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Tech Corner: TSMC & the Global Semiconductor Trade
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00:04
All right, welcome back to the Tech Corner. I'm George Tillis, and your market's contributor here with the Schwab Network. Today, we're going to be covering time on Summit Conductor.
好的,歡迎回到科技角。我是George Tillis,施瓦布網絡的市場撰稿人。今天我們將討論台積電。
00:12
In fact, this is the second time we've covered this stock. If you want to watch the first video, please click above.
事實上,這是我們第二次討論這檔股票。如果您想觀看第一部影片,請點擊上方。
00:17
The time on Summit Conductor is a major pivotal player in the global semiconductor industry, manufacturing, packaging, testing, and selling of integrated circuits. The company offers a variety of wafer fabrication processes, including complementary, metal oxide, Summit Conductor, Logic, Mix Signal, Radio Frequency, and Embedded Memory Technologies.
台積電是全球半導體產業中一個關鍵的樞紐參與者,負責積體電路的製造、封裝、測試和銷售。該公司提供多種晶圓製造製程,包括互補式金屬氧化物半導體、邏輯、混合訊號、射頻和嵌入式記憶體技術。
00:37
TSM's products are integral to the various high-speed computing applications, smartphones, Internet of Things, automotive, as well as a wide array of digital consumer electronics.
台積電的產品對於各種高速運算應用、智慧型手機、物聯網、汽車
00:47
TSM is a dominant player in the global foundry market, holding a significant share in the customers, including Apple, Broadcom, NVIDIA, as well as Qualcomm. The majority of sales for TSM are in the United States, with approximately 75% of their sales, and approximately 9% are
台積電是全球晶圓代工市場的主導者,在客戶群中佔有重要地位,客戶包括蘋果、博通、輝達以及高通。台積電的銷售額大部分來自美國,約佔其銷售額的 75%,約 9% 來自
01:07
in China.
中國。
01:07
Now, from a competitive landscape, TSM faces competition from several key players, including US-based names like Intel Incorporated, which is known for its integrated manufacturing capabilities and efforts to expand its foundry business in the US. Global Foundries Incorporated, which is also a prominent player in the foundry space, offering a wide range of Summit Conductor
如今,從競爭格局來看,台積電面臨著幾個主要對手的競爭,包括美國的英特爾公司,該公司以其整合製造能力和擴展美國晶圓代工業務的努力而聞名。環球晶圓公司,也是晶圓代工領域的重要參與者,提供廣泛的 Summit Conductor
01:27
Manufacturing Services, as well as Korean giant Samsung Electronics, which is a major competitor with significant investments, both in the United States, as well as the mainstream Asian markets.
製造服務,以及韓國巨頭三星電子,三星電子是一個主要的競爭對手,在美國以及主流亞洲市場都有重大投資。
01:38
Now, when it comes to value, TSM's unique value proposition lies in its technological leadership in advanced Summit Conductor nodes, such as the three- and two-nanometer mode processes and its ability to manufacture high-performance chips on a massive scale. The company is a key enabler of AI hardware, due to its extensive customer base, including tech giants
如今,就價值而言,台積電獨特的價值主張在於其在先進 Summit Conductor 節點(如三奈米和二奈米製程)的技術領導地位,以及大規模製造高性能晶片的能力。該公司是人工智慧硬體的關鍵推動者,因為其擁有廣泛的客戶群,包括科技巨頭
01:57
like NVIDIA, Apple, as well as AMD. TSM's strategic global expansion, along with its new fabs of the United States, Japan, and Germany, enhances positions globally by reducing its reliance on Taiwan, and strengthening its roles in the global supply chain.
如輝達、蘋果以及 AMD。台積電的策略性全球擴張,以及其在美國、日本和德國的新晶圓廠,透過減少對台灣的依賴並加強其在全球供應鏈中的作用,提升了其全球地位。
02:11
Lastly, what's really unique about TSM is it's the largest dedicated chip manufacturer in the world, with roughly 75% global market share.
最後,台積電真正獨特之處在於它是世界上最大的專業晶片製造商,擁有約 75% 的全球市場份額。
02:19
Now, in recent news, going back to October 17th of this year, the company reported quarterly profits for Q3, where they demonstrated strong execution, both in artificial intelligence, as well as high-performance computing demand, driven by 41% year-to-year revenue growth,
如今,在近期新聞中,回溯到今年的 10 月 17 日,該公司公佈了第三季度的季度利潤,其中顯示了在人工智慧和高性能運算需求方面的強勁表現,營收年增 41%,
02:35
with continued diversification of global capacity outlook. The company's net income also jumped over 39% to $33.10 billion, beating both on the top and bottom line estimates.
並且持續多元化全球產能展望。該公司的淨利潤也躍升超過 39% 至 331 億美元,超出預期的營收和獲利。
02:46
You've got to keep in mind that in March of this last year, TSM announced an additional $100 billion investment in U.S. chip manufacturing. This was on top of $65 billion that it announced back in April of 2024. Actually, as of recent, TSM also notifies its some of its major
你必須知道的是,去年三月,台積電宣佈將在美國晶片製造業追加 1000 億美元的投資。這是在 2024 年 4 月公佈的 650 億美元投資之外。實際上,最近台積電也通知了一些其主要
03:02
clients, including Apple, of upcoming price hikes. These price hikes could be between 8% and 10% and could impact across multiple product lines, including advanced nodes used in electronics such as smartphones and GPUs. Now, there are many positives, as always, to consider with TSM. First off, the company's Q3 highlights resulted in structural strength,
客戶,包括蘋果,即將調漲價格。這些價格上漲幅度可能在 8% 到 10% 之間,並可能影響多個產品線,包括用於智慧型手機和 GPU 等電子產品的先進節點。現在,台積電總是有許多積極因素可以考慮。首先,該公司第三季度的亮點顯示出結構性優勢,
03:22
with impressive revenue growth over 40% supported by diversified global capacity and ongoing AI and high-performance computing demand. Its technological edge and expertise in advanced chip manufacturing ensures its critical role in the AI industry, with strong financials
營收增長超過 40%,得益於多元化的全球產能以及持續的人工智慧和高性能運算需求。其在先進晶片製造領域的技術優勢和專業知識確保了其在人工智慧產業中的關鍵地位,並擁有強勁的財務狀況
03:37
and global presence supporting its resilient growth potential. It also exhibits foreign estimated revenue growth that's still exceptional at over 29%. Far surpassing its five-year historical averages, EBITDA growth at over 29% of sales is almost 10% higher than its
和全球佈局,支持其穩健的增長潛力。其預估的海外營收增長也仍然非常出色,超過 29%。遠遠超過其五年歷史平均水平,息稅前利潤增長超過銷售額的 29%,比其
03:53
five-year historical average. When it comes to profitability, the net income margin is still outstanding. At over 43% of sales, this is far in excess of the sector median, which is close to 11%. This essentially shows TSM is not only large in terms of scale and revenue, but is generating a lot of profits from its operations. Despite the positives for TSM,
五年歷史平均水平高出近 10%。就獲利能力而言,淨利潤率仍然非常出色。銷售額超過 43%,遠遠超過行業中值,接近 11%。這基本上表明台積電不僅規模和營收龐大,而且其營運產生了大量利潤。儘管台積電有這些優勢,
04:12
there's ongoing challenges we have to be mindful of as well. TSM faces valuation challenges, as its P/E ratio has reached multi-year highs, potentially limiting upside price performance, despite robust fundamentals. There are some production constraints the company is facing, which actually may be challenging to forward EPS growth. The company's reliance on cyclical
我們也必須注意持續存在的挑戰。台積電面臨估值挑戰,因為其本益比已達到多年來的歷史高點,儘管基本面強勁,但可能限制了上漲的價格表現。該公司面臨一些生產限制,這實際上可能對未來每股收益的增長構成挑戰。該公司對週期性
04:38
tensions, high overseas fab costs may actually increase threatening margins.
緊張局勢,海外高昂的晶圓廠成本實際上可能會威脅到利潤率。
04:42
Lastly, export restrictions and geopolitical risks, particularly related to US-China trade relations, could impact TSM's global operations and its high conviction status, as it becomes increasingly tied to US policy and markets. Now, let's look at the technical picture for TSM.
最後,出口限制和地緣政治風險,特別是與美中貿易關係相關的風險,可能會影響台積電的全球營運及其高度看好地位,因為它越來越與美國政策和市場掛鉤。現在,讓我們來看看台積電的技術面。
04:57
Overall momentum is slowing, and if support levels are violated, further weakness in the stock is possible. The MACD is indicating that the near-term trend is bearish at this time, and TSM chart formation shows signs of reversing its recent trend, as indicated with price trading below the 20, as well as 50-day moving averages.
整體動能正在放緩,如果支撐位被跌破,股價可能進一步走弱。MACD指標顯示,短期趨勢目前看跌,台積電的圖表形態顯示其近期趨勢有反轉跡象,這從股價跌破20日和50日移動平均線可以看出。
05:15
Now, upside to momentum as measured by the weekly RSI is below 70, falling. This indicates that TSM may be under distribution, further illustrating potential near-term weakness.
現在,以週線RSI衡量的上漲動能低於70並正在下降。這表明台積電可能處於出貨階段,進一步說明潛在的短期疲軟。
05:24
Now, despite the stock trading below its 20 and 50-day moving averages, the stock is still trending above its 200-day moving average, which indicates that the intermediate-term price pattern remains up. But it still may be in the midst of a short-term consolidation, along with the broader market. Now, in summary, despite macro risks, such as export
現在,儘管股價跌破20日和50日移動平均線,但股價仍高於200日移動平均線,這表明中期價格模式仍保持上漲。但它可能仍處於短期盤整之中,與大盤同步。總而言之,儘管存在宏觀風險,例如出口
05:42
controls, tariffs, and geopolitics, as well as heavy investment needs, TSM's technology leadership scale and global footprint positioned it at the center of semiconductor, artificial intelligence, and high-performance computing growth. With best-in-class, advanced-node execution, and deep-customer relationships, TSM remains a pivotal player, enabling the next wave of computing,
管制、關稅和地緣政治,以及大量的投資需求,台積電的技術領先地位、規模和全球足跡使其處於半導體、人工智慧和高效能運算成長的核心。憑藉一流的先進製程執行能力和深厚的客戶關係,台積電仍然是關鍵參與者,推動下一波運算浪潮,
06:02
while pursuing geographic diversification to enhance supply resiliency for years to come.
同時尋求地理多元化,以在未來數年增強供應鏈韌性。
06:08
Now, that's it for this week's edition of the Tech Corner. Please join us next week, where we're going to be highlighting semiconductor giant NVIDIA Incorporated.
本週的「科技角落」到此結束。請下週繼續收看,我們將重點介紹半導體巨頭輝達公司。
06:16
Don't forget to like and subscribe to the Schwab Network. I'm George Tillis. We'll see you next week.
別忘了按讚並訂閱嘉信理財頻道。我是George Tillis。我們下週見。

Tech Corner: TSMC & the Global Semiconductor Trade

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📝 影片摘要

本單元深入探討台積電(TSMC)在全球半導體產業中的關鍵地位。台積電是積體電路製造、封裝、測試與銷售的樞紐,產品廣泛應用於高速運算、智慧型手機、物聯網及汽車等領域。憑藉先進製程技術(如3奈米、2奈米)和大規模生產能力,台積電成為AI硬體的核心推動者。影片分析其競爭環境(英特爾、三星)及全球擴張策略,以降低對台灣的依賴並強化供應鏈韌性。儘管面臨地緣政治風險、出口限制、估值挑戰及生產限制,台積電第三季財報仍表現強勁,營收和淨利顯著增長。技術面上,短期動能放緩,但中期價格模式仍保持上漲。台積電的技術領先地位和全球足跡使其穩居半導體、AI和高效能運算成長的核心。

📌 重點整理

  • 台積電是全球半導體產業的關鍵樞紐,負責積體電路的製造、封裝、測試和銷售。
  • 其產品廣泛應用於高速運算、智慧型手機、物聯網和汽車等領域。
  • 台積電在全球晶圓代工市場佔主導地位,主要客戶包括蘋果、博通、輝達和高通。
  • 主要競爭對手包括英特爾、格芯(Global Foundries)和三星電子。
  • 台積電的獨特價值主張在於其先進製程技術領導地位(如3奈米、2奈米)和大規模生產高性​​能晶片的能力。
  • 公司正透過在美國、日本和德國建立新廠,尋求地理多元化以增強供應鏈韌性。
  • 儘管面臨地緣政治風險、出口限制和估值挑戰,台積電第三季財報表現強勁,營收和淨利均有顯著增長。
  • 技術分析顯示短期動能放緩且股價跌破短期移動平均線,但仍高於200日移動平均線,中期趨勢仍看漲。
📖 專有名詞百科 |點擊詞彙查看維基百科解釋
關鍵的
pivotal
積體電路
integrated circuits
晶圓製造
wafer fabrication
物聯網
Internet of Things
晶圓代工市場
foundry market
整合製造能力
integrated manufacturing capabilities
奈米製程
nanometer mode processes
地緣政治風險
geopolitical risks
看跌的
bearish
移動平均線
moving averages

🔍 自訂查詢

📚 共 10 個重點單字
pivotal /ˈpɪvətl/ adjective
central and important; essential.
關鍵的;核心的;重要的
📝 例句
"The time on Summit Conductor is a major pivotal player in the global semiconductor industry, manufacturing, packaging, testing, and selling of integrated circuits."
台積電是全球半導體產業中一個關鍵的樞紐參與者,負責積體電路的製造、封裝、測試和銷售。
✨ 延伸例句
"The successful negotiation was pivotal to the company's future."
這次成功的談判對公司的未來至關重要。
integrated circuits /ˌɪntɪɡreɪtɪd ˈsɜːrkɪts/ noun phrase
a microelectronic circuit formed on a semiconductor base, especially a single piece of silicon.
積體電路
📝 例句
"The time on Summit Conductor is a major pivotal player in the global semiconductor industry, manufacturing, packaging, testing, and selling of integrated circuits."
台積電是全球半導體產業中一個關鍵的樞紐參與者,負責積體電路的製造、封裝、測試和銷售。
✨ 延伸例句
"Modern electronics rely heavily on integrated circuits."
現代電子產品嚴重依賴積體電路。
wafer fabrication /ˈweɪfər ˌfæbrɪˈkeɪʃən/ noun phrase
the process of making integrated circuits on semiconductor wafers.
晶圓製造
📝 例句
"The company offers a variety of wafer fabrication processes, including complementary, metal oxide, Summit Conductor, Logic, Mix Signal, Radio Frequency, and Embedded Memory Technologies."
該公司提供多種晶圓製造製程,包括互補式金屬氧化物半導體、邏輯、混合訊號、射頻和嵌入式記憶體技術。
✨ 延伸例句
"Advanced wafer fabrication is crucial for producing cutting-edge chips."
先進的晶圓製造對於生產尖端晶片至關重要。
Internet of Things /ˈɪntərnɛt əv θɪŋz/ noun phrase
the interconnection via the Internet of computing devices embedded in everyday objects, enabling them to send and receive data.
物聯網
📝 例句
"TSM's products are integral to the various high-speed computing applications, smartphones, Internet of Things, automotive, as well as a wide array of digital consumer electronics."
台積電的產品對於各種高速運算應用、智慧型手機、物聯網、汽車以及各種數位消費電子產品都不可或缺。
✨ 延伸例句
"Smart homes are a common application of the Internet of Things."
智慧家庭是物聯網的常見應用。
foundry market /ˈfaʊndri ˈmɑːrkɪt/ noun phrase
the market for companies that manufacture integrated circuits for other companies based on their designs.
晶圓代工市場
📝 例句
"TSM is a dominant player in the global foundry market, holding a significant share in the customers, including Apple, Broadcom, NVIDIA, as well as Qualcomm."
台積電在全球晶圓代工市場中佔據主導地位,擁有包括蘋果、博通、輝達和高通在內的重要客戶。
✨ 延伸例句
"The demand in the foundry market is driven by fabless semiconductor companies."
晶圓代工市場的需求是由無晶圓廠半導體公司推動的。
integrated manufacturing capabilities /ˌɪntɪɡreɪtɪd ˌmænjʊˈfæktʃərɪŋ ˌkeɪpəˈbɪlətiz/ noun phrase
the ability of a company to handle all aspects of manufacturing in-house, from design to final product.
整合製造能力
📝 例句
"TSM faces competition from several key players, including US-based names like Intel Incorporated, which is known for its integrated manufacturing capabilities and efforts to expand its foundry business in the US."
台積電面臨來自數家主要參與者的競爭,包括英特爾公司等美國公司,英特爾以其整合製造能力和在美國擴展晶圓代工業務的努力而聞名。
✨ 延伸例句
"Companies with integrated manufacturing capabilities often have better cost control."
具有整合製造能力的公司通常能更好地控制成本。
nanometer mode processes /ˈnænoʊˌmiːtər moʊd ˈprɒsɛsɪz/ noun phrase
manufacturing processes for semiconductors at extremely small scales, measured in nanometers, indicating advanced technology nodes.
奈米製程
📝 例句
"TSM's unique value proposition lies in its technological leadership in advanced Summit Conductor nodes, such as the three- and two-nanometer mode processes and its ability to manufacture high-performance chips on a massive scale."
台積電的獨特價值主張在於其在先進半導體節點(如3奈米和2奈米製程)的技術領先地位,以及大規模製造高性能晶片的能力。
✨ 延伸例句
"The development of 5-nanometer mode processes pushed the boundaries of chip performance."
5奈米製程的發展突破了晶片性能的極限。
geopolitical risks /ˌdʒiːoʊpəˈlɪtɪkl rɪsks/ noun phrase
risks associated with political events or conflicts between countries that could affect economic or financial stability.
地緣政治風險
📝 例句
"Lastly, export restrictions and geopolitical risks, particularly related to US-China trade relations, could impact TSM's global operations and its high conviction status, as it becomes increasingly tied to US policy and markets."
最後,出口限制和地緣政治風險,特別是與美中貿易關係相關的風險,可能會影響台積電的全球營運及其高度看好地位,因為它越來越與美國政策和市場掛鉤。
✨ 延伸例句
"Investors are often wary of geopolitical risks impacting global supply chains."
投資者經常對影響全球供應鏈的地緣政治風險保持警惕。
bearish /ˈbɛərɪʃ/ adjective
characterized by falling stock prices or a belief that prices will fall.
看跌的;空頭的
📝 例句
"The MACD is indicating that the near-term trend is bearish at this time, and TSM chart formation shows signs of reversing its recent trend, as indicated with price trading below the 20, as well as 50-day moving averages."
MACD指標顯示,短期趨勢目前看跌,台積電的圖表形態顯示其近期趨勢有反轉跡象,這從股價跌破20日和50日移動平均線可以看出。
✨ 延伸例句
"The market has been in a bearish trend for months."
市場已經連續數月處於看跌趨勢。
moving averages /ˈmuːvɪŋ ˈævərɪdʒɪz/ noun phrase
a series of averages of different subsets of the full data set, often used in technical analysis to smooth out price data and identify trends.
移動平均線
📝 例句
"The MACD is indicating that the near-term trend is bearish at this time, and TSM chart formation shows signs of reversing its recent trend, as indicated with price trading below the 20, as well as 50-day moving averages."
MACD指標顯示,短期趨勢目前看跌,台積電的圖表形態顯示其近期趨勢有反轉跡象,這從股價跌破20日和50日移動平均線可以看出。
✨ 延伸例句
"Traders often use the 200-day moving average as a key support or resistance level."
交易者經常將200日移動平均線作為關鍵的支撐或阻力位。
🎯 共 10 題測驗

1 What is TSMC's primary role in the global semiconductor industry? 台積電在全球半導體產業中的主要角色是什麼? What is TSMC's primary role in the global semiconductor industry?

台積電在全球半導體產業中的主要角色是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 A

The video states that TSMC is a major pivotal player responsible for manufacturing, packaging, testing, and selling integrated circuits.

影片指出台積電是一個關鍵的樞紐參與者,負責積體電路的製造、封裝、測試和銷售。

2 Which of the following applications are TSMC's products integral to? 台積電的產品對於下列哪項應用是不可或缺的? Which of the following applications are TSMC's products integral to?

台積電的產品對於下列哪項應用是不可或缺的?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 A

The video mentions TSMC's products are integral to high-speed computing applications, smartphones, Internet of Things, and automotive.

影片提到台積電的產品對於高速運算應用、智慧型手機、物聯網和汽車等是不可或缺的。

3 What percentage of TSMC's sales are approximately in the United States? 台積電大約有多少比例的銷售額來自美國? What percentage of TSMC's sales are approximately in the United States?

台積電大約有多少比例的銷售額來自美國?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 D

The video states that the majority of sales for TSM are in the United States, with approximately 75% of their sales.

影片指出台積電的大部分銷售額來自美國,約佔75%。

4 Which company is NOT mentioned as a key competitor to TSMC in the video? 影片中未提及下列哪家公司是台積電的主要競爭對手? Which company is NOT mentioned as a key competitor to TSMC in the video?

影片中未提及下列哪家公司是台積電的主要競爭對手?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 D

Intel, Global Foundries, and Samsung Electronics are mentioned as competitors. Qualcomm is mentioned as a customer.

影片中提及英特爾、格芯和三星電子是競爭對手。高通則被提及為客戶。

5 What is a key aspect of TSMC's unique value proposition? 台積電獨特價值主張的關鍵面向是什麼? What is a key aspect of TSMC's unique value proposition?

台積電獨特價值主張的關鍵面向是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 A

The video highlights TSMC's technological leadership in advanced semiconductor nodes (e.g., 3- and 2-nanometer) and its ability to manufacture high-performance chips on a massive scale.

影片強調台積電在先進半導體節點(如3奈米和2奈米)的技術領先地位,以及大規模製造高性能晶片的能力。

6 What did TSMC's Q3 2023 quarterly profits demonstrate? 台積電2023年第三季的季度利潤表現如何? What did TSMC's Q3 2023 quarterly profits demonstrate?

台積電2023年第三季的季度利潤表現如何?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The company reported strong execution in artificial intelligence, as well as high-performance computing demand, driven by 41% year-to-year revenue growth.

該公司報告在人工智慧和高效能運算需求方面表現強勁,營收年增長41%。

7 What was a significant investment announcement made by TSMC in March of the last year? 台積電在去年三月宣布的一項重大投資是什麼? What was a significant investment announcement made by TSMC in March of the last year?

台積電在去年三月宣布的一項重大投資是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

In March of last year, TSM announced an additional $100 billion investment in U.S. chip manufacturing.

去年三月,台積電宣布在美國晶片製造方面追加1000億美元投資。

8 Which of the following is NOT listed as a positive aspect for TSMC in the video? 下列哪項未被影片列為台積電的積極面? Which of the following is NOT listed as a positive aspect for TSMC in the video?

下列哪項未被影片列為台積電的積極面?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

A high P/E ratio is listed as a challenge/valuation concern, not a positive. The others are positive points.

高市盈率被列為挑戰/估值擔憂,而非積極面。其他選項均為積極面。

9 What is one of the ongoing challenges TSMC faces regarding its valuation? 台積電在估值方面面臨的持續挑戰之一是什麼? What is one of the ongoing challenges TSMC faces regarding its valuation?

台積電在估值方面面臨的持續挑戰之一是什麼?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 B

The video states that TSM faces valuation challenges, as its P/E ratio has reached multi-year highs, potentially limiting upside price performance.

影片指出台積電面臨估值挑戰,因為其市盈率已達到多年來的新高,可能限制股價上漲空間。

10 According to the technical analysis in the video, what does the MACD indicator currently suggest for TSMC's near-term trend? 根據影片中的技術分析,MACD指標目前對台積電的短期趨勢有何建議? According to the technical analysis in the video, what does the MACD indicator currently suggest for TSMC's near-term trend?

根據影片中的技術分析,MACD指標目前對台積電的短期趨勢有何建議?

✅ 正確! ❌ 錯誤,正確答案是 C

The MACD indicator is indicating that the near-term trend is bearish at this time.

MACD指標顯示,短期趨勢目前看跌。

測驗完成!得分: / 10