00:00
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hey Traders welcome to predictive analysis today we're going to give you guys our predictions on the top five
各位交易者，歡迎收看預測分析。今天我們會為大家提供前五大主要貨幣對的預測。
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major pairs including what they've done where they're at now and what we expect them to do in the future give you guys
包括它們過去的表現、目前的狀態，以及我們預期它們未來的走勢，為大家提供
00:10
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the trade ideas that we have on these top five major pairs going into this week and what we're expecting each of
本週針對這些前五大主要貨幣對的交易想法，以及我們對它們的預期表現。
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them to do we'll also be talking about a consolidation pattern that can be extremely useful when markets are not
我們也會討論一種盤整形態，當市場沒有明顯趨勢時，它會非常有用。
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trending so after the intro and disclaimer we'll be coming at you with some really valuable content and guys if
在介紹和免責聲明之後，我們會帶來一些非常有價值的內容，各位如果
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you're new here and this is the first time seeing our video I'd like to say welcome to the trading Channel my name
是新手，第一次觀看我們的影片，歡迎加入我們的交易頻道，我是
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is step your honest trading coach and if all of this information sounds like it'll be beneficial and it's something
Step，您的誠實交易教練。如果這些資訊對您有幫助，並且您希望
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you'd like to be notified about each and every week join the over 60,000 Trader community that we currently have here on
每週都能收到通知，請點擊下方右側的小紅按鈕訂閱，加入我們目前在
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YouTube by clicking the button down below to the right hand side little red button that says subscribe also click
YouTube 上超過六萬名的交易者社群。同時點擊
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the notification Bell to be sure that you're alerted when we come out with these videos each and every week click
通知鈴聲，確保您能每週收到我們影片的提醒。
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that like button for me and I'll go ahead and let the intro roll [Music]
也請點個讚，我就讓影片開始播放。[音樂]
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welcome back Traders so let's go ahead and get started with the good stuff we're going to go ahead and get started
歡迎回來，各位交易者。那麼，我們直接進入重點，先從
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with the consolidation patterns we were talking about that can be beneficial to your trading when a specific Market is
我們之前提到的盤整形態開始，當特定市場沒有明顯
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not necessarily in Trend so as we know from last week's video here on the euro dollar this Market if I zoom out to a
趨勢時，這些形態對您的交易會很有幫助。正如我們在上週的影片中所知，關於歐元/美元
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daily chart is clearly in a period of consolidation let's zoom in right here and I'll show you guys what I'm talking
這個市場，如果我拉遠圖表到日線圖，可以清楚地看到它正處於盤整期。我們放大一點，
01:28
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about all right so here we have a level of resistance that's been tested multiple times we also have a level of
我會向大家展示我所說的。好的，這裡有一條阻力位，已經多次被測試。我們也有一個
01:35
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support that's been tested three times right in here as well signifying that this is a period of consolidation now
支撐位，在這裡也被測試了三次，這表明這是一個盤整期。
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overall of course we are still in this downtrend right if we zoom out the chart you can see that we're still heading in
總體而言，當然我們仍然處於這個下跌趨勢中。如果我們拉遠圖表，您會看到我們仍然朝著
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the downward Direction here on the euro dollar but we're taking a brief pause here on the daily chart I say brief this
歐元/美元的下跌方向前進，但我們在這裡暫停了一下。我說暫停，
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pause has lasted a little over two months at this point but we're taking a pause here at this level and during this
這個暫停已經持續兩個多月了。但我們正在這個位置暫停，而且在此期間…
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pause we're going to see some consolidation in the markets there's going to be some indecision we're going
暫停，我們將看到市場出現盤整，會有些猶豫不定，我們將在阻力位和支撐位之間來回移動。
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to go back and forth between resistance and support in areas like this it's really difficult to take advantage of
在這種情況下，要利用趨勢延續交易真的非常困難。
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trend continuation trades so if you're a trend continuation Trader you're going to have a really difficult time making
所以如果你是趨勢延續交易者，在這個類型的盤整時期很難獲利。
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any profits during this type of consolidation period in a specific market now the question becomes if
現在問題是，如果確實如此，那麼如何利用盤整市場呢？
02:19
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that's the case then how do you take advantage of consolidating markets well a way that I've taken advantage of
我利用盤整市場的一種方式，而且對我個人的交易非常有益，就是使用一種叫做「進階型態」的東西。
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consolidating markets something that's been extremely beneficial in my own personal trading is using something
這些是當市場沒有明顯趨勢時，往往會出現的盤整型態。
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called Advanced p patterns these are consolidation patterns that tend to occur when a market is not trending so
讓我們縮小時間框架，回到一小時圖，再詳細談談這個。
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let's Zoom back down to a smaller time frame let's get back down to that 1hour chart and talk a little more about this
螢幕上看到的特定型態叫做「cipher pattern（密碼型態）」 ，它是這些進階型態之一。
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the specific pattern you see on the screen is called a cipher pattern and it's one of these Advanced patterns that
大約有四種主要的進階型態，如果你想了解更多關於這些進階型態的資訊，我頻道上有一些免費影片。
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I'm talking about there's about four main ones and if you want to learn a little more about these Advanced
我也有一些免費資訊，如果你訂閱我們的電子郵件列表，連結在影片描述中。
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patterns I have a few videos here on my Channel for free I also have some free information if you sign up for our email
但讓我們來討論這個特定的型態。
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list the link for that's in the description about these patterns but let's go ahead and discuss this specific
現在，在歐元/美元上，正如我們剛才所討論的，已經出現了下跌趨勢，然後市場進入了這個盤整期。
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pattern now here on the euro dollar as we just discussed there was a downtrend already then the market broke into this
當我們處於盤整期時，我喜歡開始尋找這些進階型態。
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period of consolidation while we're in that period of consolidation is when I like to start looking for these Advanced
對於這些進階型態，我們正在尋找一組特定的斐波那契比例。
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patterns and for these Advanced patterns we are looking for a set of specific Fibonacci ratios so for instance for the
例如，對於cipher pattern，我們希望看到從X到A的382%回檔。
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cipher pattern we would be looking for a 382 retracement of x to a these are five point patterns x a b c and d so we have
這些是五點型態：X、A、B、C和D。所以我們有X到A，在這個X到A的移動中，我們希望看到特定方向的強勢移動，在這個例子中是下跌。
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X to a and on this x to a move we want to see a impulsive move in a specific Direction in this case it's bearish it's
我們有一個X到A的移動，我們希望看到這個進階cipher pattern的382%回檔，然後
03:31
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a move down we have an X TOA move we want to see a 382 retracement for this Advanced Cipher pattern and then we
我們再次遵循這個，這是一個斐波那契回檔和延伸的序列，我們用延伸來跟進。
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follow that again this is a sequence of Fibonacci retracements and extensions we follow that with an extension the same X
也就是說，從X向下到A，再回到X，我們希望在這裡看到127%的延伸，而這正是我們得到的。
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to a move X down to a back up to X we want to see a 127 extension here and that's exactly what we get i'll Circle
我會用圈圈標示出來。
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that for you to make it easier to see here's that 127 extension hit and so if we're labeling these points and I'll go
為了讓您更容易理解，這裡顯示了 127 點的延伸。所以如果我們標記這些點，我會
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ahead and actually label them for you to make this a little easier to understand we have X to a up to B down to C and up
繼續標記它們，以便更容易理解，我們有 X 到 A，到 B，到 C，然後再到上
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to D specifically here for the advanced Cipher pattern now we've already discussed X to A to B to C the last
到 D，特別是這裡，針對進階密碼圖形。我們已經討論過 X 到 A 到 B 到 C，最後
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thing we need to talk about is D how do we find that D Point completion for this specific consolidation pattern and the
我們需要談論的是 D。我們如何找到這個特定盤整圖形的 D 點完成點？而
04:21
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way we do that is pulling from X all the way down to C and we'll find that D point at 786 retracement and as you can
我們的做法是從 X 點一路向下延伸到 C 點，我們會在 786 點的修正位找到 D 點。正如您所
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see this Market came up into that level while in a period of consolidation on the daily chart an added benefit of
見，這個市場在盤整期間上漲到這個水平，在日線圖上，這是一個額外的優勢
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previously being in a downtrend and this was a bearish consolidation pattern because of all those things coming
之前處於下跌趨勢，而且由於所有這些因素的結合，這是一個看跌盤整圖形，因此市場對這個進階密碼圖形反應良好，正如您所
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together the market reacted quite well to this Advanced Cipher pattern and as you can see the market did in fact
見，市場確實延續了我們之前看到的下跌趨勢，大約在 2 或 3 個月前，在日線圖上。所以這就是一點關於進階圖形的
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continue in that downward Trend we saw from earlier about two or 3 months ago on the daily chart so that's a little
介紹，也是關於我們可以在盤整期間使用的一些工具，當市場
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bit about Advanced patterns it's a little bit about some things we can use during consolidation periods when the
並非必然朝著某個方向趨勢時。現在，讓我們開始討論這對貨幣的預測吧。
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Market's not necessarily trending in a certain direction let's go ahead now and start talking about our predictions for
讓我們縮放回日線圖，進入我們正常的預測分析。正如您所
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this pair though let's go ahead and zoom back out to a daily chart break into our normal predictive analysis as you can
見，甚至從上週開始，我們一直在等待這個市場上漲並觸及歐元
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see and even since last week we've been waiting on this Market to either come up and hit the 118 level here on the euro
美元的 118 點位，接近這個紅色方框的底部。我們在上週早些時候幾乎觸及了這個目標，但在市場下跌之前。但現在
05:15
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dollar around the bottom of this red box we almost got there earlier last week before the market pushed down but now
我們正在下跌，更有可能的情況是，我們至少會下跌到重新測試這個水平。這個水平已經
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that we're pushing down the more likely scenario is that we at least come down to retest this now this level's already
被測試了三次，而且非常接近。這三次測試之間的時間間隔很短。通常，是的，我們會尋找多次測試過的結構水平，但當市場
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been tested three times and very very close together it's been tested three times without a large span of time in
在如此短的時間內多次測試一個結構水平時，這通常實際上是一個壞的信號。所以我們
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between these three tests and normally yes we look for multiple tested levels of structure but when a Market's tested
預期這個市場將繼續朝著下跌方向發展。我們是否會在下跌之前看到回升到 118 點位的推動？
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a level of structure this many times in this small of a time frame it's normally actually a bad sign so what we're
是的，這就是預測分析的意義所在。我們並不是說市場會直接從這裡下跌。
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expecting is this market to continue in this downward Direction could we see a push back up to 118 before we do that
我們預期這個市場會繼續朝著這個下跌方向發展，在下跌之前，我們是否可能看到一波上漲至 118 的行情？
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yes and that's the point of predictive analysis we're not saying that the Market's going to fall from right here
是的，這就是預測分析的意義所在。我們並不是說市場會直接從這裡下跌。
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we're not saying it's going to go up from right here we don't know what the Market's going to do from right where
.
05:59
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it's at right now and that's not important predictive analysis is saying I know that if the euro dollar goes up
我們並非說它會從這裡直接上漲，我們不知道市場從現在的位置會如何發展，而且這並不重要。
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to 118 even then I have an opportunity for a trade that's going to be a zone that I'm going to look for for a trading
預測分析告訴我，如果歐元/美元匯率上升到118，我仍然會有一個交易機會。
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opportunity so for the euro dollar if we make it back up to 118 that's a level that we're going to look for a trading
那將會是一個我會尋找交易機會的區域。所以，如果歐元/美元回升到118，那將是一個我們尋找交易機會的水平。
06:19
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opportunity from we're going to be looking there for possible short trades now if we get a push down in Trend
我們將在那裡尋找可能的空頭交易。現在，如果趨勢延續下跌，我們也可能會在較小時間框架內尋找趨勢延續的交易機會。
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continuation we may look for Trend continuation plays on smaller time frames also if we get a break below 1155
如果我們跌破115.5，然後回升到115.5，我們將會尋找這對貨幣的趨勢延續交易機會。
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and a pull back up into 1155 we're going to be looking for Trend continuation out of this pair those are the two things
這是我們正在尋找的兩件事。我們預期歐元/美元將會朝下跌勢延續，這就是我們計劃利用的方式。
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we're looking for we're expecting Trend continuation to the downside out of the euro dollar that's how we plan to take
讓我們繼續看下一對貨幣。接下來，我們將看看美元/日圓。
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advantage of it let's go ahead and move on to our next pair next up we will take a look at the
美元/日圓一直在上漲，這對貨幣已經出現了一個相當不錯的上升趨勢。
06:49
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dollar Yen the dollar Yen has been pushing up we've had a pretty nice uptrend on this pair we actually caught
我們實際上在這對貨幣中捕捉到了一個很好的交易，突破了這個上升楔形形態，目前仍然參與這個交易。
06:55
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a really nice trade out of this pair breaking out of this ascending wedge pattern still involved in this trade and
現在我們已經上漲到113的整數位數，介於113和113.5之間，特別是113.3之間，是一個阻力區。
07:01
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we've now come up to the 113 even handle number between this and 1135 area really 1133 between there is a zone of
讓我們向左看，看看這個阻力區。對於初學者來說，這些水平線是我使用結構分析繪製的預測點。
07:10
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resistance looking left let's go ahead and take a look at that for those of you who are beginners what these horizontal
我正在尋找的是市場中經過多次測試的水平，以便將其定義為重要的市場水平。
07:15
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lines are is predictive points that I've mapped out using structure analysis so what I'm looking for is a level in the
這樣才能看到市場再次從這裡反彈作為阻力。
07:22
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market that's been tested multiple times in order to call that a level in the market that is important in order to see
正如我們向左看所見，這裡有三次阻力測試，另一次測試在這裡，還有更多測試。
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it as a level the market Market could react from again as resistance if the Market's pushing up towards that level
在市場反彈的水平向左看，所以現在我預期的是，如果這個市場上漲到113.3的那個區域，或者實際上我們現在所在的113整數位數，也可能是一個市場下跌的點。
07:33
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that's been tested multiple times as we can see looking left here we have three tests of resistance another test of
我們預期這個市場會出現某種反趨勢移動，下跌。現在，如果我們得到一個…
07:39
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resistance here more tests looking left of that level where the market reacted from it so now what I'm expecting is
我們預期這個市場會出現某種反趨勢移動，下跌。現在，如果我們得到一個…
07:45
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that if this Market gets up to 1133 in that zone and really 113 even where we're at now could also be a point where
這個市場如果上漲到 1133 這個區域，甚至現在的 113 也可能是一個市場下跌的點。
07:52
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the market could fall we're expecting this Market to have some type of counter Trend move pushing down now if we get
市場可能會下跌，我們預期這個市場會出現某種反趨勢移動，並伴隨下跌。現在，如果我們得到
07:59
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that counter TR move we can look for counter Trend trades about where the market is we need a slight pullback back
針對該反向TR走勢，我們可以尋找反趨勢交易，觀察市場目前的位置，需要輕微回調至
08:03
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up to at least 113 before we're going to start looking for those counter Trend moves to the downside also if we get
至少113點，然後我們才能開始尋找向下反趨勢的交易機會。如果我們得到
08:09
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that push down we're looking right at 112 for possible Trend continuation out of the dollar Yen so predictive analysis
該下跌推動力，我們正密切關注112點，作為美元日圓可能延續的趨勢。這就是預測分析。
08:16
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remember I'm not saying what the Market's going to do right now I'm not even going to try to predict that I have
請記住，我現在並未預測市場將如何走勢，甚至不會嘗試預測。我只是
08:21
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certain levels in the market that I'm paying attention to for trading opportunities but only when the market
注意市場上某些特定的價位，以便尋找交易機會，但僅當市場
08:26
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gets to those levels so if we get back up to 113 looking for a possible counter Trend to
觸及這些價位時。所以，如果市場回升至113點，我們將尋找一個可能的反趨勢
08:31
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the downside and if we get down to 112 looking for Trend continuation out of this pair to the upside so that's what
下跌交易，如果市場下跌至112點，我們將尋找該貨幣對向上延續趨勢的交易機會。因此，這就是
08:37
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we're expecting out of the dollar Yen that's how we're planning on trading that throughout the rest of this week
我們預期美元日圓的走勢，也是我們計劃在本週剩餘時間內進行交易的方式。
08:42
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let's go ahead and move on now to our next pair which is going to be the dollar Swiss here on the dollar Swiss we
現在我們繼續分析下一對貨幣，也就是美元瑞士。在美元瑞士這對貨幣上，我們
08:46
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just bounced off a resistance level we came back down into 0.997 which was a previous resistance
剛剛從阻力位反彈，然後回落至0.997，這曾經是一個阻力位。
08:52
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level as we can see looking left here that has now turned into support pushed the market back up to that 1 Point O3
如我們向左觀察，該價位現在已轉為支撐位，將市場推高至1.03
09:00
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level and then pushed it back down right now we're consolidating pretty heavily on Lower time frames here on the dollar
價位，然後再次壓低。目前，在較低的時間框架上，美元
09:05
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Swiss I have no trading opportunity on this pair that's okay guys sometimes it's necessary to sit on your hands when
瑞士正經歷一段盤整期。我在此貨幣對上沒有任何交易機會，沒關係，有時候
09:11
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it comes to trading now when will we have a trading opportunity if this Market pushes up the next time I'll be
在交易時，需要保持觀望。那麼，什麼時候我們會有交易機會呢？如果市場再次上漲，我
09:17
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looking for a trade is if we get up to 1.95 at that area I'll look for some kind of counter Trend push down as you
將尋找的交易機會是，當我們上漲至1.05時，尋找某種反趨勢的下跌推動力，正如您
09:25
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can see this Market really just in a period of consolidation in between these two levels if we get that Breakout I'll
所見，這個市場正處於兩個價位之間的盤整期。如果我們突破
09:29
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be looking at that level right there 1.09 five or 1.95 excuse me as a level to take a counter Trend push down after
這個價位，我將關注1.05或1.095（抱歉）這個價位，作為突破後進行反趨勢下跌交易的
09:37
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that breakout and back at where the market is currently around 1.033 is where I'll look for possible
價位。回到市場目前的價位，大約在1.033，我將尋找可能的
09:45
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pushes up a possible Trend continuation play after the breakout predictive analysis guys we're waiting on the
上漲，或者在突破後延續趨勢的交易機會。預測分析，各位，我們正在等待
09:50
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market to do something before we predict or even make a trade based around what the Market's done so this is predictive
市場採取行動，然後再根據市場的表現進行預測或交易。所以，這就是預測性
09:57
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analysis 101 this is exactly what we're waiting on here on the dollar Swiss we'll go ahead and move on now to the
。
10:03
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pound dollar here on this pair we're actually right at a level of support So this being the case we're looking for
分析 101，這正是我們關注美元瑞士的重點。現在我們繼續分析。
10:09
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long opportunities on the pound dollar right now we're expecting this pair to find some kind of support here and as
這裡的英鎊美元，我們實際上正處於支撐位。因此，我們正在尋找
10:16
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you can see we've been in a massive downtrend guys we're not expecting a huge reversal from this point we're not
英鎊美元的買入機會。我們預期這個貨幣對會在此處找到某種支撐，並且
10:22
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expecting this Market to start going up and make it to New highs on the daily chart but we are anticipating some type
正如大家所見，我們一直處於大幅下跌趨勢中。我們並未
10:28
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of counter Trend bounce from this major level of support enough to give us a counter Trend play on a lower time frame
預期這個市場會從這個點位開始大幅反轉，也未
10:34
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where we can capture 80 90 100 Pips off of a counter Trend bounce so that's what we're looking for immediately here out
預期它會在日線圖上創下新高，但我們預計會出現某種
10:40
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of the pound dollar and again predictive analysis guys that's what we're looking for if the market stays where it's at or
反趨勢反彈，從這個主要的支撐位開始，足以讓我們在較低的時間框架內進行反趨勢交易，
10:46
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gives us an entry to go to the long side if we break below this level predictive analysis if we break below this level
獲取 80 到 90 甚至 100 點的利潤。所以，我們目前正在關注英鎊美元的這一點，再次強調，預測分析，
10:54
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we'll be waiting on a pullback up into this same level around this blue line at 1.30 55 for a possible Trend
這正是我們所尋找的。如果市場維持現狀，或
11:01
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continuation play as you can see this Market been on a downtrend for a while now and that's what we're looking for
給我們買入的機會，如果我們跌破這個水平，預測分析，如果我們跌破這個水平，
11:06
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here out of the pound dollar next up and our final pair of the day will be the Alie dollar here on this pair another
我們將等待回調，回到這個藍線附近的 1.3055 的同一水平，以尋找可能的趨勢
11:12
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pair that's in a period of consolidation it is the summertime guys this is what we're going to see probably for a
延續交易。正如大家所見，這個市場已經處於下跌趨勢一段時間了，這正是我們所尋找的。
11:17
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majority of the summer for the next couple of months but we do have our resistance
接下來，也是我們今天最後一個貨幣對，是澳幣美元。在這個貨幣對上，又是一個
11:22
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level here and our support level at 0.7 333 if the market pushes all the way down to that level as you can see we've
處於盤整期的貨幣對。現在是夏季，各位，這可能是
11:29
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already gotten really close with this Wick before the pushup right here but if we can get back down to this level again
在接下來的幾個月裡，我們將會看到的狀況。但我們確實有阻力位
11:34
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at 0.735 between that and 0.733 we can look for possible pushes up
在這裡，以及 0.7333 的支撐位。如果市場一路下跌到那個水平，正如大家所見，我們已經
11:40
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off of this support level in this period of consolidation if we make it back up to resistance at
曾經在這個下影線處非常接近，然後才出現上漲，但如果我們能再次回落到這個水平，
11:46
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0.745 then we're looking for possible shorting trades from that resistance level in this period of consolidation
在 0.7335 到 0.7333 之間，我們可以尋找從這個支撐位開始的可能上漲。
11:52
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here on the Aussie dollar and that's what we're expecting out of the top five major pairs guys again I hope this video
如果我們回升到 0.745 的阻力位，那麼我們將尋找從該阻力位開始的可能做空交易，
11:58
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was valuable and beneficial to your trading if it was smash that like button for me make sure you're subscribed if
如果這對你的交易有價值且有幫助，請幫我點個讚，並確保你訂閱了。
12:04
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you are new if you're interested in taking a shortcut to Fast Track Your trading success and to learn the
如果你是新手，或者你有興趣快速提升你的交易成功率，並學習我們每天在市場上使用的策略，這些策略基於結構層級和其他
12:09
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strategies that we use every single day in the markets based around the structure levels based around other
簡單但有效的市場策略，那麼過去幾年來，我們已經幫助了數千名交易者，透過我們的付費內容，獲得更個人化的連結
12:14
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strategies that are simple yet effective in the markets then we've been able to help thousands of Traders over the past
你可以向我提問，關於我們提供的培訓或外匯市場的一般問題。所以，如果你希望我親自指導你，
12:20
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couple of years with some of our paid content as well where you can get a little more of a personal connection
那麼在描述欄中有一條連結，通往我們的培訓計畫，稱為 EAP 培訓計畫。如果沒有，也沒關係，
12:24
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with me ask me any questions that you have about the training that we offer or about the Forex Market in general so if
我們在 YouTube 上有大量的免費且有價值資訊，如果你想找到更多，請在 YouTube 或 Google 的搜尋欄中輸入「交易頻道」。
12:29
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you would like to be personally mentored by me then there is a link in the description for our training program
祝你在未來的所有交易中一切順利，期待在下一部影片中與你見面，我們下次再聊。
12:34
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called the EAP training program if not that's okay too we have plenty of free valuable information right here on
[音樂]
12:40
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YouTube if you want to find more of that type in the trading channel on the YouTube search bar or on Google I wish
[音樂]
12:45
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you the best of luck in all your future trades I look forward to seeing you in the next video and I'll talk to you guys
祝您未來交易一切順利。期待在下一部影片中與您見面，稍後再與大家聊。
12:49
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soon [Music]
稍後 [音樂]
