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STOCK ANALYST EXPLAINS: How to Read Financial Statements
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in this video I'm going to show you how to read through financial statements going to use a company called nextt
在這支影片中,我將向您展示如何閱讀財務報表,我將使用一家名為 Nextt Tracker 的公司
00:04
tracker it's a solar tech company and I'm going to walk you through using the data terminal kin this is coming from a
它是一家太陽能科技公司,我將帶您使用資料終端 Kin 進行分析,這是來自我
00:10
framework that I've developed over seven years in working as an equity research analyst and also getting a CFA I'm going
在擔任股票研究分析師並取得 CFA 證照的七年工作中所發展出的框架
00:15
to show you exactly what to look for why they're important and what they tell us about the business and I'm going to show
我將確切地展示要關注什麼、它們為何重要,以及它們告訴我們關於該企業的什麼資訊,我還將向您展示
00:20
you what kind of numbers you really want to see as an investor and what kind of numbers you don't want to see so let's
作為投資人,您真正想看到哪些數字,以及不想看到哪些數字,那麼讓我們
00:25
Jump Right In This is kin and I like to use data terminals because I want to see all the historical data in one place
直接開始。這是 Kin,我喜歡使用資料終端,因為我想在一個地方看到所有的歷史數據
00:30
because then that gives me an idea of how the business is developing so here's next tracker this is Solar Company I'm
這樣能讓我了解該業務的發展情況。這是 Next Tracker,這是一家太陽能公司,我將
00:35
going to jump into the financial analysis section and let's start off with the income statement I want to look
進入財務分析部分,讓我們從損益表開始。我想看看
00:40
at the revenues of the business that represents the sales for the business and so that represents the demand for
該業務的營收,這代表了該業務的銷售額,因此也代表了對
00:45
the company's products and services I'm looking at the growth rate first if it's higher obviously that means there's a
該公司產品和服務的需求。我首先看成長率,如果成長率較高,顯然意味著有
00:51
lot of demand I want to have a sense of what kind of growth rate the company can achieve and I do that by looking at its
很大的需求。我想了解該公司能達到什麼樣的成長率,我是通過觀察其
00:57
growth rate over time we can see that there's a clear acceleration over here in 2022 and it's been accelerating over
隨時間變化的成長率來做到這一點。我們可以看到在 2022 年這裡有明顯的加速,並且在過去幾年一直在加速
01:03
the past few years there's also been a slowing in 2021 if it's moving up or down a lot that makes me think that this
在 2021 年也有放緩。如果它大幅上升或下降,這讓我認為這家
01:10
company is in some kind of cyclical industry meaning the industry Trends tend to move up and down or that maybe
公司處於某種週期性行業,意味著行業趨勢往往上下波動,或者也許
01:16
sales are just not as consistent maybe there are product Cycles going on the solar industry is quite volatile prices
銷售不那麼穩定,可能正在經歷產品週期。太陽能行業波動很大,價格
01:22
tend to move up and down a lot because solar prices tend to move up and down and so this business is likely to be
往往大幅波動,因為太陽能價格傾向於上下波動,因此這項業務很可能
01:27
influenced by market trends in the solar industry ideally I want to see a consistently positive growth rate and
會受到太陽能行業市場趨勢的影響。理想情況下,我希望看到持續正向的成長率,
01:34
that is in indicative that the business can probably keep growing in the future but overall I like that it's growing
這表示該業務未來可能可以持續成長。但總體而言,我喜歡它成長得非常快,這表明對這家公司的產品和服務有
01:40
really fast it suggests that there's a lot of demand for this uh company's products and services 20 30% is really
很大的需求。20% 到 30% 是非常棒的成長率,但我想做個筆記,我想了解是什麼真正推動了那種成長。第二件事
01:46
great growth rates but I want to make a note of I want to understand what's really driving that growth second thing
但我想做個筆記,我想了解是什麼真正推動了那種成長。第二件事
01:51
is gross margin so gross margin over here we're looking at the gross profit so gross profit is the sales minus the
是毛利率,所以毛利率在這裡我們看的是毛利,毛利是銷售額減去
01:57
cost of producing the product or service plus the delivery and then the gross margin is just the percentage of gross
生產產品或服務的成本再加上運費,然後毛利率就是毛利占收入的百分比
02:04
profit as a percentage of revenues you can think of it say we have a car company the cost of goods sold would
你可以這樣想,假設我們有一家汽車公司,銷貨成本會
02:10
represent the cost of the materials the components all the Assembly of putting together all the cost that go into the
代表材料、零件、組裝汽車的所有成本,以及任何運送成本,所以毛利率代表這家企業每賣一輛車能賺多少錢
02:15
car itself as well as any delivery costs so the gross margin represents how much money the business is making on each car
所以對 Next Tracker 來說,這就是他們向太陽能產業銷售追蹤裝置能賺多少錢
02:22
so for next tracker this is how much money they're making on selling their tracking devices to the solar industry
當我們看毛利率成長時,要不是銷售額成長,要不是銷貨成本下降,對吧?所以如果毛利率上升
02:28
when we look at the growth gr margin it's either sales or cost of goods sold right so if gross margins are going up
這意味著要不是銷售額的成長速度快於銷貨成本,要不就是銷貨成本的成長速度
02:35
that means that either that sales are growing faster than cost of good sold or cost of good solds are growing less fast
比銷售額慢,所以這裡有個問題考考你,一家公司要如何在不增加總成本的情況下提高銷售額?有誰要猜猜看嗎?
02:41
than sales so here's a test for you how can a company raise its sales without increasing its overall costs any guesses
如果你猜是價格,那就答對了,這其實是金融業界常教的一個細微差別
02:50
well if you guessed price that's the correct answer and that's actually a Nuance that is taught in the financial
因為假設你有一家公司,如果你調高產品價格,通常不會增加
02:55
industry because say if you have a company if you raise your prices on your products usually that doesn't increase
你的成本,所以這會帶來更多銷售額,但你的成本傾向於維持不變,所以當我們看毛利率時
03:00
your cost so that leads to more sales but your costs tend to say the same so when we're looking at gross margin
因為它代表產品的銷售額和產品的成本,如果毛利率上升,這可能
03:07
because it represents the sales of the product and the cost of the product if gross margins are increasing that can
表示企業有能力爭取到更高的價格,或者在成本端,企業能夠更有效率地
03:13
indicate either the business is able to get stronger prices or on the cost side the business is able to produce the
生產商品或服務。當我們談到成本端時,例如如果 Next Tracker 或某家汽車公司有
03:20
goods or services more efficiently when we talk about the cost side for example if next tracker or or a car company had
生產設施,並且隨著產量增加而變得更有效率,這就是我們在商業和
03:28
a production facility and it started to get more efficient with more volume that's what we call scale in the
投資界所說的規模經濟,規模經濟的意思是,當你賣出更多商品時,利潤就能開始增加
03:34
business and investing world and scale just means you can start to increase your profits as you have more volumes of
這通常會反映在毛利率上,所以對 Next Tracker 來說,我們可以看到毛利率
03:40
goods sold and that usually happens on the gross margin line so for next tracker we can see that gross margins
在過去幾年持續上升,這是規模經濟的一個好跡象,這意味著公司能夠
03:46
have been rising steadily over the past couple years that's a great sign of scale it means that the company is able
讓其太陽能追蹤器和軟體的生產與運送成本,相對於價格維持在低點
03:52
to keep the costs of its production and delivery of its uh solar trackers and its software low relative to the price
能讓其太陽能追蹤器和軟體的生產與運送成本,相對於價格維持在低點
03:59
and can even be keeping positive price increases on the sales of his products even when the solar industry itself
甚至在太陽能產業本身價格下跌的情況下,還能維持其產品銷售的正向價格成長
04:06
solar prices are going down so that's a great sign that the company's achieving scale and again we want scale because
這是個好兆頭,代表公司正在實現規模經濟,而我們追求規模是因為
04:12
that just means we're getting more profits as the business grows so that's the first profit line that we want to
這意味著隨著業務增長,我們能獲得更多利潤,這是我們要看的第一個利潤指標
04:17
look at second thing we're looking at is the operating margin line so here we have ebit da margin so it's
第二個要看的是營業利潤率,這裡我們看到的是 EBITDA 利率
04:24
ebitda it represents the earnings before interest taxes depreciation and amortization it's the sales minus the
EBITDA 代表扣除利息、稅項、折舊及攤銷前的盈餘,也就是銷售收入減去
04:33
cost of producing the good and service so that's a gross profit and then minus the cost of operations and here
生產商品與服務的成本,這是毛利,接著再減去營運成本,而這裡
04:41
operations refers to payroll expense right things like sales marketing administrative expense those are all
的營運指的是薪資支出,像是銷售、行銷、管理費用等,這些都
04:48
considered operating costs and when we use the ebitda metric remember we're excluding interest and the reason why we
被視為營運成本,當我們使用 EBITDA 指標時,要記得我們排除了利息,這樣做是因為
04:55
do that is that's be considered a payment to a bank or investor we want to remove that so we can look at the
利息被視為支付給銀行或投資人的款項,我們想將其剔除,以便獨立看待
05:01
business independent of payments to investors and same thing with taxes just because we want to look at the business
業務本身,不受對投資人付款的影響,稅項也是同樣道理,我們只是想檢視業務本身
05:07
itself and then depreciation and amortization is sometimes excluded because it's a non-cash charge
而折舊與攤銷有時會被排除,因為它們是非現金支出
05:13
depreciation is like the wear and tear of a house so for example if you have a house and your door breaks it's a cost
折舊就像房屋的磨損,舉例來說,如果你有一棟房子,門壞了,這是一項成本
05:20
right but it's not actually incurring any cash expenses until you actually pay for someone or repair it yourself and
沒錯,但在你實際支付請人修理或自己購買材料修理之前,並不會產生現金支出
05:26
buy the materials and so that's why it's considered a non cash expense until you actually repair it when you do the
所以在實際修理之前,它被視為非現金支出,當你進行修理時,那筆成本
05:32
repair that cost would be considered a capital expenditure or an investment on your balance sheet same thing with
會被視為資本支出或是在資產負債表上的投資,攤銷也是同樣道理
05:38
amortization so amortization just represents wear and tear of an intangible asset something like software
攤銷代表無形資產的磨損,像是軟體之類的東西
05:44
say if you built some software and it starts to get out of date it'll start losing value but again that's not a
假設你開發了某個軟體,它開始過時,價值就會開始流失,但這同樣不是
05:50
non-cash expense so it's an amortization expense when it gets replaced then it would be also considered an investment
非現金支出,所以當它被取代時,會被視為攤銷費用,而這也會被視為一項投資
05:56
so jumping back into eiton margins what the ebit margin really is telling you then is that represents the cash profits
回到 EBITDA 利率,EBITDA 利率真正告訴你的是
06:04
of the business it's a really useful metric just to get a sense of what is the cash profits that the business is
公司的現金利潤,這是一個非常實用的指標,能讓你了解公司產生的現金利潤是多少
06:09
making from its sales to make sure that we're not being too skewed by removing the depreciation of mization one thing
從其銷售中進行分析,以確保我們不會因移除折舊與攤銷而過度偏頗
06:16
you can do right away when you're looking at margins is to make sure to compare the ebit margins so the earnings
當你觀察利潤率時,可以立即做的一件事是確保比較 EBIT 利潤率,也就是息稅前盈餘
06:22
before interest in tax so you include depreciation and amortization expense as well as eah margins and just compare
在扣除利息和稅項之前,因此你需包含折舊與攤銷費用,以及 EBITDA 利潤率,並直接比較
06:29
them make sure they're not too different right because if they're too different then that means that there's a
它們,確保它們差異不大,對吧?因為如果差異太大,那就意味著存在
06:34
significant depreciation amortization cost and obviously wear and tear is an important cost for any business now next
顯著的折舊與攤銷成本,顯然磨損是任何企業的重要成本。現在,下一個
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tracker over here right away that tells us because they're not that different one thing that tells us right away is
這裡的追蹤指標能立即告訴我們,因為它們差異不大,這立即告訴我們一件事:
06:45
there's not a lot of DNA or depreciation amortization expense so we can use either one both useful indicators of the
公司的折舊與攤銷費用並不高,因此我們可以使用其中任何一個,兩者都是衡量
06:51
business quality and business performance so going back to analysis when I look at margins I basically want
企業品質和企業表現的有用指標。回到分析,當我觀察利潤率時,我基本上希望
06:57
to see positive operating margins either ebit do earnings before interest taxes depreciation mization or ebit earnings
看到正的營業利潤率,無論是 EBITDA(息稅折舊攤銷前盈餘)還是 EBIT(息稅前盈餘),
07:05
before interest in taxes and ideally margins to start trending up so why do we want to see it positive because one
理想情況下,利潤率開始呈現上升趨勢。那麼為什麼我們希望看到它是正的呢?因為第一,
07:10
it means the company is profitable it means it's actually making money on its sales and really that just makes life
這意味著公司是獲利的,意味著它實際上從銷售中賺到了錢,這真的讓你
07:16
easier for you as an investor because if we think about the flip side if a company is not profitable it usually
作為投資者的生活更輕鬆,因為如果我們想想反面,如果一家公司不獲利,通常
07:22
means that there's a limited timeline of cash that they have to burn right because they have to keep funding their
意味著他們必須燃燒現金的時間是有限的,對吧?因為如果他們沒有賺取任何利潤,
07:28
operations with if they're not making any profit and if they don't become profitable within that time period they
他們必須持續為其營運提供資金,如果他們在那段時間內沒有變得獲利,他們
07:34
usually need to raise money and if you raise money it really becomes messy because you have to start to incorporate
通常需要籌集資金,而如果籌集資金,情況就會變得非常混亂,因為你必須開始納入
07:39
the effect of capital raising because when you raise money if you sell shares it increases the shares that are
籌資的影響,因為當你籌資時,如果你出售股票,會增加公司流通在外的股數,
07:45
outstanding of the company which dilutes your share of the profits and you also of course have to make a guess of the
這會稀釋你在利潤中的份額,當然你也必須對
07:51
profitability of the company in the future after that Capital raise so I like to see companies generating
繳足資金後公司未來的獲利能力做出猜測。所以我喜歡看到公司產生
07:58
positive profits so positive margins and really it's because if a company is making money it can start to use its own
正的利潤,也就是正的利潤率,這真的是因為如果一家公司正在賺錢,它就可以開始利用自己的
08:04
earnings to fund its growth and that becomes really important later so I want to see margins going up that indicates
盈餘來為其增長提供資金,這在以後變得非常重要,所以我希望看到利潤率上升,這表示
08:10
that there's efficiencies in the company's operations so when we look at the gross margin Trend say over here
公司的營運存在效率優勢,當我們觀察毛利率趨勢,例如在這裡
08:16
we're seeing it's going up and the ebitda margin Trend when you compare those two you can start to see where the
我們看到它正在上升,而 EBITDA 利潤率趨勢,當你比較這兩者時,你就可以開始看出
08:22
efficiencies of the company are are coming from if it's coming from gross margins you know it's coming from their
公司的效率來自何處。如果它來自毛利率,你知道那是來自他們的
08:29
price or they're just getting more efficient in the cost of production they're getting the benefit of scaling
價格策略,或者他們在生產成本上變得更有效率,他們獲得了規模化的效益
08:36
and just getting more profitable as they grow their volumes it's like having more profit per unit of product which is a
隨著銷量增長而變得更有利可圖,就像是每單位產品的利潤增加,這
08:42
great thing if it's coming from the operating margin side so if you see gross margin stable and operating
是件好事。如果它來自營業利益率這邊,所以如果你看到毛利率持平但營業
08:47
margins increase that means the business is just becoming more efficient in using its operating costs so things like sales
利潤率上升,這意味著該業務在使用營業成本方面變得更有效率,例如銷售、
08:54
marketing or administration of expense really it means that business is becoming more efficient as an operating
行銷或管理費用,這真的意味著該業務作為一個營運
09:00
uh entity and when a business can create efficiencies in the operations we call that operating leverage meaning the
實體正變得更有效率,當一個業務能在營運中創造效率時,我們稱之為營運槓桿,意思是
09:08
sales go up and then the operating margins also go up and that can happen for example if say a company trains its
銷售額上升,然後營業利益率也隨之上升,這可能發生在例如,某家公司培訓其
09:16
Salesforce to get really productive so each salesperson can just make more sales each day what happens is as the
銷售團隊使其變得非常有生產力,讓每個銷售人員每天都能達成更多銷售。發生的情況是,當
09:24
company grows its sales you start to see an expansion in the operating margin the point here is when all this talk about
公司銷售額增長,你開始看到營業利益率的擴張。這裡的重點是,當我們談論
09:31
margins is when we invest in a company we want to get comfortable that the business can both scale so get more
利潤率時,是當我們投資一家公司,我們希望確信該業務既能擴大規模,也就是說隨著銷售更多
09:38
profitable as it sells more volume and also have some kind of operating leverage meaning the business just
量而變得更有利可圖,同時還具備某種營運槓桿,意思是該業務在使用其
09:43
becomes more efficient at using its expenses in sales or marketing or even research expenses because if they can
銷售或行銷甚至研發費用方面變得更有效率,因為如果他們能
09:50
achieve both of those things that just means more profits for you as an investor as the business grows and gross
同時達成這兩件事,那就意味著隨著業務增長,你作為投資人能獲得更多利潤,而毛利率
09:56
margins are particularly important because if you can't generate a profit in your own products and services you're
尤其重要,因為如果你的自家產品和服務無法產生利潤,你
10:03
never going to generate a profit in the overall business no matter how efficient your sales or marketing becomes going
整體業務永遠無法產生利潤,無論你的銷售或行銷變得多么有效率。回到
10:08
back to next tracker I can see that margins have going up in Gross margins which is a great sign so they're getting
下一個追蹤指標,我可以看到毛利率一直在上升,這是個好兆頭,所以他們正在獲得
10:14
more scale and ebit down margins are going up as well so they're also getting more efficient in their business
更多規模,而 EBITDA 利潤率也在上升,所以他們的業務也變得更有效率了。
10:20
operations so that's a really great sign so that's why I think it's an attractive company to look at one thing you do want
營運,所以這是一個非常積極的訊號,這就是為什麼我認為這是一家值得關注的具吸引力公司。有一件事你必須
10:26
to be careful of when you're looking at margins and looking at the trend of margins is that it can be very easy for
小心,當你在觀察利潤率並查看利潤率趨勢時,很容易會發現
10:32
a business to expand its margins during good times it's just easier to be profitable when you're generating a lot
一家企業在景氣好的時期擴大其利潤率,當你創造大量
10:38
of sales what you do want to do is you also want to pay attention to times where the business slows down maybe
銷售額時,要獲利就是比較容易。你真正需要做的,是同時留意企業放緩的時期,也許
10:44
there's a recession or the environment slows down and you want to look at what happens at margins during that point in
遇到經濟衰退或環境放緩,你想看看在那段時間
10:50
time so if we look at next tracker in 2021 we had a pretty significant slowing in growth rate that Year may have been a
利潤率發生了什麼事。如果我們看 Next Tracker 在 2021 年,我們的成長率出現了相當顯著的放緩,那一年可能是
10:58
a particularly difficult year for the business and that's why growth rates slowed all the way down to 2% you can
該企業特別困難的一年,這就是為什麼成長率一路放緩到 2%。你可以
11:03
see that the the change in the gross margin was still positive but not as much as it had been from the prior year
看到毛利率的變動仍然是正向的,但幅度沒有前一年那麼大。
11:09
same thing with the ebit margin it stayed roughly flat so you can see that there is what they call a negative
息稅前利潤率(EBIT margin)也是一樣,大致持平。所以你可以看到,有時會出現所謂的負向
11:16
leverage effect sometimes where margins tend to go down when business growth slows so you want to pay attention to
槓桿效應,當企業成長放緩時,利潤率往往會下降。所以你必須留意
11:22
that because we want to make sure that the business can remain profitable even when Trends slow down that's indicative
這一點,因為我們要確保即使在趨勢放緩時,企業仍能保持獲利。這顯示了
11:28
of a well-run business over here we can see that profit margin still went up even though grow slowed a
這是一家管理良好的企業。在這裡我們可以看到,即使成長稍微
11:33
little bit so that indicates that the management is running the business well and the company's products are
放緩,淨利率仍然上升,這表示管理層將企業經營得很好,而且公司的產品
11:38
profitable on their own okay final thing on the income statement I want to look in the net income so net income is after
本身就很賺錢。好的,關於損益表的最後一點,我想看的是淨利。淨利是在
11:44
taking away the interest and also paying taxes so that represents the actual earnings that the business is generating
扣除利息並支付稅款後的數字,所以它代表了企業實際產生的盈餘,
11:51
that belongs to shareholders for net income what I'm really looking for is a positive net income or getting close to
也就是屬於股東的盈餘。對於淨利,我真正尋找的是正的淨利,或是接近
11:57
positive income because that means the compan is just Prof profitable and generating earnings for its shareholders
正值的盈餘,因為這意味著公司是獲利的,並為其股東創造盈餘。
12:02
I'm not too worried about the margin because one operating margin is a better indicator as well as gross margin of the
我不太擔心利潤率,因為營業利潤率以及毛利率是更好的指標,
12:09
company's overall profits so I'm just making sure that they are profitable and it's improving net income margins can be
能顯示公司的整體獲利狀況。所以我只是確保他們是獲利的,並且正在改善。淨利的利潤率可以
12:16
improved by figuring out ways to reduce your interest expense to reduce your tax expense and those things are all well
透過找出減少利息支出和減少稅務支出的方法來改善,而這些都是很好的。
12:22
within a control of a good business the more important thing that I want to look at when I look at net income is I want
在一家好公司的控制範圍內,當我觀察淨利時,我更想關注的是
12:28
to look at the earning per share that's what EPS is earnings per share is important because I want to adjust the
每股盈餘,也就是 EPS。每股盈餘非常重要,因為我希望根據
12:34
net income for the amount of shares outstanding if a company decides to raise money by selling stock that'll
流通在外股數來調整淨利。如果一家公司決定透過發行股票來籌資,那將
12:41
raise the number of shares so that's going to dilute the earnings per share and so that lowers and dilutes our share
增加股數,因此會稀釋每股盈餘,進而降低並稀釋我們在
12:48
of the overall company's profits so earnings per share is super important because it represents our share of the
公司整體利潤中的份額。所以每股盈餘超級重要,因為它代表了我們作為投資者在
12:55
profits that the company makes as investors so we want to look at the growth of eps because at the end of the
公司所創造利潤中的份額。因此我們希望觀察每股盈餘的成長,因為歸根究底,
13:01
day the growth in earnings for share is what increases the value of our stock because it represents our share of the
每股盈餘的成長才是增加我們股票價值的關鍵,因為它代表了我們在
13:07
profits so as long as earnings per share can go up in the future that means the value of our shares will go up assuming
利潤中的份額。所以只要每股盈餘未來能夠上升,就意味著我們股票的價值將會上升,前提是
13:14
of course the valuation of the stock remains stable but that's another thing to check in the future to recap the
當然,股票的估值保持穩定,但那是未來需要檢查的另一件事。總結一下
13:20
income statement high level want to look for steady growth Trends I want to see signs of positive and expanding margins
損益表的高階分析:我希望尋找穩健的成長趨勢,我希望看到正向且擴張的利潤率跡象,
13:27
and three I want to see positive growth in earnings per share that indicates that this is a business that's growing
以及第三,我希望看到每股盈餘的正向成長,這表明這是一家正在成長、
13:32
and it's profitable and it's making money for investors what I don't want to see ideally is inconsistent or declining
獲利,並為投資者賺錢的企業。理想情況下,我不希望看到不一致或衰退的
13:40
growth means the business is shrinking or negative margins it means the business is having trouble with this
成長,這意味著業務正在萎縮;或負面的利潤率,這意味著業務在成本或
13:45
cost or prices are coming down or a decline in earnings per share means a company is no longer growing its profits
價格下降方面遇到困難;或每股盈餘下滑,這意味著公司不再為投資者
13:52
for investors now that represents a business that's just having trouble growing and is having trouble making a
創造利潤成長。這代表了一家只是難以成長且難以獲利的企業,這兩種情況都會讓
13:58
profit which both things will make it difficult to make money as an investor unless you're playing for a stock
作為投資者賺錢變得困難,除非你是在押注一檔股價將
14:04
that'll significantly change in value but that's a different kind of thing to talk about now let's look into the
發生重大變化的股票,但那是另一種不同的討論。現在讓我們深入
14:10
balance sheet so over here I'm going to jump into the balance sheet now what I'm doing when I look in the balance sheet
資產負債表。這裡我將跳轉到資產負債表。當我查看資產負債表時,我基本上是
14:15
is I want to basically make sure that the business is financially stable so first thing that I always check when I
要確保這家公司在財務上是穩健的。所以當我查看資產負債表時,我總是先檢查
14:20
look in the balance sheet is I want to check the cash balance I want to see does the company have cash and ideally
現金餘額,我想看看公司是否有現金,理想情況下
14:25
is that cash balance going up because that means that the business is hopefully generating that cash and if
現金餘額是否上升,因為這代表企業有望創造現金,而如果
14:32
the cash balance is declining one that indicates that either the company is just not profitable because it's using
現金餘額在下降,這表示要麼公司就是不盈利,因為它正在消耗
14:38
all its cash in its bank account and that the business is burning cash and it might require more Capital the second
銀行帳戶裡所有的現金,且企業正在燒錢,可能需要更多資本。第二件
14:44
thing I always want to check is the debt so that's in the liability section I want to check how much debt it has now
事我總是想檢查的是債務,這是在負債部分,我想檢查它現在有多少債務
14:51
the reason why I check that is because debt represents Financial Risk for stockholders because if a company cannot
我檢查的原因是因為債務對股東來說代表財務風險,因為如果一家公司無法
14:59
pay its interest and pay back its debt that company goes into bankruptcy and in bankruptcy proceedings it's the debt
支付利息並償還債務,該公司就會破產,而在破產程序中,是債務
15:06
holders that take control they can sell off their Assets in order to get their money back and the stockholders or the
持有人掌控一切,他們可以出售資產來拿回他們的錢,而股東或
15:13
equity holders are last in line to get anything and that's why stocks go down to zero when a company goes into
股權持有人是最後一個拿到任何東西的,這就是為什麼當一家公司破產時,股價會跌到零
15:18
bankruptcy when I'm looking at the debt I want to look at it relative to I so I'm going to go over here to solvency so
當我檢視債務時,我想將其與 EBITDA 相對照,所以我會到這裡來看償債能力,所以
15:24
what I want to look at is I want to look at the net debt relative to the ebit dot the reason why that is is one I'm
我想看的是淨債務相對於 EBITDA 的比率。我這樣做的原因是,首先
15:29
looking at net debt so it's a debt minus a cash so just assuming that that cash is used to pay down the debt so it's
我看的是淨債務,也就是債務減去現金,所以假設那筆現金用來償還債務,這只是
15:35
just a uh more accurate number of the debt load and I want to compare it to eitas so remember that's the cash
一個更準確的債務負擔數字,而我想將其與 EBITDA 做比較,請記住,那是企業的現金
15:42
profits of the business what that kind of represents is how many years of cash earnings it'll take for the company to
利潤,這大致代表公司需要多少年的現金盈利才能
15:48
pay off its debt it's a number between one and two or below that's usually fine because what that means is a company can
還清債務。這個數字介於 1 到 2 之間或更低通常是沒問題的,因為這意味著公司可以在
15:55
effectively pay off their debt within one or two years which is not too bad but when you start to get to four or
一兩年內有效還清債務,這還不算太糟,但當你開始達到 4 或
16:01
five or six that's a really risky level because that's a lot of debt for the company to pay off and they have to also
5 或 6 時,這就是一個非常危險的水平,因為對公司來說要償還這筆債務非常困難,而且他們很可能也必須
16:09
most likely spend a lot of their money on interest payments and so what that does is it actually directs a lot of the
將大量資金花在支付利息上,這樣做的結果是,它實際上將公司賺的錢
16:15
money that the company makes to its debt holders so the company can't reinvest it in the company they can't give it back
很大一部分轉移給了債權人,所以公司無法將其再投資於公司內部,他們無法將其作為股利
16:22
to stockholders with dividends or even repurchasing stock so that just fundamentally actually makes it very
回饋給股東,甚至無法回購股票,所以這基本上實際上讓公司的
16:27
hard for the equity value of the company to grow now when I look at uh next tracker I can see that they have a very
股權價值很難增長。現在當我查看 Nextech AR 的追蹤報告時,我可以看到他們有一個非常
16:34
low debt to ebit ratio so I don't have to worry much about the Financial Risk when I'm looking at the balance sheet I
所以當我查看資產負債表時,由於負債對EBIT比率低,我不必太擔心財務風險
16:39
also want to check to make sure I understand where the money is coming from so debt is the money that comes
我還想確認我了解錢的來源,因此負債是來自借貸的錢
16:45
from borrowing so either a bank loan or selling to a debt investor but I can also look in the equity side to see if
所以要麼是銀行貸款,要麼是向債務投資者出售債券,但我也可以查看股權部分,看看是否
16:51
it's uh raised any money from selling stocks so that's the additional paid in capital what that represents is a
有透過發行股票籌集資金,那就是額外實收資本,它代表的是
16:57
company selling its share in order to raid capital and the second thing that I'm looking is retain earnings so that
公司出售其股份以籌集資本,而我查看的第二個項目是保留盈餘,這
17:04
represents the cumulative net income of the uh company meaning all the historical net income is just summed up
代表公司累積的淨利潤,意思是所有歷史淨利潤都加總
17:10
into that one figure here so that represents the earnings that the company has retained for itself so that's
成這一個數字,這代表公司為自己保留的盈餘,所以這是
17:16
another source of cash so you can see that it's negative over here and that it's because the company has most likely
另一個現金來源,所以你可以看到這裡是負數,這是因為公司很可能
17:21
been unprofitable for a good amount of time which makes sense because this is a fairly new company on the market but it
在很長一段時間內都不獲利,這也合理,因為這是一家相對較新的上市公司,但
17:27
is improving right getting less negative so that indicates the company is now generating positive net income because
它正在改善,對吧,負值變小了,這表明公司現在正在產生正的淨利潤,因為
17:33
when that positive net income is added to that retain earnings balance of course that makes it less negative and
當這個正的淨利潤加到保留盈餘餘額時,當然會讓它變得不那麼負,而且
17:40
that grows the retain earnings line right because it's representing the net income that the business is generating
會讓保留盈餘這一行增長,對吧,因為它代表了公司正在產生的
17:46
and they're retaining for themselves and so you can look at retain earnings as kind of a quick check on the company's
淨利潤,並且他們為自己保留了下來,所以你可以把保留盈餘當作對公司
17:52
history in terms of generating profits when we think about where the money is coming from I want to see the money
獲利歷史的一個快速檢查,當我們思考錢的來源時,我希望看到錢
17:58
coming from ideally retain earnings so I want to see improving retain earnings and I don't want to see actually too
理想情況下來自保留盈餘,所以我希望看到保留盈餘改善,而且我不希望看到實際上太多
18:04
many capital raises from the equity side or even on the debt side because I I want to make sure that the company is
來自股權方面的增資,甚至來自負債方面的增資,因為我希望確保公司
18:10
one profitable and two that it it can raise money from its own earnings to fund operations because you usually
一是獲利,二是它能從自己的收益中籌集資金來營運,因為你通常
18:17
don't want to invest in a company that needs a lot of capital because one if a company is selling a lot of shares your
不想投資於需要大量資本的公司,因為如果一家公司發行大量股票,你的
18:25
share of the earnings gets diluted every time they raise capital and the company also of course needs to be able to
每次籌資時,你對收益的份額都會被稀釋,而且公司當然也需要能夠
18:30
generate a return on that capital in order to increase the value of the shares and of course if you raise a lot
從這些資本中產生回報,以增加股票價值,當然如果你籌集大量
18:37
of debt that does also tend to increase the Financial Risk so it's better overall as an investor to invest in
的債務,這確實傾向於增加財務風險,所以總體而言,作為投資者,最好投資於
18:43
businesses that don't actually require that much capital and rather give you back Capital right they make you returns
實際上不需要那麼多資本,反而會還給你資本的企業,也就是說它們會讓你獲利
18:49
by either giving you a dividend or repurchasing stock they're effectively giving you back capital and that boosts
要麼透過發放股息,要麼透過回購股票,它們實際上是在還給你資本,這會提升
18:55
your returns I'm also using the balance sheet to get a sense of the structure of the business and where it's investing in
你的報酬。我也利用資產負債表來了解企業的結構以及它在何處投資
19:01
so usually at this point I'll go read the filings just to get a sense that the business does because that'll add some
所以通常在這個階段,我會去閱讀申報文件,以了解這家企業實際在做什麼,因為這會增加一些
19:06
context on what the balance sheet numbers actually mean but there are a few things that you can infer right away
背景資訊,讓你明白資產負債表上的數字究竟代表什麼意義,但有些事情你可以立刻推斷出來
19:12
by looking at the long-term assets and liabilities so if we look at the long-term assets we can see that one
只要看看長期資產和負債就知道了。所以如果我們看長期資產,我們可以看到第一點
19:17
that there's not a lot of long-term assets to begin with there's not a lot of property equipment so I know that
長期資產本身就不多,廠房設備也不多,所以我知道
19:23
this business doesn't actually own a lot of infrastructure and when I checked in the 10K it's because the next tracker
這家企業實際上並不擁有太多基礎設施,當我查閱 10-K 報告時,原因是 Next Tracker
19:30
business they've designed it to Outsource most of their production and their supply chain that's why they don't
這家企業,他們設計的模式是將大部分的生產和供應鏈外包,這就是為什麼他們
19:35
own a lot of property equipment so looking at the asset line can tell you a little bit about what the business looks
不擁有很多廠房設備,所以觀察資產項目可以讓你稍微了解這家企業的樣貌
19:40
like the second major item from a long-term asset perspective is Goodwill now Goodwill indicates that the company
從長期資產的角度來看,第二個主要項目是商譽。商譽表示這家公司
19:47
has made an acquisition or Acquisitions in the past because Goodwill represents the premium that comes from an
在過去進行過一項或多項收購,因為從會計角度來看,商譽代表的是
19:54
accounting perspective when a company buys another company so Goodwill represents the Acquisitions the
一家公司購買另一家公司時所產生的溢價,所以商譽代表了公司
19:59
companies are making now the company Goodwill has been fairly stable over the past couple years which means the
現在所進行的收購。這家公司的商譽在過去幾年中相當穩定,這意味著
20:05
company hasn't been making any Acquisitions over the years and this represents an acquisition in its history
這家公司近年來沒有進行任何收購,而這代表了它歷史上的某次收購
20:10
so the long-term assets tell us what the business has been investing in and in this case it's really just a small
所以長期資產告訴我們這家企業一直在投資什麼,而在這個案例中,它真的只在
20:16
amount in property and equipment on the liability side we can also do a quick check to see what are the obligations
廠房和設備上投入了少量資金。在負債方面,我們也可以快速檢查一下有哪些義務
20:22
it's really debt for next tracker that represents the debt that the company has raised from its investors and that's
對 Next Tracker 來說,主要是債務,代表公司從投資者那裡籌集的資金,而這
20:28
usually the main source of long-term liabilities it represents what the business owes but we can also look at
通常是長期負債的主要來源,它代表了企業欠的錢,但我們也可以看看
20:33
other non-current liabilities to look for any other obligations that the company has this non-current liability
其他非流動負債 要留意公司還有什麼其他義務 這項非流動負債
20:39
when I check the 10K represents a tax receivable agreement basically all that is is a company has an agreement to pay
當我查看10-K報表時 代表一份稅收應付協議 基本上就是公司有協議要支付
20:47
out tax benefits related to its stock as a result of a special transaction that it did when it was spun off into a
與其股票相關的稅務利益 這是因為在從私有公司分割
20:53
public company not super important from our perspectives I do see a big line over here for uneed Revenue so that's a
成為上市公司時 做了一筆特殊交易的結果 從我們的角度來看不是很重要 我看到這邊有一大筆未實現營收
20:59
deferred revenue deferred revenue happens when you receive upfront cash payments for some kind of contract or
也就是遞延收入 遞延收入發生在你預先收到某種合約或
21:06
service and because you haven't delivered it yet it represents uh a liability until you actually deliver it
服務的現金付款 因為你還沒履行完畢 所以在真正履行完畢前
21:12
and then it gets recorded as Revenue so that's usually a good thing to see a lot of deferred revenues because it just
它代表一項負債 履行完後才會被記錄為收入 所以通常看到大量遞延收入是好事
21:17
means a business is getting a lot of cash up front for its own business and that's great from a cash perspective
這意味著企業預先收到很多現金 對現金流來說很棒
21:24
okay so now what does that tell me from a balance sheet perspective well that tells me one the business is fairly
好 那麼從資產負債表的角度來看 這告訴我什麼呢 這告訴我第一 這門生意相當
21:29
Capital light it doesn't own a ton of assets and that does make it quite efficient from a capital perspective but
資本輕型 它不擁有很多資產 這讓它在資本運用上很有效率 但
21:35
at the same time of course it doesn't own its supply chain so it does have to rely on outside contractors so there's
當然 它不擁有其供應鏈 所以它必須依賴外部承包商 這有
21:40
pluses and minuses to that and then from a current asset and current liabilities basically all those things represent
優點和缺點 然後從流動資產和流動負債的角度來看 基本上所有這些項目
21:47
what we call working capital items if it's say like accounts receivable that's like payments that you expect to collect
都是我們稱為營運資金的項目 比如應收帳款 也就是你預期會從客戶那邊收到的款項
21:53
from customers or accounts payable so that's payments that you expect to pay to suppliers all of those different
或是應付帳款 也就是你預期要支付給供應商的款項 所有這些不同的
22:00
current assets and current liabilities represents money that is expected to come in or come out within a year and
流動資產和流動負債 代表預期在一年內會流入或流出的資金
22:06
they're usually called operating assets and liabilities I usually look at that in the cash L statement because they're
它們通常被稱為營運資產和負債 我通常在現金流量表中查看 因為它們
22:10
all summed up together but what they effectively represent is just cash that is tied up in different operating parts
全部加總在一起 但它們實際上代表的只是在營運的不同部分
22:17
of the business at the end of the day I look at the balance sheet to get a sense of the stability of the business I want
所占用的現金 總而言之 我看資產負債表是為了了解企業的穩定性 我
22:21
to make sure that it's finances look stable I want to understand where the cash is coming from I want to understand
想確保它的財務狀況看起來穩定 我想了解現金從哪裡來 我想了解
22:26
its obligations so again just to to check for Financial Risk if there's too much debt and then I also get a sense of
它的義務 所以再次強調 是為了檢查財務風險 如果債務過多 那麼我也能了解
22:32
what kind of nature is this business what is the nature of its operations so overall the balance sheet is always a
這門生意的性質是什麼 它的營運性質為何 整體而言 資產負債表 always a
22:37
check of the stability of the business for a balance sheet you want to see one ideally a growing cash balance two you
是檢視企業穩定性的指標 對於資產負債表 你希望看到 理想情況下 一、現金餘額持續成長 二、
22:44
want to see modest leverage at most three you want to see limited Capital raises right so that indicates that the
盡可能維持適度的槓桿 三、看到有限的資本募集 對 這表示該
22:51
business is likely to be profitable and generating cash and doesn't require a lot of capital what you don't want to
企業很可能獲利且能產生現金 不需要大量資本 你不希望看到的是
22:56
see is a declining cash balance means cash company's burning money you don't want to see really really high debt
現金餘額下滑 這意味著公司正在燒錢 你不希望看到非常非常高的負債
23:01
levels because it just makes it hard for the company to increase its Equity value and three you don't want to see a ton of
水位 因為這會讓公司難以提升其股東權益價值 三、你不希望看到大量的
23:07
capital raises just means that business is sucking in capital and if you see all those three things it means you got a
資本募集 這只表示該事業正在吸納資本 如果你同時看到這三件事 就意味著你得到的
23:12
business that is burning cash using a lot of capital and it's not generating cash that makes it quite hard to make
是一門正在燒錢、使用大量資本 卻無法產生現金的事業 這讓你很難在這種
23:19
money on that kind of business now let's jump into the cash flow statement when I look at the cash flow statement I
事業上賺錢 現在讓我們跳到現金流量表 當我檢視現金流量表時 我
23:24
immediately Zone in on two things the first is I want to look at the cash from operations because that tells me if the
會立刻聚焦在兩件事上 第一是我想看營業活動的現金流 因為這告訴我
23:30
business operations are producing cash it's a really big warning sign if you see the company is generating profits on
企業營運是否在產生現金 如果你看到公司在損益表上
23:37
its income statement so meaning the net income is positive or even the operating uh profits are positive but the cash
顯示獲利 也就是淨利為正 甚至營業利益也為正 但
23:46
flow from operations is negative that's a really big red flag because that means a company is not generating cash from
營業活動的現金流卻是負的 這就是一個非常大的警訊 因為這意味著公司沒有從
23:51
its operations and if it's somehow able to show that it's profitable from an accounting perspective they might be
其營運中產生現金 而如果他們在會計上 somehow 能顯示獲利 他們可能
23:56
doing sneaky things with their accounting like booking revenues or taking in sales without collecting any
在會計上動了手腳 比如認列收入或接下訂單卻沒有收到
24:01
cash that's a one example of a company that can be doing sneaky things with this accounting so you want to make sure
任何現金 這是公司可能在會計上動手腳的一個例子 所以你要確保
24:07
that the cash from operations is ideally positive and growing in line with the net income the earnings per share as
營業活動的現金流是正的 並且理想情況下能與淨利、每股盈餘
24:15
well as the EIT du and also when I'm looking at cast from operations here's where I can look at the working capital
以及 EBITDA 同步成長 另外 當我在看營業活動現金流時 這裡我可以觀察營運資金
24:20
so this change in net operating assets that represents the working capital so that's the sum total of things like the
所以這個淨營運資產的變動就代表營運資金 也就是應收帳款、
24:27
accounts receivable the accounts payables inventory all the stuff that represents cash coming in or cash coming
應付帳款、存貨等所有代表現金流入或現金流出的總和
24:33
out that is tied up in the business operations and so that some together that gives you a kind of blank number of
被業務營運所佔用,將這些加總後,就能得出一個粗略的數字
24:40
how much capital is required for the business day-to-day over a year and now that becomes useful because when we
顯示一年當中,日常業務需要多少資本,而這變得很有用,因為當我們
24:46
start to think about the future of the company once we get a sense of the cash earnings of the company either with
開始思考公司的未來,一旦我們透過營業收入或損益表掌握公司的現金收益後
24:53
operating income or IA we want to adjust that for the working capital so once we have idea in mind of the working capital
我們希望針對營運資金進行調整,因此一旦我們心中有數公司的營運資金
25:00
of the company we can adjust that in order to understand the cash flow from operations and then once we have the
我們就能加以調整,以了解營業活動的現金流,接著一旦我們掌握了
25:04
cash from operations we can start to calculate something called free cash flow now I want to look at capital
營業現金流,我們就能開始計算所謂的自由現金流。現在,我想談談資本
25:09
expenditure remember capital expenditure represents the reinvestments into the business if you remember when we're
支出,請記住資本支出代表對業務的再投資。如果你記得我們之前
25:14
talking about depreciation amortization so that's like cost of things wearing Down When a business makes an investment
談到折舊與攤銷,那就像東西老舊損耗的成本。當一家企業進行投資
25:20
for example it decides to repair his facilities it might invest in building a new plant for example that's all
舉例來說,決定修繕設施,它可能會投資興建新廠房,例如,這些都
25:25
included in capital expenditure and that's because it's considered an investment when they spend money on that
包含在資本支出中,因為它被視為一項投資,當他們在上面花錢時
25:31
it actually goes onto the balance sheet it goes into that property and Equipment line and it's considered capital
它實際上會列在資產負債表上,進入「不動產與設備」那一行,並被視為資本
25:37
expenditure it's the same way with software Investments so sometimes you might see a line that says investments
支出,軟體投資也是同樣的道理,所以有時你可能會看到一行寫著「軟體
25:43
in software that also becomes invested on the balance sheet it becomes something called like a capitalized
投資」,這也會投資在資產負債表上,變成所謂的「資本化
25:49
software or investments in software that would be a line on its assets on its balance sheet because it represents an
軟體」或「軟體投資」,這會是其資產負債表上資產的一行,因為它代表
25:55
investment that the business is making into its own assets so going to this part of the financial statement what I'm
企業對自身資產的一項投資。所以,針對財務報表的這一部分,我
26:01
doing is I take that cash from operations and then I minus the capital expenditure meaning the investments in
所做的是取營業現金流,然後減去資本支出,意即對業務的
26:06
the business so that tells me the free cash flow so that represents the actual cash the business operations is
投資,這就告訴我自由現金流,它代表扣除必要的再投資後
26:14
generating after minusing the required reinvestments and that's a really super important metric for investors because
業務營運實際產生的現金,而這對投資者來說是個超級重要的指標,因為
26:24
that cash represents cash that the business can use to either give back to investors they can pay investors back or
這筆現金代表企業可以用來回饋給投資者的錢,他們可以償還給投資者,或是
26:30
they can make investments into their own projects and really at the end of the day the fundamental value from a
可以投資於自己的專案,而歸根究底,從一個
26:36
financial standpoint how everything is value is based on the cash that that entity produces so the free cash flow
從財務角度來看,所有事物的價值都是基於該 entity(企業實體)所產生的現金,因此自由現金流
26:42
represents the real value underlying value of that company so I want to look at free cash flow so if we look down
代表了該公司真正的內在價值,所以我想要關注自由現金流。如果我們看下面
26:48
here they calculate free cash flow down here and I also want to of course look at free cast per share because I want to
他們在這裡計算自由現金流,我也當然想看看每股自由現金流,因為我想要
26:55
adjust for any share increases that happen if they've been raising capital from selling shares so I want to make
調整因出售股票籌資而導致的任何股份增加,所以我希望
27:00
sure that free cash flow is both positive and ideally going up because then that's a sign that the business is
確保自由現金流是正數,且理想中是持續上升的,因為這代表該企業正在
27:06
producing cash and also growing cash from its operation that indicates the company is growing in value that's the
產生現金,並且營運產生的現金也在增長,這顯示公司正在增值,這就是
27:13
key thing that I'm looking for in the cash flow statement a couple things that I also like to keep an eye out for in
我在現金流量表中尋找的關鍵點。在現金流量表中,還有幾點我也喜歡留意,
27:17
the cash flow statement is one is share based compensation so that's in the cash from operation I want to check how much
其一是股票薪酬(Share-based compensation),這是在營業現金流中,我想檢查他們
27:23
they're paying in stock it's a positive impact to cash flow because it's considered a non-cash expense when you
支付了多少股票,這對現金流有正面影響,因為它被視為非現金支出;當你
27:29
pay in stock you're not using any cash but it does raise the number of shares so it dilutes your earnings as well as
用股票支付時,你沒有動用任何現金,但它確實增加了股數,因此會稀釋你的盈餘以及
27:37
your cash flow per share so when you see a really high stock-based compensation number relative to the overall cash from
你的每股現金流。所以當你看到股票薪酬數字相對於整體營業現金流
27:44
operations or relative to the overall revenues you want to be mindful to use per share metrics because you want to
或相對於整體營收非常高時,你要謹慎使用每股指標,因為你必須
27:52
account for that dilutive impact of issuing all those shares to pay your employees on the side as well so when I
考量到為了支付員工薪酬而發行所有這些股票所帶來的稀釋影響。此外,當我
27:59
go to the cash from financing thing I also want to see if the compan is also repurchasing stocks so it's the exact
看到籌資活動現金流時,我也想看看公司是否有回購股票,這正好是
28:04
reverse there so sometimes companies will use their cash to buy back their stock and that has the opposite effect
相反的操作。有時公司會利用現金回購自家股票,這會產生相反的
28:10
that'll reduce the number of shares so that increases your share the earnings it increases earnings per share for you
效果,它會減少股數,從而提高你的持股盈餘,它會為你這位投資人提高每股盈餘,
28:16
as an investor and it's usually a great thing right the company is taking that cash and they're really just giving it
這通常是一件好事,對吧?公司拿著那筆現金,實際上就是透過回購股票
28:21
back to you by buying back stock and then they give it back to you by effectively increasing your earnings per
把錢還給你,然後透過有效地提高你的每股盈餘
28:26
share I like to see if there's any signs of the company either buying back stock or they giving stock ideally I prefer
再次回報給你。我喜歡看看是否有任何公司回購股票或發行股票的跡象,理想上作為投資人我偏好
28:33
the buying back stock as an investor and then finally I'll just look through and see if I see anything interesting
回購股票。最後,我會快速瀏覽一遍,看看是否有什麼有趣的發現。
28:39
because this is organized basically with the cash from operations the cash from investing activities cash from financing
因為這基本上是按照營運現金流、投資現金流和籌資現金流來組織的
28:45
activities basically you can see this as a record of what the company is doing with this cash so you can sometimes see
基本上你可以將其視為公司如何運用現金的紀錄,因此有時你可以看到
28:49
some interesting things if they're doing any Acquisitions that would come up with the cash from investing if they've been
一些有趣的現象。如果他們進行任何收購,這會反映在投資現金流中;如果他們
28:54
paying back debt or raising debt or raising stock of course that would be the cashroom financing and also from the
償還債務或舉債或發行股票,這當然會反映在籌資現金流中;另外從
29:00
cash from operations I can just see maybe some years have a lot of use of working capital right so it's a picture
營運現金流,我可以看到某些年份營運資金有大量使用,所以這是一幅
29:05
of what's going on the business from a cash perspective back to the cash flow three things I like to see is I like to
從現金角度看待公司營運狀況的圖像。回到現金流量表,我喜歡看到三件事:我希望看到
29:10
see positive free cash flow ideally growing the growth of free cash flow that is in line with the earnings so I
正的自由現金流,理想情況下是自由現金流的增長與盈餘相符,因此我
29:18
want to make sure that there isn't any weird accounting stuff going on and three I like to see Capital being
希望確保沒有任何奇怪的會計操作;第三,我喜歡看到資本
29:23
returned to investors that's indicating a business that's growing in cash generation and giving it back to
回報給投資者,這表明一門生意在現金創造方面持續成長,並將其返還給
29:29
investors what I don't want to see is negative or declining free cash flow that just means the business is burning
投資者。我不希望看到的是負的或下降的自由現金流,這只意味著這門生意在燒錢;
29:34
cash I don't want to see a Divergence from earnings that just means some funny stuff is going on and it just requires
我不希望看到與盈餘的背離,這只意味著有些不尋常的事情正在發生,需要
29:40
work to figure out what's going on and I don't want to see a ton of capital raises putting that all together that
花功夫去弄清楚到底怎麼回事;我也不希望看到大量的資本募集。把這些加在一起,只意味著
29:44
just means a business is just burning cash and it's requiring a lot more capital from investors so that just
這門生意就是在燒錢,而且需要從投資者那裡獲得更多資本,所以總體而言
29:50
overall makes it a hard type of business to make money on as an investor ideally because we as investors we want to
這對投資者來說是一種很難賺錢的生意類型。理想情況下,因為我們作為投資者,我們希望
29:56
invest in a business and we want that business to start producing cash in the future so that it can benefit us as
投資一門生意,並希望那門生意未來能開始產生現金,這樣它才能以
30:01
owners in the form of dividends or repurchases or just for the company being able to use that cash to keep
股利或回購的形式讓我們作為所有者受益,或者讓公司能夠利用這些現金來持續
30:07
growing and Investing For Itself okay so now let's take a step back for each of these three statements what you want to
成長並為自己投資。好的,那麼現在讓我們退一步看看這三張報表,你想要
30:11
look for income statement you want to get a sense the business is growing and it's profitable two balance sheet want
從損益表中了解這門生意是否在成長且有利可圖;從資產負債表,你想要
30:18
to look at if the business is in a stable Financial State and using really Capital responsibility because it's a
觀察這門生意是否處於穩定的財務狀態,並負責任地使用資本,因為它是
30:24
record of where they're ging cash from and where they're investing it cashal statement you want to see that the
紀錄公司現金來源與投資去處的報表;現金流量表,你希望看到
30:28
business is able to generate cash flow for its investors at a high level the kind of metrics that capture all those
企業能夠為其投資者創造高水平的現金流,能夠捕捉所有這些指標的
30:35
things is earnings per share and free cash flow per share because I indicate the profits the earnings of the company
是每股盈餘(EPS)和每股自由現金流,因為它們顯示了公司的利潤、
30:41
as well as the cash flow of the company that'll give you a sense of the change in value of the business by looking at
盈餘以及公司的現金流,透過觀察每股盈餘和每股自由現金流的
30:47
that growth of earnings per share and free cash flow per share but here's the thing we want to get a sense of the
增長,您可以了解企業價值的變化,但重點是我們想要了解
30:52
returns of the business right we need to compare these earnings figures relative to the capital that the business is
企業的回報,我們需要將這些盈餘數字相對於企業所使用的
30:59
using or the business is investing in because that ultimately represents Returns the profits that the company is
或投資的資本進行比較,因為這最終代表了回報,也就是公司利用
31:05
making on the capital that it's using represents the returns we get as investors from owning this company
其所使用的資本所創造的利潤,代表了我們作為投資者因持有這家公司
31:10
because we're giving Capital to the company so here's the two ratios that I like to look at from a return
所獲得的回報,因為我們是將資本提供給公司,所以這裡有兩個我喜歡從回報
31:16
perspective the first one is return on Equity as so it's Roe and the second one is return on invested Capital so here
角度來看的比率,第一個是股東權益報酬率(ROE),第二個是投資資本回報率(ROIC),
31:23
would be return on total Capital because I both of these indicators will give me a sense of of how efficient is a company
或者這裡我會稱之為總資本回報率,因為這兩個指標都能讓我了解一家公司
31:30
at generating profits using its capital so when we look on return and Equity what that is from an accounting
在利用其資本創造利潤方面的效率,當我們看股東權益報酬率時,從會計
31:36
perspective so remember net income it's just net income as a proportion of total Equity so total Equity usually just
角度來看,請記住,淨利就是淨利占總權益的比例,所以總權益通常只是
31:42
represents a combination of the retained earnings plus any Capital raised from selling shares so you can just think of
保留盈餘加上透過發行股票籌集的任何資本的組合,所以您可以將其視為
31:47
it as all the money that it has raised from its earnings as well as from selling shares net income as a
公司從其盈餘以及發行股票所籌集的所有資金,淨利占
31:54
proportion of that is is a way to calculate the return on equity so that represents the returns that Equity
這部分的比例就是計算股東權益報酬率的一種方式,這代表了股權
32:00
holders are getting now return on invested Capital what that is is that is the operating profit after tax so that's
持有者所獲得的回報。至於投資資本回報率,它是指稅後營業利潤,也就是
32:08
before interest because we're looking at all capital holders but it's after paying tax so it's the profits of the
在支付利息之前,因為我們是在觀察所有資本持有者,但它是在支付稅款之後,所以它是企業在
32:13
business before paying out interest as a percentage of total Capital so both the debt and the equity summ together so
支付利息之前的利潤,占總資本(即債務和股權加總)的百分比,
32:21
that represents the returns of the business is generating for all investors so I tend to like to use return on
這代表了企業為所有投資者創造的回報,所以我傾向於喜歡使用投資資本回報率,
32:27
invested capital I'm going to look at return on total Capital here because that represents returns as a whole for
這裡我將會看總資本回報率,因為它代表了整體的回報,對於
32:33
the business on its capital as a whole and I want to see it one positive and I want to see it showing signs of
整體資本的業務表現,我希望看到它是正向的,並且顯示出
32:40
improvement because that means the company is one generating positive returns for its investors on using
改善的跡象,因為這意味著公司正在為其投資者創造正向回報,運用
32:46
Capital that's number one I'm not actually looking at the absolute number that much because the more the company
資本,這是第一點。我其實不太看絕對數字,因為公司投資越多
32:53
is investing in the more that number will move around for example if the company has just raised the money and
這個數字的波動就會越大。舉例來說,如果公司剛籌到錢,
32:57
it's got a really great project but it's not seeing profits just yet that number will be low because of course sometimes
雖然手上有個很棒的專案,但尚未看到利潤,這個數字就會很低,因為當然有時候
33:03
profits take a while sometimes projects take a while before they start to become profitable so I don't read too much into
利潤需要一段時間,有時候專案也需要一段時間才開始獲利,所以我不会過度解讀
33:08
the absolute level unless it's really negative or really really low because I'm caring about what the business will
絕對水平,除非它真的非常負面或非常非常低,因為我關心的是這家企業未來
33:14
generate in terms of its returns in the future so what I'm really looking for is a positive trend I want to see hopefully
在回報方面會創造出什麼。所以我真正尋找的是正向趨勢,我希望看到
33:20
signs that there is an upward Trend in the return on total Capital because I'm focused on the returns the company will
總資本回報率有上升趨勢的跡象,因為我關注的是公司基於現正使用的資本
33:27
make in the future based on the capital being used today so when it's trending upwards that means that it's starting to
在未來會創造的回報。所以當它呈上升趨勢時,意味著它開始在
33:34
see higher Returns on the new profits right if the returns are getting higher then that would mean that the overall
新的利潤上看到更高的回報,對吧?如果回報越來越高,那就意味著整體
33:41
return on invested capital is starting to Trend upwards and then that is a great sign because if the business is
投入資本回報率開始呈上升趨勢,這是一個很棒的訊號,因為如果一家企業
33:46
starting to invest in things that are having high return ultimately that will raise the stocks valuation and that's
開始投資於高回報的事物,最終將推高股票的估值,而這
33:53
another topic to get into but at the end of the day when a company can generate really high Returns on his Capital One
是另一個可以探討的話題,但歸根結底,當一家公司能為其資本創造非常高的回報時,
33:58
it makes money for you as an investor and it tends to lead to a higher valuation for its company so based on
它能為你這位投資者賺錢,而且往往會導致其公司估值更高。因此,基於
34:04
this check when I look at this company NeXT tracker from the operating side I think the business looks good I will
這個檢查,當我從營運面觀察這家 NeXT tracker 公司時,我認為這家企業看起來不錯,我
34:11
probably want to double check the nature of its growth but overall I like that it's profitable I think it's growing
可能會想再仔細檢查一下其增長的本質,但整體而言,我喜歡它是獲利的,我認為它正在成長,
34:17
from a balance sheet is super healthy they have plenty of cash not a lot of debt looks like they're using Capital
從資產負債表來看非常健康,他們有大量現金,負債不多,看起來他們正在妥善運用資本,
34:23
well cash flow it looks like they're growing their free cash flow per share alongside earnings I might do some
從現金流來看,看起來他們的每股自由現金流與盈餘同步增長,我可能會做一些
34:28
analysis just to check on that and from a return perspective they're growing their Returns on Capital it's increasing
分析來確認這一點,而從回報的角度來看,他們的資本回報率正在增長,而且持續增加。
34:35
you can see of course that there are some jumps and changes which indicates that they're in an investing mode but I
你當然可以看到有些跳躍和變化,這表示他們正處於投資模式,但我
34:42
want to probably look a little bit deeper do some analysis to make sure they're getting high Returns on Capital
想或許要再深入一點,做一些分析,以確保他們能獲得高資本回報
34:47
get a better understanding of that but so far it looks good it looks like they're getting good returns and it
更好地了解這一點,但到目前為止看起來不錯,看起來他們獲得了良好的回報,而且
34:51
looks like it's getting higher so that's great so this to me is a check that this business is worth looking into and
看起來還在提高,這很棒,所以對我來說,這是一個檢查,確認這家公司值得深入研究,並
34:56
actually invested a little a little bit into it because I think it's a promising company and then now gives me a lot of
實際上投資了一點點,因為我認為這是一家很有潛力的公司,然後現在給了我很多
35:02
things and questions to think about as I go and start doing research and understanding this business so for Next
事情和問題去思考,當我開始做研究並了解這門生意時,所以對於下一步
35:09
Step I want you to look at any stock that you've been looking at I want you to go through the financial statements
我希望你看看任何你一直在關注的股票,我希望你像我一樣
35:14
just like I did do the same kind of check check the net income for growth profitability check the balance sheet
瀏覽財務報表,做同樣的檢查,檢查淨利潤的增長和盈利能力,檢查資產負債表
35:19
for financial stability and how it's using his cash and then check the cash flow statement see where his cash is
的財務穩定性以及它如何使用現金,然後檢查現金流量表,看看它的現金流向哪裡
35:24
going and where they're generating cash and then check the return metric once you do all that ask yourself does this
以及他們在哪裡產生現金,然後檢查回報指標,當你做完所有這些後,問問自己,這家
35:30
business look like it's generating good returns for investors in the future if the answer is like clearly no then it
公司未來是否看起來能為投資者創造良好的回報,如果答案是明確的「不」,那麼它
35:37
might not be a great fit for looking further into and if the answer is maybe or probably yes then it's probably worth
可能不適合進一步研究,如果答案是「也許」或「很可能可以」,那麼它可能值得
35:44
looking into so that's how you can use reading financials to do a quick check on the business now there's more
深入研究,這就是你如何利用閱讀財務報表來對公司進行快速檢查,現在描述欄位裡有更多
35:49
resources in the description if you want to start to go deeper and just to help you out on reading financials when
資源,如果你想開始更深入,並幫助你閱讀財務報表,當
35:54
you're looking at businesses to invest in and I also encourage you to go uh check out we have a free Master Class if
你在尋找投資標的時,我也鼓勵你去查看,我們有一個免費的大師班,如果你想更深入了解如何像專業人士一樣選股,感謝觀看,如果你喜歡這個影片,請按讚
35:59
you want to get into deeper on how to pick stocks like professionals thanks for watching if you like this just like
並訂閱,這樣你就能收到更多類似的影片,如果有任何問題請留言,我們下支影片見
36:05
And subscribe so you can get more videos like this and leave a comment if you have any questions and I'll see you in
[音樂] [音樂]
36:10
the next video
下支影片見
36:11
[Music] [Music]
[音樂] [音樂]

STOCK ANALYST EXPLAINS: How to Read Financial Statements

📝 影片摘要

本單元由具備CFA資格的前股票分析師,以太陽能科技公司Nextt Tracker為例,示範如何專業地閱讀與分析三大財務報表。教學涵蓋損益表(營收成長、毛利率、營業利益率、EPS)、資產負債表(現金、負債、營運資金)及現金流量表(營業現金流、自由現金流),並強調透過ROE與ROIC等指標評估資本回報率,建立一套完整的估值分析框架。

📌 重點整理

  • 營收分析:關注成長率趨勢,判斷產業是否具週期性(波動性),並確認需求是否穩健。
  • 毛利率(Gross Margin):反映定價能力與規模經濟。毛利率上升代表公司可能提高價格或降低生產成本。
  • 營業利益率(Operating Margin):觀察EBITDA或EBIT,評估公司營運效率。上升代表具備營運槓桿。
  • 資產負債表穩定性:檢查現金是否增加、債務是否過高(關注淨債務/EBITDA比率),以及資本募集是否頻繁。
  • 現金流量表:營業現金流必須為正,且需與淨利同步成長。自由現金流(FCF)是公司真正回饋投資者的現金。
  • 股權稀釋:關注股票薪酬(Share-based compensation)對股數的影響,以及公司是否進行股票回購。
  • 資本回報率:使用ROE(股東權益報酬率)與ROIC(投資資本回報率)評估公司運用資本創造利潤的效率。
  • 分析框架:綜合三大報表,確認公司是否「成長、獲利、財務穩健」,並能為股東創造長期價值。
📖 專有名詞百科 |點擊詞彙查看維基百科解釋
波動性
volatility
毛利率
gross margin
規模
scale
息稅折舊攤銷前盈
EBITDA
折舊
depreciation
流動性
liquidity
稀釋
dilution
槓桿
leverage
自由現金流
free cash flow
保留盈餘
retained earnings

🔍 自訂查詢

📚 共 10 個重點單字
volatility /ˌvɒləˈtɪləti/ noun
the quality of being likely to change suddenly
波動性;不穩定性
📝 例句
"[76] sales are just not as consistent maybe there are product Cycles going on the solar industry is quite volatile prices"
銷售可能不那麼穩定,也許存在產品週期。太陽能產業波動很大,價格...
✨ 延伸例句
"Oil prices are notoriously volatile."
石油價格以波動劇烈而聞名。
gross margin /ɡros ˈmɑːrdʒɪn/ noun
sales minus the cost of producing the product or service
毛利率
📝 例句
"[124] so the gross margin is just the percentage of gross profit as a percentage of revenues"
所以毛利率就是毛利占收入的百分比
✨ 延伸例句
"Improving gross margin is key to profitability."
提升毛利率是獲利的關鍵。
scale /skeɪl/ noun
the ability to increase profits as you have more volumes of goods sold
規模;規模經濟
📝 例句
"[214] that's what we call scale in the business and investing world"
這就是我們在商業和投資界所說的規模經濟
✨ 延伸例句
"The company benefits from economies of scale."
該公司受益於規模經濟。
EBITDA /ˈiːbɪtˌdɑː/ noun
earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization
息稅折舊攤銷前盈餘
📝 例句
"[264] so here we have ebit da margin so it's ebitda it represents the earnings before interest taxes depreciation and amortization"
這裡我們看到的是EBITDA利率。EBITDA代表扣除利息、稅項、折舊及攤銷前的盈餘
✨ 延伸例句
"Investors often use EBITDA to measure cash profit."
投資者常用EBITDA來衡量現金利潤。
depreciation /dɪˌpriːʃiˈeɪʃn/ noun
the wear and tear of a physical asset like a house
折舊
📝 例句
"[313] depreciation is like the wear and tear of a house"
折舊就像房屋的磨損
✨ 延伸例句
"The car suffered heavy depreciation over the year."
這輛車在一年內折舊嚴重。
liquidity /lɪˈkwɪdəti/ noun
the availability of liquid assets to an entity
流動性;變現能力
📝 例句
"[865] I want to see does the company have cash and ideally is that cash balance going up"
我想看看公司是否有現金,理想情況下現金餘額是否上升
✨ 延伸例句
"Cash is the most liquid asset."
現金是流動性最高的資產。
dilution /daɪˈluːʃn/ noun
reduction in shareholders' ownership percentage due to issuing new shares
稀釋
📝 例句
"[761] that'll raise the number of shares so that's going to dilute the earnings per share"
這將增加股數,因此會稀釋每股盈餘
✨ 延伸例句
"Issuing new stock can cause dilution for existing shareholders."
發行新股可能會導致現有股東持股被稀釋。
leverage /ˈlevərɪdʒ/ noun
the effect of sales increase on operating margins
槓桿(此處指營運槓桿)
📝 例句
"[548] when a business can create efficiencies in the operations we call that operating leverage"
當一個業務能在營運中創造效率時,我們稱之為營運槓桿
✨ 延伸例句
"The company used financial leverage to boost returns."
該公司利用財務槓桿來提高回報。
free cash flow /friː kæʃ fləʊ/ noun
cash generated after subtracting capital expenditures
自由現金流
📝 例句
"[1574] so that tells me the free cash flow so that represents the actual cash the business operations is generating after minusing the required reinvestments"
這就告訴我自由現金流,它代表扣除必要的再投資後業務營運實際產生的現金
✨ 延伸例句
"Positive free cash flow allows companies to pay dividends."
正的自由現金流讓公司能夠支付股息。
retained earnings /rɪˈteɪnd ˈɜːrnɪŋz/ noun
cumulative net income kept by the company
保留盈餘
📝 例句
"[1030] so that represents the cumulative net income of the uh company meaning all the historical net income is just summed up into that one figure"
這代表公司累積的淨利潤,意思是所有歷史淨利潤都加總成這一個數字
✨ 延伸例句
"Retained earnings are part of the shareholders' equity."
保留盈餘是股東權益的一部分。
🎯 共 10 題測驗

1 What is the primary purpose of looking at the Income Statement according to the analyst? 根據分析師的說法,查看損益表的主要目的是什麼? What is the primary purpose of looking at the Income Statement according to the analyst?

根據分析師的說法,查看損益表的主要目的是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The analyst states that the income statement shows sales (revenue) and profitability (margins).

分析師指出,損益表顯示了銷售額(營收)和獲利能力(利潤率)。

2 If a company's gross margin is rising, what two factors could be the cause? 如果一家公司的毛利率上升,可能是哪兩個因素造成的? If a company's gross margin is rising, what two factors could be the cause?

如果一家公司的毛利率上升,可能是哪兩個因素造成的?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Gross margin increases if sales grow faster than cost of goods sold, or if costs grow slower than sales.

如果銷售額成長速度快於銷貨成本,或者銷貨成本成長慢於銷售額,毛利率就會上升。

3 What does 'Operating Leverage' refer to in this video? 影片中的「營運槓桿」指的是什麼? What does 'Operating Leverage' refer to in this video?

影片中的「營運槓桿」指的是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Operating leverage occurs when sales go up and operating margins also go up due to efficiency.

當銷售額上升,且因效率提升導致營業利益率也隨之上升時,即產生營運槓桿。

4 Why is 'EBITDA' considered a useful metric? 為什麼「EBITDA」被認為是一個有用的指標? Why is 'EBITDA' considered a useful metric?

為什麼「EBITDA」被認為是一個有用的指標?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

EBITDA removes interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to show the cash profits generated from sales.

EBITDA剔除了利息、稅項、折舊與攤銷,是為了顯示從銷售中產生的現金利潤。

5 What is a major 'Red Flag' when looking at the Cash Flow Statement? 查看現金流量表時,什麼是主要的「警訊」? What is a major 'Red Flag' when looking at the Cash Flow Statement?

查看現金流量表時,什麼是主要的「警訊」?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 A

If a company shows profit on the income statement but negative cash from operations, it is a big warning sign.

如果公司在損益表上顯示獲利,但營業活動的現金流卻是負的,這是一個非常大的警訊。

6 What does 'Free Cash Flow' represent? 「自由現金流」代表什麼? What does 'Free Cash Flow' represent?

「自由現金流」代表什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Free cash flow is calculated by taking cash from operations minus capital expenditures.

自由現金流是用營業現金流減去資本支出(對業務的投資)來計算的。

7 Which ratio is used to assess how many years of cash earnings are needed to pay off debt? 哪個比率用來評估需要多少年的現金盈利才能還清債務? Which ratio is used to assess how many years of cash earnings are needed to pay off debt?

哪個比率用來評估需要多少年的現金盈利才能還清債務?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The analyst looks at Net Debt relative to EBITDA to see how many years of cash earnings it takes to pay off debt.

分析師查看淨債務相對於EBITDA的比率,以了解需要多少年的現金盈利才能還清債務。

8 What is the effect of 'Share-based Compensation' on investors? 「股票薪酬」對投資者有什麼影響? What is the effect of 'Share-based Compensation' on investors?

「股票薪酬」對投資者有什麼影響?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

Share-based compensation increases the number of shares, which dilutes earnings per share.

股票薪酬會增加股數,從而稀釋每股盈餘。

9 According to the video, what is the ultimate goal of analyzing these financial statements? 根據影片,分析這些財務報表的最終目標是什麼? According to the video, what is the ultimate goal of analyzing these financial statements?

根據影片,分析這些財務報表的最終目標是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The ultimate goal is to determine if the business looks like it will generate good returns for investors in the future.

最終目標是判斷這家公司未來是否看起來能為投資者創造良好的回報。

10 What does a stable or increasing Gross Margin suggest about the company? 穩定或上升的毛利率表明了公司的什麼特徵? What does a stable or increasing Gross Margin suggest about the company?

穩定或上升的毛利率表明了公司的什麼特徵?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 A

Rising gross margins are a sign of scale, meaning the company can keep costs low relative to price as it grows.

毛利率上升是規模經濟的跡象,意味著公司能在增長過程中保持成本相對於價格的低位。

測驗完成!得分: / 10