的原因。如果你問人們錘子線是什麼
44:06
hammer candlestick is or you show them a chart i'll put a chart on the screen and ask is this a hammer
或是給他們看一張圖,我會在螢幕上放一張圖並問:這是錘子線嗎?
44:12
or is this a hammer candlestick you may get two different answers what i'm trying to
或是這是錘子K線嗎?你可能會得到兩個不同的答案。我想說的是,
44:17
say is that candlestick patterns unless you have rules for them are subjective and in order to have consistency in our
K線型態除非你有規則定義,否則是主觀的,而為了讓我們的
44:24
trading we have to be objective so an objective rule i have for the 38.2 candle is that i pull
交易具有一致性,我們必須客觀。所以我對38.2 K線的一個客觀規則是,我拉出
44:32
a fibonacci retracement from the swing low of the candle itself to the high of the candle itself as long as the
從該K線本身的波段低點到高點做斐波那契回撤,只要
44:40
entire body of that candle is above the 38.2 retracement then i count this as a valid 38.2 percent candle and i count
該K線的實體完全位於38.2%回撤線之上,我就將其視為一根有效的38.2% K線,並且我將
44:49
this as a candle that's showing me buying pressure you guessed it it's the exact opposite for
其視為一根顯示買方壓力的K線,您猜對了,對於
44:56
a bearish version of this pattern a bearish version of the 38.2 candle what do you think i'm gonna do to identify
此形態的看跌版本,即38.2% K線的看跌版本,情況正好相反。您認為我會如何以客觀的方式識別
45:02
this pattern in an objective way i'm taking a fibonacci retracement from the top of that candle the high
這種形態?我會從該K線的頂部,即高點
45:09
down to the low and as long as the entire body of that candle is below the 38.2 retracement then i
向下到低點做斐波那契回撤,只要該K線的實體完全位於38.2%回撤線之下,那麼我
45:18
know that selling pressure is likely to come into the market again the way we use these types of candles is if this
就知道賣方壓力可能會再次進入市場。我們使用這類K線的方式是,如果這種情況
45:26
was to occur at the top of an uptrend it might be a sign of a reversal if this was to occur in a downtrend on our
發生在上升趨勢的頂部,它可能是反轉的訊號;如果它發生在下降趨勢中的
45:33
pullback it might be a sign that we're about to continue in trend we're going to talk about that on a live chart after
回調時,它可能是一個我們即將繼續順勢交易的訊號。在看完其他兩個K線形態後,我們將在即時圖表上
45:38
i go through the other two candlestick patterns so next after the 38.2 candle we have the engulfing candle this is a
討論這一點。接下來,在38.2% K線之後,我們有吞噬K線(engulfing candle)。這是一根
45:46
candle you've probably heard of and you may already know how to identify but in the forex market the way i identify an
您可能聽過的K線,您可能已經知道如何識別,但在外匯市場中,我識別吞噬K線的方式是,一根實體比前一根K線更大
45:52
engulfing candle is a candle that has a larger body than the previous candle and that changes colors so for a bullish
且顏色改變的K線。因此,對於看漲吞噬形態,我需要看到前一根K線是紅色的,下一根K線是綠色的,且該綠色
46:01
engulfing pattern i need to see that the previous candle was red that the next candle is green and that the green
K線的實體比前一根K線更大,對我來說這就是一根看漲吞噬K線。我們將
46:07
candle has a larger body than the previous candle that is a bullish engulfing candle for me we'll
在圖表上看一下看跌吞噬,所以我現在不需要在這裡做示範。所以
46:14
take a look at a bearish engulfing on a chart so i'm not going to have to do that right here so
接下來是收盤高於(close above)和收盤低於(close below)K線。再次強調,所有這些K線的使用方式都相同,它們
46:19
next up we have the close above and close below candle again all these candles are used in the same way they're
都是用來幫助您識別反轉、市場情緒,或幫助您
46:26
all either going to be used to help you identify reversals market sentiment or help you
進入順勢延續交易。這裡我們有收盤高於和收盤低於K線,字面上很好理解,但一根
46:32
enter on trend continuation trades here we have close above and close below candle pretty self-explanatory but a
收盤低於K線是指該K線的收盤價低於
46:38
close below candle would be a candle in which the close of that candle is below the low
前一根K線的低點。只要這種情況發生,對我來說就顯示了賣方壓力,而相反的情況則為真。
46:46
of the previous candle as long as that happens that to me is showing selling pressure and the opposite would be true
的低點。只要這種情況發生,對我來說就顯示了賣方壓力,而相反的情況則為真。
46:54
in the bullish direction we would have it close above again we'll take a look at that down on the chart but right now
在看漲方向,我們會看到它再次收在上方,我們稍後會在圖表上查看,但現在
46:59
let's go take a look at a few live examples of the 38.2 candle first so here we have a good example of a 382
讓我們先看幾個38.2燭的實例,這裡我們有一個很好的382
47:07
candle or 38.2 percent candle and what i want to do is explain to you how all of these things are already coming together
燭或38.2%燭的例子,我想做的是向你們解釋所有這些是如何結合在一起的
47:13
and we haven't even hit the end of the video yet what have we learned about trend trend is when the market is making
而我們甚至還沒看到影片結尾,關於趨勢我們學到了什麼?趨勢是當市場形成
47:20
new higher lows and higher highs what have we learned about indicators when the market's above the 20 period moving
更高的低點和更高的高點時,關於指標我們學到了什麼?當市場在20週期移動
47:27
average we are in a highly volatile up trend what have we learned about support and resistance the previous level of
平均線之上時,我們處於高度波動的上升趨勢中,關於支撐和阻力我們學到了什麼?先前的
47:34
resistance is likely to become support right now with all of that in mind what did we
阻力位很可能成為支撐位,現在把所有這些都考慮在內,我們剛剛
47:41
just learn a specific candlestick formation called the 38.2
學到了什麼?一個特定的燭台形態,稱為38.2
47:47
candle look right here does this candle have a long wick let's talk about the psychology behind it really really
燭,看這裡,這根燭有長影線嗎?讓我們快速談談背後的心理
47:53
quickly the candle opened here sellers pushed it all the way down to the bottom of the wick but buyers took
開盤在這裡,賣方將其一路推至影線底部,但買方在
47:59
back over as soon as they happened as soon as that happened as soon as the sellers said we're pushing this market
賣方說我們要推動這個市場下跌時,立即奪回了控制權,買方說,不,我們要把它推回去,他們做到了,我們收在這裡靠近高點的位置,這發生在
48:04
down buyer said hell nah we're pushing it back up and they did we close up here closer to the highs this happened while
上升趨勢中,並且在我們的價值區域,也就是這個先前的阻力位,現在
48:13
in an uptrend and at our area of value being this previous resistance level now
讓我們確認這是否是一根38.2%的燭,我們必須使用斐波那契回撤,我們從
48:20
let's make sure this is a 38.2 percent candle we have to use a fibonacci retracement we're pulling it from the
燭的低點拉到燭的高點,一旦我們這樣做,這根燭的
48:26
low of the candle to the high of the candle and once we do that is this candle the
整個實體是否在38.2%回撤線之上?是的,因此客觀上我們有理由進場
48:32
entire body of it above the 38.2 retracement it is therefore objectively we have a reason to enter this market
這就是我之前所說的,當我說這些可以用於進入長期趨勢時,所以在這個案例中,我們
48:41
that's what i was talking about when i said these can be used for entries into a long-term trend so in this case we
有一個長期的上升趨勢,市場處於價值區域,我們得到了我們特定的進場理由,顯示出
48:49
have a long-term uptrend we have a market at an area of value and we get our specific entry reason showing us
買壓,現在再次,我們結合了所有因素,所以讓我們打開我們的持倉工具,如果我們說,好吧,一個
48:55
buying pressure now again we're combining everything so let's put on our position tool what if we say okay one
ATR,我們如何根據我們正在交易的市場波動性來設置止損?在澳元兌加元這裡
49:02
atr how do we play stops with the volatility of the market that we're trading right now in the aussie canada
1 個 ATR,我們如何根據我們正在交易的市場波動性來設置止損?在澳元兌加元這裡
49:08
daily chart the atr or average true range is 66.
日線圖上的 ATR(平均真實波幅)是 66。
49:12
so let's go down to our swing low to our swing low is right at 47 pips that plus 66 is 113 pips so we
所以讓我們下移到我們的波段低點,我們的波段低點就在 47 點,加上 66 就是 113 點,所以我們
49:21
have a 113 pip stop loss on this specific trade and let's say we want to use two times that atr as our target 66
在這筆特定交易中設置了 113 點的止損,假設我們想用兩倍的 ATR 作為我們的目標,66
49:30
times 2 is 132.
乘以 2 是 132。
49:33
so move that up to 132 and we now have our trade setup let's click play and see what happened
所以把它上移到 132,我們現在就設置好了交易,讓我們點擊播放看看發生了什麼事
49:40
boom hit targets no problem for about a 1.2 to 1 reward to risk ratio i wanted to do that entire scenario just to show
砰,命中目標,沒問題,大約有 1.2 比 1 的報酬風險比,我想做這整個情境只是為了展示
49:47
you how everything is coming together if you liked that then make sure to go ahead and smash
給你看所有東西是如何結合在一起的,如果你喜歡,請務必去按下
49:53
that like button you've been watching this bad boy for like 45 minutes now i know you've gotten at least some value
那個讚按鈕,你現在已經看了這支影片大約 45 分鐘了,我知道你至少獲得了
49:58
out of it so go ahead and click that like button for me go ahead and comment as well if you're still here because
一些價值,所以請幫我點擊那個讚按鈕,也請留言,如果你還在看的話,因為
50:02
that is amazing all right so that is our 382 candlestick pattern let's talk about how we can use it for reversals and just
那太棒了,好了,這就是我們的 382 燈芯形態,讓我們來談談如何將其用於反轉,而且只是為了
50:10
to show you that it doesn't always work i have no idea i've not looked at this data yet this might work as a reversal
向你展示它並非總是有效,我不知道,我還沒看過這個數據,它可能會作為反轉
50:16
and it may not but right here what do we have we have a 382 candle at the top
成功,也可能不會,但就在這裡,我們看到了什麼?我們在上升趨勢的頂部有一根 382 燈芯
50:23
of an uptrend if this market happened to be overbought on the rsi check it out it is
如果這個市場剛好在 RSI 上超買,看看,它
50:29
combining other technical factors looking left for resistance we're not quite at a level of resistance right now
結合了其他技術因素,向左尋找阻力位,我們現在還沒有完全達到阻力位
50:33
but this would be an example of the 382 candle and why would it be an example of that candle because if i pull a
但這將是 382 燈芯的一個例子,為什麼它會是該燈芯的一個例子呢?因為如果我從這根燈芯的頂部
50:39
fibonacci retracement from the top of this candle down to the low of this candle
拉出一個斐波那契回撤位到這根燈芯的低點
50:45
is the entire body below the 38.2 retracement yes this is showing a selling pressure in the same way we
整個實體是否都在 38.2% 回撤位下方?是的,這顯示了賣壓,同樣地,我們
50:51
would just set our stop loss one atr above this candle here and then have a target somewhere near these levels of
只需將止損設置在這根燈芯上方一個 ATR 的位置,然後將目標設在接近這些支撐位的
50:57
support may not work out or then again if we had our targets down at this level of support then it would have worked out
地方,可能不會成功,或者反過來說,如果我們的目標設在這個支撐位下方,那麼它就會成功
51:04
we would have hit those targets right here so this is how we can use the 38.2 percent candle to help us with entries
我們會在這裡命中那些目標,所以這就是我們如何利用 38.2% 燈芯來幫助我們入場。
51:12
on trend continuation trades and to help us identify possible reversals let's take a
在趨勢延續交易中,並幫助我們識別可能的反轉,讓我們來看幾個
51:18
look at a couple of live examples of the engulfing candle as well as the clothes above close below candle but essentially
吞噬K線以及收高/收低K線的實際範例,但基本上
51:24
they all have the same use they're all going to be used either to spot reversals or as possible entries and
它們的用途都相同,都是用來發現反轉訊號,或是作為可能的進場點,以及
51:30
trend continuation trades to ride the trend up even further let's go ahead and look at the engulfing candle on live
趨勢延續交易以順勢獲利,讓我們現在直接在圖表上看吞噬K線
51:35
charts right now while we were on the whiteboard we looked at a bullish example of the engulfing candle so here
當我們在白板上時,我們看了吞噬K線的看漲範例,所以在這裡
51:41
we're going to look at a bearish example and again i want to i want you to see the things that are coming together on
我們要來看一個看跌的範例,再次地,我希望你們看到這筆交易中
51:45
this trade it is a winning trade yes it's cherry picked but it has a very good merit behind it because of the fact
各種條件的配合,這是一筆獲利的交易沒錯,雖然有點挑選過的,但它背後有很好的依據,因為
51:52
that let's do this one more time what kind of trend are we in right now
讓我們再來確認一次,我們現在處於什麼樣的趨勢中?
51:56
well according to the 20 period moving average we're definitely in a downtrend price is below it are we making new lows
根據20期移動平均線,我們絕對處於下跌趨勢,價格在其之下,我們是否正在創下新低
52:02
and new lower highs below the 20 period moving average yes we are here's our last low new lower low here's our last
以及在20期移動平均線之下的新低點?是的,我們是,這是我們的前一個低點,新的低點,這是我們的前一個
52:08
high lower high this could be our next lower high we are at what the 20 period moving average is that an
高點,更低的高點,這可能是我們下一個更低的高點,我們目前位於20期移動平均線,這是
52:15
area of value or possible area of resistance yes it is all of those coming together and then
價值區還是可能的阻力區?是的,全部條件都配合到位了,然後
52:23
the entry pattern we can try to use in trend continuation type trades is what this engulfing candle as you can see
我們在趨勢延續類型交易中可以嘗試使用的進場型態,就是這個吞噬K線,如你所見
52:29
here an engulfing candle as i explained earlier is just a candle in the forex market at least whose body is larger
這裡,一個吞噬K線,正如我之前解釋的,在外匯市場至少就是一根K線的實體比
52:37
than the previous candle and i need a color change green to red that's a color change is the red body
前一根K線大,而且我需要顏色改變,從綠變紅,顏色改變就是紅色實體
52:43
larger than the green body it is therefore we have a valid bearish engulfing candle here for possible entry
比綠色實體大,因此,我們在這裡有一個有效的看跌吞噬K線,作為可能的
52:49
into this trend continuation setup pushing the market further down and showing us selling pressure next up
進場點,投入這個趨勢延續的設定,推動市場進一步下跌並向我們顯示賣壓,接下來
52:57
we're gonna take a look at the example of the clothes above candle let's take a look at that now
我們要來看收高K線的範例,讓我們現在來看一下
53:02
here is a good example of a close below candle this big red candle what happens here we close below the low of the
這裡是一個收低K線的好範例,這根大紅K線,這裡發生了什麼事?我們收在前一根K線的低點之下,我們這樣做時,位置非常重要,就像我說的,你希望在價值區這樣做,對吧?我們不希望
53:09
previous candle and we do so the wear is very important like i said you want to do it in areas of value right we don't
前一根K線的低點。我們這樣做時,位置非常重要,就像我說的,你希望在價值區這樣做,對吧?我們不希望
53:16
want to just trade random clothes above and close below candles that's not a profitable strategy we have to combine a
想要隨意交易,只看蠟燭圖上方和下方收盤,這不是一個有利可圖的策略。我們必須結合多種技術指標,才能創造出一個有利可圖的策略。
53:22
number of technical factors in order to create a profitable strategy so in this case what we have is the top
所以在這種情況下,我們看到的是一個上升趨勢的頂部。這個市場一直在走高,你現在可能還看不出來,但我們知道這是一個有效的下方收盤,你明白嗎?
53:29
of an uptrend this market's been heading higher what you can't see yet we know this is a valid close below right you
我希望你明白,下方收盤指的是一根蠟燭收在前一根蠟燭低點之下的收盤。上方收盤則正好相反,但我想再次向你展示所有因素是如何結合在一起的。
53:35
understand that i hope that a close below is nothing more than a candle that closes below the low of the previous
因為像這樣在市場中段發生的情況,就像剛才這裡一樣,是無關緊要的。我不會只因為出現一根下方收盤蠟燭就進行交易。
53:40
candle the opposite's true for a close above but i want to show you how everything comes together yet again
不,我想在有價值的區域進行交易,例如先前的阻力位。如你所見,我的綠色——或者不是綠色,抱歉——我的灰色方框顯示這裡是先前的阻力位,曾對市場造成巨大壓力。
53:46
because this happening in the middle of nowhere like it did right here is irrelevant i'm not trading this just
現在我們回到這個水準,我找到了一個有價值的區域。這是另一個如何使用 RSI 指標的好例子。我們這裡看到一個超買情況。
53:53
because we have a close below candle no i want to trade these in areas of values such as previous
我們看到了什麼?價格出現了更高的高點,但 RSI 在做什麼?如果你還記得指標課程的部分,我們談論背離時,指的是價格出現更高的高點,而指標出現更低的高點。
54:02
levels of resistance as you can see my green or not green sorry my gray box here is showing that this was a level of
這正是我們在這裡看到的情況,是的。所以,當所有這些因素結合在一起時,這是一個相當好的機會,可以嘗試用我們的下方收盤蠟燭作為這筆交易的入場點。這樣做會像這樣:
54:09
previous resistance that pushed the market around a ton now that we're back to this level i have an area of value
我們在那根蠟燭收盤時入場。ATR 是 77,所以我們有 98 加上 77,我們將目標設在 177。為了計算簡單,我們將停損設在 177。
54:17
this is another good example of how to use the rsi indicator here we have a overbought situation
我們將目標設在先前的支撐位,就在這裡。我們點擊播放,看看這筆特定交易會發生什麼事。
54:24
and what do we have we have higher highs on price but what's the rsi doing if you remember from the indicators portion of
如你所見,市場向下推進。現在,這是我們為什麼使用 ATR 作為停損的一個好理由。如果我們在波段高點上方設一個 10 點的停損,你看到我們有多容易被這根影線打掉停損嗎?
54:31
the lesson what we were talking about in terms of divergence is higher highs on price and lower highs on the
相反地,我們使用了 ATR 指標,結合了我們所有好的技術因素,來幫助我們擁有一個好的交易。
54:37
is that what we get here yes it is so with all of these factors coming together it's a pretty good opportunity
我們在這裡得到的是什麼?是的,所以當所有這些因素結合在一起時,這是一個相當好的機會
54:42
to try to use our close below candle as an entry on this trade doing so would look something like this
嘗試將我們的收低K線作為這筆交易的入場點,這樣做會像這樣
54:50
we have an entry at the close of that candle the atr is 77 so we have 98 plus 77 we're going to go 177 to make this
我們在那根K線的收盤價入場,ATR 是 77,所以我們有 98 加上 77,我們將會走到 177 來讓這個
54:58
easy math 177 for our stop loss we're going to put a target down at the previous level of support which is right
簡單的數學計算,177 作為我們的止損點,我們將在前一個支撐位設置目標,位置就在
55:08
here and we're going to click play to see what happens here on this specific trade
在此我們將點擊播放鍵,看看這筆特定交易會發生什麼事
55:13
as you can see the market pushes down now here's a good reason why we use that atr for our stop loss if we used a 10
如你所見市場下跌了,這就是為什麼我們使用ATR作為止損的好理由,如果我們使用10
55:21
pip stop above our swing high do you see how easily we would have been stopped out by
點的止損設在波段高點上方,你看到我們有多容易就會被這根影線掃出場嗎
55:26
this wick instead we used the atr indicator combining all of our good technical factors to help us have a
根影線相反地,我們使用了ATR指標,結合所有我們看好的技術因素來幫助我們達成一筆
55:34
positive trade here so with that said that's going to do it for the candlestick patterns portion and next up
關於這裡的正向交易,那麼以上就是K線型態的全部內容,接下來
55:40
something i like even more than candlestick patterns and that is chart patterns so stick around i'll show
我比K線型態更喜歡的東西,那就是圖表型態,所以請繼續收看,我將展示
55:46
you my favorites and how i use them in the market to help you better understand the entirety of technical analysis even
我最喜歡的型態,以及我如何在市場中使用它們,以幫助您更全面地理解技術分析,甚至
55:53
more so than you already do i'll see you in just a second unlike candlestick patterns that form
比您目前所知更深入,我們稍後見。與形成於
56:02
with between one to maybe a few candles a chart pattern is going to form with between 10 to maybe 50 candles and what
一根或幾根K線之間的K線型態不同,圖表型態通常形成於10根到50根K線之間,它們是
56:11
they are are identifiable patterns that like candlestick patterns can give us an indication of possible reversals can
可識別的型態,就像K線型態一樣,可以為我們提供可能反轉的訊號,
56:18
give us an indication of market sentiment and can help us identify possible entries in the market
可以為我們提供市場情緒的指標,並可以幫助我們識別市場中的可能進場點。
56:25
chart patterns are by far my favorite way to enter trades and luckily even though there are hundreds of chart
圖表型態是我最喜歡的交易進場方式,幸運的是,儘管有數百種圖表
56:33
patterns and feel free to go study as many of them as you would like to find the ones that fit your trading style
型態,您可以自由研究儘可能多的型態,以找到最適合您交易風格的型態,
56:38
best i personally use one type of chart pattern more often than any others and for the most part
但我個人使用一種圖表型態的頻率遠高於其他型態,而且在大多數情況下,
56:45
only utilize this one chart pattern in my own trading and they are double bottoms and double tops i said they're
我在自己的交易中主要只使用這一種圖表型態,那就是雙底和雙頂。我說它們是
56:51
one i know that's two but they're essentially the same thing just flipped upside down so before we go through the
一種,我知道這是兩個,但它們本質上是相同的東西,只是上下翻轉而已。所以在我們探討
56:57
way i utilize double bottoms and double tops in my trading we need objective rules for this the same way we had
我如何在交易中使用雙底和雙頂之前,我們需要為此制定客觀規則,就像我們為
57:03
objective rules for candlestick patterns we have to have objective rules for chart patterns as well so these double
K線型態制定客觀規則一樣,我們也必須為圖表型態制定客觀規則。因此,這些雙
57:09
tops and double bottoms are going to have objective rules and that's what we're gonna discuss right now is the
頂和雙底將會有客觀規則,而這就是我們現在要討論的內容,也就是這些
57:14
objective rules for these patterns for a double bottom that's what we're looking at right now here on the euro yen for
型態的客觀規則。對於雙底,這就是我們現在在歐元兌日圓圖表上看到的
57:21
this pattern what i'm looking for and the way it looks on a chart sorry i didn't do that before the way it looks
這個型態,我尋找的條件以及它在圖表上的樣子,抱歉我之前沒有畫出來,它在圖表上的
57:26
on a chart is a market that comes down creates a level of support then bounces up to a level of resistance
樣子是:市場下跌創造了一個支撐位,然後反彈至一個阻力位,
57:33
but instead of continuing down in this downtrend we come down we re-test this level of support
但在這個下降趨勢中沒有繼續下跌,而是再次下跌,我們重新測試了這個支撐位,
57:40
and we're supported yet again so much so that we push up enough to break and close above what is called the
並且再次獲得支撐,支撐力度強到足以推動價格上漲,突破並收盤於所謂的
57:48
neckline so this is bottom number one of a double bottom bottom number two of a double bottom this is referred to as the
頸線 這是雙底的第一個底 雙底的第二個底 這被稱為
57:55
neckline and that is the initial pullback from the first bottom that we need to break in order to
頸線 這是從第一個底的初始拉回 我們需要突破它才能
58:02
classify this as an actual double bottom so a way that most traders enter this is either by
將其歸類為真正的雙底 大多數交易者進場的方式是
58:09
entering exactly as the market breaks that neckline or one of my favorite ways to enter and the
在市場突破頸線時立即進場 或是我最喜歡的進場方式之一
58:15
way we're going to talk about and discuss entering today is waiting for the market to break and close above that
也是我們今天要討論的進場方式 等待市場突破並收盤在
58:21
neckline and then getting a pull back into that neckline the reason i trade double bottoms like this is because i
頸線之上 然後拉回到頸線 我這樣交易雙底的原因是因為我
58:27
can get smaller stops therefore having a larger reward to risk ratio on these types of trades so that is how we spot
可以設較小的停損 因此在這類交易中能有更大的報酬風險比 這就是我們如何發現
58:34
double bottoms let's go over how we spot double tops first and then i'm gonna talk about how i actually use these
雙底 我們先複習如何發現雙頂 然後我會談論我實際上如何運用這些
58:41
patterns to consistently make badass trades in my own trading let's check out a double top though so a double top
型態在我的交易中持續進行漂亮的交易 我們來看看雙頂 雙頂
58:48
is going to be when the market pushes up to a level of resistance then pushes down in our initial pullback
是在市場推升到某個阻力位 然後在我們的初始拉回中下跌
58:56
but instead of continuing this uptrend we now test that level of resistance once more and find resistance yet again
但沒有繼續這波上升趨勢 我們現在再次測試那個阻力位 並再次遇到阻力
59:03
the market then breaks through the neckline so on a double top we have
市場隨後突破頸線 所以在雙頂上 我們有
59:09
top number one right here we have top number two right here and the support level that was created after top number
第一個頂在這裡 第二個頂在這裡 而在第一個頂之後形成的支撐位
59:16
one is known as our neck line we need that neckline to break to validate that this is actually a double top and the
被稱為我們的頸線 我們需要頸線被突破來確認這是一個真正的雙頂 而
59:25
way i said we're going to be trading these today is by waiting on a pullback after that validation after that break
我說我們今天要交易的方式 是在確認後 等待拉回 在突破後
59:31
we want to see a pull back into our level of support and that's where
我們希望看到拉回到我們的支撐位 這就是
59:36
we're going to be placing possible trades and looking for the continuation down now before we get into how i use it
我們將放置可能交易並尋找繼續下跌的地方 現在我們在深入探討我如何使用它之前
59:42
i know i said we're going to right after this i want to talk about those objective rules so the objective rules i
我知道我說過我們在這個之後就要開始 我想先談談那些客觀規則 所以我對於雙底的客觀規則
59:47
have for a double bottom let's actually start there is
讓我們從那裡開始 是
59:51
i need to see the first bottom and the pullback at the point that i see
我需要看到第一個底和拉回 在我看到的那一刻
59:58
this first bottom and a pullback what i do is place a box my box
這第一個底部和回檔,我會做的是畫一個方框,我的方框要...
1:00:05
is going to be let me make this way way more easy hold on here we go okay so at this point it doesn't look like a double
讓我這樣做會更簡單,等一下,好了,所以在這一點,它看起來不像一個雙重
1:00:12
bottom right but i need an objective rule for how i'm going to enter a double bottom so what i do
底部,對吧?但我需要一個客觀的規則來決定如何進場雙重底部。所以當我看到
1:00:16
at this point whenever i see a bounce like this is i place a box from
像這樣的反彈時,我會從
1:00:21
the lowest bodies of this first low to the lowest low of this first low that is what i call my termination point what i
這第一個低點的最低實體到這第一個低點的最低點畫一個方框,這就是我所謂的終點。我
1:00:29
want to see is the market re-test this point a candle can close inside of this area
想看到的是市場重新測試這個點,一根K線可以收在這個區域內,
1:00:36
a wick can go past this area we could see nothing but the wick of a candle touch
影線可以穿過這個區域,我們可能只看到K線的影線觸及
1:00:43
this area all of that i would consider a valid double bottom what i would not consider a valid double bottom is if we
這個區域,所有這些我都會視為有效的雙重底部。我不會視為有效雙重底部的情況是,如果我們
1:00:50
get a candle but the wick doesn't touch my area or if we get a pullback and we see a candle that closes all the way
出現一根K線但影線沒有觸及我的區域,或者如果我們看到回檔,並且看到一根K線完全
1:00:58
below my zone those two situations are no longer a valid double bottom for me so those are my objective rules for a
收在我的區域之下,這兩種情況對我來說就不再是有效的雙重底部。所以這些是我對於
1:01:06
double bottom we'll click play here and see what the market does as you can see we've now entered into my termination
雙重底部的客觀規則。我們點擊播放,看看市場怎麼走。如你所見,我們現在已經進入了我的終點
1:01:12
zone we have not closed below it therefore we have a valid double bottom so far still is this valid yes
區域,我們沒有收在它之下,因此到目前為止我們有一個有效的雙重底部。這仍然有效嗎?是的,
1:01:19
no candles closed below my zone therefore i'm still in considering this a valid double bottom the next thing i
沒有K線收在我的區域之下,因此我仍然認為這是一個有效的雙重底部。接下來我
1:01:26
need to see is a break of this neckline once i see that like we do right there i'm then waiting
需要看到的是頸線的突破。一旦我看到像我們在那邊看到的那樣,我就會等待
1:01:33
for this market to pull back to that neckline to place my possible entry once we do that
這個市場回檔到那條頸線,以放置我可能的進場點。一旦我們這樣做
1:01:41
and pull back to the neckline i want to see buying pressure for me buying pressure is nothing more
並回檔到頸線,我想看到買壓。對我來說,買壓就是
1:01:47
than a green candle once i see buying pressure here's i'm just explaining to you exactly how i
一根綠色K線。一旦我看到買壓,這裡我只是在向你解釋我
1:01:52
trade these double bottoms or exactly how a lot of people trade them i trade them slightly differently but for the
如何交易這些雙重底部,或者很多人如何交易它們。我交易的方式稍微不同,但為了
1:01:57
purpose of this video this is what we're going to talk about so i would place an entry there we have a
這支影片的目的,這就是我們要談的內容。所以我會在那裡進場。我們目前有
1:02:02
17 pip atr right now so 17 plus 30 is 47 47 pips and i want to target my next
17 pip的ATR,所以17加30是47,47 pips。而我想目標是我的下一個...
1:02:11
level of resistance which is right up here in this area so at this point we have our trade setup we've had buying
位於此區域上方的阻力位,因此在這個時間點我們有了交易設定,雙底經突破確認後出現買壓,並回測頸線加上買壓
1:02:18
pressure after a double bottom has been confirmed by the breakout and a pullback to the neckline plus buying pressure
好的,我們進場交易了,看看後續發展,最終向上推升又向下回檔,這就是交易的真實面貌
1:02:25
okay cool we're in the trade let's see what happens eventually pushing up down up down this
各位,在這種情況下你們會受到情緒上的折磨,但這有時就是會發生,然後我們就成功了
1:02:34
is the reality of trading guys you will be tortured emotionally during situations
最終觸及目標,你必須具備情緒上的堅毅,很可惜我們沒時間在這支影片中討論這個
1:02:39
like this but it's just what happens sometimes while we're trading and there we go
因為我已經知道影片會超過一小時,但這就是我交易雙底的方式,雙頂則完全相反
1:02:44
finally hitting targets you have to have emotional fortitude that's something unfortunately
我們會快速帶過,各位現在應該已經有概念了,但在雙頂的案例中,唯一的差別是我會畫一個方框
1:02:49
we're not gonna have time to discuss in this video because it is going to be well over an hour long i already know
聽起來像在說布丁?我聽起來確實像,讓我們在那裡畫一個方框,現在我等待雙頂的條件是市場向上推升至阻力區並回檔
1:02:53
that but that is how i would trade the double bottom the double top would be the exact
一旦有了回檔,我就會從第一個頂部的實體最高點到第一個頂部的上影線最高點畫一個方框
1:02:59
opposite of that we'll go over that really quickly you should have a pretty good idea by now but here on the double
這是我所謂的終止區,我希望看到一根K線至少觸碰那個區域,但我不能看到的是K線收盤高於這個區域
1:03:03
top the only difference is i am putting a box let's actually does it sound like i'm
K線可以收在區域內,影線可以穿過區域,唯一不能看到的是K線完全沒觸碰它或收盤高於它
1:03:09
saying pudding it does to me let's put a box right there so now what i'm waiting
說到這裡,按下播放鍵,你已經知道結果會如何,是的,我們有一個有效的雙頂,是的,我們跌破了頸線
1:03:15
for for a double top is the market to push up into an area of resistance and have a pullback once i have that
我交易的方式是等待市場回彈至頸線時的賣壓,再次按下播放鍵
1:03:21
pullback i'm placing a box from the highest bodies of the first top to the highest wick of the first top this is
賣壓會是這根紅色K線,停損點只需要設在波段高點上方,然後我們就可以根據需求設定目標,往下推進
1:03:30
what i call my terminations on i want to see a candle that at least touches that zone but what i cannot see is a candle
什麼是我所謂的終止區,我希望看到一根蠟燭至少觸碰到那個區域,但我絕不能看到一根蠟燭
1:03:36
that closes above this zone a candle can close inside of the zone a wick can go past the zone the only thing i cannot
收盤在該區域之上,蠟燭可以收在區域內,影線可以穿過區域,我唯一不能接受的
1:03:43
see is either a candle not touching it at all or a candle closing above it so with that said click play you already
是蠟燭完全沒碰到它,或是蠟燭收在它之上,那麼說到這裡,點擊播放鍵,你已經
1:03:49
know what this turns out like yes we have a valid double top and yes we broke the neckline the way i would trade this
知道結果會如何,是的我們有一個有效的雙頂,是的我們跌破了頸線,我交易這個型態的方式
1:03:54
is by waiting on selling pressure at the neckline as the market pulls back up clicking play yet again
是等待市場回彈至頸線時的賣壓,再次點擊播放鍵
1:04:02
selling pressure would be this red candle stop loss at that point would only need
賣壓會是這根紅色K線,停損點只需要設在波段高點上方,然後我們就可以根據需求設定目標,往下推進
1:04:05
to go above our swing high and then we could target whatever we needed to pushing lower
朋友們,這就是我如何運用雙頂和雙底策略,所以現在
1:04:11
and that my friends is how i use the double top and double bottom strategy so now
朋友們,這就是我如何運用雙頂和雙底策略,所以現在
1:04:17
you have the rules based approach i take to spot these patterns the way i enter them is with buying pressure at the
您已經了解我發現這些形態的規則方法,而我的進場方式是在突破後
1:04:23
neckline after the break the other thing you need to know about these patterns is they work best
於頸線尋找買壓。另外您需要知道的是,這些形態在
1:04:28
whenever you're aligning yourself with higher time frame trends so let's say you're trading these patterns on an
您順著更高時間框架的趨勢操作時效果最好。所以假設您在
1:04:34
hourly chart if you're trading a double bottom on the hourly chart and what i mean by that is you actually see the
一小時圖上交易這些形態。如果您在一小時圖上交易雙底——我的意思是您實際在
1:04:39
double bottom itself on an hourly chart you want to make sure that the daily chart is in an uptrend so that way you
一小時圖上看到雙底本身——您需要確認日線圖處於上升趨勢,這樣您
1:04:46
are aligned with a daily chart uptrend while trading a double bottom on a one hour chart the opposite is true for a
就能在交易一小時圖的雙底時順著日線圖的上升趨勢。對於下降趨勢中的
1:04:54
downtrend and a double top if you're trading a double top on let's say the one hour chart you want to make sure
雙頂則相反。如果您在一小時圖上交易雙頂,您需要確認
1:05:00
that you are aligned with the daily chart trend you want to make sure the daily chart is actually in a downtrend
您順著日線圖的趨勢,您需要確認日線圖實際上處於下降趨勢
1:05:06
while you're trading that double top on a lower time frame this is going to add an amazing amount of accuracy to your
而您在較低時間框架交易該雙頂。這將為您的
1:05:13
double top and double bottoms trade double bottom trades it'll also add accuracy to any other chart patterns
雙頂和雙底交易增添驚人的準確度。雙底交易也將為您決定加入
1:05:18
that you decide you want to add to your trading arsenal so that's gonna do it for the chart
交易武器庫的任何其他圖表形態增添準確度。以上就是本課程
1:05:24
patterns portion of this lesson next up we got breakout patterns so we're gonna go ahead take a look at some breakout
圖表形態章節的內容。接下來我們將探討突破形態,所以我們將繼續看看一些突破
1:05:30
patterns and how i like to use them in my own trading to make the best trading decisions possible
形態,以及我如何在自己的交易中運用它們來做出最佳的交易決策。
1:05:36
i'll see you there breakout patterns are when the market goes from a low period of volatility to
我們到那裡見。突破形態是指市場從低波動期轉向
1:05:45
a much higher period of volatility we see that a lot on uptrends and downtrends what we see is impulsive
高得多的波動期。我們在上升趨勢和下降趨勢中常看到這種情況。我們看到的是衝動的
1:05:51
moves the market makes a large move to the upside and then we see a small period of consolidation before the next
移動,市場向大幅上漲,然後我們看到一小段時間的盤整,接著是下一次
1:05:57
large move to the upside we call these flag patterns we're going to talk about those in just a second we also see this
大幅上漲。我們稱這些為旗形形態,我們稍後會討論。我們也看到這種情況
1:06:03
in the form of what i trade and call and what is called i guess you could say ascending and descending wedges what
以我交易並稱之為——或者說一般稱之為——上升楔形和下降楔形的形式出現。所謂
1:06:09
this means an ascending wedge is when price has a level of resistance that it cannot get above but as it's testing
上升楔形,是指價格有一個無法突破的阻力位,但當它測試該
1:06:17
that level of resistance the support level is rising so that means that buyers are coming in sooner and sooner
那個阻力位的支撐水準正在上升,這意味著買方會以越來越高的價格提早進場
1:06:24
at higher and higher prices until eventually that pattern breaks out to the upside and a descending wedge is the
直到最終這個形態向上突破,而下降楔形則是
1:06:29
opposite we have a level of support we have lower highs coming in showing that sellers are stepping in sooner and
相反的情況,我們有一個支撐位,我們看到更低的高點出現,顯示賣方會以越來越低的價格提早進場
1:06:36
sooner at lower and lower prices and eventually that breakout level gives way to what we
直到最終那個突破位失守,形成我們所說的
1:06:42
call an ascending and descending wedge breakout pattern those are the two breakout patterns i personally use the
上升與下降楔形突破形態,這兩種是我個人最常使用的突破形態,還有更多突破形態
1:06:48
most there are many more breakout patterns that you are free like everything else in this video to go
你可以自由去研究,就像本影片中的其他內容一樣,但我想要談論我真正熟悉
1:06:53
study on your own but i want to talk about the ones i'm actually familiar with and the ones that i personally use
以及我個人使用的形態
1:06:58
so let's take a look first off at flag patterns let's talk first how do we use flag patterns we now know what
所以讓我們先來看看旗形形態,首先談談我們如何使用旗形形態,我們現在知道
1:07:04
flag patterns are how do you use them well i use them to capitalize on volatile trends what did we talk about
旗形形態是什麼了,該如何使用呢?我用它們來利用波動趨勢,我們之前談到過什麼是
1:07:12
earlier a volatile trend oftentimes stays above the 20-period moving average as you can see on the
波動趨勢?波動趨勢通常會維持在20期移動均線之上,如你在
1:07:18
chart here we have price staying above the 20-period moving average so the way i like to use
圖表上所見,價格維持在20期移動均線之上,所以我喜歡使用
1:07:24
a flag pattern is if we are staying above the 20-period moving average and we've just had an impulsive move to the
旗形形態的方式是,如果我們維持在20期移動均線之上,且剛剛出現了一波向上的
1:07:32
upside then i want to draw out a flag pattern on my period of consolidation after that period of consolidation we
衝擊走勢,那麼我就會在那段整理期後,在我的圖表上畫出一個旗形形態,在那段整理期之後,我們
1:07:40
get what is known as a breakout candle this breakout candle breaks the top trend line of that period of
會得到所謂的突破K線,這根突破K線會突破那段整理期的
1:07:46
consolidation and this is when most traders decide to enter on a flag pattern trade i'm going to give you some
頂部趨勢線,而這就是大多數交易者決定進場做旗形形態交易的時機,我稍後會給你一些
1:07:52
specific rules in just a second but let's take a look at one more example we have another situation here where the
具體的規則,但讓我們再看一個例子,我們在這裡有另一個情況,市場
1:07:57
market's continuing in trend we make an impulsive move that breaks above previous resistance we then see this
持續在趨勢中,我們做了一波衝擊走勢,突破了先前的阻力位,然後我們看到這個
1:08:03
market have a period of consolidation this pullback that as you can see looks like a flag right we have the poll which
市場進入了一段整理期,這個拉回,如你所見,看起來像一面旗子,對吧?我們有旗桿,也就是
1:08:12
is normally the amount of price the impulsive leg before the period of consolidation we have a small period of
通常在整理期之前的那段價格波動,也就是衝擊走勢的幅度,我們有一小段
1:08:18
consolidation then we have our breakout candle and the market continues in that uptrend this happens time and time again
整理期,然後我們出現了突破K線,市場持續在那個上升趨勢中,這種情況一再發生
1:08:25
in volatile trends and that's how we can take advantage of flag patterns and volatile trends now
在波動趨勢中,這就是我們如何利用旗形形態和波動趨勢
1:08:32
just as with everything in our trading we need to have some objective rules here so for me one of the best objective
就像交易中的所有事情一樣,我們需要一些客觀規則,對我來說,我發現交易旗形形態時最好的客觀
1:08:38
rules i have found when trading flag patterns is that i want to only trade these patterns
規則之一是,我只想在這些形態
1:08:45
when they happen above or near
發生在
1:08:49
the 20 period moving average that's the only time i can actually place trades based on flag patterns because the 20
20期移動平均線上方或附近時交易,這是我唯一可以根據旗形形態下單的時間,因為20
1:08:56
period moving average acts as my filter for highly volatile trends and i only want to take flag pattern breakout
期移動平均線充當我過濾高波動趨勢的指標,我只想在趨勢高度波動時進行旗形形態突破
1:09:03
trades if the trend is highly volatile because that's my best chances of having a move higher and for stops and targets
交易,因為這是我獲得更高走勢的最佳機會,關於停損點和目標
1:09:11
we'll go and discuss those you should have a pretty good idea where do you think i would put stops and targets if
我們將進行討論,你應該很清楚你認為我會把停損點和目標設在哪裡,如果
1:09:16
my entry candle is this breakout candle right here what do you think i would do for stops
我的入場K線是這個突破K線,你認為我會如何設停損
1:09:21
i would have my stop loss below the previous low by what one atr as we discussed earlier so let's
我會把停損設在前一個低點下方一個ATR的距離,就像我們之前討論的那樣,所以讓我們
1:09:29
go ahead and set this trade up it would look something like this and a target up here at the previous
來設置這筆交易,它會看起來像這樣,目標設在上方的
1:09:36
level of resistance right here so at this point you know exactly how i trade bullish flags this video has gotten well
前一個阻力位,所以到這一步,你完全知道我如何交易看漲旗形,這個影片已經超過
1:09:45
over an hour long so i'm not going to do an example of a bearish version of this just flip it upside down it's literally
一個小時了,所以我就不做看跌版本的示例了,把它倒過來就好,這完全
1:09:51
the same exact thing in the opposite direction in terms of a bearish flag pattern we'd be waiting on the market to
是相反方向的相同情況,對於看跌旗形形態,我們會等待市場
1:09:57
head down with an impulsive move head down with an impulsive move we would be trading this small period of
以衝動性走勢向下,以衝動性走勢向下,我們會交易這段小幅
1:10:02
consolidation on a breakout of that period of consolidation to the downside we'd be selling or going short
盤整期,並在該盤整期向下突破時做空
1:10:10
so that is again how i trade flag patterns let's take a look now at another breakout
所以這再次是我交易旗形形態的方式,現在讓我們來看看另一個
1:10:16
pattern that i really enjoy using which is the ascending and descending wedge here is an ascending wedge and unlike
我非常喜歡使用的突破形態,那就是上升楔形和下降楔形,這是一個上升楔形,與
1:10:24
flag patterns that take just a few candles to set up these types of patterns normally take anywhere between
只需幾根K線就能形成的旗形形態不同,這些類型的形態通常需要
1:10:30
20 and 50 maybe even 100 candles to actually set up their larger patterns but essentially what we're looking for
20到50根,甚至可能100根K線才能真正形成它們較大的形態,但本質上我們尋找的是
1:10:37
with a wedge pattern is a level of resistance that the market is having trouble
當出現楔形形態時,代表市場正面臨難以突破的阻力水準
1:10:42
getting past but at the same time we're having trouble getting past this level of resistance we want to see sellers
但與此同時,既然我們難以突破這個阻力水準,我們希望看到賣方
1:10:49
stepping in at higher prices what this is showing us is that excuse me i said sellers i've met buyers we don't see
在更高的價格介入。這顯示的是...抱歉,我說的是賣方,其實是買方。我們並沒有看到
1:10:56
buyers stepping in at higher prices what this is showing us is that buyers are more and more interested in this
買方在更高的價格介入。這顯示的是買方對這個
1:11:02
currency pair stock crypto whatever it may be they're more interested in higher prices and as we continue to make these
貨幣對、股票、加密貨幣或任何標的越來越感興趣。他們對更高的價格更感興趣,而隨著我們持續創造
1:11:09
higher lows the not inevitable but likely scenario is that eventually we bust through this level of resistance
更高的低點,雖然不是必然,但很可能的情況是我們最終會突破這個阻力水準
1:11:17
because sellers eventually give up trying to push the market down from this level of resistance as their pushes down
因為賣方最終會放棄嘗試從這個阻力水準壓低市場,隨著他們的下壓力道
1:11:26
gets smaller and smaller and we get higher and higher lows they eventually give up and when they do it looks
越來越弱,而我們的低點越來越高,他們最終會放棄,當他們放棄時,走勢
1:11:32
something like this we get a breakout of that level now one of my favorite ways to trade this is on the pullback almost
會像這樣。我們會看到突破那個水準。現在,我最喜歡的交易方式之一是在回檔時進場,幾乎
1:11:40
like the double top and double bottom we were looking at earlier but a lot of traders trade on the breakout candle
就像我們之前看的雙頂和雙底,但很多交易者會在突破K線
1:11:46
that we can see right here the way i like to trade them is after this breakout i like to wait for a pullback
就在這裡看到的這根,直接進場。我喜歡的交易方式是在這次突破之後,我喜歡等待回檔
1:11:53
back into my zone of resistance when i get that pullback i look for buying pressure what do i
回到我的阻力區。當我看到回檔時,我會尋找買壓。我如何
1:11:59
define as buying pressure a green candle so once i pull back to that zone and get a green candle that is when i
定義買壓?一根綠色K線。所以一旦我回檔到那個區域並看到一根綠色K線,那就是我
1:12:06
personally we'll enter the trade so now we have a pull back into the zone waiting for a green candle boom
個人會進場交易的時機。那麼現在我們有回檔進入該區域,等待一根綠色K線,砰的一聲
1:12:12
personally i would be entering into the trade here we'll go ahead and do the trade setup we've had all of our rules
個人我會在這裡進場。我們來進行交易設定。我們已經滿足了所有
1:12:17
met for an ascending wedge we have a level of resistance that is acted as resistance multiple times we have rising
上升楔形的規則。我們有一個多次充當阻力的阻力水準。我們有上升的
1:12:24
support levels coming into that level of resistance we now have a breakout of that level and a pullback to
支撐水準正在接近那個阻力水準。我們現在看到那個水準的突破以及回檔到
1:12:31
that level of resistance at this point yet again whenever i find buying pressure here that is when i want to
那個阻力水準。在這個時刻,每當我在這裡發現買壓,那就是我想要
1:12:37
place a trade because of the fact that i waited for the pullback i can now have a much smaller stop loss based on this
進場交易的時機。因為我等待了回檔,所以我現在可以根據這個
1:12:44
previous swing low so i have an atr of 36 pips on my entry candle i want to be 36 below
先前的波段低點設置小得多的停損點。我的進場K線ATR是36點,我想要在下方36點的位置。
1:12:52
my swing low so 39 let's go 40 plus 36 is 76 pips 76 pips would be about right here
我的波段低點是39,我們來算一下40加36等於76點,76點大概會在這個位置
1:13:01
with that being the case where is my target going to go if i place targets based on structure the
既然如此,如果我根據結構來設定目標,我的目標會設在哪裡呢?
1:13:06
next level that looks to be a major level of structure support or resistance is right there so let's see
下一個看起來是主要結構支撐或阻力的層級就在那裡,所以我們來看看
1:13:14
what that would look like do i get more than a one to one reward risk i get about a one-to-one reward to risk ratio
這樣會是什麼情況。我能否得到超過1比1的報酬風險比?我大約能得到1比1的報酬風險比
1:13:19
maybe move stops at break even when the market hits that price right and then continue with the position let's see
或許可以在市場觸及那個價格時將停損移到成本價,然後繼續持有部位,我們來看看
1:13:24
what happens we push up we push back down stopped out for break
發生了什麼事。我們向上推升又向下跌回,被停損出場在成本價
1:13:28
even or we watch the market continue and eventually push higher but that
或者我們看著市場持續並最終推升得更高,但無論那筆交易結果如何,這就是我交易上升楔形的方式,而完全相反的情況則是
1:13:34
regardless of how that trade worked out is how i would be trading ascending wedges and the exact opposite is true
再次提醒,這支影片已經很長了,所以我們直接翻轉過來。我們尋找的
1:13:41
again this video is getting very long so just flip that over what we're looking for for a
空頭版本,下降三角形,不過就是一個被多次測試的支撐位,同時我們有
1:13:47
bearish version a descending triangle is nothing more than a level of support that's hit multiple times while we have
下降的阻力位或下降的波段高點。下降的波段高點加上同一個支撐位將會形成
1:13:53
falling resistance levels or falling swing highs falling swing highs plus the same level of support is going to give
一個下降三角形。下降三角形一旦向下跌破,很可能會繼續朝那個方向發展
1:14:00
us a descending triangle descending triangles once broken to the downside are likely to continue in that direction
就個人而言,我會等待這個回檔回到那個層級,有時候它不會發生,我也因此錯過了一些
1:14:08
personally i wait on this pullback to come back into that level sometimes it doesn't happen and i miss out on some
交易,但它給了我一個更好的報酬風險比設定,所以我喜歡等待那個回檔,以便在這些交易中獲得更好的
1:14:14
trades but it gives me a better reward to risk setup so i like to wait on that pullback in terms of getting a better
報酬風險比。所以我很想告訴你
1:14:20
reward to risk on these trades so i would love to be able to tell you that
這就是你所需要的全部,現在你就可以出去交易並賺錢,辭掉你的日常工作,你就會一切順利
1:14:28
this is all you need and now you can go out there and trade and make money quit your day job and you'll be good to go
從今以後。不幸的是,事實並非如此,很遺憾地
1:14:34
from here on out unfortunately that is not the case unfortunately
僅僅理解技術分析是不夠的,雖然在這支影片中我確實分享了關於
1:14:40
just understanding technical analysis isn't enough although in this video i did share everything you need to know
技術分析你所需知道的一切,但我無法在一支影片中分享成為一位
1:14:46
about technical analysis i did not and was not able to in one video share everything you need in order to be a
持續獲利的交易者所需的一切,但幸運的是,我們的指導計畫還有一些名額,所以如果你
1:14:53
consistently profitable trader but luckily we do have some space available in our mentorship program so if you
持續獲利的交易者所需的一切,但幸運的是,我們的指導計畫還有一些名額,所以如果你
1:15:02
would like to learn the exact combination of technical factors i use that i call a strategy the
想要學習我所使用的確切技術因素組合,我稱之為策略
1:15:07
exact strategies that i use every single day in the market if you would like mentorship from me personally with any
我每天在市場中使用的確切策略,如果您希望獲得我的個人指導
1:15:13
questions you have about the course that we have that we offer or about forex in general if you would like to receive a
關於我們提供的課程或外匯交易的一般問題,如果您希望每週收到
1:15:19
video every single week of the trade setups that i'm looking to take throughout that week along with much
一支影片,內容是我當週打算執行的交易設定,還有更多
1:15:25
much more including an entire course that goes over the other two huge aspects of trading outside of technical
更多內容,包括一門完整的課程,涵蓋技術分析之外
1:15:32
analysis which are trading psychology and risk management if you want access to all of that and you want to speed up
另外兩個交易的重要層面:交易心理和風險管理,如果您想獲得所有這些內容,並且想要加速
1:15:38
your journey to becoming a consistently profitable trader then there's a link below to a very discounted price on the
您成為持續獲利交易者的旅程,那麼下方有一個連結,可以非常優惠的價格
1:15:46
eap training program we're actually running the black friday sale again and the reason is because well mostly i'm
購買EAP培訓計畫,我們實際上再次舉辦黑色星期五促銷,原因主要是
1:15:52
just too lazy to create a new sales page and i want to give you a discount for watching this entire over an hour long
我太懶得創建新的銷售頁面,而且我想給觀看這整部超過一小時
1:15:58
video so if you're interested in that you get everything that i've ever made in terms of paid content for 697
影片的您一個折扣,如果您感興趣,您可以花697美元獲得我所有曾製作的付費內容
1:16:05
or for like three payments of 297 if you can't afford the whole 697 we do have a payment option you can learn all about
或者分三期支付,每期297美元,如果您無法負擔全部697美元,我們確實有分期付款選項,您可以點擊
1:16:12
the program what it includes and how you can get access to it by clicking the link in the description labeled eap
說明中標示為EAP培訓計畫的連結,了解該計畫的詳細資訊、包含內容以及如何取得存取權限
1:16:18
training program if not that is totally fine too you now have everything you need to know about technical analysis
如果不感興趣也完全沒關係,您現在已經掌握了關於技術分析所需的一切知識
1:16:24
combine some of these technical factors to create your own strategy take that strategy back test it create risk
結合其中一些技術因素來創建您自己的策略,對該策略進行回測,圍繞它制定風險
1:16:30
management plan around it and work on your trading psychology demo trade for a while so that you get
管理計畫,並努力改善您的交易心理,先進行模擬交易一段時間,讓您
1:16:35
confident and consistent probably you need to look up some videos on this if i was you i would literally
建立信心和一致性,可能您需要查找一些相關影片,如果我是您,我會直接
1:16:40
go on youtube look up risk management if you only know technical analysis now and
上YouTube搜索風險管理,如果您現在只懂技術分析
1:16:44
you're a complete beginner go on youtube look up risk management look up trading psychology try to implement those into
並且是完全的新手,請上YouTube搜索風險管理,搜索交易心理,嘗試將這些融入
1:16:50
all everything that you've already learned then create a strategy out of everything you've already learned by
您已經學到的所有知識中,然後通過結合一堆這些技術因素,從您已經學到的所有知識中創建一個策略,並
1:16:54
combining a bunch of these technical factors and try demo trading that for a while to see if you can actually create
嘗試對其進行一段時間的模擬交易,看看您是否真的能夠創造
1:17:01
a profitable three months with a rules-based strategy if you can hats off to you you're doing better than 95 of
如果你能用基於規則的策略在三個月內獲利,那真的要向你致敬,你已經勝過了95%的交易者。
1:17:07
traders and then you can choose when you would like to take your trading live as i said we do have the eap training
接著,你就可以選擇何時要開始實盤交易,就像我說過的,我們目前的EAP訓練課程有提供大幅折扣。
1:17:13
program at a major discount right now check that out if you want some more advanced training and some more help
如果你想要更進階的訓練,或是希望獲得更多個人化的交易指導,可以去看看。
1:17:18
with your trading personally from me if not totally fine too make sure you click that like button make sure you're
如果不需要也沒關係,記得點擊那個喜歡的按鈕,並確認你已經訂閱了。
1:17:24
subscribed i am so tired right now because i've been doing this video for like eight and a half hours
我現在真的累壞了,因為我拍這支影片拍了大概八個半小時。
1:17:30
that i am out and i'll see you guys in the next video talk soon
我得下線了,我們下支影片見,回頭聊。

The Only Technical Analysis Video You Will Ever Need... (Full Course: Beginner To Advanced)

📝 影片摘要

本單元為技術分析的全面教學,從基礎到進階。首先解釋K線圖的構成(開盤價、最高價、最低價、收盤價),接著講解如何客觀辨識趨勢(更高的高點/低點與回調不破底)。隨後介紹支撐與阻力的應用,包括突破後的回測(Break and Retest)策略。影片還涵蓋了三個核心指標:ATR(用於設定停損與獲利目標)、移動平均線(用於趨勢判斷與價值區)和RSI(用於背離判斷)。最後深入講解K線型態(如38.2%蠟燭)、圖表型態(雙底/雙頂)以及突破型態(旗形/楔形),並強調所有技術工具必須綜合運用以建立交易系統。

📌 重點整理

  • 技術分析的基礎是價格,所有指標與型態皆源於價格行為。
  • K線圖包含實體與影線,代表特定時間週期內的開盤、最高、最低與收盤價。
  • 客觀趨勢定義:上升趨勢需創更高高點(Higher High)且回調低點未跌破前低。
  • 支撐與阻力:利用突破後的回測(Resistance Turned Support)作為高勝率進場點。
  • ATR指標:用於衡量市場波動性,幫助設定合理的停損距離,避免被雜訊洗出。
  • 移動平均線:20/50/200週期常用於判斷趨勢方向及尋找價值區(動能回踩)。
  • 交易需綜合多種因素:趨勢、結構、指標與K線型態需產生共識(Confluence)。
  • 風險管理:務必設置停損,並根據結構或ATR設定合理的風險回報比(Risk/Reward Ratio)。
📖 專有名詞百科 |點擊詞彙查看維基百科解釋
波動性
volatility
盤整
consolidation
衝動的
impulsive
回調
pullback
突破
breakout
背離
divergence
頸線
neckline
重新測試
retest
風險回報比
reward-to-risk ratio
匯合
confluence

🔍 自訂查詢

📚 共 10 個重點單字
volatility /ˌvɒləˈtɪləti/ noun
the quality of being likely to change suddenly
波動性;不穩定性
📝 例句
"but they're doing that on every currency pair and every time frame now this may work on a five minute chart maybe right on a 15-minute chart possibly that creates a profit depending on the strategy but if you're on a daily chart risking 10 pips when the average if you look up top here whenever i go away from my drawing tool the average movement on a daily chart is 190 pips"
但他們在每個貨幣對、每個時間框架都這樣做...如果你在日線圖上交易,只冒著10點的風險,而平均...日線圖上的平均波動是190點。
✨ 延伸例句
"Oil prices are notoriously volatile."
石油價格以波動劇烈而聞名。
consolidation /ˌkɒnsəlɪˈdeɪʃən/ noun
the action or process of combining several things into a single more effective whole
盤整; consolidation(價格在一定範圍內波動的時期)
📝 例句
"we see impulsive moves the market makes a large move to the upside and then we see a small period of consolidation before the next large move to the upside"
我們看到衝動性走勢...市場向大幅上漲,然後我們看到一小段盤整期,然後下一個大幅上漲。
✨ 延伸例句
"The stock entered a period of consolidation after the earnings report."
該股票在財報公佈後進入了一段盤整期。
impulsive /ɪmˈpʌlsɪv/ adjective
acting or done without forethought
衝動的;衝動性走勢(技術分析術語)
📝 例句
"right now what we have in a trending market are impulsive moves that is the big moves that break into new highs"
現在在一個趨勢市場中,我們有的是衝動性走勢,也就是那些突破新高的大動作。
✨ 延伸例句
"He made an impulsive decision to quit his job."
他一時衝動決定辭職。
pullback /ˈpʊlbæk/ noun
a temporary decline in the price of a security or market
回調;拉回
📝 例句
"after an impulsive move the market takes a breather we call that our pullbacks"
在一個衝動性走勢之後,市場會稍作休息,我們稱之為回檔。
✨ 延伸例句
"Investors bought the dip during the market pullback."
投資者在市場回調時買入。
breakout /ˈbreɪkaʊt/ noun
a sudden sharp rise in price or a move beyond a resistance level
突破
📝 例句
"we have a push-up a pullback a push-up to a new high this pullback where does this pull back come to...this is resistance turned into support and this is how we use support and resistance to find entry points in trend continuation"
我們有推升、一個拉回、一個推升到新高...這是阻力位轉為支撐位,這就是我們如何使用支撐與阻力位來在趨勢延續中找到進場點。
✨ 延伸例句
"The stock price had a breakout above $50."
股價突破了50美元。
divergence /daɪˈvɜːrdʒəns/ noun
the situation where the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction to a technical indicator
背離
📝 例句
"if we have something called rsi divergence where price is making higher highs and the rsi is making lower highs"
如果我們有稱為RSI背離的情況,價格正在創更高的高點,而RSI正在創更低的高點。
✨ 延伸例句
"Bullish divergence occurs when price makes a lower low but the indicator makes a higher low."
當價格創下更低的低點但指標創下更高的低點時,就會出現看漲背離。
neckline /ˈneklain/ noun
a line connecting the lows (for a head and shoulders top) or highs (for a head and shoulders bottom)
頸線
📝 例句
"we push up enough to break and close above what is called the neckline"
我們推升足夠的幅度以突破並收盤於所謂的頸線之上。
✨ 延伸例句
"A break below the neckline confirms the double top pattern."
跌破頸線確認了雙頂型態。
retest /ˌriːˈtest/ verb
to test again, specifically a price level that was previously broken
重新測試;回測
📝 例句
"this is called a break and re-test strategy"
這被稱為突破再測試策略。
✨ 延伸例句
"Price may retest the breakout level before continuing."
價格在繼續前可能會重新測試突破位。
reward-to-risk ratio /rɪˈwɔːrd tu rɪsk ˈreɪʃioʊ/ noun
the ratio of potential profit to potential loss in a trade
風險回報比
📝 例句
"it can make for better reward to risk setups"
它可以創造出更好的報酬風險比設定。
✨ 延伸例句
"A 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio is considered good."
3:1的風險回報比被認為是不錯的。
confluence /ˈkɒnfluəns/ noun
the junction of two rivers, or a coming together of things
匯合;合流
📝 例句
"we have to have a combination of all of these technical factors in order to create a profitable edge over the market"
我們必須結合所有這些技術因素才能在市場中創造出獲利的優勢。
✨ 延伸例句
"Trading decisions should be made at the confluence of support and trend lines."
交易決策應在支撐線與趨勢線的匯合處做出。
🎯 共 10 題測驗

1 According to the video, what is the definition of technical analysis? 根據影片,技術分析的定義是什麼? According to the video, what is the definition of technical analysis?

根據影片,技術分析的定義是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Technical analysis is defined as the study of historic price movements in order to make accurate decisions of what the market may do next.

技術分析被定義為研究歷史價格走勢,以準確判斷市場接下來可能做什麼。

2 What does a red candlestick represent? 紅色K線代表什麼? What does a red candlestick represent?

紅色K線代表什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

A red candle represents a period where price closed below where it opened or went lower during that time.

紅色K線代表在該時段內收盤價低於開盤價,或價格走低。

3 How does the speaker objectively define an uptrend? 演講者如何客觀定義上升趨勢? How does the speaker objectively define an uptrend?

演講者如何客觀定義上升趨勢?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 A

An uptrend is defined as making new higher highs and higher lows, where the pullback low cannot be broken.

上升趨勢被定義為創下新的更高高點和更高低點,且回調低點未被跌破。

4 What is the 'Break and Retest' strategy? 什麼是「突破與回測」策略? What is the 'Break and Retest' strategy?

什麼是「突破與回測」策略?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The strategy involves the market breaking a level, then pulling back to that level (which now acts as support/resistance) to provide a trading opportunity.

該策略涉及市場突破一個水準,然後拉回該水準(現在充當支撐/阻力),以提供交易機會。

5 Why is the ATR indicator important for setting stop losses? 為什麼ATR指標對於設定停損很重要? Why is the ATR indicator important for setting stop losses?

為什麼ATR指標對於設定停損很重要?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

ATR helps you stay in line with the volatility of a market to avoid getting 'wicked out' by using a stop loss that is too tight for the current volatility.

ATR 幫助你與市場波動性保持一致,避免因使用過緊的停損而被影線掃出。

6 Which moving averages does the speaker recommend using as areas of value? 演講者推薦使用哪些移動平均線作為價值區? Which moving averages does the speaker recommend using as areas of value?

演講者推薦使用哪些移動平均線作為價值區?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The speaker uses the 20, 50, and 200-period moving averages because they are the most widely used by traders globally.

演講者使用20、50和200週期移動平均線,因為它們是全球交易者最廣泛使用的。

7 What is the '38.2 candle' pattern based on? 「38.2%蠟燭」型態是基於什麼? What is the '38.2 candle' pattern based on?

「38.2%蠟燭」型態是基於什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

It is an objective rule where the entire body of the candle must be above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement drawn from the swing low to high of that candle.

這是一個客觀規則,即K線的實體必須保持在從該K線的波段低點到高點的38.2%斐波那契回撤位之上。

8 What is the objective rule for a valid Double Bottom pattern according to the speaker? 根據演講者,有效雙底型態的客觀規則是什麼? What is the objective rule for a valid Double Bottom pattern according to the speaker?

根據演講者,有效雙底型態的客觀規則是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The speaker places a box at the lowest low and considers it valid if a candle retests that zone (even with a wick) but does not close a candle below that zone.

演講者在最低低點放置一個方框,如果K線重新測試該區域(即使是影線觸及)但沒有收盤在該區域下方,則視為有效。

9 When should you look to trade a Flag Pattern according to the video? 根據影片,你應該在什麼時候交易旗形型態? When should you look to trade a Flag Pattern according to the video?

根據影片,你應該在什麼時候交易旗形型態?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The speaker only trades flag patterns when they happen above or near the 20-period moving average, indicating a highly volatile trend.

演講者只有在旗形型態發生在20週期移動平均線上方或附近時才交易,這表示高波動性趨勢。

10 What does 'Resistance turned Support' mean? 「阻力轉支撐」是什麼意思? What does 'Resistance turned Support' mean?

「阻力轉支撐」是什麼意思?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 A

This refers to a previous resistance level that gets broken, and on a subsequent pullback, price bounces off that same level, which now acts as support.

這指的是之前的阻力位被突破,隨後在回調時,價格在該水準反彈,該水位現在充當支撐。

測驗完成!得分: / 10