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如何掌握技術分析/價格行為交易
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there are four main skills you must have a deep understanding of in order to become a technical analysis master what
要想成為技術分析大師,你必須深入了解四項主要技能。
00:07
are these four main skills they consist of structure structure is going to be your ability to read and understand
這四項主要技能分別是:結構、結構是閱讀和理解
00:15
support and resistance in the market and to understand how that's going to affect the market next up we have trend this is
市場中的支撐位與壓力位,以及理解這些因素將如何影響市場的能力。接下來是趨勢,這是
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your ability to read momentum and understand what the likely direction of the market will be after that we have
閱讀動能並了解市場可能走向的能力。之後是
00:30
candle and price action patterns this is going to be your understanding of candlesticks
K線圖和價位走勢形態,這代表你對K線圖的理解
00:36
and what each of them mean along with your understanding of price action patterns such as double tops double
以及每個K線圖的含義,還有你對價位走勢形態的理解,例如雙重頂、雙重底、
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bottoms flags and so forth and finally the last skill you must have a deep understanding of in order to master
旗形等。最後,要掌握技術分析的最後一項技能是指標,而且我並不是說只是理解指標是什麼,而是理解
00:49
technical analysis as indicators and I don't mean just understanding what an indicator is I mean understanding the
在交易中正確使用它的方法,以便分解一組貨幣對。那麼,為什麼這很重要呢?
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correct way to use it in our trading in order to break down a currency pair so why is this important
原因在於,你對這四個概念的理解程度將決定你是否是
01:02
well because your understanding of each of these four concepts is going to determine whether or not you are a
一位技術分析大師。我們每週都會製作一個影片,教你關於這些技能中的一項或多項。所以,如果你是
01:07
technical analysis master each and every week we produce a video that teaches you a little about one or more of each of
一個有興趣成為成功的交易者,請點擊影片下方的訂閱按鈕,在右側,並點擊喜歡按鈕以支持本頻道。
01:14
these skills so if you're someone who is interested in becoming a successful trader then go ahead and click that
我們回來後,將更深入地探討這四項技能,我們將對五種主要
01:19
subscribe button down below the video to the right hand side click the like button to help support the channel when
貨幣對進行技術分析,並幫助你成為技術分析大師。[音樂]
01:24
we get back we're going to talk more on each of these four we're gonna do some technical analysis on five major
大多數交易者聽到像支撐位、壓力位或趨勢這樣的詞彙時,會立刻停止關注並轉向其他地方,
01:28
currency pairs and we're gonna help you become a technical analysis master [Music]
因為這並不起眼,對吧?支撐位、壓力位和趨勢是我們在
01:45
most traders hear words like support resistance or trend and immediately stop paying attention and turn the other way
交易生涯初期學到的東西,我們決定不精通它,以便可以轉向這個超華麗的系統,而點數獨角獸
01:53
because it's not flashy right support resistance and trend is something we learn at the very beginning of our
在某某論壇上教導的系統似乎更吸引我們。但正因為如此,我們缺乏成為
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trading career we decide not to master it so we can move on to this super flashy system that the PIP unicorn is
技術分析大師所需的兩項主要技能。而實際上,這個超華麗的系統是
02:06
teaching over on so-and-so forum because that just seems more interesting to us but because of this we lack two of the
教導於某某論壇,因為我們覺得那樣更有趣,但正因為如此,我們缺乏成為技術分析大師所需的
02:14
main skills that it takes to become a master of technical analysis and in reality the super flashy system that's
技術分析大師所需的兩項主要技能,而實際上,這個超華麗的系統並
02:21
not what really creates trading success and it's definitely not what creates a technical analysis master and to prove
這並非真正能創造交易成功的關鍵,也絕對不是成為技術分析大師的要素。為了更進一步證明,
02:27
that a little more I'm going to show you a clip from last week where we use these two very simple concepts of trend and
我將向大家展示上週的一段影片,其中我們運用了趨勢和結構這兩個非常簡單的概念,
02:32
structure to make an extremely accurate market prediction here on the euro dollar let's go ahead and take a look at
對於歐元/美元匯率進行了極其準確的市場預測。讓我們一起觀看這段影片,
02:38
that clip and I'll be right back and talk about the analysis we can do now on this pair let's again let's start at the
然後我會回來談談我們現在可以針對這對貨幣進行的分析。再次,讓我們從
02:46
daily chart let's do some analysis looking for our multiply tested level of structure we have one that the market is
日線圖開始,分析尋找經過多次驗證的結構層級。
02:53
actually just hit right right here is a level that is a thick red line I'm not gonna change it though guys right here
這裡有一個市場剛剛觸及的層級,就是這條粗紅線。不過,各位,我不會修改它,
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is a level that's been support and support if we look left and throw an actual horizontal line on the screen I'm
這裡的層級一直以來都是支撐位。如果我們向左看,並在螢幕上畫一條水平線,
03:04
sure we will see that this area has been tested more times and just like that guys that's our third test so in a
我們一定會發現這個區域已經被多次測試。就像這樣,各位,這是第三次測試。
03:11
trading plan in a strategy you could have a rule that said when a market tests a level of structure three times
在交易計畫或策略中,你可以設定一條規則,當市場在日線圖上測試結構層級三次時,
03:17
on the daily chart I'll look for a counter trend or trinkets in uation trade on a lower timeframe don't go out
我會尋找反趨勢或趨勢反轉的交易機會,在較低的時間框架上操作。
03:22
and trade this just blindly don't go out and start placing trades based on this knowledge go out and test it for
不要盲目交易,也不要僅憑這些知識就開始下單。
03:27
yourself do the preparation become the best don't take my word for it do the work yourself and figure out if this
親自去驗證,做好準備,成為最棒的交易者。不要只聽我的,自己努力工作,
03:34
creates a positive expectancy over a long period of time create a trading plan and create a strategy based around
找出這是否能在長期內創造正向期望值。根據這些知識建立交易計畫和策略,
03:40
that knowledge and then consistently implement that in the market every single day just like kobe consistently
然後每天都持之以恆地在市場上執行,就像科比·布萊恩特在賽前和比賽中
03:47
implemented what he practiced pre-game practiced in the games and that's what created so much success in his
持之以恆地練習一樣,這才是他籃球生涯成功的關鍵。
03:54
basketball career so now we're looking at this level saying that this could Fillie call some trend continuation here
現在我們來看這個層級,判斷它是否可能引發歐元/美元匯率的趨勢延續。
04:00
on the Eurodollar on the daily chart we are in a downtrend here on this pair right we look up we zoom the chart out a
在日線圖上,我們看到這對貨幣正處於下跌趨勢。
04:06
bit you can see that we've been pushing down pushing down pushing down pushing down until we break through this level
向上看,稍微拉遠圖表,你會發現我們一直在下跌,不斷突破這個阻力位。
04:12
of resistance we're in a downtrend we still haven't done that the likely scenario is that we continue down the
我們還沒有進入下跌趨勢,最有可能的情況是,我們將繼續下跌。
04:18
best place to look for that specific trend continuation move that we're talking about to continue pushing this
要尋找我們所說的特定趨勢延續走勢,也就是繼續推動這對貨幣下跌的最佳位置,
04:24
market down at least for us here at the trading channel considering the back testing and trading that we've done
對於我們交易頻道來說,市場至少會下跌,考量到我們所做的回溯測試和交易。
04:28
again create your own trading plan don't take our word for it or my word for it but this is one of our best-case
再次強調,建立你自己的交易計畫,不要只聽我們的或我的,但這是我們最佳情況下的其中一種。
04:35
scenarios is that this market comes into this level we get a train continuation play on a lower timeframe that puts this
情境是市場來到這個位置,我們在較低時間框架上看到趨勢延續的交易機會,這會讓這個市場進入一個縮小格局,並讓你獲取巨額利潤。
04:40
market in a shrinking equation and you make massive profits so in that clip you just saw we made a prediction that the
在你剛才看到的片段中,我們預測歐元/美元會上漲至前兩個支撐位,並且我們會看到這個前支撐位轉為阻力位。
04:45
euro dollar would come up in two previous support and that we would see that previous support level turn to
然後我們預期會看到該貨幣對的趨勢延續,趨勢延續指的是跌破其最近的支撐位。
04:52
resistance and see train continuation out of that pair train continuation meaning a break below its most recent
這正是發生的情況,而我們用來做出這個預測的,僅僅是趨勢和結構。
04:58
levels of support that is exactly what happened and what did we use in order to make this prediction nothing more than
你會發現,對這兩個概念的掌握程度,可以將你做出準確預測的能力提高十倍。
05:07
trend and structure you see having a mastery level understanding of those two concepts can increase your ability to
我們通過歷史測試確切知道,這個支撐位,從左側觀察,將會是市場上最強大的支撐位之一,以觀察趨勢延續。
05:14
make accurate predictions tenfold we know for a fact because of the historical testing that I've done that
我知道這些並不是因為我比任何人都厲害,也不是因為我天生就擁有這些資訊。
05:22
this level of support looking left is going to be one of the most powerful levels that we see in the market to see
我知道這些是因為我花費了數千個小時研究歷史數據,並測試像這樣的情況,即市場上漲至先前經過多次測試的支撐或阻力位。
05:29
train continuation out of this pair again I don't know that because I'm better than anyone else I don't know
然後我知道,我有一個統計優勢,那就是這個位置會提供趨勢延續,這並不是什麼超級秘密的交易系統。
05:35
that because I was born with this information in my head no I know this because I've spent
我非常討厭那些交易教育者試圖向你推銷所謂的超級秘密的東西,因為我知道簡潔是交易成功的關鍵。
05:39
thousands and thousands of hours looking through historical data and testing examples just like this where a market
我知道這一點的原因是,這就是幫助我在交易中取得成功的因素。
05:46
comes up to the most previous level of support or resistance that's also been tested multiple times in the past and
這些資訊是我每週免費分享的,這不是你無法在任何地方找到的超級秘密。
05:53
then I know that I have a statistic advantage of that level providing trend continuation and this is not some super
掌握趨勢和結構,你準確預測市場可能走向的能力將會提高十倍,而在今天的影片中,我們將會幫助大家。
06:00
secret trading system I absolutely hate when trading educators try to sell you on something that's super secret because
秘密的交易系統,我非常厭惡那些交易教育者試圖向你兜售什麼超秘密的東西,因為
06:06
I know that simplicity is the key to trading success the reason I know that's because that's what
我知道簡單才是交易成功的關鍵,我知道的原因是因為這就是
06:12
helped create success in my own trading this is information that I give away for free each and every week guys it's not
幫助我在自己的交易中取得成功的要素,這個資訊我每週都會免費分享,各位
06:18
something super secret that you can't find anywhere master trend and structure and your ability to accurately make
秘密的東西,你絕對找不到任何地方。掌握趨勢和結構,你準確預測市場可能走向的能力將會提高十倍,而在今天的影片中,我們將會幫助大家
06:25
market predictions on where the markets likely to go will increase by 10 and in today's video we're gonna help you guys
掌握趨勢和結構,你準確預測市場可能走向的能力將會提高十倍,而在今天的影片中,我們將會幫助大家
06:31
master that we also have a free beginners course to structure in trend I'd say beginners course but this course
我們也提供一個免費的初學者課程,來掌握趨勢。我會說這個是初學者課程,但實際上這個課程相當進階,它會向你展示我每週如何做出像這樣的預測。
06:38
is actually pretty advanced it'll show you exactly how I make predictions like this each and every week that you can
你可以在下方的描述中找到這個課程,標題是「技術交易員基礎課程」,所以如果你在識別趨勢或結構方面遇到困難,可以查看一下。
06:43
find in the description below labeled technical trader foundation course so check that out if you're having trouble
或者,如果你只是想了解我進行預測的具體方法,也可以查看一下。
06:49
identifying trend or structure or if you want to just see the exact way I do so in order to make predictions like this
再次說明,這個課程是完全免費的,輸入你的電子郵件地址,我們就會立即發送課程給你。
06:54
each week again that's absolutely free put in your email address and we will send you that course immediately so
現在讓我們看看歐元兌美元,為什麼我們會對這個市場做出這樣的預測?就像我們剛才討論的,就像你在影片中看到的,我們首先觀察這個市場的趨勢。
07:01
let's take a look now at the euro dawg why did we make this market prediction well like we just talked about like you
這是理解技術分析的第一層。我們在這裡意識到,這個市場正處於下跌趨勢。
07:06
saw in the video we were looking at the trend of this market first that's the first level of understanding technical
我們這裡有一個下跌趨勢,目前來看,它將會持續下跌。
07:12
analysis and what do we realize here is that this market is in a downtrend we have a downtrend here that's going to
我們上次的衝刺性突破就在這裡,我畫出這段線,因為這個位置是我們之前的阻力位。
07:19
stay a downtrend at this point our last impulsive break was right here this leg I'm drawing because of that this is our
除非這個阻力位被突破,而事實上它並沒有在這裡被突破,否則我們仍然認為這個市場處於下跌趨勢。
07:26
previous level of resistance and unless this level of resistance is broken which did not happen over here then we still
我們知道這意味著,這個市場更有可能繼續朝下跌,而不是反彈上漲。
07:32
consider this market in a downtrend what do we know about that well we know that that means this market is more likely to
因此,我們已經佔據了優勢。那麼,我們該如何進一步擴大優勢呢?
07:38
continue in that downward direction than to reverse and head higher because of that we already have an advantage now
我們已經討論過趨勢,而市場目前再次處於下跌趨勢。
07:45
how do we increase that advantage even more well we already just talked about trend
所以,我們最有可能的預期是什麼?我們最有可能的預期是,在突破這個阻力位之前,市場會跌破這個支撐位。
07:48
which the market now again guys is currently in a downtrend so what's our likely scenario our likely scenario is a
現在,讓我們回到為什麼我們擁有更大的優勢。
07:54
break of this level of support before we break and close above this resistance level now so but let's get back to why
我們之所以擁有優勢,是因為上週市場正處於下跌趨勢,我們已經知曉。
08:01
we have more of an advantage we have an advantage because the market was in a downtrend last week we knew that we also
我們在這裡也擁有結構優勢,因為這個位置在突破之前,曾多次被測試為支撐位。
08:07
have an advantage here with this level of structure because it was tested most previously as support before the break
並且,在這裡也曾被測試為阻力位。如果我們向左看,這個支撐位和阻力位,這個結構層級,在過去曾被多次測試,甚至更早的時候也是如此。
08:14
of that level and also back here as resistance if we look left this level of support and resistance this level of
因此,了解它被多次測試,並且知道市場正處於下跌趨勢,知道這是最…
08:21
structure was tested multiple times in the past even further back as well so
結構在過去曾多次被測試,甚至更早之前也是如此,所以
08:26
knowing that it was tested multiple times and knowing that the markets in a downtrend knowing that it's the most
知道它被多次測試,並且知道市場正處於下跌趨勢,知道這是最
08:31
previous level of support that was just broken by an impulsive move gave us the ability to have an advantage and to
先前的支撐位,剛剛被一波衝動的走勢突破,這給了我們優勢,並能
08:37
predict that this market would continue in a downward direction from that level again guys this is not some super-secret
預測這個市場將會從那個位準再次向下發展,各位這並不是什麼超級秘密
08:45
trading system this is something I give away for free each and every week make sure you're subscribed here to the
交易系統,這是我每週免費分享的內容,務必訂閱這個
08:50
trading channel so you can learn more about structure and trend along with indicators and price action slash
交易頻道,以便了解更多關於結構和趨勢,以及指標和價格變動/
08:55
candlestick patterns which is something we go over each and every week and again get your hands on that free technical
蠟燭形態的知識,這些我們每週都會講解,而且再次提醒大家,取得那份免費的技術
09:00
trading foundation course if you're having trouble understanding any of this where we go into a lot of detail about
交易基礎課程,如果你對這些內容感到困惑,我們會在課程中深入探討
09:05
structure and Trent so that was what we talked about last week on the euro dollar now let's quickly go through what
結構和趨勢,所以我們上週討論的是歐元兌美元,現在我們快速瀏覽一下本週
09:11
we're expecting this week well obviously we just broke below we broke support below this level of structure looking
的預期,顯然我們已經跌破了支撐,跌破了這個結構位準,向左看
09:18
left right here so what does that mean that means our expectation is that we know the most previous level of support
這裡,這意味著我們的預期是,先前最主要的支撐位
09:24
is possibly going to turn into resistance we know that since it's been tested multiple times here here and
可能會轉變成阻力,因為它已經在這裡、這裡和
09:30
including more times looking left that that adds accuracy to this prediction we also know that we're in a downtrend
包括更多次向左看的情況下被測試過,這增加了這個預測的準確性,我們也知道目前處於一個下跌趨勢
09:37
which adds accuracy to this prediction so our prediction for this week is a move up into the 113 1/4 level here on
這也增加了這個預測的準確性,所以我們本週的預測是,這個貨幣對可能會上漲到 1.1325 的位準
09:45
this pair could happen now could happen in a couple of days and we want to see if we get an entry reason there to push
這裡,現在可能發生,也可能在幾天後發生,我們想看看是否能找到一個進入點,來推動
09:50
the market down - another important aspect of this is that these predictions we're not just taking trays randomly in
市場下跌,這其中的另一個重要方面是,我們並不是隨機在
09:56
these areas we're waiting for predictable price action patterns predictable candlestick patterns
這些區域進行交易,我們正在等待可預測的價格變動模式、可預測的蠟燭形態
10:02
predictable strategies that we use in the AP training program at these levels in order to place trades which also adds
以及我們在 AP 培訓計畫中使用的可預測策略,在這些位準上進行交易,這也增加了
10:08
accuracy and adding all that together equals a pretty accurate market prediction so that's what we're paying
準確性,將所有這些加在一起,就等於一個相當準確的市場預測,所以這就是我們本週
10:13
attention to this week here on the euro dollar I will try to go as quickly as possible through the rest of these pairs
在關注歐元兌美元的重點,我會盡量快速地瀏覽剩下的貨幣對
10:18
because this video is already getting kind of long and we just started so the pound dollar last week we were
因為這個影片已經有點長了,而且我們才剛開始,所以鎊兌美元上週我們
10:25
predicting that we could see a counter trend bounce from there around one point two eight level writed these two little
預測可能會從那裡看到一個逆向反彈,大約在 1.28 的位準,寫下這兩個小
10:32
levels of support which were also support looking left in the past this would have been a counter trend
過去的支撐位,往左看也是支撐位,這本來會是一個反向趨勢的機會,但不幸的是,市場直接突破了這個位置,這就是預測沒有成真的例子。
10:36
opportunity but unfortunately the market just pushed right through that so this is an example of when these
當然,交易中沒有什麼是百分之百準確的。而且就像我之前說過的,我之所以如此信任這個分析,是因為我已經做了歷史回測,並且知道當我以這種方式進行分析時,我擁有優於市場的統計優勢。
10:41
predictions did not work out of course nothing in trading is 100% accurate and like I said earlier the reason I trust
那麼,現在我們付錢給您做什麼呢?關於英鎊兌美元,我們上週的預測,可能從1.28反彈,結果並不好。
10:47
this analysis so much is because I've done my historic testing and know that I have a statistic advantage over the
現在英鎊兌美元正處於盤整期,這也是你們需要了解的另一件事:有時候,你無法僅憑趨勢和結構來判斷市場的走向。
10:53
market when performing analysis in this way so now what are we paying you to do on the pound dollar we had that
我可以告訴你們的是,如果價格上漲到這個主要的阻力位,那將是我尋找可能的做空機會的位置。
10:59
prediction of a possible counter trend bounce from 1.28 last week didn't work out very well
如果價格下跌到這個主要的支撐位,它已經被多次測試,那將是我尋找做多機會的位置。
11:04
now this mark is just in a period of consolidation so this is something else that's okay to realize two guys is that
由於英鎊兌美元目前正處於盤整期,至少在日線時間框架上,我只想在這兩個支撐和阻力位尋找交易機會。
11:10
sometimes you're not gonna know what a markets gonna do based on trend and structure now what I can tell you I'll
那麼,我們現在繼續看下一個貨幣對,美元兌日圓。
11:16
be looking for is that if we get up to this major level of resistance that's a level I'll look for for possible
上週我們在這個貨幣對上做了一筆多頭交易。我還會切換到較小時間框架,與大家分享。
11:21
shorting opportunities if we get down to this major level of support that's been tested multiple times that's a place
相同的技術分析理解,幫助我們找到了這個特定的交易機會。我們知道趨勢已經反轉,讓我給你們展示。
11:27
I'll look for long opportunities this support and resistance level are the only two places I really want to be
我們有這個下跌趨勢,不斷下跌,然後突然進入盤整期,並且突破了阻力位,這使我們進入了一個可能的上升趨勢。
11:33
looking for trading opportunities here on the pound dollar because of this period of consolidation we're currently
但這還不是一個上升趨勢,我們還沒有看到一二三的走勢,而且價格在這個區域盤整,與這個盤整期相伴隨。
11:37
seeing on this pair at least on the daily timeframe so let's go ahead move on now we'll take a look at our next
在這時,記住技術分析的一部分是…
11:44
pair which is the dollar yen we ended up with a long trade out of the EAP last week on this pair I'm actually gonna
另一對貨幣,美元日圓,我們上週在這個貨幣對上從EAP中獲利做多,我實際上要
11:49
drop down to a smaller time frame and share that with you guys as well same same understanding of technical analysis
降低到較小時間框架,並與大家分享,同樣的,相同的技術分析理解
11:55
helped with this specific trading opportunity we knew that we had just reversed trend let me show you guys that
幫助了這個特定的交易機會,我們知道我們剛剛反轉趨勢,讓我向大家展示
12:01
we have this downtrend we're pushing down pushing down pushing down pushing down and then all of a sudden we get
我們有這個下跌趨勢,持續下跌、下跌、下跌、下跌,然後突然我們得到
12:07
this period of consolidation we also get a break of resistance right here pushing us into a possible uptrend it's not an
這個盤整期,我們也看到這裡突破了阻力位,將我們推向了一個可能的上升趨勢,但這還
12:14
uptrend yet we don't have a one two three move and we get this price leveling out area right here along with
上升趨勢,我們還沒有看到一二三的走勢,而且我們也看到這裡的價格盤整區域,以及
12:19
this period of consolidation what we were looking for at this point and again remember part of technical analysis you
這段盤整期正是我們目前關注的重點,再次提醒,技術分析的一部分就是要了解趨勢、結構和價格變動。
12:26
want to understand trend you want to understand structure you wanna understand price action Candlestick
想了解趨勢,想了解結構,想了解價格變動,以及K線圖型和指標。
12:30
patterns and indicators well at this point we know that based on our trend and structure analysis we have
那麼,到目前為止,我們知道根據我們的趨勢和結構分析,我們有
12:36
resistance here support here which means we're in a period of consolidation and understanding consolidation is going to
這裡的阻力位,這裡的支撐位,這意味著我們正處於盤整期,而理解盤整期將與趨勢相關聯。
12:41
be tied in with trend on that diamond of mastering technical analysis we looked at at the beginning of the video so
在影片開頭的技術分析精通鑽石圖中,我們已經看過。
12:46
knowing that we're in this period of consolidation what can we ask ourselves well what would happen what can we
既然我們知道我們正處於這個盤整期,我們可以問自己什麼呢?
12:52
assume from this well we can assume that break out of this period of consolidation will determine the likely
那麼,如果發生什麼,我們可以假設什麼呢?
12:56
direction that the market could go so if this market would have broken out to the downside we definitely would have been
我們可以假設,突破這個盤整期將決定市場可能發展的方向。
13:02
looking for short trades right here we were prepared for that but instead this market broke out to the upside breaking
如果這個市場向下突破,我們肯定會尋找做空機會。
13:08
this resistance level of this period of consolidation then pulled back right into that resistance level which is
我們已經為此做好了準備,但相反的是,這個市場向上突破,突破了
13:14
where we decided to take a trading opportunity in the EAP training program I'll put a screenshot of that trade to
這個盤整期的阻力位,然後回調到那個阻力位,這正是我們決定採取交易機會的地方。
13:18
the left-hand side of your screen so you can see the email analysis on that that we sent out to everyone involved in the
在EAP培訓計畫中,我會把該交易的截圖放在螢幕的左側,以便大家查看
13:23
program last week and as you can see this ended up being a pretty good trading opportunity and now let's zoom
我們發送給所有參與者的一份電子郵件分析。
13:30
back out to a daily chart and go ahead and talk about what we're expecting next based on our technical analysis here on
正如你所見,這最終成為一個很好的交易機會,現在讓我們縮放回
13:35
this pair where we're coming into this zone of structure here which has been tested multiple times in the past even
日線圖,並根據我們在這裡的技術分析,討論我們接下來的預期。
13:41
though we are considering the dollar yen in an uptrend currently this zone of structure is very important this zone of
針對這對貨幣,我們正進入一個結構區域,這個區域過去曾多次被測試。
13:48
structure could definitely cause another little downtrend pop on lower timeframes can cause another push down counter
雖然我們目前認為美元日圓處於上升趨勢,但這個結構區域非常重要。
13:56
trend move out of the dollar yen before we can see this level being broken overall because of the trend and
這個結構區域肯定會導致另一個小幅下跌,在較低的時間框架上可能導致另一次下跌推動,
14:02
momentum of the market understanding trend we know that we have a likely scenario of this level of resistance
在我們看到這個水平被突破之前,美元日圓可能會出現反向趨勢的移動。
14:06
being broken but being this strong of a level and I'll show you why we consider this an extremely strong level it should
總體而言,由於市場的趨勢和動能,了解趨勢使我們知道,這個阻力位被突破的可能性很高。
14:13
be pretty obvious looking left this level has provided resistance for this market multiple times in the past being
但由於這個位級別的強勢,我會向你展示原因,這應該很明顯,
14:20
this strong of a level we can still expect to see some type of counter trend bounce on a lower timeframe maybe even a
在這個強勢水平,我們仍然預期會看到某種反向趨勢反彈,或許是在較低時間框架內,甚至可能出現
14:26
little period of consolidation right here before the breakout above this previous level of resistance so that's
一段盤整期,然後再突破這個先前的阻力位。所以,
14:31
what we're expecting out of the dollar yen let's go ahead and move on now which is going to be the dollar Swiss and last
我們預期美元日圓的走勢是這樣,現在我們繼續看下一個,也就是美元瑞士。
14:37
week on the dollar Swiss what we had a prediction of is either a counter-trend bounce from this level pushing the
上週我們對美元瑞士的預測是,它可能會從這個水平反彈,導致市場下跌,這也是我們真正預期發生的情況,
14:44
market down which is really what we expected although that did not happen we also mentioned that if we got a break
雖然實際上並未發生。我們也提到,如果市場突破
14:48
above this level of resistance here that it's quite possible for us to see a pull back into that major level of resistance
這個阻力位,那麼我們很可能看到市場回調到那個主要的阻力位。
14:55
using that technical analysis mastery understanding that we have and understanding that this level of
運用我們對技術分析的精通理解,以及理解這個
15:00
resistance would likely act as support and push the market up into traing continuation I actually have a clip from
阻力位很可能轉為支撐,並推動市場繼續上漲,我實際上有一段上週影片的片段
15:06
last week's video to show you really quickly of this so take a look at that and I'll be right back
可以快速向你展示,請看,我馬上回來。
15:10
Swiss now let's say that doesn't happen the point of trading the point of having a trading plan is to be ready for
現在,讓我們假設情況並未發生。交易的重點,擁有交易計畫的重點,是為
15:17
whatever the markets going to do so what if the market throws something completely unexpected Edison instead of
市場的任何走勢做好準備。如果市場拋出完全意料之外的情況呢?例如,與其
15:22
a counter trend pushed down we see this market start to break above this resistance level here well it's quite
反向趨勢下跌,我們看到這個市場開始突破這個阻力位,那麼情況會很
15:28
simple if that's the case we're gonna be using our structure rules that we know again if you don't know a lot about
簡單。如果這樣,我們將使用我們所知的結構規則,再次提醒,如果你對結構
15:32
structure at read check out that free rehearsal training in the link in the description but we know that that area
不太了解,請查看描述連結中的免費重播訓練。但我們知道,如果突破,那個
15:38
of resistance is likely if broken going to turn into support so that's what we can expect if we see a break of this
阻力區域很可能轉為支撐,所以這就是我們在看到這個阻力位被突破時可以預期的情況。
15:46
resistance level if we get an entry at this level all right so as you can see in that clip that was our exact
如果我們在這個水平獲得入場點,那麼一切都好。正如你在影片片段中所看到的,
15:50
expectation other than that counter trend move which actually did not happen was that if this market broke above this
這正是我們的預期,除了那個實際上並未發生的反向趨勢移動之外,就是如果這個市場突破這個
15:56
resistance level that pullback and then train continuation on the dollar Swiss again guys I really hope that this video
阻力位,就會出現回調,然後在美元瑞士的交易中繼續上漲。再次提醒大家,我真的希望這段影片
16:02
has helped you to have a mastery level understanding of technical analysis we do videos like this each week so make
能幫助你們掌握技術分析的精髓。我們每週都會發布類似的影片,所以請務必
16:09
sure you're subscribed for those we also have that free training available that will teach you the foundations of
訂閱。我們也提供免費訓練,將教導你們技術分析的基礎知識。
16:15
technical trading with the exact ways that we define structure levels and trends in the market and if you're ready
16:21
for some more advanced training we also have the EAP training program which is our flagship program we've ran for a
我們將探討技術交易,以及我們定義市場結構層級和趨勢的精確方法,如果你準備好了。
16:27
couple of years here at the trading channel that's already helped hundreds of traders on their path to becoming
如果你準備好接受更進階的訓練,我們也有EAP訓練課程,這是我們的旗艦課程,我們在交易頻道已經營運了幾年。
16:32
professional traders in that course we take you step-by-step through the entire process of building a trading plan you
這個課程已經幫助數百位交易者走上成為專業交易者的道路。
16:38
also receive the email analysis I was talking about earlier in the video three to five times a week of trades we're
在這個課程中,我們會一步一步帶領你完成建立交易計畫的整個過程。
16:43
playing your take to help you better understand the way we see the market so if you're interested in that there's
你也會收到我先前在影片中提到的電子郵件分析,每週會收到三到五次的交易訊號。
16:48
also a link in the description for the EAP training program not that's ok too again make sure you're subscribed make
這些交易訊號是我們正在操作的,希望能幫助你更了解我們看待市場的方式。
16:53
sure you click the like button if this video was helpful hopefully at this point you are one step closer to be a
如果你對此有興趣,說明欄中也有EAP訓練課程的連結。
16:59
technical analysis the DSC [Music]
如果這樣也可以,沒問題。再次提醒,請務必訂閱並點讚,如果這個影片對你有所幫助。
17:21
[Music]
希望到目前為止,你已經更接近成為技術分析師。

如何掌握技術分析/價格行為交易

📝 影片摘要

本單元深入探討成為技術分析大師所需的四項關鍵技能:結構、趨勢、K線圖與價位走勢形態、以及指標。影片強調,精通支撐位、壓力位和趨勢是技術分析的基礎,而非追求華麗複雜的交易系統。透過歐元/美元的實例分析,展示了如何運用簡單的趨勢和結構概念進行準確的市場預測。影片還提醒交易者,切勿盲目交易,應透過歷史數據驗證,並持之以恆地練習,建立適合自己的交易計畫與策略。此外,影片也介紹了免費的技術交易員基礎課程和更進階的EAP訓練課程,旨在幫助交易者提升技術分析能力。

📌 重點整理

  • 技術分析大師需要精通結構、趨勢、K線圖/價位走勢形態和指標四大技能。
  • 支撐位、壓力位和趨勢是技術分析的基礎,需要深入理解和掌握。
  • 簡潔的分析方法往往比複雜的交易系統更有效。
  • 透過歷史數據回測和驗證,可以建立具有統計優勢的交易策略。
  • 持續學習和練習是成為成功交易者的關鍵。
📖 專有名詞百科 |點擊詞彙查看維基百科解釋
結構
structure
趨勢
trend
動量
momentum
阻力
resistance
支撐
support
衝動的
impulsive
歷史回測
backtesting
期望值
expectancy
盤整
consolidation
背離
divergence

🔍 自訂查詢

📚 共 10 個重點單字
structure /ˈstrʌktʃər/ noun
the arrangement of and relations between parts of a system or organization.
結構;組織
📝 例句
"Understanding the structure of the market is crucial for technical analysis."
了解市場結構對於技術分析至關重要。
✨ 延伸例句
"The company's organizational structure was redesigned for efficiency."
公司組織結構重新設計以提高效率。
trend /trend/ noun
a general direction in which something is developing or changing.
趨勢;傾向
📝 例句
"Identifying the trend is key to successful trading."
識別趨勢是成功交易的關鍵。
✨ 延伸例句
"There's a growing trend towards remote work."
遠程工作呈現日益增長的趨勢。
momentum /moʊˈmentəm/ noun
the quantity of motion of a moving body.
動量;勢頭
📝 例句
"The market showed strong momentum in the upward direction."
市場呈現強勁的上升動能。
✨ 延伸例句
"The campaign gained momentum after the debate."
辯論之後,競選活動開始獲得勢頭。
resistance /rɪˈzɪstəns/ noun
the ability to resist or prevent something.
阻力;抗力
📝 例句
"The price encountered resistance at the 1.13 level."
價格在1.13水平處遭遇阻力。
✨ 延伸例句
"The new policy faced strong resistance from the employees."
新政策面臨員工的強烈抵制。
support /səˈpɔrt/ noun
the bearing of weight or pressure.
支撐;支持
📝 例句
"The 1.10 level acted as strong support for the currency pair."
1.10水平對該貨幣對起到了強勁的支撐作用。
✨ 延伸例句
"The government provides financial support to small businesses."
政府為小型企業提供財政支持。
impulsive /ɪmˈpʌlsɪv/ adjective
acting or done without forethought.
衝動的;即興的
📝 例句
"The market experienced an impulsive move upwards."
市場經歷了一次衝動性的上漲。
✨ 延伸例句
"He made an impulsive decision to quit his job."
他衝動地決定辭職。
backtesting /ˈbækˌtestɪŋ/ noun
testing a trading strategy on historical data.
歷史回測
📝 例句
"Backtesting is essential to validate the effectiveness of a trading strategy."
歷史回測對於驗證交易策略的有效性至關重要。
✨ 延伸例句
"The algorithm underwent rigorous backtesting before deployment."
該算法在部署前經過了嚴格的歷史回測。
expectancy /ɪkˈspektənsi/ noun
the probability of success.
期望值;預期
📝 例句
"A positive expectancy is crucial for long-term trading success."
正的期望值對於長期交易成功至關重要。
✨ 延伸例句
"The company's future growth expectancy is high."
公司未來的增長預期很高。
consolidation /kənˌsɒlɪˈdeɪʃən/ noun
the process of strengthening or solidifying.
盤整;鞏固
📝 例句
"The market is currently in a consolidation phase."
市場目前處於盤整階段。
✨ 延伸例句
"The company is focusing on consolidating its market share."
公司正專注於鞏固其市場份額。
divergence /daɪˈvɜrdʒəns/ noun
the tendency to become different.
背離;差異
📝 例句
"A divergence between the price and the indicator can signal a potential reversal."
價格和指標之間的背離可能預示著潛在的反轉。
✨ 延伸例句
"There is a growing divergence of opinion on the issue."
人們對這個問題的意見分歧越來越大。
🎯 共 10 題測驗

1 根據影片,成為技術分析大師需要精通哪些技能? According to the video, which skills are essential to become a technical analysis master? 根據影片,成為技術分析大師需要精通哪些技能?

According to the video, which skills are essential to become a technical analysis master?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 A

The video explicitly states that mastery of structure, trend, candlesticks/price action, and indicators are key.

影片明確指出,精通結構、趨勢、K線圖/價位走勢形態和指標是關鍵。

2 影片中提到的「結構」指的是什麼? What does 'structure' refer to in the video? 影片中提到的「結構」指的是什麼?

What does 'structure' refer to in the video?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Structure is defined as the ability to read and understand support and resistance.

結構被定義為閱讀和理解支撐位和壓力位的能力。

3 影片中強調,比起追求複雜的交易系統,更重要的是什麼? The video emphasizes that what is more important than pursuing complex trading systems? 影片中強調,比起追求複雜的交易系統,更重要的是什麼?

The video emphasizes that what is more important than pursuing complex trading systems?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The video stresses the importance of mastering the fundamental concepts of support, resistance, and trend.

影片強調掌握支撐、壓力位和趨勢的基本概念的重要性。

4 歷史回測的主要目的是什麼? What is the main purpose of backtesting? 歷史回測的主要目的是什麼?

What is the main purpose of backtesting?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Backtesting is used to test a trading strategy on historical data to see if it would have been profitable.

歷史回測是用於測試交易策略在歷史數據上的表現,以查看其是否有利可圖。

5 影片中提到的EAP培訓課程是什麼? What is the EAP training program mentioned in the video? 影片中提到的EAP培訓課程是什麼?

What is the EAP training program mentioned in the video?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The EAP program is described as the channel's flagship course, offering in-depth training.

EAP 課程被描述為該頻道的旗艦課程,提供深入的培訓。

6 在影片中,對歐元/美元的分析主要基於什麼兩個概念? The analysis of EUR/USD in the video is mainly based on what two concepts? 在影片中,對歐元/美元的分析主要基於什麼兩個概念?

The analysis of EUR/USD in the video is mainly based on what two concepts?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The video specifically demonstrates how trend and structure were used to predict the EUR/USD movement.

影片明確展示了如何使用趨勢和結構來預測歐元/美元的走勢。

7 如果市場突破了一個重要的阻力位,根據影片的分析,下一步應該怎麼做? If the market breaks through a significant resistance level, what should you do next according to the video's analysis? 如果市場突破了一個重要的阻力位,根據影片的分析,下一步應該怎麼做?

If the market breaks through a significant resistance level, what should you do next according to the video's analysis?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The video suggests waiting for a pullback to the broken resistance (now support) to look for shorting opportunities.

影片建議等待回調到突破的阻力位(現在變成支撐位)以尋找做空機會。

8 影片中提到,為什麼簡潔的交易分析方法是成功的關鍵? The video mentions that why a simple trading analysis method is the key to success? 影片中提到,為什麼簡潔的交易分析方法是成功的關鍵?

The video mentions that why a simple trading analysis method is the key to success?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 D

The video emphasizes simplicity as a key to trading success, implying all of the above reasons.

影片強調簡潔性是交易成功的關鍵,暗示以上所有原因。

9 影片中提到交易者應該如何對待交易教育者推銷的「超級秘密」交易系統? What should traders do with 'super secret' trading systems marketed by trading educators, according to the video? 影片中提到交易者應該如何對待交易教育者推銷的「超級秘密」交易系統?

What should traders do with 'super secret' trading systems marketed by trading educators, according to the video?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The speaker expresses dislike for educators pushing 'super secret' systems and suggests focusing on simplicity.

講者表達了對推銷“超級秘密”系統的教育者的不滿,並建議專注於簡潔性。

10 影片中,美元/日圓的交易機會主要基於什麼分析? The trading opportunities for USD/JPY are mainly based on what analysis in the video? 影片中,美元/日圓的交易機會主要基於什麼分析?

The trading opportunities for USD/JPY are mainly based on what analysis in the video?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The video highlights the potential trade based on the breakout of a consolidation range.

影片強調基於盤整區間突破的潛在交易。

測驗完成!得分: / 10