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Stock Selloff Pauses Ahead of Nvidia Earnings | Bloomberg Brief 11/19/2025
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00:15
MATT: GOOD MORNING, I'M MATT MILLER IN FOR VONNIE QUINN WITH YOUR BLOOMBERG BRIEF.
馬特:
00:18
HERE'S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW.
以下是您需要知道的重點。
00:22
FUTURES STUDY AT HEAD OF THE QUARTERLY RESULTS FROM NVIDIA, LATEST FED MINUTES LATER TODAY.
NVIDIA 將於本週揭開季度財報序幕,聯準會最新會議記錄將於今日稍晚公布。
00:30
BRACE FOR MORE.
請做好心理準備,還有更多消息。
00:30
GOLDMAN SACHS PRESIDENCIES FOR THE MARKET PULLBACK.
高盛對市場回檔提出警告。
00:33
MORE BOXES OF INTERVIEW COMING UP NEXT.
更多獨家專訪即將播出。
00:38
PRESIDENT TRUMP PLANS TO FORMALLY DESIGNATE SAUDI ARABIA AS A MAJOR NON-NATO ALLY FOLLOWING IT A DEALMAKING BETWEEN WASHINGTON AND RIYADH.
川普總統計畫在華盛頓與利雅德達成協議後,正式指定沙烏地阿拉伯為主要的非北約盟友。
00:48
LET'S GET A LOOK AT WHAT IS GOING ON IN TERMS OF FUTURES AFTER THE DROPS WE SAW YESTERDAY.
讓我們來看看在昨天的下跌之後,期貨市場的最新狀況。
00:54
THE WORST MONTH SINCE MARCH THUS FAR.
這是自三月以來表現最差的一個月。
00:58
S&P FUTURES UP 3/10 OF 1%, AS OUR NASDAQ FUTURES, SMALL CAPS GAINING EVEN MORE.
標普500指數期貨上漲0.3%,那斯達克100指數期貨以及小型股的漲幅甚至更大。
01:06
IN TERMS OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK STORIES THAT YOU NEED TO KNOW, THE THEATER IN LONDON.
在個股方面,您需要知道的焦點新聞,我們將目光轉向倫敦的戲院。
01:14
VALERIE: IT STARTED TO CHECK IN THE ENERGY SECTOR.
瓦萊麗:
01:19
THIS IS THE U.S.'S LARGEST NUCLEAR POWER COMPANY UP 3.4% IN THE PREMARKET AFTER THEY HAD SECURED A BILLION LOAN FROM THE DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY USED
這是美國最大的核能公司,在盤前交易中上漲3.4%,此前他們獲得了能源部10億美元的貸款擔保。
01:29
TO REOPEN THREE MILE ISLAND.
用於重啟三哩島核電廠。
01:32
WE HEARD THEY WANTED TO REOPEN THREE MILE ISLAND TO FILL THE CONTRACT THEY SIGNED WITH MICROSOFT IN ORDER TO POWER THEIR AI NEEDS.
我們聽說他們希望重啟三哩島,以履行他們與微軟簽署的合約,為微軟的AI需求提供電力。
01:44
APPEARING MORE AND MORE THAT NUCLEAR POWER IS GOING TO BE USED TO POWER THIS NEXT STAGE OF THE AI BOOM.
越來越多跡象顯示,核能將被用於為下一階段的 AI 熱潮提供動力。
01:51
THE POWER THAT IS NOT INVOLVED, GREEN ENERGY.
另一方面,非核能、綠色能源方面。
01:56
WE ARE SEEING PLUG POWER DOWN 14% IN THE PREMARKET.
我們看到 Plug Power 在盤前交易中下跌14%。
02:03
THIS COMES AFTER THEY ANNOUNCED A DILUTED CONVERTIBLE BOND OFFERING TO THE TUNE OF $400 MILLION.
此前他們宣布了一項價值4億美元的稀釋性可轉換債券發行。
02:08
THIS COMPANY WILL USE THE PROCEEDS FROM THAT BOND OFFERING IN ORDER TO PAY DOWN DEBT DUE NEXT YEAR.
這家公司將利用發行債券的收益來償還明年到期的債務。
02:13
THIS COMPANY NEEDING TO DO THIS MEASURE IN ORDER TO AID THEM FROM A RECENT DEBT CRUNCH.
這家公司需要採取此項措施,以協助其因應近期的債務危機。
02:19
LASTLY, LET'S MOVE ON TO ON ON SEMI.
最後,我們來看看 ON Semi。
02:23
THIS IS A CHIPMAKER FOCUSED IN CENTERS USED IN THE AUTOMOTIVE AND INDUSTRIAL SPACE.
這是一家晶片製造商,專注於汽車和工業領域所使用的中心。
02:29
CHIP SHARES ARE OF 3.2% IN THE PREMARKET.
該晶片股在盤前下跌 3.2%。
02:32
THIS COMES AFTER THE BOARD SIGNED OFF ON A 6 BILLION DOLLARS BUYBACK PROGRAM TO BE USED OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS.
此舉是在董事會批准了一項為期三年、價值 60 億美元的股票回購計畫之後。
02:44
MATT: THANKS VERY MUCH.
麥特:非常感謝。
02:47
LATER THIS HOUR WE ARE GOING TO SPEAK TO THE CIO OF ROBINHOOD, STEPHANIE JOINS US AS SHE SEES CONTINUED DIP-BUYING IN THIS MARKET.
本節稍後我們將與 Robinhood 的投資長對談,Stephanie 將加入我們,分享她對目前市場持續逢低買入的看法。
02:55
FIRST OFF PRESIDENT TRUMP GAVE THE SAUDI CROWN PRINCE A LAVISH RECEPTION IN WASHINGTON YESTERDAY.
首先,川普總統昨天在華盛頓為沙烏地阿拉伯王儲舉行了盛大的歡迎儀式。
03:03
THE TWO LEADERS SPOKE OF BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES, PEACE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND TECH.
兩位領袖談及了商機、和平、人工智慧與科技。
03:11
TRUMP DESIGNATE SAUDI ARABIA A MAJOR NON-NATO ALLY AT A DINNER IN HONOR OF MBS.
川普在一場為 MBS 舉辦的晚宴上,指定沙烏地阿拉伯為主要的非北約盟友。
03:17
AND THE TWO COUNTRIES SIGNALED A LOOSELY WORDED DEFENSE COOPERATION PACT WITH THE SAUDI'S PROMISING TO INVEST AS MUCH AS TRILLION IN THE U.S.
兩國簽署了一項措辭寬鬆的防務合作協議,沙烏地阿拉伯承諾在美國投資高達一兆美元。
03:29
>> THE AGREEMENT THAT WE ARE SIGNING, TECHNOLOGY, AI AND MATERIALS MAGNETS ETC.
>> 我們簽署的這項協議,涵蓋科技、人工智慧、材料和磁鐵等領域。
03:40
THAT WOULD CREATE A LOT OF INVESTMENT CAPITAL.
這將創造大量的投資資本。
03:42
TRUMP: YOU ARE SAYING TO ME NOW THAT THE $600 MILLION WILL BE TRILLION.
川普:你現在是跟我說那 6 億美元將會變成一兆美元嗎?
03:49
MBS: DEFINITELY.
MBS:沒錯。
03:53
MATT: JOINING THE WITH THE LATEST IS CONVERSION MANAGING EDITOR FOR THE MIDDLE EAST.
麥特:現在加入我們的是 Conversion 的中東總編輯。
03:59
TALK US THROUGH WHAT WAS ANNOUNCED DURING THE TRUMP-MBS MEETING.
請為我們說明一下川普與 MBS 會談期間宣布了哪些內容。
04:06
>> THE TWO LEADERS FINALIZED QUITE A FEW AGREEMENTS.
>> 兩位領袖敲定了好幾項協議。
04:11
ONE OF THE MOST NOTABLE OF THESE TO THE SAUDI-U.S.
其中最引人注目的一項是沙烏地阿拉伯與美國的
04:16
STRATEGIC DEFENSE AGREEMENT, PART OF WHICH HAS TO DO WITH TRUMP'S EARLIER APPROVAL TO SELL F-35 FIGHTER JETS TO LIBYA.
戰略防務協議,其中一部分與川普先前批准向利比亞出售 F-35 戰機有關。
04:25
IN ADDITION, WE ALSO FOUND OUT OVERNIGHT THAT THE KINGDOM WILL PURCHASE ABOUT 300 MILITARY TANKS FROM THE U.S.
此外,我們也在一夜之間得知,該王國將向美國購買約300輛軍用坦克。
04:31
IN ADDITION TO THAT, ANOTHER IMPORTANT AGREEMENT WAS A MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING THEY SIGNED OVER AI.
除此之外,另一項重要協議是他們簽署的一份關於人工智慧的諒解備忘錄。
04:41
WE EXPECT THAT TO BE FOLLOWED BY A FIRM AGREEMENT TO PURCHASE AI CHIPS FROM THE U.S.
我們預期這將隨之帶來一項正式協議,向美國購買人工智慧晶片。
04:49
TO POWER ITS AI FACILITIES AND OTHER FACILITIES THAT THE KINGDOM IS PLANNING TO BUILD OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS OR SO.
以驅動該王國的人工智慧設施,以及其他計劃在未來10年左右興建的設施。
04:58
AND FINALLY AGAIN, AS WE'VE JUST SEEN IN THE VIDEO FROM THE WHITE HOUSE, WE'VE SEEN THAT MBS, THE DEFECTIVE LEADER OF
最後,正如我們剛在白宮的影片中看到的,我們看到
05:11
SAUDI ARABIA INCREASING HIS INVESTMENT PLEDGE TO TRILLION.
沙烏地阿拉伯的實際領導人穆罕默德·班·沙爾曼,將其投資承諾提高至1兆美元。
05:14
THAT'S QUITE SIGNIFICANT FOR PRESIDENT TRUMP AND THE WHITE HOUSE WHICH SAID THAT ALL THAT MONEY WILL FLOW DIRECTLY INTO AMERICAN COMMUNITIES.
對於川普總統和白宮來說,這相當具意義,白宮表示所有資金將直接流入美國社區。
05:21
MATT: AND OF COURSE THE U.S.
麥特:當然,美國
05:24
AND THE SAUDIS HAVE HAD A STRONG RELATIONSHIP SINCE REAGAN.
與沙烏地自雷根時代以來就保持著牢固的關係。
05:31
THE BUSH FAMILY TOOK A BREATHER AFTER THE DISMEMBERMENT AND MURDER OF JAMAL KHASHOGGI BUT IT DOES LOOK LIKE IT IS BACK ON THE UP AND UP.
布希家族在賈馬爾·卡舒吉被殺害並肢解後曾稍作喘息,
05:41
>> THAT'S CERTAINLY TRUE.
>> 這確實是事實。
05:43
THAT WAS DEFINITELY A BIG SHOCK TO THE RELATIONSHIP AND YESTERDAY'S MEETING IF ANYTHING WAS A HUGE PROCESS DURING WHICH MBS WENT FROM IN JOE BIDEN'S
這對兩國關係絕對是一大衝擊,而昨天的會議若真要說什麼,那就是一個巨大的轉變過程,穆罕默德·班·沙爾曼
05:56
WORDS, A PARIAH, INTO A KEY ALLY FOR THE U.S.
用拜登的話說,從「賤民」變成了美國的關鍵盟友。
05:59
ALL THE DEALS IN THE AGREEMENTS THAT THEY SIGNED YESTERDAY IS A TESTAMENT TO THAT.
他們昨天簽署的所有協議和交易就是這一點的證明。
06:08
SO YES, DEFINITELY THIS TRIP BRINGS THE RELATIONSHIP THAT WAS ALWAYS STRATEGIC BUT SOMEHOW SUFFERED A SHOCK AT JAMAL KHASHOGGI'S DEATH IN
所以是的,這次訪問絕對讓這段一直具有戰略意義,但因2018年賈馬爾·卡舒吉之死而遭受衝擊的關係,
06:23
2018 TURNED INTO SOMETHING THAT IS NOW EQUALLY STRATEGIC AS IT WAS BEFORE THAT SHOCK, SO TO SPEAK.
轉變為現在與衝擊發生前一樣具有戰略意義的關係,可以這麼說。
06:30
MATT: THANKS SO MUCH FOR JOINING US OUT OF DUBAI.
麥特:非常感謝您從杜拜加入我們。
06:34
NOW TURNING TO THE MAIN EVENT OF THE DAY, NVIDIA EARNINGS.
現在轉向今天的重頭戲,輝達(NVIDIA)財報。
06:40
THE CHIPMAKER SAID TO REPORT RESULTS AFTER THE CLOSING BELL.
這家晶片製造商將在收盤後公佈業績。
06:42
JOINING US NOW IS MATT OF BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE.
現在加入我們的是彭博智庫(Bloomberg Intelligence)的麥特。
06:46
WALK US THROUGH WHAT WE EXPECT IN TERMS OF THE REPORTING QUARTER IN TERMS OF THE OUTLOOK.
請說明我們對本季財報及展望的預期。
06:52
>> CAN TERMS OF THE QUARTERLY REPORTING, THE MARKET IS LOOKING FOR REVENUE CAP $55 BILLION.
>> 關於季度財報,市場預期營收為 550 億美元。
06:59
THAT WOULD BE UP ABOUT 57% YEAR ON YEAR.
這將年增約 57%。
07:07
MORE IMPORTANTLY, LOOKING TO Q4, THE OUTLOOK THAT WOULD BE THE MARKETS LOOKING FOR THEM THE KIND OF GUIDE AROUND $62 BILLION
更重要的是,展望第四季,市場預期他們將提供約 620 億美元的指引。
07:20
ABOUT 58%.
約 58%。
07:21
KEEPING THAT SAME MOMENTUM EXPECTED TO DELIVER FOR THE Q3.
維持與第三季相同的動能。
07:28
BEYOND THAT THE MARKET TO BE LOOKING FOR ANYTHING THEY COULD DO THE KIND OF PROVIDE REASSURANCE THAT BEYOND THIS BIG HYPERSCALER INVESTMENT
除此之外,市場希望他們能提供任何保證,證明在這波大型超大規模客戶的投資週期之後,仍有來自消費者的實際需求,得以延續 AI 的動能。
07:39
CYCLE THERE'S BEEN ACTUAL DEMAND COMING THROUGH FOR CONSUMERS TO KIND OF SUSTAIN THE AI MOMENTUM.
MATT:就產生足夠的營收和利潤來證明其投資合理性而言,NVIDIA 並不是那種會讓市場擔憂的公司,對吧?
07:49
MATT: IN TERMS OF GENERATING ENOUGH REVENUE, GENERATING ENOUGH PROFIT TO JUSTIFY THEIR INVESTMENT, NVIDIA IS NOT ONE
它們的本益比並沒有高得驚人。
07:56
OF THOSE COMPANIES THAT WORRIES THIS MARKET, RIGHT?
>> 短期來看,完全不是問題。
07:59
THEY ARE NOT TRADING AT INCREDIBLE HIGH VALUATIONS.
他們近期提到的預期營收,是由超大規模客戶的投資週期支撐的。
08:05
>> CAN THE NEAR TERM, NOT A PROBLEM AT ALL.
但問題是,如果該投資週期沒有得到終端客戶需求的支撐,那麼超大規模客戶的投資週期將比預期更快結束,這將成為 NVIDIA 的問題。
08:14
THAT EXPECTED REVENUE THAT THEY TALKED ABOUT RECENTLY, THAT IS KIND OF UNDERPINNED BY THE HYPERSCALERS INVESTMENT CYCLE.
但就短期而言,我認為其利潤率極高,且地位穩固。
08:21
BUT THE QUESTION IS IF THAT INVESTMENT CYCLE DOESN'T GET AND CUSTOMER DEMAND, THAN THAT HYPERSCALER INVESTMENT CYCLE WILL COME TO AN END QUICKER THAN EXPECTED, AND THAT WOULD
MATT:中國的出貨已經停止,我認為預測中已不再包含這部分。
08:33
THEN BECOME A PROBLEM FOR NVIDIA.
您對該業務的未來有何預期?
08:40
BUT FOR THE KIND OF NEAR TERM, I THINK THERE ARE INCREDIBLY HIGH MARGINS IN STRONG POSITION.
>> 這是個好問題,我想沒有人真正知道答案。
08:49
MATT: CHINA DELIVERIES HAVE STOPPED AND I THINK ARE NO LONGER ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE FORECASTS.
我的感覺是,即使美國...(字幕中斷)對 NVIDIA 來說,中國仍將是一個非常困難的市場。
08:56
WHAT DO YOU EXPECT FROM THE FUTURE THAT BUSINESS?
你對該業務的未來有何預期?
09:00
>> IT IS A GOOD QUESTION AND I THINK NO ONE REALLY KNOWS FOR SURE.
>> 這是個好問題,我認為沒有人真正知道答案。
09:04
MY SENSE IS THAT IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE A VERY DIFFICULT MARKET FOR NVIDIA TO KIND OF LATE ON, EVEN IF THE U.S.
我的感覺是,即使美國...(字幕中斷),對 NVIDIA 來說,中國仍將是一個非常困難的市場。
09:12
FOR LANXESS RESTRICTIONS INTO CHINA.
針對LANXESS在中國的限制。
09:18
I THINK THE CHINESE MARKETS AND THE CHINESE GOVERNMENT IS ENCOURAGING IF THE METHOD FIRMS TO SOURCE LOCALLY, SO EVEN IF NVIDIA GETS BACK INTO THAT MARKET IN A MEANINGFUL WAY THEY
我認為中國市場和中國政府正在鼓勵當地企業在地採購,所以即使NVIDIA以實質性的方式重返該市場,
09:30
ARE GOING TO FIND COMPETITION MUCH TOUGHER THAN WHEN THEY WERE THERE BEFORE.
他們將面臨比以往更激烈的競爭。
09:37
MATT: TUNE IN TO OUR EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW WITH THE CEO OF NVIDIA JENSEN HUANG AFTER THOSE EARNINGS.
MATT:在財報公布後,請鎖定我們對NVIDIA執行長黃仁勳的獨家專訪。
09:47
THAT WILL BE AT 6:30 P.M.
時間是今晚6點30分。
09:47
EASTERN TONIGHT AND OF COURSE WE WILL BE REPLAYING THAT INTERVIEW FOR YOU THROUGHOUT THE DAY TOMORROW.
東部時間,當然我們明天也會整天為您重播該專訪。
09:55
LISTED ON SOME OF THE OTHER TOP STORIES TRENDING THIS MORNING.
列出今早其他一些熱門頭條新聞。
09:59
THE DUTCH GOVERNMENT SUSPENDED ITS POWERS OVER CHIPMAKER NEXT.
荷蘭政府暫停了其對晶片製造商Next的權力。
10:05
-- NEXPERIA.
NEXPERIA。
10:06
THE ORDER THE DAVID NETHERLANDS THE POWER TO BLOCK OR REVISE DECISIONS WAS BLOCKED AS A SHOW OF GOODWILL.
該命令暫停了荷蘭政府阻止或修訂決策的權力,作為一種善意的表示。
10:17
U.K.
英國
10:17
INFLATION FELL FOR THE FIRST TIME IN SEVEN MONTHS.
通膨七個月來首次下滑。
10:24
CONSUMER PRICES INCREASED.
消費者物價上漲。
10:28
THE DROP WAS DRIVEN BY ENERGY PRICES RISING LESS THAN THEY DID IN 2024.
這次下跌是由於能源價格漲幅低於2024年。
10:34
THE BANK OF ENGLAND RATE CUT.
英國央行降息。
10:41
CHINA ESCALATED RETALIATION AGAINST JAPAN SUSPENDING EXPORTS OF JAPANESE SEAFOOD AND HALTING APPROVALS FOR NEW FILMS.
中國升級對日本的報復措施,暫停日本海鮮出口並停止新電影的審批。
10:49
SIGNED THAT THE DIPLOMATIC SPAT IS FAR FROM OVER.
這表明外交爭端遠未結束。
10:54
THE NATION HAD ALSO SUSPENDED TALKS ON RESUMING BEEF IMPORTS AND WARNED CHINESE CITIZENS AGAINST TRAVELING TO JAPAN.
該國還暫停了關於恢復牛肉進口的談判,並警告中國公民不要前往日本旅遊。
11:02
RELATIONS BETWEEN THE COUNTRIES SOURED AFTER THE JAPANESE PRIME MINISTER BECAME THE FIRST SITTING JAPANESE LEADER IN DECADES TO PUBLICLY LINK A
兩國關係在日本首相成為數十年來首位公開將
11:10
TAIWAN STRAIT CRISIS WITH THE POTENTIAL DEPLOYMENT OF JAPANESE TROOPS.
台海危機與日本軍隊潛在部署聯繫在一起的在任日本領導人後惡化。
11:16
COMING UP, GOLDMAN SACHS PRESIDENT JOHN WAHLBERG SAYS THERE'S MORE DECLINES EXPECTED TO COME, BUT THEY COULD BE MODEST.
高盛總裁約翰·瓦爾德隆表示,預期市場將有更多跌幅,但跌幅可能不大。
11:22
OUR NEW EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW WITH BLOOMBERG ECONOMY FORUM NEXT.
接下來是我們在彭博經濟論壇的獨家專訪。
11:26
THIS IS BLOOMBERG.
這裡是彭博。
11:36
MATT: THIS IS BLOOMBERG BRIEF, I'M MATT MILLER IN NEW YORK CITY.
麥特:這裡是彭博快訊,我是紐約市的麥特·米勒。
11:42
THE S&P 500 IS DOWN MORE THAN 3% ON THE MONTH ON COURSE FOR THE WORST MONTH SINCE MARCH.
標普500指數本月跌幅超過3%,有望創下自3月以來最差的單月表現。
11:48
FORMER BARCLAYS CEO BOB DIAMOND CALLED A HEALTHY CORRECTION.
巴克萊前執行長鮑勃·戴蒙德稱此為健康的修正。
11:54
GOLDMAN SACHS PRESIDENT JOHN WALDRON ECHOED THAT SENTIMENT SPEAKING EXCLUSIVELY TO OUR OWN FRANCINE LACQUA.
高盛總裁約翰·瓦爾德隆在接受我們的法蘭辛·拉夸獨家專訪時,也呼應了這一觀點。
12:01
>> I WOULD SAY YOU ARE SEEING THE MARKETS RIGHT NOW A PULLBACK WHICH I THINK IS HEALTHY.
>> 我想說,你們現在看到的是市場的一次回檔,我認為這是健康的。
12:05
MARKETS OF RUN QUITE A BIT THIS YEAR.
今年市場的漲幅相當可觀。
12:08
U.S.
美國
12:08
MARKETS IN PARTICULAR.
市場尤其如此。
12:09
MARKETS ARE HEAVILY FOCUSED ON THIS AI DYNAMIC.
市場高度關注AI這股動能。
12:13
RETURNS OF CAPITAL INVESTED THAT THE MARKET EXPECTS AND IS PRICED IN.
市場預期並已反映在價格中的資本投入回報率。
12:21
WE ARE GOING TO SEE NVIDIA EARNINGS LATER TODAY WHICH WILL BE VERY IMPORTANT MOMENT THE MARKETS.
我們將在今天晚些時候看到輝達的財報,這將是市場的一個非常關鍵時刻。
12:26
SECOND TOPIC VERY MUCH ON THE MINDS OF INVESTORS IS LABOR.
投資者非常關注的第二個主題是勞動力。
12:29
WE HAD THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN WHICH IS OBVIOUSLY BEHIND US NOW BUT THE STATISTICS WILL LAG AND THE DATA WILL LAG US OF THE MARKET IS NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF LABOR.
政府停擺雖然現在已經結束,但統計數據會有延遲,數據也會延遲,因此市場不太確定該如何看待勞動力狀況。
12:39
SO OBVIOUSLY LABOR IS A MAJOR ISSUE AND A MAJOR CONCERN.
所以,勞動力顯然是一個主要議題,也是一大隱憂。
12:43
AND THE THIRD TOPIC I THINK IS INFLATION WHICH REMAINS PRETTY STUBBORNLY HIGH.
我認為第三個主題是通膨,它仍然居高不下。
12:47
HE OBVIOUSLY SAW A CYCLE IN THE U.S.
他顯然看到了美國的一個景氣循環。
12:48
WITH A LOT OF FOCUS ON AFFORDABLY.
其中很大一部分關注點在於可負擔性。
12:50
THOSE THREE TEMPLATES ARE REALLY SHAPING MARKETS RIGHT NOW.
這三個模版目前確實正在形塑市場。
12:52
YOU'RE SEEING INVESTORS KIND OF PULLBACK.
你會看到投資者正在回撤。
13:01
FRANCINE: DO YOU THINK WE NEED MORE OF A CORRECTION OR IS AI A NATURAL BUBBLE?
FRANCINE:
13:07
>> WE WILL FIND OUT WHAT THEY SAY ABOUT THEIR OWN PROSPECTS WHICH HAS HAD SOME IMPACT ON THE PSYCHE OF THE MARKETPLACE.
>> 我們將會了解他們對自身前景的看法,這對市場心理產生了一些影響。
13:14
IT STRIKES ME THAT THE MARKET COULD PULL THAT FURTHER FROM HERE.
我覺得市場可能會從這裡進一步拉回。
13:17
I DO THINK THE TECHNICALS ARE MORE BIASED FOR MORE PROTECTION AND MORE DOWNSIDE, MORE SHORT ACTIVITY, MORE MACRO HEDGING AND KIND OF PROTECTING THE
我確實認為技術面更偏向於更多的防禦和更多的下行風險,更多的空頭活動,更多的宏觀避險,以及某種程度的保護。
13:26
GAINS.
獲利。
13:27
IT IS A BIT MORE BIASED THE NEGATIVE THAT I DON'T KNOW THAT IT WILL BE THAT MUCH MORE.
目前稍微偏向負面,但我不確定是否會跌得更多。
13:36
IT WORRIES ME BECAUSE ANYTIME YOU SEE THAT MUCH INCREASE IN CREDIT FORMATION IN A SHORT TIME, YOU -- STANDARDS.
這令我擔憂,因為任何時候你看到短期內信貸規模如此大幅增加,你——標準。
13:45
AND WE SEEN IN CERTAIN EXAMPLES, STANDARDS HAVE COME DOWN.
而我們在某些例子中看到,標準已經下降。
13:49
PRICING IS TIGHTENED, SO THERE IS CLASSIC LATE STAGE BEHAVIOR, THAT DOESN'T MEAN WE ARE GOING TO HAVE A CREDIT CRISIS.
定價正在收緊,所以出現了典型的末期行為,但這並不意味著我們將會發生信貸危機。
13:57
THE MOST IMPORTANT THING IS ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS.
最重要的是經濟基本面。
14:01
IF THE ECONOMY HANGS IN THERE, THE CREDIT MARKETS WILL BE FINE.
如果經濟持續支撐,信貸市場將會保持穩定。
14:06
YOU'RE GOING TO SEE MORE CREDIT FORMATION COMING IN 2026 BECAUSE I THINK YOU WILL SEE DEREGULATION IN THE BANKING SECTOR, PRINCIPALLY IN THE
你將會看到2026年有更多信貸形成,因為我認為你將會看到銀行業的監管放鬆,主要是在。
14:14
UNITED STATES WHICH WILL RELEASE MORE CAPITAL INTO THE ECONOMY WHICH PROBABLY KEEPS SPREADS TIGHTER AND PROBABLY KEEPS MORE SUPPLY OF CREDIT, WHICH IS ACTUALLY NEEDED
美國,這將釋放更多資本進入經濟體系,這可能會讓利差保持收緊,並可能提供更多信貸供給,這其實是需要的。
14:26
BECAUSE GOVERNMENT SECURITY IS GOING TO HAVE TO COME IN AND FINANCE A LOT TO DO WITH THE CARBONIZATION, INVESTMENT IN ENERGY AND THE LIKE.
因為政府公債將不得不介入並提供大量資金,用於與碳化、能源投資等相關的項目。
14:33
I THINK WE WILL SEE CREDIT MARKETS CONTINUE TO BE PRETTY CONSTRUCTIVE AS LONG AS THE ECONOMY HANGS IN.
只要經濟持續支撐,我認為我們將看到信貸市場繼續保持相當積極的態勢。
14:39
FRANCINE: BUT WHAT ARE THE REAL RISKS WE ARE NOT LOOKING AT?
FRANCINE:
14:46
>> SUBPRIME.
>> 次級房貸。
14:47
I PREDICT MORE PROBLEMS IN SUBPRIME.
我預測次級房貸會出現更多問題。
14:51
I DO THINK THE WEAKEST PART OF THE ECONOMY IS THAT LOWER END CONSUMER, ESPECIALLY LENDING INTO THE SUBPRIME PART OF THE ECONOMY.
我確實認為經濟中最薄弱的一環是低收入端消費者,特別是針對經濟中次級貸款領域的放貸。
14:59
I WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED TO SEE MORE ISSUES ARISE.
我對看到更多問題浮現不會感到意外。
15:05
WE WORRY A BIT ABOUT LEVERAGE PARTICULARLY INVESTING.
我們對槓桿有些擔憂,特別是在投資方面。
15:13
MORE INVESTING AS YOU GET PRICES THAT ARE RISING.
隨著價格上漲,投資越多,買入的價格就越高。
15:16
I THINK THAT LEVERAGE IS CONCERNING.
我認為槓桿令人擔憂。
15:20
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS WOULD BE THE MOST IMPORTANT THING.
經濟基本面才是最重要的事。
15:25
MATT: THAT WAS THE BLOOMBERG ECONOMY FORUM IN SINGAPORE.
麥特:以上是新加坡彭博經濟論壇的報導。
15:29
IN TERMS OF MARKETS, WE DO SEE A BIT OF A RECOVERY TODAY IN FUTURES.
就市場而言,我們今天確實看到期貨出現了一些復甦。
15:38
S&P 500 FUTURES UP, THE BLOOMBERG U.S.
標普500期貨上漲,彭博美元指數
15:41
DOLLAR INDEX ON THE RISE THIS MORNING UP ABOUT 1/10 OF 1%.
今早走升,上漲約0.1%。
15:44
IN THE U.S.
在美國,
15:48
10 YEAR YIELD RESUME THEIR GAINS AS INVESTORS FEEL COMFORTABLE ENOUGH TO SELL OFF THAT DEBT.
10年期公債殖利率重新開始上升,因為投資者感到足夠安心以賣出該債券。
15:55
LOOK AT CABLE HERE, 1.3122.
看看英鎊兌美元這裡,1.3122。
15:56
YOU SEE A BIT OF A DROP IN THE POUND.
你會看到英鎊有些下跌。
15:59
THE U.K.
英國
16:03
10 YEAR AS WE GET THE FIRST REVERSAL OF INFLATION IN SEVEN MONTHS.
10年期(殖利率),因為我們迎來了七個月來的首次通膨反轉。
16:06
COMING UP, THE U.S.
接下來,美國
16:08
CONGRESS IS SET TO SEND A FILTER PRESIDENT TRUMP TO FORCE THE RELEASE OF THE JEFFREY EPSTEIN FILES.
國會預計將送交過濾文件給川普總統,以強制公布傑弗瑞·愛普斯坦的相關文件。
16:15
THAT AND A LOOK AT WHAT ELSE IS MAKING HEADLINES IN YOUR FRONT-PAGE NEWS.
此外,還將關注其他登上頭版新聞的焦點。
16:20
THIS IS BLOOMBERG.
以上是彭博新聞。
16:29
THIS IS BLOOMBERG.
這是彭博社。
16:34
MATT: I'M MATT MILLER IN NEW YORK.
麥特:
16:40
THE LATEST EPISODE OF “CHIEF FUTURE OFFICER” ANNA EDWARDS SPOKE WITH STANDARD CHARTERED CFO DIEGO DI GIORGI.
在最新一集的《首席未來長》節目中,安娜‧愛德華茲與渣打銀行財務長迪亞戈‧迪‧喬爾吉對談。
16:47
LET'S TAKE A LISTEN.
讓我們一起來聽聽。
16:49
>> HE HAD THIS UNDERSTANDING.
>> 他有這樣的理解。
16:50
THESE DIGITAL ASSETS HAVE THE ABILITY TO CHANGE THE PAYMENT LANDSCAPE OF THE WORLD.
這些數位資產有能力改變全球的支付版圖。
16:54
AND WE NEED TO BE READY.
而我們需要做好準備。
16:56
WE, THE REGULATORS, THE WORLD NEEDS TO BE READY FOR A NEW WAVE OF TECHNOLOGY.
我們、監管機構、全世界都需要為新一波科技做好準備。
17:03
>> ALMOST ENTIRELY USED IN THE MECHANISMS OF TRADING CRYPTOCURRENCIES.
>> 幾乎完全用於加密貨幣的交易機制中。
17:07
WHAT WE SAW AT THE OPPORTUNITY FOR DIGITAL ASSETS BROADLY TO USE AS A MEDIUM OF EXCHANGE OUTSIDE OF THE CRYPTO WORLD, WHAT IS TODAY THE FIAT CURRENCY.
我們看到了數位資廣泛使用的機會,作為加密世界之外的交換媒介,也就是現今的法定貨幣。
17:17
AT SOME POINT I THINK THESE DIGITAL ASSETS WALLETS WILL BE BIG ENOUGH THAT PEOPLE WILL BE COMFORTABLE USING.
我認為在某個時間點,這些數位資產錢包將變得足夠龐大,讓人們能安心使用。
17:22
I THINK WE WILL HAVE A FLIP FROM CONVENTIONAL MECHANISMS.
我認為我們將會從傳統機制發生翻轉。
17:29
>> DOES THAT MEAN BANKS SUCH AS YOURSELVES ISSUING STABLECOINS?
>> 這是否意味著像貴公司這樣的銀行將發行穩定幣?
17:33
>> WE COULD.
>> 我們可以這樣做。
17:35
WE ARE IN A SANDBOX FOR DEPOSITS IN HONG KONG.
我們在香港有一個關於存款的監管沙盒。
17:41
WE ARE ISSUING TOKENS RELATED TO TRADE FINANCE IN SINGAPORE.
我們在新加坡發行與貿易融資相關的代幣。
17:43
IT'S ALL ON THE TABLE.
這一切都有可能。
17:46
YOU'RE ALWAYS GOING TO TIE IT BACK TO WHAT OUR CLIENTS WANT AND NEED.
你總是需要回歸到客戶想要和需要什麼。
17:54
>> THE MARKET CAPITALIZATION IS VERY LOW.
>> 目前的市場總值非常低。
17:58
STABLECOINS TODAY HAVE $20 BILLION OF FLOWS A DAY, LESS THAN 1% OF THE FLOWS OF THE PAYMENT SYSTEM IN THE WORLD.
穩定幣目前每天有200億美元的流量,不到全球支付系統流量的1%。
18:04
BECAUSE THEY HAVE THE ABILITY TO BE VERY HELPFUL, PARTICULARLY IN RETAIL TO BEGIN WITH, AND POTENTIALLY ON THE OUTSET SIDE, I THINK WE WILL SEE A LOT MORE OF THEM.
因為它們非常有幫助,尤其一開始在零售領域,以及可能在開端方面,我認為我們將會看到更多它們的身影。
18:16
MATT: NOW WITH US, DIEGO DI GIORGI, THE STANDARD CHARTERED CFO, ANNA EDWARDS.
麥特:現在與我們同在的是渣打銀行財務長迪亞哥·迪·喬爾吉,以及安娜·愛德華茲。
18:19
CAN CATCH THE FULL INTERVIEW TONIGHT AT 9:30 P.M.
可在今晚9點30分收看完整訪談。
18:23
EASTERN AND I DO HIGHLY RECOMMEND IT.
東部時間,我強烈推薦您收看。
18:27
IT'S A FANTASTIC PROGRAM.
這是一個非常精彩的節目。
18:28
TIME FOR YOUR FRONT-PAGE NEWS.
現在是頭版新聞時間。
18:30
FIRST OFF, CONGRESS IS POISED TO SEND A BILL TO PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP TO FORCE THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT TO RELEASE FILES RELATED TO JEFFREY
首先,國會準備將一項法案送交給唐納·川普總統,迫使司法部公開與傑佛瑞·愛普斯坦相關的文件。
18:43
EPSTEIN.
愛普斯坦。
18:44
THE HOUSE PASSED THE BILL ON A 427-1 VOTE IN THE SENATE AGREED TO DEEM THE LEGISLATION PASSED AS SOON AS IT ARRIVES FROM THE HOUSE WITH NO CHANGES.
眾議院以427比1的票數通過該法案,參議院同意在法案從眾議院送達後,不做任何修改即視為通過。
18:52
NEXT UP ON THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, ELON MUSK'S ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE COMPANY XAI IS AN ADVANCED TALKS TO RAISE 5
接下來是《華爾街日報》的新聞,伊隆·馬斯克的人工智慧公司xAI正在進行高級談判,計劃籌集50億美元的新股權資金,估值達到2000億美元。
19:03
BILLION IN NEW EQUITY AND A 200 $30 BILLION VALUATION, A NEW VALUATION TO REPRESENT A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE FROM THE 13 BILLION AFTER ACQUIRING MUSK'S SOCIAL MEDIA SITE IN
億美元的估值,這是一個新的估值,代表著在3月份收購馬斯克的社交媒體網站後,從130億美元有了顯著的增長。
19:18
MARCH.
3月。
19:18
IN FACT, THIS JUST ABOUT DOUBLED THAT.
事實上,這幾乎讓估值翻了一倍。
19:22
AND PRESIDENT TRUMP IS SAID TO HAVE AUTHORIZED CIA PLANS FOR COVERT ACTION IN VENEZUELA.
據報導,川普總統已授權中央情報局在委內瑞拉進行秘密行動的計劃。
19:30
SOURCES SAY TRUMP IS ALSO AUTHORIZED BACK CHANNEL NEGOTIATIONS THAT AT ONE POINT RESULTED IN PRESIDENT NICOLAS MADURO OFFERING TO STEP DOWN
消息人士指出,川普也授權了秘密管道談判,一度導致尼古拉斯·馬杜羅總統提出願意下台。
19:37
AFTER A DELAY OF A COUPLE OF YEARS, A PROPOSAL THAT THE WHITE HOUSE REJECTED.
在延遲幾年之後,這項提議遭到了白宮的拒絕。
19:42
IN TERMS OF MARKETS IN EUROPE RIGHT NOW, THE LIVE TRAIT DOESN'T LOOK SO BAD.
至於目前歐洲市場的情況,即時走勢看起來沒那麼糟。
19:47
THE FTSE IS UP 1/10 OF 1%.
富時指數上漲0.1%。
19:51
THE DAX UP 1/10 OF 1%.
DAX指數上漲0.1%。
19:54
MIXED TRADE AFTER THE BIG DROPS WE SAW YESTERDAY.
在昨天看到大幅下跌後,目前呈震盪走勢。
20:02
COMING UP HERE IN NEW YORK, STEPHANIE, THE CIO OF ROBIN HOOD JOINS US TO TALK ABOUT WHETHER OR NOT INVESTORS ARE BUYING THE DIP THE BIGGEST MONTHLY DROP WE HAD SINCE MARCH
接下來在紐約,Robin Hood 的首席投資長 Stephanie 將與我們探討投資者是否正在逢低買入,這是自三月以來最大的單月跌幅。
20:11
OF THIS YEAR.
今年。
20:12
IT'S THE WORST NOVEMBER THAT WE HAD SINCE THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS IN 2008.
這是自 2008 年金融危機以來最糟糕的十一月。
20:16
YET WE ARE ONLY DOWN 3%.
然而我們僅下跌了 3%。
20:19
SOME ARE CALLING THAT A CORRECTION, A PAUSE THAT REFRESHES.
有些人稱之為回調,一次令人振奮的暫停。
20:29
THIS IS BLOOMBERG.
這是彭博社。
20:34
20:56
♪ MATT: IT IS 5:30 AM IN NEW YORK CITY, I'M MATT MILLER IN FOR VONNIE QUINN WITH YOUR BLOOMBERG BRIEF.
♪ 麥特:現在是紐約市凌晨 5:30,我是麥特·米勒,代替 Vonnie Quinn 為您帶來彭博快訊。
21:03
STANDING PAT.
按兵不動。
21:05
FUTURES STEADY AHEAD OF THE QUARTERLY RESULTS FROM NVIDIA.
在 NVIDIA 公布季度業績之前,期貨保持穩定。
21:08
THEY COME OUT AFTER THE CLOSING BELL.
數據將在收盤後公布。
21:12
BRACE FOR MORE.
請為更多波動做好準備。
21:15
GOLDMAN SACHS SEES FURTHER MARKET PULLBACK, ALTHOUGH IT COULD BE MODEST IN AN INCLUSIVE INTERVIEW COMING UP.
高盛預見市場將進一步回調,儘管在即將播出的獨家訪談中,回調幅度可能不大。
21:21
AND PRESIDENT TRUMP PLANS THE FORMALLY DESIGNATE SAUDI ARABIA AS A MAJOR NON-NATO ALLY FOLLOWING A DAY OF DEALMAKING IN WASHINGTON AND RIYADH.
而川普總統計劃在華盛頓和利雅得進行一天的交易談判後,正式指定沙烏地阿拉伯為主要非北約盟友。
21:31
HE SAID MBS NEW NOTHING OF THE KILLING OF JOURNALIST JAMAL KHASHOGGI.
他表示 MBS 對記者 Jamal Khashoggi 的遇害一事並不知情。
21:37
IN TERMS OF THE MARKETS RIGHT NOW WE SEE S&P FUTURES RISE OF ABOUT ONE THIRD OF 1%, SO INCREASING FROM A HALF HOUR AGO.
就目前市場而言,我們看到標準普爾 500 指數期貨上漲約三分之一個百分點,因此較半小時前有所回升。
21:44
SMALL CAPS GAINING ALMOST HALF A PERCENT IN THE PREMARKET.
小型股在盤前交易中上漲近半個百分點。
21:50
FOR SOME STOCKS TO WATCH, LET'S GET OVER TO VALERIE TYTEL STANDING BY IN LONDON.
關於一些值得關注的股票,我們來連接在倫敦的 Valerie Tytel。
21:56
VALERIE: THAT START WITH A CHECK IN THE ENERGY SPACE.
Valerie:我們先來關注能源領域。
22:01
SEEING SHARES OF CONSTELLATION ENERGY IN THE GREEN COME UP 3.5% IN PREMARKET.
Constellation Energy 的股價在盤前交易中上漲 3.5%,處於上漲狀態。
22:04
THIS IS THE U.S.
這是美國。
22:06
LARGEST DEVELOPER OF NUCLEAR ENERGY.
最大的核能開發商。
22:09
THEY SECURED A GOVERNMENT LOAN TO THE TUNE OF ONE MILLION.
他們獲得了一筆政府貸款,金額高達十億美元。
22:13
-- BILLION TO AID THEM IN REOPENING THREE MILE ISLAND.
以協助他們重啟三哩島核電廠。
22:16
WE DID HEAR THAT CONSTELLATION ENERGY WANTED TO REOPEN THREE MILE ISLAND AND THAT IS MOSTLY TO THE SELECT CONTRACT THEY SIGNED WITH MICROSOFT IN ORDER TO POWER ITS AI NEEDS.
我們確實聽說 Constellation Energy 想要重啟三哩島核電廠,這主要是因為他們與微軟簽署了一份選購合約,以滿足微軟的 AI 用電需求。
22:28
THIS IS TELLING US THAT NUCLEAR POWER IS REALLY AT THE FOREFRONT WHEN IT COMES TO THIS ENERGY RACE AND GOVERNMENT BACKING IS BEHIND IT.
這告訴我們,核能在這場能源競賽中確實處於最前線,並且有政府的支持作為後盾。
22:33
LET'S MOVE ONTO ANOTHER ENERGY SOURCE FOR GOVERNMENT BACKING LACKING THESE DAYS.
讓我們轉向另一種近期缺乏政府支持的能源來源。
22:37
THAT IS GREEN ENERGY.
那就是綠色能源。
22:39
THE HYDROGEN FUEL CELL DEVELOPER PLUG POWER IS PLUMMETING IN THE PREMARKET, DOWN OVER 16% IN THE MOST ACTIVELY TRADED SHARE IN THE
氫燃料電池開發商 Plug Power 在盤前交易中暴跌,在今早盤前交易最活躍的股票中跌幅超過 16%。
22:48
PREMARKET SO FAR THIS MORNING.
這是他們宣布發行稀釋性可轉換債券,以償還明年到期的債務之後發生的。
22:50
THIS COMES AFTER THEY ANNOUNCED A DILUTED CONVERTIBLE BOND OFFERING IN ORDER TO PAY DOWN DEBT THAT IS DUE NEXT YEAR.
最後,讓我們以半導體領域的晶片股作結。
22:55
LASTLY, LET'S END IN THE CHIP SPACE ON SEMICONDUCTORS.
這家公司在汽車和工業領域製造感測器。
22:59
THIS COMPANY MAKES SENSORS IN THE AUTOMOTIVE AND INDUSTRIAL SPACE.
該公司董事會授權了一項為期三年、規模達 60 億美元的股票回購計畫後,股價今早上漲了 3.205%。
23:06
SHARES WERE HIGHER THIS MORNING TO THE TUNE OF 3.20 5% AFTER THE BOARD AUTHORIZED A $6 BILLION BUYBACK PROGRAM TO TAKE PLACE OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS.
麥特:非常感謝。
23:16
MATT: THANKS VERY MUCH.
現在加入我們的是 Robinhood 的首席投資長 Stephanie Guild。
23:19
JOINING US NOW IS STEPHANIE GUILD, CIO OF ROBINHOOD.
很高能得到您的數據,因為您對散戶投資者有非常出色的觀察。
23:24
IT'S ALWAYS GOOD TO GET DATA FROM YOU BECAUSE YOU HAVE SUCH A FANTASTIC VIEW OF THE RETAIL INVESTOR.
我知道目前的跌幅看起來還不算大,所以稱之為回調可能有點可笑。
23:32
I KNOW THAT THIS DOESN'T SEEM LIKE THAT BIG OF A DIP YET SO IT SEEMS A LITTLE BIT SILLY TO CALL IT A CORRECTION.
但這對您的一大部分投資者來說很重要。
23:39
AND THAT'S IMPORTANT I GUESS TO A LARGE COHORT OF YOUR INVESTORS.
他們是在趁低買進嗎?
23:46
ARE THEY BUYING THE DID?
他們是在買進嗎?
23:48
>> ON THE STOCK SIDE IS BEEN A SMALL NET BUY.
>> 在股票方面,目前是小幅淨買入。
23:53
THIS DIP, IT'S KIND OF NORMAL.
這波回檔算是正常的。
23:55
I ACTUALLY WOULD LOVE A CORRECTION AND IF YOU COULD WISH THAT INTO EXISTENCE, IT'S LIKE A REAL CORRECTION.
我其實很希望出現修正,如果你能許願讓它成真,那會是真正的修正。
24:03
MATT: 10% DROP.
MATT: 下跌10%。
24:07
>> WE'VE BEEN SEEING THEM IN THIS WHOLE TECH SPACE.
>> 我們在整個科技領域都看到了這種情況。
24:13
NVIDIA IS IN THERE, META-.
NVIDIA 和 META 也在其中。
24:15
IT'S BEEN MOSTLY IN THE SPACE THAT HAS BEEN HURT THE MOST.
主要集中在受創最嚴重的領域。
24:19
AND THAT IS PRETTY COMMON FOR OUR CUSTOMER BASE.
這對我們的客戶群來說相當常見。
24:26
ON THE CRYPTO SIDE, THERE'S BEEN SOME DEBT BUYING BUT THE VOLUMES HAVEN'T BEEN AS BIG AS IN OTHER COINS WHEN THE MARKETS WERE DOWN.
在加密貨幣方面,有一些債券買盤,但成交量不如市場下跌時其他幣種那麼大。
24:32
MATT: WHICH IS INTERESTING, BECAUSE THAT'S WHERE YOU SEE REAL CORRECTION.
MATT: 這很有趣,因為那裡才看得到真正的修正。
24:41
DROPPING DOWN TO 89,000, SO MANY PEOPLE WHEN WE WERE UP AT THOSE HIGHS MUST'VE BEEN SAYING IF ONLY IT WOULD SELLOFF A LITTLE SO I COULD GET BACK IN HERE.
跌到 89,000,許多在高點時的人一定在說,要是能再賣一點讓我進場就好了。
24:48
THEY ARE NOT PILING BACK IN?
他們沒有重新進場嗎?
24:52
>> AGAIN, I'M LOOKING AT THE LAST FEW DAYS OF DATA SO MAYBE TODAY IF YOU ARE STARTING TO SEE A TURNAROUND.
>> 再說一次,我看到的是過去幾天的數據,所以也許今天如果你開始看到反轉。
25:00
MAYBE THAT IS DRIVING IT BECAUSE I HADN'T LOOKED AT THIS MORNING'S VOLUME.
也許這就是推動因素,因為我還沒看今天早上的成交量。
25:03
MATT: WHAT DOES THE AI BUBBLE DEBATE LOOK LIKE TO YOU BECAUSE THERE ARE COMPANIES LIKE NVIDIA THAT
MATT: 對你來說,AI 泡沫的爭議是什麼樣子?因為有些公司像 NVIDIA,
25:15
MAKE A TON OF MONEY AND SHOW STILL MASSIVE REVENUE GAINS THAT JUSTIFIES THEIR INVESTMENT CERTAINLY, BUT THEN THERE ARE COMPANIES LIKE OPENAI, OBVIOUSLY NOT PUBLICLY TRADED
賺了很多錢,營收依然大幅成長,這確實證明了他們的投資,但還有像 OpenAI 這樣的公司,
25:26
THAT THEY WANT TO INVEST .4 TRILLION AND THE ONLY HAVE 13, $14 BILLION IN REVENUE.
他們想投資 4000 億美元,但營收只有 130、140 億美元。
25:30
>> ORACLE I THINK HAS BECOME THE PROXY FOR SOME OF THOSE MOVES.
>> 我認為 Oracle 已經成為其中一些走勢的代表。
25:37
I MEAN, I THINK SOME OF IT IS NOT UNFOUNDED IN THE FACT THAT I GET THERE ARE SOME PEOPLE IN THE MARKET THAT HAVEN'T FORGOTTEN ABOUT WHAT HAPPENED
我的意思是,我認為其中一些並非沒有根據,因為市場上有些人沒有忘記 2000 年發生的事,
25:49
IN 2000, INCLUDING ME, I WAS AROUND FOR THAT.
包括我,我經歷過那段時期。
25:52
I THINK THERE IS SOME CONCERN BECAUSE THERE HAS BEEN SUCH A MOVEMENT THAT YOU KIND OF CAN'T TELL WHERE IT'S GOING.
我認為有些擔憂是因為出現了這樣一股趨勢,讓人有點看不清方向。
25:58
WHILE I DO BELIEVE IN AI IN THE LONGER TERM AND THE BENEFIT OF IT, I DO THINK ALSO AS AN INVESTOR AT THOSE VALUATIONS WE
雖然我長期看好 AI 及其益處,但我也認為,以目前這些估值來看,作為投資人我們
26:08
HAVE TO LOOK AT HOW MUCH GROWTH IS HAPPENING IN IS THAT GETTING TO A POINT WHERE IT IS GETTING TOO MUCH?
必須審視增長究竟有多少,是否已經到了過度的地步?
26:15
I THINK WHAT AMAZON IS BORROWING MONEY AND ALSO CUTTING JOBS, YOU'RE KIND OF LIKE OK, WHERE IS THE FOCUS IN ARE YOU GOING TO GET THE RETURN
我覺得亞馬遜一邊借錢又一邊裁員,這讓人不禁想問,重點究竟在哪?你們能否獲得
26:23
ON INVESTED CAPITAL?
投入資本的回報?
26:25
MATT: WHEN WE SEE COMPANIES LIKE AMAZON OR WE SEE COMPANIES LIKE GOOGLE BORROWING MONEY, DOES IT REALLY BOTHER YOU THAT A COMPANY WITH TRILLIONS OF
麥特:當我們看到像亞馬遜或谷歌這樣的公司借錢時,一家市值達數兆美元的公司
26:35
DOLLARS IN MARKET CAP IS BORROWING LIKE DOUBLE-DIGIT BILLIONS?
借了數百億美元,這真的會讓你感到困擾嗎?
26:39
IT'S LIKE THE OPENAI PROBLEM IN REVERSE.
這就像是 OpenAI 問題的反過來版本。
26:45
>> AMAZON, CAN THEY AFFORD TO PAY THE DEBT ON THAT?
>> 亞馬遜,他們有能力償還這筆債務嗎?
26:49
ARE THEY NET EARNINGS?
他們有淨利潤嗎?
26:50
I FEEL LIKE THEIR NET EARNINGS ARE STILL NOT AMAZING.
我覺得他們的淨利潤表現仍然不算出色。
26:53
MATT: THAT'S ALWAYS THE CASE WITH AMAZON.
麥特:亞馬遜一直都是這樣。
26:58
>> MARKET CAP DOESN'T MATTER THAT MUCH.
>> 市值沒那麼重要。
27:01
YOU LOOK AT A COMPANY THAT IS REALLY SMALL AND THEY INCREASE THEIR DEBT FROM $980 MILLION TO $3 BILLION IN THIS PAST QUARTER.
看看一家規模很小的公司,他們在上一季將債務從 9.8 億美元增加到 30 億美元。
27:07
THAT'S MAYBE A LITTLE MORE CONCERNING.
這可能更令人擔憂一些。
27:09
THEY ARE ALSO PART OF THE WHOLE AI TRADE.
它們也是整個 AI 交易的一部分。
27:14
SO I'M A LITTLE BIT SURE, CAN AMAZON HANDLE IT?
所以我有點不確定,亞馬遜能應付得來嗎?
27:18
PROBABLY, BUT WILL HE GET THE RETURNS FROM THE MONEY THEY'RE ARE SPENDING AND BORROWING?
應該可以,但他們花的和借來的錢能帶來回報嗎?
27:22
I STILL THINK THAT IS A LITTLE BIT OF A QUESTION BECAUSE IT IS SO FAR IN THE FUTURE TO REALLY SEE IT THROUGH.
我認為這仍然存疑,因為要真正看到成果還需要很長一段時間。
27:31
>> IN TERMS OF THE RATES AND THE LAYOFFS, WHAT DO YOU SEE HAPPENING WITH THE FED AND HOW MUCH DOES IT MATTER TO THIS MARKET?
>> 關於利率和裁員,你認為聯準會會怎麼做?這對市場有多大影響?
27:40
>> I THINK THE FED MATTERS A LITTLE LESS THAN IT USED TO.
>> 我認為聯準會的影響力已經不如以往。
27:46
I THINK THE FED IS BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE.
我認為聯準會正處於左右為難的境地。
27:51
I'VE SHARED THIS AND OTHER PLACES SO SORRY IF YOU'VE HEARD THIS BUT IF YOU THINK ABOUT WHAT HAPPENED IN EUROPE POST 2008, IT'S YOU HAD LIKE ONE-MONTH OR POLITY IN ONE
我在其他地方也分享過這點,所以如果你聽過這段內容,我很抱歉。但如果你回想一下 2008 年後歐洲發生的事,你會發現當時就像只有一個月或一年的統一貨幣,因為在那些國家中,德國的表現非常出色,可能需要更高的利率,而西班牙和希臘則需要更低的利率。
28:02
CURRENCY BECAUSE ALL THOSE COUNTRIES THAT GERMANY WAS DOING FANTASTIC AND PROBABLY NEEDED HIGHER RATES, SPAIN AND GREECE NEEDED LOWER RATES, AND I'M A LITTLE WORRIED THAT
我有點擔心的是,
28:09
BECAUSE WE HAVE THIS BIFURCATION OF ECONOMIES WHERE YOU HAVE THE LOWER END THAT BILLY NEEDS HELP AND THE STOCK MARKET, AND THE TECH SECTOR THAT DOESN'T NECESSARILY NEED
因為我們的經濟出現了兩極化,一端是需要幫助的基層(Billy),另一端是股市和科技業,它們並不一定需要那種幫助。
28:21
THAT HELP, IT PROBABLY NEEDS SOME CALIBRATION, A WORRY THAT THEY ARE KIND OF STUCK BETWEEN THOSE TWO THINGS.
它們可能需要一些調整,我擔心的是聯準會卡在這兩者之間,動彈不得。
28:26
THE LABOR MARKET SHOWED THAT THE BIGGEST LAYOFFS ARE STILL COMING FROM THE GOVERNMENT BUT I THINK THAT A STARTING TO CHANGE A LITTLE BIT BECAUSE IF THEY ARE RAISING MONEY AND
勞動市場數據顯示,最大的裁員潮仍然來自政府部門,但我認為情況開始有一點改變,因為如果他們正在籌集資金,
28:35
CUTTING JOBS AT AMAZON.
並且在亞馬遜裁員。
28:38
MATT: WE SAW A TON OF LAYOFFS IN OCTOBER, REALLY STARTING TO PUSH HIGHER.
MATT:我們看到十月份有大量裁員,真的開始推升了數據。
28:42
AND YET OBVIOUSLY THE TOP QUINTILE IS STILL DOING FAIRLY WELL.
然而,顯然收入最高的前 20% 族群仍然過得相當好。
28:47
PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS TALKED ABOUT REVIVING ANOTHER $2000 CHECK GOING OUT.
川普總統談到要再發放一張 2000 美元的支票來振興經濟。
28:55
>> HOW DO YOU GET LONG-TERM RATES DOWN IF YOU'RE GOING TO TAKE THE MONEY THAT YOU EARNED TO PAY DOWN YOUR DEFICITS AND THEN GIVE IT AWAY INSTEAD OF PAYING DOWN THE DEFICITS?
>> 如果你打算把賺來的錢用來支付赤字,然後又把錢發放出去,而不是用來降低赤字,那你要如何讓長期利率下降?
29:08
MORTGAGE RATES MIGHT BE STOCK UNLESS THERE'S SOME OTHER STIMULUS THAT COMES IN TO FORCE MORTGAGE RATES DOWN.
抵押貸款利率可能會維持平盤,除非有其他刺激措施強制壓低抵押貸款利率。
29:12
MATT: THAT WOULD BE FANTASTIC FOR ROBINHOOD AND THIS MARKET.
MATT:那對 Robinhood 和這個市場來說將會非常棒。
29:16
RETAIL INVESTORS ALSO TRADE BETS THEY ARE STILL RUNNING ON FULL POWER.
散戶投資人也在進行投機交易,他們仍在全力運作。
29:20
>> I'D LIKE A SOLID ECONOMY THAT DOESN'T NEED STIMULUS TO UPGRADE AND GROW.
>> 我希望有一個穩固的經濟,不需要刺激措施就能升級和成長。
29:24
MATT: BUT THE LIGHT OUTSIDE OF THE AI TRADE?
MATT:但是 AI 交易之外的亮點呢?
29:27
WE WERE JUST TALKING ABOUT CONSTELLATION ENERGY, POWER GENERATION HAS BEEN HUGE.
我們剛剛才在談論 Constellation Energy,發電量一直很龐大。
29:34
CATERPILLAR HAS DONE REALLY WELL.
卡特彼勒(Caterpillar)的表現也非常出色。
29:36
ARE THERE SECTORS ENTIRELY DIVORCED FROM AI THAT YOU LIKE?
有沒有你喜歡、且完全與 AI 無關的產業?
29:45
>> I DON'T KNOW IF YOU COULD SAY IT IS DIVORCED, BUT IN OCTOBER WE STARTED INCREASING ALLOCATIONS TO HEALTH CARE IN
>> 我不知道是否能說它已脫鉤,但在十月我們開始增加
29:56
OUR ROBINHOOD STRATEGIES AND LAST WEEK WE INCREASED EXPOSURE BECAUSE I FELT LIKE THE MARKET'S GIVING SIGNS THAT IT WAS GOING TO SELL OFF.
我們 Robinhood 策略中醫療保健的配置,上週我們增加了曝險部位,因為我感覺市場出現了將要賣壓的訊號。
30:01
BUT IN THE HEALTH CARE SPACE WE'VE BEEN ALLOCATED TO NAMES LIKE MATERA AND LILY JUST TO TAKE SOME PROFITS.
但在醫療保健領域,我們已配置在 MATERA 和 LILY 等個股,只是為了實現一些獲利了結。
30:15
YOU ALSO OWN THE RARE EARTH MATERIALS.
你也持有稀土材料。
30:18
WE HAVE ALLOCATION THERE.
我們在那裡有配置。
30:24
DEFENSE, KIND OF INDUSTRIAL DEFENSE TO ME IS ALSO A PLACE THAT OVER THE LONGER TERM SHOULD BENEFIT FROM A LOT OF THE POLICIES PUT IN PLACE.
防衛,對我來說,工業防衛也是一個在長期
30:37
HEGSETH WAS TALKING, I FORGET THE PHRASE HE USED, BUT SOMETHING ABOUT MAKING -- MATT: GRADE AGAIN?
應該能從許多已實施的政策中受益的領域。赫格賽斯(Hegseth)當時在談論,我忘了他用的詞句,但大概是關於讓——麥特:再次變得優秀?
30:44
>> IN THE DEFENSE SPACE.
>> 在防衛領域。
30:45
COMPETITIVE AGAIN IN TERMS OF WHO GETS CONTRACTS.
在誰能拿到合約方面再次具有競爭力。
30:51
AND I THINK THERE IS A WIDER SWATH VERSUS THE TWO BIGGEST NAMES IN THE SPACE THAT COULD FROM THAT.
我認為相對於該領域最大的兩個名字,有更廣泛的範圍可以從中受益。
30:59
MATT: STEPHANIE, I'M GOING TO TAKE YOUR POST-2008 ANALOGY AND BUN WITH AN THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
麥特:史蒂芬妮,我將把你的 2008 年後類比
31:05
ON MY PROGRAM, TO BE SURPRISED.
放在我的節目上,未來幾天拭目以待。
31:09
STEPHANIE GUILD FROM ROBINHOOD.
Robinhood 的史蒂芬妮・吉爾德(Stephanie Guild)。
31:10
COMING UP, WASHINGTON AND RIYADH STRENGTHENING TIES AFTER A DAY OF DEALMAKING AND BACKSLAPPING AT THE WHITE HOUSE.
接下來,華盛頓和利雅德在白宮進行一天的交易達成和握手言歡後,加強了關係。
31:15
MORE ON THAT NEXT.
更多相關內容稍後播出。
31:17
THIS IS BLOOMBERG.
這是彭博(BLOOMBERG)。
31:24
♪ >> THE AGREEMENT THAT WE ARE SIGNING, MANY YEARS OF
♪ >> 我們正在簽署的協議,多年的
31:35
TECHNOLOGY, AI AND DELIVERABLES.
技術、AI 和可交付成果。
31:38
THAT WOULD CREATE A LOT OF INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY.
這將創造大量的投資機會。
31:43
TRUMP: YOU ARE SAYING TO ME NOW THAT THE $600 MILLION TO BE TRILLION.
川普:你現在是在跟我說那 6 億美元將變成兆元。
31:48
>> DEFINITELY.
>> 確實如此。
31:53
MATT: SAUDI CROWN PRINCE MOHAMMAD BIN SALMAN PLEDGING THAT RIHANNA WILL INVEST AS MUCH AS TRILLION IN THE U.S., HELPED
麥特:沙烏地阿拉伯王儲穆罕默德
32:02
OUT A LITTLE BIT BY PRESIDENT TRUMP WAS THAT HE WILL OFFICIALLY DESIGNATE SAUDI ARABIA AS A MAJOR NON-NATO ALLY.
總統川普的推波助瀾下,正式指定沙烏地
32:11
HE ALSO SAID MBS NEW NOTHING ABOUT THE DISMEMBERMENT AND MURDER OF JOURNALIST JAMAL KHASHOGGI.
他還表示,穆罕默德王儲對
32:18
LET'S BRING IN BLOOMBERG GOVERNMENT SENIOR ECONOMIST REPORTED JONATHAN TAMARI IN WASHINGTON.
現在讓我們連線彭博社
32:26
IT DOES LOOK LIKE THE DIPLOMATIC TIES BETWEEN THE U.S.
美國與沙烏地阿拉伯之間的
32:31
AND SAUDI ARABIA ARE FULLY HEALED FROM THAT BRIEF RESPITE WE HAD AFTER THE JAMAL KHASHOGGI MURDER.
外交關係,似乎已從賈馬爾·卡舒吉
32:40
HOW IS THIS GOING TO WORK IN TERMS OF, FOR EXAMPLE, SELLING F-35'S?
這對例如出售 F-35戰機
32:50
>> TO NAME ONE VERY CLOSE U.S.
>> 以美國一個非常親密的盟友為例,
32:53
ALLY, SOME OF THE DETAILS HONESTLY ARE A LITTLE BIT VAGUE.
許多細節老實說仍有些模糊。
32:59
BOTH THE SAUDI INVESTMENTS COMING TO THE U.S.
沙烏地對美國的投資
33:02
SUPPOSEDLY AND ON THE U.S.
據稱以及美國對沙烏地的
33:03
COMMITMENTS TO SAUDI.
承諾都是如此。
33:05
THERE ARE MANY STEPS TO LEFT TO GO IN EXACTLY HOW THESE THINGS WILL PLAY OUT TO ALLOW ADVANCED AI CHIPS TO BE SOLD TO SAUDI ARABIA.
若要允許向沙烏地出售先進的人工智慧晶片,
33:17
SO THE DETAILS WERE LEFT PRETTY UNCLEAR YESTERDAY, BUT AS YOU KIND OF SONG FROM THOSE IMAGES, THE BIGGEST THING THAT CONCRETELY HAPPENED YESTERDAY
因此昨天的細節仍相當
33:30
IS A REHABILITATION OF --, A FLYOVER OF JETS, A LAVISH STATE DINNER.
重大事件是形象的修復——
33:33
THAT BASICALLY SAYS THAT THE TENSION FROM THE JAMAL KHASHOGGI KILLING AND OTHER ISSUES IN THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS GONE.
這基本上宣告了因賈馬爾·卡舒吉
33:43
>> IN TERMS OF REPLICATION WE ALSO SAW ELON MUSK MAKING HIS RETURN TO THE WHITE HOUSE.
>> 在製造業方面,
33:48
AT THOSE TENSIONS THAWED AS WELL >> AT LEAST A LITTLE BIT.
他們之間的緊張關係也隨之解凍,>> 至少緩和了一些。
33:54
IF YOU REMEMBER THE ATTACKS THAT HE AND THE PRESIDENT RELAUNCHING EACH OTHER, IT IS REMARKABLE TO SEE HIM THERE.
如果你還記得他們兩人過去
34:01
THE NEXT STEP, DOES HE GET BACK INVOLVED POLITICALLY, DOES HE START DONATING MONEY TO CANDIDATES AND MIDTERM ELECTIONS AND IS THAT A
下一步,他會不會重新涉足政治,他會不會開始在期中選舉捐款給候選人,這對共和黨來說是
34:07
POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE THING FOR REPUBLICANS BECAUSE DEMOCRATS USE MUSK AGAINST REPUBLICANS PRETTY EFFECTIVELY LAST YEAR, BUT OBVIOUSLY HAS A LOT OF MONEY TO ENABLE CANDIDATES
好事還是壞事,因為去年民主黨人利用馬斯克來打擊共和黨人
34:18
AROUND THE COUNTRY.
候選人。
34:19
MATT: PRESIDENT TRUMP ALSO SPOKE ABOUT HIS FED CHAIR PICK.
麥特:
34:22
HERE'S ANNMARIE HORDERN AT THE WHITE HOUSE EVENT.
安瑪莉·霍登在白宮活動現場為我們報導。
34:27
ANNMARIE: HAVE YOU STARTED THE INTERVIEWS FOR THE FED CHAIR?
安瑪莉:您是否已經開始面試
34:34
FROM: YES.
川普:是的。
34:35
I THINK I ALREADY KNOW MY CHOICE.
我想我已經知道我的
34:43
I LIKE HIM BUT HE'S NOT GOING TO TAKE A JOB HERE.
我很欣賞他,但他不會
34:47
>> I GUESS HE WAS POINTING AT SCOTT BESSENT.
>> 我猜他指的是
34:49
CAN I MAKE THAT ASSUMPTION?
我可以這樣假設嗎?
34:54
>> IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT THAT IS SO HE WAS POINTING TO AND HE SEEMED TO INDICATE HE'S NOT GOING TO TAKE THE JOB.
>> 這似乎很有可能就是他指的人選,而且他似乎暗示對方不會
35:01
HE'S MENTIONED FIVE DIFFERENT CANDIDATES INCLUDING CURRENT AND FORMER FED GOVERNORS.
他提到了五位不同的
35:06
WE KNOW THE PRESIDENT LIKES A LITTLE BIT OF DRAMA.
我們知道總統喜歡一點戲劇性。
35:10
HE WAS THE HOST OF A SHOW ABOUT MAKING BIG HIRES.
他曾經主持過一個關於做重大招聘的節目。
35:14
THEY SAID THAT THEY'RE LOOKING FOR AND OF DECEMBER TO HOPEFULLY HAVE AN ANNOUNCEMENT.
他們表示正在尋找人選,希望能在十二月
35:23
THE PRESIDENT AT ONE POINT SAID HE LIKES TO GO POLITICALLY CORRECT SO MAYBE IT WILL BE A MORE CONVENTIONAL CHOICE, BUT AS A MENTION HE LIKES THE DRAMA, HE LIKES TO KEEP PEOPLE
總統一度表示
35:31
GUESSING.
猜測。
35:31
WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP WATCHING.
我們必須持續關注。
35:33
MATT: JONATHAN, THANKS VERY MUCH FOR JOINING US.
麥特:
35:37
APPRECIATE YOUR TIME SO EARLY THIS MORNING.
非常感謝您這麼一大早就接受我們的訪問。
35:41
LET'S TURN TO EARNINGS NOW, INVESTORS COUNTING DOWN TO THE RESULTS FROM NVIDIA SET TO COME OUT AFTER THE MARKET CLOSE.
現在讓我們轉向財報,投資人正在倒數 NVIDIA 的結果,預計在收盤後公布。
35:52
IN SOME RESPECTS, THIS IS THE BIG EVENT.
從某些方面來看,這是一場大事。
35:56
ON ANOTHER LEVEL, THOUGH, THIS IS LIKE THE COMPANY THAT PEOPLE AREN'T REALLY THAT WORRIED ABOUT.
但在另一個層面上,這就像是大家其實不太擔心的那家公司。
36:04
THEY ARE STILL GOING TO GROW REVENUE 60% REGARDLESS OF ITS QUARTER WE ARE TALKING ABOUT, AND MAKE A MASSIVE AMOUNT OF
不論我們談論的是哪一季,他們的營收仍將增長 60%,並創造出龐大的
36:16
MONEY.
獲利。
36:18
>> IS A HUGELY PROFITABLE -- PROFITABLE COMPANY GENERATING THE CASH THAT IS GOING TO CYCLE BACK INTO THE AI ECONOMY AND OBVIOUSLY THE ANNOUNCED A DEAL YESTERDAY TO INVEST MORE IN AND
>> 是一家獲利能力極強的公司,產生的現金將回流到 AI 經濟中,而且昨天顯然宣布了一項交易,要加大對此的投資
36:26
PROFITS.
與獲利。
36:32
I THINK IN THE NEAR TERM FOR SURE, NVIDIA IS NOT A COMPANY THAT PEOPLE WORRY ABOUT TOO MUCH BECAUSE THEY ARE THE BIG BENEFICIARY OF ALL OTHER CAPITAL SPENDING THAT IS COMING
我認為短期內,NVIDIA 確實不是大家會太擔心的公司,因為他們是所有其他資本支出的大贏家,這些支出正來自
36:43
OUT FROM THE LIKES OF GOOGLE AND META AND AMAZON, ALL KIND OF THIS HUGE DEMAND FOR THE AI ACCELERATED CHIPS.
谷歌、Meta 和亞馬遜等巨頭,對 AI 加速晶片有著巨大的需求。
36:54
I GUESS IT'S A BIT FURTHER DOWN THE LINE, MAYBE TWO OR THREE YEARS OUTWARD PERHAPS THINGS BECOME A LITTLE BIT MORE CLOUDED IF THE END USER DEMAND DOESN'T TAKE OUT THE KINDA
我想再往後一點,也許兩三年後,如果終端用戶的需求無法支撐,情況可能會變得有點不明朗,無法維持 AI 的投資。
37:05
SUSTAIN THE AI INVESTMENTS.
SUSTAIN THE AI INVESTMENTS.
37:08
AND OBVIOUSLY THERE IS COMPETITION THERE FOR THEM FROM THE LIKES OF GOOGLE AND AMD, WHO ARE DEVELOPING THEIR OWN AI HAVE ACCELERATED CHIPS.
AND OBVIOUSLY THERE IS COMPETITION THERE FOR THEM FROM THE LIKES OF GOOGLE AND AMD, WHO ARE DEVELOPING THEIR OWN AI HAVE ACCELERATED CHIPS.
37:22
MATT: ARE WE GOING TO SEE ANY SIGN OF WILTING END USER DEMAND, ARE YOU GOING TO SEE ANY SIGN OF STRONGER COMPETITION IN, FOR EXAMPLE, TODAY'S OUTLOOK?
MATT: ARE WE GOING TO SEE ANY SIGN OF WILTING END USER DEMAND, ARE YOU GOING TO SEE ANY SIGN OF STRONGER COMPETITION IN, FOR EXAMPLE, TODAY'S OUTLOOK?
37:32
>> I DON'T THINK SO.
>> I DON'T THINK SO.
37:41
I THINK AT THE END USER LEVEL, CERTAINLY THAT IS IMPROVING.
I THINK AT THE END USER LEVEL, CERTAINLY THAT IS IMPROVING.
37:45
I'M NOT SURE IF WE WILL SEE TOO MUCH DETAIL BUT WHAT PEOPLE WOULD REALLY LIKE TO SEE IS MORE CASE STUDIES AND MORE SPECIFICS ABOUT HOW BIG CORPORATES ARE DEPLOYING AI TO
I'M NOT SURE IF WE WILL SEE TOO MUCH DETAIL BUT WHAT PEOPLE WOULD REALLY LIKE TO SEE IS MORE CASE STUDIES AND MORE SPECIFICS ABOUT HOW BIG CORPORATES ARE DEPLOYING AI TO
37:56
RETURN ON INVESTMENT.
RETURN ON INVESTMENT.
37:58
ENOUGH THAT THEY PLAN TO CONTINUE TO EXPAND THE SCOPE OF AI WITHIN ORGANIZATIONS.
ENOUGH THAT THEY PLAN TO CONTINUE TO EXPAND THE SCOPE OF AI WITHIN ORGANIZATIONS.
38:04
JENSEN HUANG ALLUDES TO THAT A LOT BECAUSE HE TALKED ABOUT THIS VIRTUOUS CYCLE THAT WE ARE NOW IN BUT I THINK THE MORE THEY CAN DO TO SHOW SPECIFIC EXAMPLES OF THAT WILL GIVE
JENSEN HUANG ALLUDES TO THAT A LOT BECAUSE HE TALKED ABOUT THIS VIRTUOUS CYCLE THAT WE ARE NOW IN BUT I THINK THE MORE THEY CAN DO TO SHOW SPECIFIC EXAMPLES OF THAT WILL GIVE
38:13
PEOPLE MORE CONFIDENCE.
人們更有信心。
38:14
BUT I DON'T THINK HE WILL GET TOO MUCH OF THAT TODAY.
但我認為他今天不會得到太多那種信心。
38:18
MATT: THANKS VERY MUCH FOR JOINING US.
麥特:
38:22
OTHER TECH COVERAGE FOR US OUT OF LONDON.
我們在倫敦的其他科技新聞報導。
38:27
DON'T MISS OUR EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW WITH THE CEO OF NVIDIA, JENSEN HUANG AFTER THOSE EARNINGS IS GOING TO SIT DOWN WITH ED LUDLOW AT 6:30 P.M.
請不要錯過我們對輝達 (NVIDIA) 執行長黃仁勳的獨家專訪,
38:35
EASTERN, AND YOU'LL SEE IT RIGHT HERE ON BLOOMBERG TV, HERE IT ON BLOOMBERG RADIO.
美東時間,您可以在彭博電視 (BLOOMBERG TV) 上觀看,
38:39
OF COURSE WE WILL CONTINUE TO PLAY THAT FOR YOU THROUGHOUT THE DAY TOMORROW.
當然,我們明天全天也會繼續為您播放。
38:42
STICKING WITH EARNINGS WITH YOUR FOR MAJOR RETAILERS BEFORE THE BELL INCLUDING TARGET, LOWE'S AND T.J.
繼續關注財報,四大零售商將在開盤前公布財報,
38:47
MAXX.
T.J. Maxx。
38:48
TJ ASKED.
TJ Maxx。
38:49
JOINING US NOW IS BLOOMBERG CONSUMER REPORTER MATTIE PARKER.
現在加入我們的是彭博消費者新聞記者 Mattie Parker。
38:55
WHAT WE EXPECT TO HEAR FROM THE RETAILERS AS SO MANY ARE VOICING CONCERNS ABOUT THE STATE OF THE U.S.
隨著許多零售商對美國消費者的狀況表示擔憂,
39:05
CONSUMER?
消費者?
39:07
>> OBVIOUSLY TARGET FOR THE MAIN ONE TO COME OUT.
>> 顯然塔吉特是主要的焦點。
39:10
TODAY THEY ARE GOING TO BE WATCHED VERY CLOSELY BY CONSUMERS, BY OTHER RETAIL BRANDS AND ALSO BY WALL STREET IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE IF THEY ARE ABLE TO RECAPTURE
今天,消費者、其他零售品牌以及華爾街都將密切關注他們,
39:19
SOME OF THAT GROWTH AS THEY TRANSITION OVER TO THEIR NEW CEO WHO THEY APPOINTED EARLIER THIS YEAR WHO VERY MUCH SAID HE WAS GOING TO FOCUS ON MERCHANDISING AND TECHNOLOGY.
這位新執行長曾明確表示,他將專注於商品銷售和技術。
39:27
IT WILL BE REALLY INTERESTING TO SEE WHETHER THEY HAVE THE MARK DURING THAT KEY BACK TO SCHOOL TIME WITH ZOOMERS WHO ARE REALLY KIND OF LOOKING FOR GOOD QUALITY GROCERIES AND
看看他們在關鍵的返校季期間,
39:36
ESSENTIALS BUT ALSO AT REASONABLE PRICES AS WELL.
同時價格也要合理。
39:42
MATT: SO WHO IS EXPECTED TO DELIVER THE STRONGEST GAINS HERE?
麥特:那麼,預期誰會在這裡交出最強勁的成長?
39:46
TYPICALLY A COMPANY LIKE T.J.
通常像 T.J. Maxx 這樣的公司...
39:48
MAXX DOES WELL IN AN ECONOMY WHERE THE CONSUMER IS WEAKENING.
MAXX 在消費疲軟的經濟環境中表現良好。
39:53
>> DEFINITELY.
>> 確實如此。
39:54
THE COMPOUNDING INFLATION OF THE PAST FEW YEARS WILL LIKELY KIND EVEN EDGE TO SOME OF THOSE LIKE T.J.
過去幾年的複合通膨,可能會對像 T.J. Maxx 這樣的零售商造成影響。
40:03
MAXX.
MAXX。
40:04
THEY ARE ABLE TO PROCURE MORE OF A DISCOUNT TO CONSUMERS.
他們能夠提供給消費者更多的折扣。
40:10
FEELING THE PINCH OF INFLATION, ALSO FROM THINGS THAT RETAILERS HAVE BEEN WARNING ABOUT FOR MONTHS LIKE CARROTS RAISING PRICES IS.
消費者感受到通膨的壓力,還有零售商幾個月來一直在警告的東西,例如胡蘿蔔漲價。
40:16
IT WILL BE INTERESTING AS WE APPROACH TO SEE THE CONSUMERS GO FOR THE DISCOUNT TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THOSE SALES AS WELL.
接下來觀察消費者會如何為了折扣而消費,以及如何利用這些促銷活動,將會很有趣。
40:26
MATT: MORE SALES HERE.
MATT: 這裡還有更多銷售資訊。
40:29
WHAT ABOUT JOBS, ARE WE GOING TO SEE MORE HIRING INTO THE HOLIDAYS OR ARE WE GOING TO SEE THAT SLOW DOWN FROM PAST SEASONS?
就業方面呢?我們會看到在假期前更多招聘嗎?還是會看到比過去季節更慢的招聘速度?
40:39
>> TRADITIONALLY RETAILERS DO HIRE MORE SEASONAL WORKERS AS THEY APPROACHED THE HOLIDAYS.
>> 傳統上,零售商在接近假期時確實會僱用更多季節性員工。
40:47
I SUSPECT THAT RETAILERS HAVE DEFINITELY TAKEN A HIT.
我懷疑零售商肯定受到了衝擊。
40:52
THE KIND OF GOLDEN QUARTER OF RETAIL THAT WE ARE APPROACHING INCLUDE THANKSGIVING, BLACK FRIDAY AND CHRISTMAS.
我們即將迎來的零售業黃金季度,包括感恩節、黑色星期五和聖誕節。
40:57
WE WILL STILL LIKELY SEE VERY STRONG SALES.
我們可能仍會看到非常強勁的銷售。
41:01
THEY WILL BRING IN MORE EMPLOYEES JUST FOR THAT PERIOD THAT IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE HOW CONSUMERS RESPOND.
他們將會在那段期間引進更多員工,觀察消費者如何反應將會很有趣。
41:14
MATT: THANKS VERY MUCH FOR JOINING US, TALKING U.S.
MATT: 非常感謝您加入我們,討論美國零售業。
41:17
RETAIL EARNINGS.
獲利狀況。
41:18
WE ARE GOING TO GET THOSE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
我們將在今天全天關注這些數據。
41:21
COMING UP, WE ARE GOING TO GET YOU SET UP FOR YOUR TRAINING DATE WITH NVIDIA EARNINGS REALLY THE KEY EVENT ON DECK AND FED MINUTES.
接下來,我們將為您準備 NVIDIA 的獲利電話會議,這真的是即將到來的關鍵事件,還有聯準會會議記錄。
41:31
THIS IS BLOOMBERG.
這是彭博社。
41:45
♪ MATT: THAT'S TAKE A LOOK NOW WHAT IS AHEAD TODAY.
♪ MATT: 現在讓我們看看今天有哪些行程。
41:48
AS WE SAID BEFORE THE BREAK, RETAIL EARNINGS ARE COMING OUT.
正如我們在中場休息前所說,零售業財報即將公布。
41:53
TARGET IS REPORTING AS WELL AS LOWE'S AND T.J.
Target 將公布財報,Lowe's 和 T.J. Maxx 也一樣。
41:56
MAXX BEFORE THE BELL.
他們都將在開盤前公布。
41:59
THEN WE GET THE FED RELEASING ITS LATEST MINUTES, THAT IS AT 2:00 P.M.
接著聯準會將發布
42:03
EASTERN AS IN THE PAST, MOVE THE MARKET, SO DEFINITELY IMPORTANT TO PAY ATTENTION TO THAT, ESPECIALLY IF YOU'RE FOCUSED ON RATES.
和過去一樣,東部時間的數據會影響市場,因此絕對
42:11
BUT THE MAIN EVENT FOR THIS MARKET IS NVIDIA.
但對這波行情來說,焦點
42:17
IT REPORTS EARNINGS AFTER THE MARKET CLOSED AND WE ARE EXPECTING TO SEE MASSIVE 60% GAINS IN REVENUE.
它將在收盤後公布財報,我們預期營收將大幅成長 60%。
42:25
MORE THAN 70% MARGINS AS WELL.
毛利率也將超過 70%。
42:31
TUNE IN TO A CONVERSATION WITH LAWRENCE WONG, MINISTER FOR FINANCE AND BLOOMBERG EDITOR-IN-CHIEF FROM THE BLOOMBERG NEW ECONOMY FORUM AND THEN OF COURSE AFTER NVIDIA
我們將先收看財長黃循財
42:39
EARNINGS, ED LUDLOW IS GOING TO SIT DOWN WITH THE CEO JENSEN HUANG.
財報公布後,Ed Ludlow 將
42:43
IN TERMS OF THE SHARE MOVEMENT FOR THE MARKET OPEN, NVIDIA SHARES OF ABOUT A 10TH OF 1% IN THE PREMARKET.
它將在收盤後公布財報,我們預期營收將大幅成長 60%。
42:49
THIS IS BLOOMBERG.
以上是彭博資訊。

Stock Selloff Pauses Ahead of Nvidia Earnings | Bloomberg Brief 11/19/2025

📝 影片摘要

本單元聚焦於聯準會會議記錄與輝達(NVIDIA)財報公布前的市場動態。內容涵蓋標普500指數期貨在月度跌幅後的復甦跡象,以及高盛總裁對市場回檔的健康性評論。此外,影片深入分析川普總統與沙烏地阿拉伯王儲的會談,雙方達成巨額投資與防務協議,並正式指定沙烏地為主要非北約盟友。在個股方面,重點報導了核能公司Constellation Energy因政府貸款擔保而大漲,以及Plug Power因債務危機發行可轉換債券而暴跌。最後,資深分析師與Robinhood投資長針對AI投資泡沫、終端需求及零售業財報前景進行了深度對談。

📌 重點整理

  • 輝達(NVIDIA)將於收盤後公布財報,市場預期營收年增57%,並關注AI動能的延續性。
  • 高盛總裁約翰·瓦爾德隆表示,目前的市場回檔是健康的修正,主要受AI動能、勞動力數據與通膨影響。
  • 川普總統正式指定沙烏地阿拉伯為主要非北約盟友,沙國承諾在美國投資高達一兆美元。
  • Constellation Energy獲得能源部10億美元貸款擔保,用於重啟三哩島核電廠以供應微軟AI用電需求。
  • Plug Power宣布發行4億美元稀釋性可轉換債券以償還債務,導致股價在盤前交易中下跌超過14%。
  • Robinhood投資長Stephanie Guild指出,散戶正在逢低買入受創嚴重的科技股,但對AI投資回報率存有疑慮。
  • 美國國會以壓倒性票數通過法案,要求司法部公開與Jeffrey Epstein相關的文件,等待川普總統簽署。
  • xAI正進行高級談判,籌集50億美元新資金,估值達2000億美元,較三月收購案時大幅增長。
  • 中國升級對日本的報復措施,暫停日本海鮮出口與新電影審批,並警告公民勿前往日本旅遊。
  • 渣打銀行CFO表示,數位資產將改變全球支付版圖,銀行已在監管沙盒中測試穩定幣與代幣化貿易融資。
📖 專有名詞百科 |點擊詞彙查看維基百科解釋
期貨
Futures
拋售
Selloff
稀釋性的
Dilutive
股票回購
Buyback
指定
Designate
備忘錄
Memorandum
展望
Outlook
超大規模雲端服務
HyperScaler
估值
Valuation
回檔
Pullback

🔍 自訂查詢

📚 共 10 個重點單字
Futures /ˈfjuːtʃərz/ noun
Financial contracts obligating the buyer to purchase an asset or the seller to sell an asset at a predetermined future date and price.
期貨(金融衍生性商品)
📝 例句
"S&P 500 futures are up 0.3%."
標普500指數期貨上漲0.3%。
✨ 延伸例句
"Investors are watching futures closely ahead of the earnings report."
投資人正在財報公布前密切關注期貨市場。
Selloff /ˈsɛlˌɔf/ noun
The rapid selling of securities, causing a sharp decline in prices.
拋售;賣壓
📝 例句
"Goldman Sachs presidencies for the market pullback."
高盛對市場回檔提出警告。
✨ 延伸例句
"Tech stocks led the selloff on Monday."
科技股在週一引領了拋售潮。
Dilutive /daɪˈluːtɪv/ adjective
Describing a security or transaction that reduces the earnings per share or ownership percentage of existing shareholders.
稀釋性的(指發行新股會降低每股收益)
📝 例句
"They announced a dilutive convertible bond offering."
他們宣布了一項稀釋性可轉換債券發行。
✨ 延伸例句
"Stock options can be dilutive to existing shareholders."
股票期權對現有股東可能具有稀釋作用。
Buyback /ˈbaɪbæk/ noun
A corporate action where a company repurchases its own shares from the marketplace.
股票回購
📝 例句
"A 6 billion dollars buyback program."
一項價值60億美元的股票回購計畫。
✨ 延伸例句
"The company announced a share buyback to boost stock price."
公司宣布股票回購以提振股價。
Designate /ˈdɛzɪɡneɪt/ verb
To officially choose or name someone or something for a specific role or status.
指定;任命
📝 例句
"Formally designate Saudi Arabia as a major non-NATO ally."
正式指定沙烏地阿拉伯為主要的非北約盟友。
✨ 延伸例句
"The area was designated as a national park."
該地區被指定為國家公園。
Memorandum /ˌmeməˈrændəm/ noun
A written message or record, often used for internal communication or to outline an agreement.
備忘錄;意向書
📝 例句
"A memorandum of understanding over AI."
一份關於人工智慧的諒解備忘錄。
✨ 延伸例句
"Both sides signed a memorandum to start negotiations."
雙方簽署了一份備忘錄以開始談判。
Outlook /ˈaʊtlʊk/ noun
A forecast or expectation of future events or trends.
展望;前景
📝 例句
"Walk us through what we expect in terms of the outlook."
請為我們說明我們對展望的預期。
✨ 延伸例句
"The economic outlook for next year is positive."
明年的經濟前景是正面的。
HyperScaler /ˌhaɪpərˈskeɪlər/ noun
A large-scale cloud service provider that offers vast computing infrastructure (e.g., Amazon, Google, Microsoft).
超大規模雲端服務供應商
📝 例句
"Underpinned by the hyperscalers investment cycle."
由超大規模客戶的投資週期支撐。
✨ 延伸例句
"NVIDIA sells chips to major hyperscalers."
NVIDIA 將晶片銷售給主要的超大規模供應商。
Valuation /ˌvæljuˈeɪʃən/ noun
The process of determining the current worth of an asset or company.
估值
📝 例句
"They are not trading at incredible high valuations."
它們的本益比並沒有高得驚人。
✨ 延伸例句
"The startup has a valuation of over 1 billion dollars."
這家新創公司的估值超過10億美元。
Pullback /ˈpʊlbæk/ noun
A decline or retreat in the price or value of something.
回檔;回落
📝 例句
"You are seeing the markets right now a pullback which I think is healthy."
你們現在看到的是市場的一次回檔,我認為這是健康的。
✨ 延伸例句
"We saw a brief pullback in stock prices yesterday."
昨天我們看到股價出現短暫回檔。
🎯 共 10 題測驗

1 What is the expected revenue growth for NVIDIA in the reported quarter according to market expectations? 根據市場預期,NVIDIA在本季的營收增長率是多少? What is the expected revenue growth for NVIDIA in the reported quarter according to market expectations?

根據市場預期,NVIDIA在本季的營收增長率是多少?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The analyst mentioned the market is looking for revenue of $55 billion, which is up about 57% year on year.

分析師提到市場預期營收為550億美元,年增率約為57%。

2 Which energy company secured a $1 billion loan担保 from the Department of Energy? 哪家能源公司獲得了能源部10億美元的貸款擔保? Which energy company secured a $1 billion loan担保 from the Department of Energy?

哪家能源公司獲得了能源部10億美元的貸款擔保?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

Constellation Energy, the US's largest nuclear power company, secured a billion loan to reopen Three Mile Island.

Constellation Energy,美國最大的核能公司,獲得10億美元貸款以重啟三哩島核電廠。

3 What is the total investment pledge made by Saudi Arabia to the US? 沙烏地阿拉伯對美國的總投資承諾是多少? What is the total investment pledge made by Saudi Arabia to the US?

沙烏地阿拉伯對美國的總投資承諾是多少?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 D

MBS pledged to invest as much as a trillion in the U.S.

穆罕默德王儲承諾在美國投資高達一兆美元。

4 Why did Plug Power's stock drop significantly in the premarket? 為什麼Plug Power的股價在盤前大幅下跌? Why did Plug Power's stock drop significantly in the premarket?

為什麼Plug Power的股價在盤前大幅下跌?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Plug Power dropped after announcing a $400 million dilutive convertible bond offering to pay down debt.

Plug Power下跌是因為宣布發行4億美元稀釋性可轉換債券以償還債務。

5 According to Goldman Sachs President John Waldron, what is the current market action? 根據高盛總裁約翰·瓦爾德隆的說法,目前的市場狀況為何? According to Goldman Sachs President John Waldron, what is the current market action?

根據高盛總裁約翰·瓦爾德隆的說法,目前的市場狀況為何?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Waldron said, 'You are seeing the markets right now a pullback which I think is healthy.'

瓦爾德隆說:「你們現在看到的是市場的一次回檔,我認為這是健康的。」

6 What specific defense item is Saudi Arabia purchasing from the US according to the report? 根據報導,沙烏地阿拉伯正在向美國購買哪項特定的國防物品? What specific defense item is Saudi Arabia purchasing from the US according to the report?

根據報導,沙烏地阿拉伯正在向美國購買哪項特定的國防物品?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The report states the Kingdom will purchase about 300 military tanks from the U.S.

報導指出,該王國將向美國購買約300輛軍用坦克。

7 Which sector does Stephanie Guild from Robinhood mention as having increased allocation recently? Robinhood的Stephanie Guild提到最近增加了哪個領域的配置? Which sector does Stephanie Guild from Robinhood mention as having increased allocation recently?

Robinhood的Stephanie Guild提到最近增加了哪個領域的配置?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

Stephanie mentioned they started increasing allocations to Health Care in October.

Stephanie提到他們在10月開始增加對醫療保健的配置。

8 What is the status of the Jeffrey Epstein files bill mentioned in the news? 新聞中提到的Jeffrey Epstein文件法案目前狀況如何? What is the status of the Jeffrey Epstein files bill mentioned in the news?

新聞中提到的Jeffrey Epstein文件法案目前狀況如何?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

Congress is poised to send a bill to President Trump to force the release of the files.

國會預計將法案送交川普總統,以強制公布相關文件。

9 What is the new valuation target for Elon Musk's xAI in its latest funding round? Elon Musk的xAI在最新一輪融資中的新估值目標是多少? What is the new valuation target for Elon Musk's xAI in its latest funding round?

Elon Musk的xAI在最新一輪融資中的新估值目標是多少?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

xAI is in talks to raise $5 billion at a $200 billion valuation.

xAI正進行高級談判,以2000億美元估值籌集50億美元。

10 According to the report, what action did China take against Japan recently? 根據報導,中國最近對日本採取了什麼行動? According to the report, what action did China take against Japan recently?

根據報導,中國最近對日本採取了什麼行動?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

China escalated retaliation by suspending exports of Japanese seafood.

中國升級報復措施,暫停日本海鮮出口。

測驗完成!得分: / 10